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Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:25 am
by Mathdino
I can't believe I'm doing this.
@mod: Request prod on Carrot and Stick.
Marangal/Not_Mafias relative silence since we came up with the night action plan has been deafening.
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:26 am
by acryon
I think lynching A50 is likely lynching town, but we can still lynch him and go through with the plan I've made. That's still better than the double-day today plan.
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:27 am
by Momrangal
It has.
I am not great (read terrible) with those kinds of stuff
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:28 am
by Not_Mafia
I just wanna lynch Carrot
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:30 am
by Mathdino
In post 1974, acryon wrote: In post 1971, Mathdino wrote: In post 1967, acryon wrote:Not to mention even if we pretended that we will get ZERO helpful info from our PR's, we still are making more informed lynches in the 2nd scenario because we have more flips.
The fuck?
Literally all that's gonna happen is scum kill an investigative, we lose that result, and we have a townflip today.
WE STILL HAVE THAT TOWNFLIP TODAY IF WE DOUBLEDAY THOUGH.
Except you're wrong. N_M's slot is heavily in question, with many people scumreading him. How is him getting NK'd not a win for town decision-making?
You're acting like all of the PR's we have are conftown. They are not.
Kthxbye wrote:Then who would you lynch to for the best possibly of hitting scum?
Personally C&S or Beefster.
You either don't understand setup breaking or you're scum.
Look, the whole point of leaving those 5 alive is to force the potential scum in them to do the night actions they promised.
Say Beefster or mastina is scum. WHO CARES? They're going to block each other tonight, so they're not performing the nightkill unless they're literally the scumteam!
Say Not_Mafia is scum. WHO CARES? He's been assigned to detect Marangal (or Bujaber depending on how this goes). He either has to fake a guilty on one of them, or he potentially confirms and innocent. PLUS Kthx is already checking N_M!
They're not conftown, but scum roles can still be used to benefit town.
You're getting lynched 100% of the time if you try to lynch in {Beefster, C&S, N_M, Kthx, the worst} today. Pick any 2 outside of those 5.
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:30 am
by Mathdino
Can you guys just confirm that N_M targets Marangal and Marangal does nothing tonight?
Also votes on acryon would help here.
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:31 am
by Momrangal
The issue I have with crayon is the fact that, if Mastina is scum then he's her designated mislynch. So far, has been pretty anti-town and has been making so many suboptimal choices.
If he's as good as people say he is, then more than likely those stumbles are more likely to come from town him. As scum, I feel like he would be a little bit more careful about stirring the mot after what had just happened yesterday
Pedit: I already said I wasn't planning on doing anything anyway
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:34 am
by Mathdino
Marangal, it's also possible that he's faking badness because given the plans set in motion, he can't win.
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:34 am
by acryon
In post 1979, Mathdino wrote: In post 1974, acryon wrote: In post 1971, Mathdino wrote: In post 1967, acryon wrote:Not to mention even if we pretended that we will get ZERO helpful info from our PR's, we still are making more informed lynches in the 2nd scenario because we have more flips.
The fuck?
Literally all that's gonna happen is scum kill an investigative, we lose that result, and we have a townflip today.
WE STILL HAVE THAT TOWNFLIP TODAY IF WE DOUBLEDAY THOUGH.
Except you're wrong. N_M's slot is heavily in question, with many people scumreading him. How is him getting NK'd not a win for town decision-making?
You're acting like all of the PR's we have are conftown. They are not.
Kthxbye wrote:Then who would you lynch to for the best possibly of hitting scum?
Personally C&S or Beefster.
You either don't understand setup breaking or you're scum.
Look, the whole point of leaving those 5 alive is to force the potential scum in them to do the night actions they promised.
Say Beefster or mastina is scum. WHO CARES? They're going to block each other tonight, so they're not performing the nightkill unless they're literally the scumteam!
Say Not_Mafia is scum. WHO CARES? He's been assigned to detect Marangal (or Bujaber depending on how this goes). He either has to fake a guilty on one of them, or he potentially confirms and innocent. PLUS Kthx is already checking N_M!
They're not conftown, but scum roles can still be used to benefit town.
You're getting lynched 100% of the time if you try to lynch in {Beefster, C&S, N_M, Kthx, the worst} today. Pick any 2 outside of those 5.
Like I said, I guess it is possible I am screwing this up. Never been in a game with near this many roles.
I am willing to admit I'm wrong about this, but I'm sure you can understand my hesitation when the proposed plan involves lynching someone I think is town followed by someone I know is town.
If we're lynching outside of those, I think BuJ and Mom are most likely scum, but that's more PoE than anything.
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:34 am
by acryon
In post 1982, Mathdino wrote:Marangal, it's also possible that he's faking badness because given the plans set in motion, he can't win.
My ego would appreciate this.
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:38 am
by Not_Mafia
I'll follow the night plan but I'm not moving my vote from carrot
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:42 am
by Mathdino
acryon, who's the scumteam?
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:45 am
by acryon
C&S, Beefster, BuJabar, fairly uncertain on BuJabar. I'd probably have a better 3rd, but the person who I thought fit the team (Kthx) I now consider to be strongly town, so my reads are admittedly a bit shaky today.
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:47 am
by BuJaber
1. We don't need NM's vote; I'm fine with him just following the plan.
2. Acryon's plan is terrible. There is no way we are risking an ability as strong as IB's. Don't care how much protection we plan. Some people are lying about their roles I am not willing to find out who by seeing IB NK'd. PLUS HE CONFIRMS HIMSELF AS TOWN ALSO WITHOUT THE NEED TO GO TO THE NIGHT. That means next time we plan the night actions after the 2 flips we have even more information to plan the perfect night plan.
3. My lynch pool is {acryon/A50/Beef} - will wagon and hammer any of them.
Will be voting after we confirm double day is active.. or is it done during twilight?
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:48 am
by Mathdino
Actually, this just confirms to me that acryon is scum with one of mastina and Beefster.
Consider that in that situation scum can literally just block whomever protects IB and kill IB anyway.
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:49 am
by acryon
Does anyone have any experience with a role similar to IB's? I would guess it's town just by its mechanics, but is it explicitly so?
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:49 am
by Mathdino
Actually, yeah, there's no universe in which acryon's plan checks out form his point of view.
If Beefster AND C&S are both scum (or even just one of them), then I'm literally the only protective, and they can easily both block me from protecting IB.
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:50 am
by Mathdino
dear god man it doesn't matter
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:50 am
by acryon
Why does it not matter? Again, you are treating a PR as conftown.
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:51 am
by acryon
It'd be easier if we knew we actually
can
treat IB as conftown.
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:51 am
by Not_Mafia
Is there a claim summary?
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:51 am
by Mathdino
ACRYON DO YOU NOT REALISE THAT WITH YOUR PROPOSED SCUMTEAM
THERE IS NO WAY IB LIVES THROUGH THE NIGHT
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:52 am
by acryon
In post 1996, Mathdino wrote:ACRYON DO YOU NOT REALISE THAT WITH YOUR PROPOSED SCUMTEAM
THERE IS NO WAY IB LIVES THROUGH THE NIGHT
Except that the whole point of the night setup is that we
know
if someone doesn't play along.
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:53 am
by Mathdino
acryon: 1-shot Gladiator
Almost50: X-shot Commuter
Beefster: Jailkeeper
Bujaber: Probably a Compulsive Visitor? Unclaimed
Carrot & Mastina: JOAT (Roleblocker, Rolecop, Doctor)
InfernoBrafin: 1-shot Double Daymaker
Kthxbye: Follower
Mathdino: Bodyguard
Marangal: Messenger
Not_Mafia: Motion Detector
the worst: Investigative
Iconeum: Backup JOAT
GoldenParadox: Hider
Posted: Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:54 am
by Not_Mafia
Is IB's a night action?