In post 1947, Eggman wrote:
@F-oh-ex: if anything, SK is now explicitly deconfirmed. There was only one NK in play because we lynched the other one yesterday. SKs are always compulsive, no? So I believe it's 3v2. So this is LYLO.
Are you still proposing that mafia decided to shoot themselves during the night? Unless DGB lied, there needs to be another source of kills for night 2 to make sense.
You merely restated what I said 5 posts above but k. I don't know why Eggman doesn't get that.
Posted: Tue Aug 16, 2016 9:10 pm
by Derek12
Eggman works in mysterious ways.
Posted: Tue Aug 16, 2016 9:13 pm
by Derek12
In post 1948, Eggman wrote:Since this is LYLO, let's all massclaim in order of the Player List. Dragon, you go first.
(Actually, my gambit pretty heavily depends on my being online, so: UNVOTE: Derek. I place
Intent to Revote
after I wake up. Hooray for not thinking things through!)
If you're right about the 3v2, you know this loses us the game if you're wrong? Scum have daychat. I can't really tell if you're serious about it or not.
Posted: Tue Aug 16, 2016 9:42 pm
by Derek12
In post 1865, F-oh-ex wrote:
I'll redo some ISOs, starting with Titus and Derek - they're the quickest ones to do.
You should probably do this sooner rather then later considering the gamestate.
Posted: Wed Aug 17, 2016 5:50 am
by F-oh-ex
I'm in the middle of wrapping my work up. I don't want to throw everything I think just yet though.
I'm worried by the amount of lurking we have at the start of this day.
Posted: Wed Aug 17, 2016 5:58 am
by F-oh-ex
3v2 LyLo is not impossible, I must say after having thought it through. We know from DGB's flip she lied a bit about her role - claiming 2-shot while being 3-shot. I think it's possible that she didn't claim a kill on Infinity in order to send Mafia searching for a Serial Killer, rather than to kill her at night. The flaw in this reasoning is that DGB didn't come clean about it while self-hammering.
Posted: Wed Aug 17, 2016 6:43 am
by Eggman
In post 1954, F-oh-ex wrote:I'm in the middle of wrapping my work up. I don't want to throw everything I think just yet though.
I'm worried by the amount of lurking we have at the start of this day.
[This is probably more for Sméagol, but I wasn't immediately aware the day had started because I didn't recieve a PM.]
Derek12 wrote:Eggman works in mysterious ways.
:y:
I'll try the gambit later tonight, and if it doesn't work then I'll explain it.
I agree with F-oh-ex on DGB's lies. Maybe the reason she didn't come clean before her flip was to psych out the mafia; make them think there's still an SK.
Hey Titus, where are you?
Looks like you've taken one out of my book: say you'll come back in a few, and then... don't.
Posted: Wed Aug 17, 2016 6:44 am
by Eggman
(Looks like the board can't handle emojis. I tried posting that post with the thumbs-up emoji instead of :y: and it crashed every time.)
Posted: Wed Aug 17, 2016 6:45 am
by Titus
Modding emergency and sleep. I'm here now.
Posted: Wed Aug 17, 2016 6:47 am
by Titus
I want to lynch Dragon I think.
Lynching group scum is the best scenario but it's like playing with fire. Miss and we certainly lose.
Posted: Wed Aug 17, 2016 10:14 am
by Dragon of the West
Alright so being new to mafia, I have to ask a theory question. When mafia has day talk, should we be less inclined to mass claim because they can talk about what claims to make and whose claims to call B.S. on?
Posted: Wed Aug 17, 2016 10:18 am
by Dragon of the West
In post 1955, F-oh-ex wrote:I think it's possible that she didn't claim a kill on Infinity in order to send Mafia searching for a Serial Killer,
That doesn't make sense. If she shot infinity and there wasn't SK, scum would have had to be the ones to NK PJ and then scum would know she was lying about shooting PJ
Posted: Wed Aug 17, 2016 10:54 am
by F-oh-ex
Not necessarily. It's possible for two parties to target the same person for a night kill.
Posted: Wed Aug 17, 2016 11:00 am
by Titus
In post 1960, Dragon of the West wrote:Alright so being new to mafia, I have to ask a theory question. When mafia has day talk, should we be less inclined to mass claim because they can talk about what claims to make and whose claims to call B.S. on?
Daytalk is a factor on analyzing claims, not when to do it.
Given we want scum crosskills, this is an exception to the rule of massclaim in lylo.
In post 1956, Eggman wrote:
[This is probably more for Sméagol, but I wasn't immediately aware the day had started because I didn't recieve a PM.]
I actually don't make a habit of sending out notifications like that (I believe I mentioned this in the first notification actually) but since activity was low, I made 2 exceptions. I think we're now left with active players, and everyone has posted, so I didn't think it was necessary. We can discuss postgame if you want notifications all the time.
Posted: Thu Aug 18, 2016 9:25 am
by Eggman
[Thank you for clarifying!]
Alright, Titus, let's agree to disagree. I think that we could theoretically pull off a massclaim if
we can organize it so that everyone claims within two or three minutes. That way, the mafiosos won't have time to fabricate claims.
With that idea stated, for the record, let's do something different. Why don't we all FoS our top two scumreads, and depending on Town's common consensus we can go from there?
Posted: Fri Aug 19, 2016 1:09 am
by F-oh-ex
There's no way we can get a post from everyone within 3 minutes. It's forum, not chat.
Posted: Fri Aug 19, 2016 6:13 am
by F-oh-ex
Is everyone afraid to talk?
Posted: Fri Aug 19, 2016 8:42 am
by Dragon of the West
How do you feel about Derek's slot?
Posted: Fri Aug 19, 2016 8:49 am
by Dragon of the West
I think I'm doing a 180 on my read of him. I townread him really heavily for a while, but after Shiro flipped town and rereading Infinity's ISO I think he may be scum.
Infinity seemed to have him as a top scumread for a while despite not having a ton of reasons laid out. Then, while having Derek as top scumread, says he wants to lynch MM4. Then continues to have a scumread on Derek while still not saying much more than "he's playing from the sidelines". It just felt like failed bussing and a weird read for infinity to have for what was happening in the rest of the game
Posted: Fri Aug 19, 2016 8:58 am
by Dragon of the West
In post 1617, Infinity 324 wrote:dragon, mario, eggman, titus, petroleum (for SK), derek, f-oh-ex, DGB, creature
You moved up because I looked over gunslingers again and I saw you were playing similarly. I would like to see more from you though that's not tunneling on creature.
Okay so I've reread some more and this is around where he changes his read on Derek. I don't feel like scum infinity would go over old games of Derek's to find a reason to change his read which leads me to believe Derek could point him to that game as a game to reference during day talk in the PT
Posted: Fri Aug 19, 2016 9:07 am
by Dragon of the West
I feel like the more I read the more I give in to confirmation bias, but whatever.
This is him having a problem with Derek's tunneling while having Derek somewhere in the middle of his reads list.
In post 1628, Infinity 324 wrote:I have a problem with him tunneling creature since it fits the pattern of a scum tunnel more than a town tunnel. Why so eager to defend him? Why wouldn't I have a problem with someone tunneling my top townread?
Then this post just irks me...a lot
In post 1632, Infinity 324 wrote:Town tunneling usually involves yelling at people for not seeing someone is scum, scum tunnel is usually to avoid discussion about other stuff. Thorough derek talked a little bit about other stuff...
Posted: Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:33 am
by Eggman
Alright. VOTE: Derek
I'll sheep anyone who has a good case. Going with Dragon for now, since I was also sorta scumreading Derek.
Posted: Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:52 am
by F-oh-ex
I'll post my full ISO of Derek later. From my POV, however, it's very likely he's scum and seeing how we're at LyLo, I would like his claim. And I would like it now. If I don't see a claim in the next post Derek makes, I'm automatically lynching him.