Open 721: Pick Your Poison (Game Over)
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I'm town reading you. That hasn't changed.In post 1482, Sunshine13 wrote:Wait, wait. Iso’d Oxy for the lulz.
At what point did you a) stop townreading me (sans evidence) and b) start scumreading me (sans evidence)?
Also, your scumreads at this point are me, ofrhz and... TW? Bearing in mind the last 10 pages remain unread, excepting your iso’d posts.
And you can damn well read my iso if you want to know my other reads. I've been plain as day.- Oxy
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If you're saying that you have read the entirety of my iso, yet still don't know my reads, you need to try again, and more slowly this time.In post 1491, Oxy wrote:
I'm town reading you. That hasn't changed.In post 1482, Sunshine13 wrote:Wait, wait. Iso’d Oxy for the lulz.
At what point did you a) stop townreading me (sans evidence) and b) start scumreading me (sans evidence)?
Also, your scumreads at this point are me, ofrhz and... TW? Bearing in mind the last 10 pages remain unread, excepting your iso’d posts.
And you can damn well read my iso if you want to know my other reads. I've been plain as day.
Don't get all snide with me if you're not even going to read the posts that I'm writing.- Oxy
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Going further with that, Sunshine, you claim that I'm lazily sheeping mathdino, but you don't even know what my fucking reads are.
So let me ask you this. What reads am I sheeping from mathdino, eh? Do you even know? Or did you just see someone say that in your skim? What are you basing this tripe on?- Oxy
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@sunshine
The bottom of my reads list would have been tw, ofrhz, skitter, draynth. so the wagon of tw, skitter, draynth, sunshine was the bottom of my reads list minus ofrhz and plus sunshine.In post 1477, Oxy wrote:it's basically the bottom of my reads list - ofrhz and + sunshine.
This post is literally saying i'm town reading you.
And yes, I'm still town reading math, but I'm not omniscient bro. And my read list had a lot of town reads, so I gave a nod to the possibility that I'm very wrong, and gave a list of who I think is most likely to deceive me. And those people were you and Math.
There is one read on my reads list that I am sheeping mathdino on right now, and that's nsg, and it doesn't even exist because he hasn't read her yet. You should be, too.
And yeah, I was sheeping the judgement of three of my town reads there, mate. Three. Not just lol follow the dinosaur.
A) I do actually think sheeping has a strong part to play in a good town game, and I think that is especially true for me.
B) I was low key doing it as a pouty arms folded "fine. /vote" response to their disagreement.
I didn't call you an idiot. I called you snide, and I am calling you condescending - "read his iso for the lulz" - and I really don't appreciate it.- Oxy
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As for why I'm voting draynth, who is not one of my top scum reads - I'm the leading wagon right now.
He might be scum, he isn't a town read, and I know I'm not scum. Maybe town here should just vote their top scum read, not compromise, and get lynched. Feel free to point me to an article explaining why that's the better strategy. In lieu of that, I'm playing the way I think is best.- Oxy
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@skitter30 Because I think SS is town this game. I know I don't have a great track record of reading her, but I think she reacted to the early pressure similarly to how she reacted to my early pressure on her last game. I think the questions she's asking come from the same mentality of the ones she gave last game, and I think her more laid back demeanor is reminiscent of the part of D2 1859 where she had no pressure on her and was shit posting some.
So I'd rather Draynth who I was kinda maybe town reading for not following through on his promises. But, tbh, mathdino screaming that question, DOES ANYONE THINK ITS SCUMMY, has made me rethink the wifom, and I'm just calling it NAI. So then he's pretty null to me, and that's a better lynch than a town read.- Oxy
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Bro, my vote is fucking mine. I knew where it was, and I knew when I would be looking at the thread. And that vote wasn't going to be a part of a lynch unless I meant it to. I didn't exactly put him in danger of a lynch, did I?In post 1510, Sunshine13 wrote:Also, in that instance, you were completely alleviating the responsibility of your vote to people you don’t know are town, my non-omniscient friend. In the end, you’re the one that gets judged for it, not them. Sheeping a few days in when flips and claims happen? Bit better, still not ideal imo. D1 sheeping with no N0? You don’t care where your vote is, because you’re not town.- Oxy
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@skitter Agree to disagree on the early game, I guess. I was noting how she went after so many people that commented on her entrance. It felt reminiscent of how she attacked every point I brought up against her.
She didn't really have any pressure on her in the early-mid portion of this game. Remember the post where she commented on not knowing how to play without pressure on her? That's the part of this game that I'm referencing.- Oxy
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This is not true. That was a quickly put together synopsis of my reads, but even here I have draynth listed before Scioness. I gave a much larger read list not much earlier where I explained I was reading scioness more townie than draynth.In post 1516, skitter30 wrote:As for draynth, it's that *everyone* has him in their lynch/vig pools. I don't think he's done anything scummy. He hasn't been townie, sure, but 'not being town' != 'scummy' to me. And like, the fact that oxy is voting draynth over scioness here is sending up some red flags, cuz like draynth is the much easier lynch, and before I asked him about it, he seemed to be scumreading them equally (1375).- Oxy
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This is a two way street, mate. You're not a detective in an interrogation room who gets to say, "I ask the questions around here!"In post 1531, Sunshine13 wrote:
I’d like you to answer your own question.In post 1518, Oxy wrote:@sunshine My vote being my voice is exactly why I put my vote where I did. Just because your vote is monotonous, does not mean others have to use it that way.
You sure seem to be confident that Draynth will flip town... Why is that?- Oxy
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Whatever, mates.
I felt bad after that case on ofrhz and tw because it was late, i didn't do it well, and it came off scummy
So I worked my ass of obv!towning to make up for it.
And the one guy who you should really be looking at to read me? He saw it.
My reads are good,
and I'm not one of the, count em, 4 people who have inadvertently claimed VT this game
So if ya'll run me up at this point, that's on you.- Oxy
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I had small concerns about that until you self votedIn post 1607, ruru wrote:
Aside from Oxy-related posts which recent posts pinged you?In post 1582, skitter30 wrote:A lot of math's recent posts are actually scum-pinging me; I don't think he's become townie as we approach deadline.
Also I just realized something else interesting about Oxy, which is that he hasn't acted paranoid at all of me this game. Which is kind of weird because I was obvtown to him last game too. Like I would kind of expect him to rvs or interrogate me early this game
Surely I'm capable of faking the first 2 pages as scum based on things I learned last game? (And I actually was faking it; I was super nervous people were going to scumread me again for personality/NAI reasons, made a conscious effort to towntell, and didn't actually feel any genuine self-confidence in this game until almost everyone obvtowned me)
And honestly that entire back and forth - maybe you could have done that in 1859 - but I'm pretty confident you're town- Oxy
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This was worth the wait.In post 1608, the worst wrote:I'm actually finding my analysis deeply boring because I think the conclusions I've reached are accurate.
Oxy is the most likely to flip red here. Draynth is reasonable in fairness so due respect to anyone on his wagon atm.
However, Oxy's narrative will get deeper.
If this is Draynth's scumgame I can't see him magically turning into deepscum overnight. We have plenty more phases.
VOTE: Oxy for dramatic effect- Oxy
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My concern is that you're obv scum.
How is this post the worst in the game - other than for coming after requesting to replace out?
They were right, imo...
Honestly, if anything, I think this kind of spews nsg town...
What is the scum motivation? No one was listening to them. This post wasn't helping to get anyone lynched.
@mod please do not extend the deadline. This day has gone on plenty long.- Oxy
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Why am I on draynth? Are you being serious? How the fuck would it be town for me to vote park on a non-existent wagon while I am being wagoned?
I've made a case for why you're scum. No one else agrees.
Seriously, in what world would you recommend that I vote for you right now as either alignment?
And you understand this. You're not stupid.
But I guess that was the easiest post for scum!the worst to make...- Oxy
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Is this a phrase I'm not familiar with, or are you voting me because you're tired of waiting for draynth to post?In post 1643, ruru wrote:I feel like it's long past morning in Ireland so I actually give up on this I think
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A lot can change between now and Lylo, and I can't imagine that I won't reevaluateIn post 1674, Scioness Sajj wrote:In post 1551, Oxy wrote:
Scioness is a terrible, awful, horrible, no-good lynch today.
Please do not let my counter wagon be sajj.
I'm terrible lynch today but what about tomorrow? Do you think you will have a confident enough read on me, without a clear, to take me into lylo?
but right this second my reads go, from town to scum, ruru, sajj, NSG, mathdino, AP, UglyDuck, Pinturicchio, Sunshine, Skitter30, Draynth, Ofrhz, The Worst.
Change in NSG due to recent content (she's clearly not left shifting to avoid mathdino read. This seems townie all by itself. Her analysis seems townie, and the more I look at Mohab's exit, and knowing that I'm town, the more townie that exit looks.)
Sunshine moved down because he's voting me even though he gut town reads me because he's worried about getting information more than he's worried about lynching scum.
Skitter and Draynth switched places primarily because Draynth has been prod dodging for days on days, but also in part because of how strongly NSG feels.
Ofrhz has been active elsewhere, but hasn't provided content here in days. His scum partners are telling him to dodge this game until the deadline.
The Worst these last few days has just oozed scum to me. Obviously, ya'll don't see it, or else you would be talking about it. If I'm not here D2, please look at this slot very closely. I've got a list of quotes in a spoiler with commentary that you can look at for inspiration.
Also, this is town dino. I'm not sure how you guys are missing it.- Oxy
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There is a pretty good chance that he is, yeah.In post 1679, Sunshine13 wrote:
Is Draynth scum?In post 1676, Oxy wrote: Sunshine moved down because he's voting me even though he gut town reads me because he's worried about getting information more than he's worried about lynching scum.
The part I find scummy is your focus on how much information you can glean from a lynch.
This is a great cover for a scum motivation.
I think that the information gained on a mislynch should be a secondary consideration. Lynching scum comes first.
Of course, you could be town with a different philosophy, and I can't know how your home site thinks.
And my vote, both by voting someone with good scum equity and by helping to divert a lynch off of myself (0 scum equity), is consistent with the above philosophy.- Oxy
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This makes it sound less likely than I think it is.In post 1680, Oxy wrote:Of course, you could be town with a different philosophy, and I can't know how your home site thinks.
Sunshine is probably town. This is scummy tho, and that's why I moved him down.- Oxy
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I perceived you to be preparing to call me a hypocrite. I was defending against that. It just so happens to be pro-town.In post 1682, Sunshine13 wrote:Also, please stop with “my play in this situation is pro-town so I must be town!” because scum don’t exactly roll over and die when they get wagoned, do they?- Oxy
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Doesn't this only imply MD is scummy in a world where Draynth is likely to fake claim PR as VT at the deadline?In post 1810, ruru wrote:
Scum can claim without getting CCed, so making scum claim a specific role on d1 doesn't help muchIn post 1749, ruru wrote:
I don't see why it's beneficial to specify the role in this situationIn post 1740, Mathdino wrote:You're softclaiming pr already
Specifying the role allows scum to tell, in 2/5 cases, whether it's VT fake softing a role outside the setup or not
Almost half of VT fakeclaims instantly out themselves to scum by claiming a specific role
I am like 99.99% sure Md is aware of this because he studies setups
Wouldn't that be kind of game throwing from town!draynth?
What am I missing?- Oxy
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The above post seems like bad theory to me. I must admit, I'm hard pressed to find an absolute reason why it's awful theory - someone please help me out - but it can't be right for VT to always claim a generic PR when they are getting wagoned D1.
People would have figured it out by now, if it was.
Oh I figured it out - it's because it gives scum the ability to soft claim PR, and then walk it back the next day. And people won't actually lynch them D2, because it becomes common place for VT to soft claim PR to stop themselves from getting lynched.
Also, D1's would become gross because literally every wagon would claim PR, and then what? Now you're in a situation where town is always lynching a claimed PR on D1, and sometimes those claims will be real.
@all please expand on why VT claiming PR to avoid a lynch is bad. I know it is, but... words.- Oxy
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I haven't played a closed setup yetIn post 1843, ruru wrote:I think this is all fairly specific to the fact that scum can't be cced in this setup without a massclaim. Otherwise, claiming specific role would be pro-town and anyone not doing it would be suspicious
but I bet VT's don't claim PR to save themselves from the lynch.
I'd really like to hear thoughts on this from someone like NSG.
Also, UNVOTE: because contrary to what Pinturicchio just said, draynth has claimed PR.
I'm game for a lynch on the worst, ofrhz, and skitter- Oxy
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I don't think I'm being pretentious?In post 1847, pinturicchio wrote:Instead of being pretentious, you could show us where did Draynth claimed PR?
How are you reading that bit where he goes, I really don't want to claim with 12 hours left even though I'm barely ever in the thread?
Again, if he is VT, I think that is playing against win con?- Oxy
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I don't think you're stupid enough to do it as scum, no.In post 1854, pinturicchio wrote:Publicly PR hunting, Oxy? Do you think I'm that stupid? Again, he was not at L-1, so you are just WIFOMing the shit out of the situation.
OK, sure - Draynth hasn't explicitly claimed PR yet.
Does that mean you that, from my PoV, you think I should still be voting him?- Oxy
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You've basically asked me to claim on multiple occasions in this game, so if you think you are such a master of not pr hunting as town, you probably shouldn't be so...In post 1860, pinturicchio wrote:I'm not stupid enough to do it, period. PR hunting is a silent task until the moment is right. You and ruru are speculating if you should be voting Draynth for his claim when he hasn't even claimed yet.pretentious.- Oxy
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1)Sunshine is experienced
2)We have no meta on him
3)Some of his ideas have made me think, "huh, that doesn't make sense coming from an experienced player" e.g., his focus on +information lynches
4) 1+3 could imply that he comes from a community that is simply bad at this game, or it could imply a scum motivation
5) He has been hyper sensitive of scum/town reads on him all game (from his ofrhz push to him thinking that I was scum reading him when I wasn't.)
There's more, but I don't really want to case him until D2- Oxy
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Why 3 in those 4?In post 1881, ruru wrote:
Why?In post 1874, Oxy wrote:if draynth is a pr, there are 3 scum in {the worst, ofrhz, skitter30, sunshine}
ruru is town
pinturicchio is town
SS is town
Mathdino is town
UglyDuck is town
AP is likely town
Draynth being a PR would make him town
In my head NSG was likely town, but this didn't take into account math explicitely not TR'ing her, so add her into that group of 3.
Also, I'm scum reading the worst and ofrhz pretty confidently, and skitter to a lesser extent. Sunshine has been fighting his way down my read list.- Oxy
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Math, what do you think about skitter's read progression on you and me?
The best scum motivation I can find for calling you scummy and retracting her scum read on me as a result would be that she didn't want to be on my mislynch with too many of her scum buddies, whom she then joined up with on your wagon later. It's a little weak sauce.
Here's looking at it through your worldview, though.
She hopped off of my wagon when
The worst, Draynth, Sunshine, and Pinturicchio were on it.
Draynth's wagon was NSG, Oxy, Ruru
Sajj was Mathdino, Ofrhz, AP
Mathdino had no votes, and some vague interest from ruru and the worst (both assumed town).
Your worldview implies sunshine is the only possible other scum on my wagon, and that Sajj is also a potential partner.
The previous vote was Pin voting on me.
If skitter + Sajj are partners, does skitter a) continue pushing for my currently leading wagon as a counter to a Sajj wagon that was not a sure thing to gain steam,
or b) jump off my wagon and start pushing a mathdino lynch?
If skitter + Sajj are not partners, meaning the wagons are tvtvt, why does scum!skitter try to throw another town into the mix? Why not just work on one of the available mislynches?- Oxy
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can you remind me what he said that was so bad it couldn't be scum with day chat?
serious question, no ulterior motive. It just so happens that I'm reading him right now.- Oxy
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@the worst
I'm not feeling that read. I'm still reading him pretty townie. Just recently I liked his nsg vote into immediate draynth vote.
I imagine you would change that read if his team was something like exactly {skitter, sunshine, uglyduck} since neither of them posted in the 4 hours prior, or 1hour 20 minutes after his read list?- Oxy
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@mathdino
You can call it lazy, but I'm not going to meta dive NSG while you're alive in the game
My best reason for scum reading him is still sensitivity to peoples' reads on him. I would wait a day. He could be scum, but my gut is calling him town, and tbh, gut has been about as good as head, lately
AP has scum equity in a world where 2/3 of my scum reads were wrong. I'll dive him this evening.- Oxy
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Does he predict it? Maybe? I mean, he could have interpreted that quote ruru found as a soft claim. Or how draynth didn't seem too perturbed to be wagoned.
Does he out it? That's a wifom hole.
At a surface level it's pr hunting.
At level 1, it's a pro town move if he's right... kind of. Personally, I would have tried to deflect from the wagon before outing him as a likely pr.
At level 2, the combination of it being surface level brazen for scum, and possibly pro-town coming from town, make it an easy post to classify as unlikely to come from scum.
And then there is the weirdo gambit where they are both scum trying to get town cred from a fake soft claim.- Oxy
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his trajectory on math has been bi-polar.In post 1982, ruru wrote:Is tw's trajectory on Md weird
but that might actually be the towniest thing about the duckling.
(okay, I'm going back to suppressing my scum read on the worst because something something dinosaurs.)- Oxy
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It's because he is going to give nothing but one liners and naked votes/lol hammers for the rest of the game.In post 1990, ruru wrote:
Can you fill me in? Is it just because he claimed scum?In post 1985, skitter30 wrote:NM is pl-worthy though.- Oxy
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I don't understand this statement. Is it directed at me?In post 1996, ruru wrote:Because I think SS was town (pending my reads fully annealing around town!Md I guess, which hasn't happened yet because I'm currently oddly incapable of suspecting you) - Oxy
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