Open 753: Nomination Mafia [Game Over!]
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- Shoshin
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Shoshin Jack of All Trades
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I saw obvious scum lynched (e.g. tracked scum) but you consistently scumread town in all your games.In post 1334, GrandWazoo wrote:If that's true, then you know I nailed scum my first two games.- Shoshin
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Scumreading me for things that aren't scummy. Scumreading RC for things that aren't scummy. Continuing to scumread me/RC despite having all your concerns addressed. Lack of fluidity in your reads. Lack of any attempt to consider other possibilities. Lack of questioning. Lack of new reads after you decided to scumread me/RC. Lack of any attempt to find third scum. Lack of development in your townreads. Internal inconsistency when it comes to scumreading me/RC while townreading Irrelephant/DT. Awkward interaction with DT/Clemency. Awkward phrasing, especially when changing votes. Opportunistic voting patterns. Unnatural dumb tells. Ignoring my questions for days. Repeatedly misrepresenting me/RC. Pretending meta isn't relevant.In post 1368, GrandWazoo wrote:Shoshin what scummy things have I done THIS game?- Shoshin
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I'm not "criticizing" his play, I'm doing my best to read his alignment based on what he's posted. He's not giving me much to work with so I have to read what's there. His lack of scumhunting is scummy. His lack of motivation to scumhunt is scummy. And his vote on RC earlier was scummy. How the hell are you townreading this, Irrel?In post 1401, Irrelephant11 wrote:All I’m saying is in the case that he’s town he won’t be showing it any time soon if you are criticizing him as he tries to re enter the thread- Shoshin
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While rereading, post 122.In post 1512, Auro wrote:Shoshin, I'd like for you to respond to my earlier question re: when I became locktown for you.- Shoshin
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Very bad reason to townread Irrel. I strongly suggest you look at his scum games for comparison. Remember, he prefers scum for a reason.In post 1519, Auro wrote:His treatment of my slot - in the Newbie game I played alongside town!him, he townread me, and attempted to achieve consensus on that read after a couple others TR'd me, too.
He did the same thing in this game as well, and I do not see scum!him intentionally doing that. I'll dig up the quotes when I can.- Shoshin
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I think Irrelephant's posting has hints of knowing Wazoo would flip town. I thought his townread on Fusco was fake. And as I said at the start of the game, calling me "ick" was terrible coming from him. I also don't see why Auro wasn't nominated and suspect it's because Irrelephant wants to keep him alive while removing actual threats (e.g. me or Volx).- Shoshin
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I think RC wasn't nominated because scum are saving him as a mislynch. Irrelephant's the only one of us three that I think would have pushed RC's lynch on D3. I never would have lynched him regardless Wazoo's flip. And Volx, who knows? Irrelephant definitely was setting up RC's mislynch for Wazoo's flip, though.- Shoshin
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Let's talk a bit about scum Irrelephant, Auro.
1. He's more tryhard as scum than town. It might not seem that way in the thread but he's extremely active in scum PMs. He constantly talks with partners about how & what town tells to drop in the thread. He talks about how to emulate his town game. He talks about who to manipulate, who to pocket, who to mislynch, who to bring with them to LYLO. He's not the sort of player who just wings it.
2. As scum, he actively pockets players he thinks he can pocket. He also tends to townread townies more than scumread them, especially earlier in the game. I'm not sure if he's aware of these tendencies, though my guess is that he's doing it because it's similar to his town game. The fact that he townread you isn't towny for him because he'd do it as scum too. The fact that he wanted others to townread you also isn't towny for him because he'd do it as scum. The reality is, you weren't ever getting lynched yesterday so there wasn't any harm for scum Irrelephant to strongly push you as town.
3. Scum Irrelephant nominates himself maybe 75% of the time because he knows getting nominated puts him closer to locktown. Yes, it's WIFOM. It's also how Irrelephant thinks. It's similar to how RC thinks in some respects. That said, Irrel wouldn't nominate himself with two obvious townies (e.g. Auro/RC/Irrelephant leads to Irrelephant's death). He nominates with threats who look scummier than him. Volx is a strong choice because he's been so absent from the game that he's easily mislynchable, plus there's always a risk of Volx becoming a threat later in the game. I'm a strong choice because I'm unfairly tunneled by a few players, RC randomly imploded by calling me scum, so if there's ever a chance to get me mislynched, this is it. I'm also by far Irrelephant's strongest threat so scum Irrelephant definitely knows I need to be mislynched if he's going to win this game.
That said, there's a strong likelihood that scum didn't nominate any scum. I'm trying to find scum among townies so obviously the "case" on either Irrel/Volx will look weaker than normal. You need to be thinking about who the scum would be among this group if there's scum. I know it's not me. I know that Irrel's reads feel fake (especially that read on Fusco). I know that scum Irrelephant wants to keep people who will defend him alive (i.e .you), so that would explain why you weren't nominated. These things point to scum Irrel relative to Volx. I also think scum Volx nominates you because he knows you're a threat to him, in the same way that I'm a threat to Irrel.- Shoshin
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I think all his scum games have similar patterns to his town games. I recommend you look at his scum PTs more than his behavior, as you'll get a sense of how he thinks about the game & that's more useful for finding him in subsequent games.In post 1623, Auro wrote:Shoshin, can you link to some good scumgames of Irre's, which you think has similar patterns of behaviour to this game?- Shoshin
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1. I had him as scummier than Irrel on D1 so that was my starting point coming into this.In post 1625, Auro wrote:And to Shoshin:
1. If you were suspect that Irre was scum, why was your first post D2 asking Volxen if he'd like to take the lynch?
2. Can you point to anything that makes you objectively town? (There's a reason I'm asking this, even if it's a dumb question)
2. Yes, but it's self-meta so even though it's objectively correct your source is subjective.- Shoshin
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When I started rereading the game, I had Clemency as a scumread. But when I read that "grain of salt" post, I couldn't help but think it was towny. Seeing you have the exact same thought made me feel like you were reacting to subtle points in ways that I don't think scum ever pick up on, especially since I'm pretty sure Clem's actually scum. I tend to locktown people over these sorts of things all the time (often subtle, based on one post, early in the game, discovered while rereading).In post 1626, Auro wrote:Also @Shoshin: I'm not seeing how you arrive at the conclusion that I'm town from that post of mine; could you elaborate?- Shoshin
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No.In post 1649, Auro wrote:Shoshin, did you meta-check me?- Shoshin
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I don't remember, almost all posts were the worst.In post 1650, Auro wrote:
You did the same in Starcraft Mafia 2 though. Or was it TW?In post 1648, Shoshin wrote:Yes, but it's self-meta so even though it's objectively correct your source is subjective.
I'm a strong believer in the validity of self-meta but I always get called scummy for it so unless you want me to self-meta I'm not going to.- Shoshin
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If scum wanted to guarantee a lynch on a particular player, they would have nominated Auro, RC, & the player to be lynched. If scum Auro wants Volx dead, he nominates himself & RC along with Volx. The fact he didn't points strongly to town Auro. It also means scum are sloppy & clueless, or they're trying to create chaos with these picks.
Volx is biting the bait by turning on Auro. We need to avoid this, Volx. Do you really think Auro plays this game as scum? It's highly unlikely he's scum trying to remove you from the game.
The nominations point to the same people who were likely scum before the nominations: DT, Clemency, Vedith, Fusco, with an off chance it's Irrelephant.- Shoshin
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Hey Irrelephant, sorry to hear about family emergency. I hope everything is okay.
I'm not scumreading scumreading you. I townread everyone who was nominated. I'd lynch all of DT, Clem, Vedith, & Fusco before I lynched you, which means you're stronger town than at least one other townie.
If I pretend we're in 3-way LYLO with you, me, and Volx, I come out with you as scummier than Volx, for the reasons I've given. It's not a matter of changing my mind about you so much as comparing you with Volx. If you're both town, it's not really fair but that's the nature of this setup. The important thing is that we don't get sidetracked tomorrow by unnecessarily scumreading the players who were nominated.
That said, I'm open to hearing what you have to say about the game. If you think Volx is scum, please talk about it. If you think I'm wrong about townreading Auro/Alonzo, I'd also like to know that. I'd like to go into the rest of this game with as much input from you as possible.- Shoshin
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1. I strongly believe that your paranoid approach to sorting strong scum players doesn't work. I also don't think that players who generate lots of WIFOM necessarily have a large scumrange. It's usually the opposite. And besides, Auro hasn't generated any WIFOM this game so you're proving my point that he's town.In post 1675, volxen wrote:Shoshin literally everything is within Auro's scumrange, as scum he generates WIFOM on top of WIFOM on top of WIFOM. That's why he is a genuinely hard player to read in spite of the fact that we hydra a lot together. You make somewhat of a fair point here, but your assertion that the nomination list would be {Auro, Alonzo, Volxen} if the goal was to specifically take me out of the game assumes that everyone would have Alonzo as 100% locktown based on RC's replace out (scum knew that Alonzo was replacing into RC's slot during the break phase). I have Alonzo as locktown for that reason, but that would be a big assumption for the scumteam to make to assume that Alonzo would be 100% lynch proof. If RC were still in the game I would agree with you more, but it makes sense to include at least two towny players from day one that are still in the game in the nomination list, and Alonzo replacing RC is going to affect the viability of him being included in the nomination list or not.
2. I'm not assuming that everyone would have Alonzo as 100% locktown. I'm just saying that Auro's smart enough to. It doesn't take that much to realize RC's locktown after his replacement.
3. If RC were still in the game, he'd be suspect to many players for leading a mislynch, so suspect that he'd likely be the nomination lynch unless it was something stupid like DT/Clem/RC.- Shoshin
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I'm less confident reading Irrel because Irrel knows a lot more about what sorts of things I find towny.In post 1690, volxen wrote:@Shoshin, I'm not understanding why you are exercising so much caution with your Irrelephant read but you have essentially locked down Auro as an "easy" townread. I get that you have a lot of experience with Irrelephant and you are very familiar with his scumgame whereas this is basically your first game ever with Auro, but I'm telling you that Auro is also an incredibly strong scum player (he has a 100% scum win rate) like Irrelephant is, and me saying this doesn't even seem to phase you in the slightest. Why are you so confident that Auro is locktown? Because it sounds like you are as confident about Auro being locktown as you are about Alonzo being locktown, and I'm not understanding why that is. - Shoshin
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