Newbie 2051: Iceland! - End!
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If I misvote, fundamentally that's on me, but if you don't want to play to win, that's on you. There are ways to prevent your team from making errors and refusing to take them is not conducive to winning games.
P-Edit: No clue what you're even doing, you just said specifically said scumreading Spartan/quiet was why you switched.- Prism
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In post 1473, flow trap wrote:I SR spartan & Quiet so I switchedIn post 1480, flow trap wrote:I'm not even voting Quiet because I suspect them- Prism
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Part of what makes this so implausible w/ floo is that we have similar backgrounds in chat mafia. The amount of indignant/self-righteous town in chat games is insane and is a huge part of what can make it insufferable to play, it can quickly degrade to ego "I was obviously town you're trash for voting me" slapfights. Mafia quickly learn to do the same. You literally have to play around town doing exactly what Salsabil was doing and worse every other game.- Prism
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It depends on the level of play. Higher level players definitely get better at faking the tone/indignance. Lower level players typically just AFK and vote anyone that isn't them.In post 1516, fairyprincess69 wrote:but isn't scumplay in chat mafia very reflexive, emotion driven because of the lack of time required to make good arguments? i can see Salsabil's reaction would look even more scummy in that context.
You definitely see mafia act indignant/upset, but the amount of town selfrighteousness you see makes it virtually impossible to read into. In a case where those emotions are immediately validated by a replace out I just don't think floo ever takes this approach as town.
With that said, I think the vote today for me is floo. I'm not a town dictator, but I do believe in this read and it's delusional to think that voting someone else makes a statement about the value of teamwork. I'm fallible and fully capable of being wrong. I do think when I'm confident these reads have a high hit %, but I have been wrong before and will be again one day, even if it turns out to not be today.
I think the correct approach is again affirming that I heavily prefer floo for the day. I am again fallible, and this is a Newbie game: I am willing to talk to you about this read as long as it takes, but you should trust your own judgment over just following me.
So floo is my vote for the day. I think this has the advantage of hedging for me being wrong on either of fairy/quiet; both have verbally expressed a willingness to vote floo but not really done so. If you want a second guess, it would be Frederick. But I'm really only confident in floo, and anything else is murky.- Prism
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In the event floo is scum, I think anyone is on the table but flow trap is probably the most likely. I still think quiet/fairyprincess are town but it is conceivable for that one, especially quiet, is playing very much around deceiving my slot specifically as scum. Spartan would be extremely bold to go to bat this hard. I intentionally tried to get a vote on Spartan from floo earlier to see if he'd be willing to vote Spartan and he ignored it entirely rather than taking the chance to distance more. flow trap's only real wall today has been a direct response to me about floo, but it was a townlean and not quite a hard defense. This doesn't mean instavote flow trap but he has to learn to make a better case if he's town.
If floo is town, I literally have no clue and think all my reads should go straight in the trash. No one really feels right in this world, Spartan whiteknighting two town slots in a row is suspect but this is a bit unfair. Chance of me getting wrecked by one of fairy/quiet is high, and flow trap/Frederick were definitely in no danger until now and could just coast all day.- Prism
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You got me to chew more on my floo read but overall I found the argument for floo-town really lacking and the conclusion lackluster. I responded to the wall in 1365. It's also taken a ton of work to get you to really go to bat for something else; you've sat to the side all day and waited for others to drive an elim.In post 1525, Prism wrote:flow trap's only real wall today has been a direct response to me about floo, but it was a townlean and not quite a hard defense. This doesn't mean instavote flow trap but he has to learn to make a better case if he's town.- Prism
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I know this isn't quite what you were getting at by the way fairy, I know you're saying in theory that mafia should fall back to reflexive fake emotions more, ie. this should be scumplay, but selfrighteous, indignant town are so commonplace that it is difficult for me to put it under the "scumplay" category at all, which is why I think displaying those emotions and playing suboptimally is pretty NAI. When you have those emotions validated by a replaceout, I think this shifts to "townlean".In post 1521, Prism wrote:
It depends on the level of play. Higher level players definitely get better at faking the tone/indignance. Lower level players typically just AFK and vote anyone that isn't them.In post 1516, fairyprincess69 wrote:but isn't scumplay in chat mafia very reflexive, emotion driven because of the lack of time required to make good arguments? i can see Salsabil's reaction would look even more scummy in that context.
You definitely see mafia act indignant/upset, but the amount of town selfrighteousness you see makes it virtually impossible to read into. In a case where those emotions are immediately validated by a replace out I just don't think floo ever takes this approach as town.- Prism
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I share your concerns about Frederick in general, and obviously I'm not a fan of flow trap's day today, but part of why I want to vote floo in the end is simply because I think it's a safe bet (222, hue).
I've obviously gotten very worked up and a bit neurotic. I spent a lot of my walk trying to rein that in and recenter. This game is not about me vs. fferyllt, the game is about voting scum and ideally doing it together. I hope I am right on floo, naturally. I think there are good reasons to think you and fairy are both town but a large part of me simplywants it to be true, and I'd rather force both of you to take a stand you believe in rather than pass the buck at deadline and let chaos rein. This is probably better for us in the shortterm as town, and is definitely better for us in the longrun if I am wrong and either of you are mafia, particularly with floo. I have a long history of being a town dictator, but I also have a long history of nailing one and letting the other escape me.- Prism
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EpicMafia. I play-or rather, played-under the username [redacted per request]In post 1538, fairyprincess69 wrote:which site did u play chat mafia on btw?.~fLast edited by fferyllt on Tue Feb 09, 2021 1:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.- Prism
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re: 1542 Do you really think I don't just take literally any of the 3 freebies on the table and push floo when one flips town? I'm taking direct responsibility if floo flips town and have all day.
I concur that Frederick isn't great, and will vote there if I have to. But Frederick is the absence of a townread colored by the inactivity of a scum. floo I think is straight up working backwards and has been strategic in picking exactly what he has/hasn't engaged with all day.- Prism
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I really appreciate this. I do think you're town, and I'm enjoying playing with you.In post 1541, quiet wrote:Eh Prism, I've been legitimately considering floo all day. I don't feel like you've been running this town, I just think you ARE town. I'm sure this feeds into the "quiet is trying to flatter prism" narrative, but I think we have enough opinionated voices in here that we're not sheeping or getting pushed around by you. You're all good.- Prism
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I don't think it's an accident that you've separated quiet and fairyprincess into categories based off helpfulness here, while I don't get the same treatment beyond "effort" and refusal to engage directly with me throughout the game. Several of fairy's posts have been some of the most detailed/insightful in the game, ex. on Spartan. I don't find them surface level. That said, I don't like them immediately running opposite of whatever vote I suggest in the moment and he has contributed to the deadline chaos.
There are some valid criticisms of me in there. I think some of them were right and will take it to heart, and I'm sorry if my vote is wrong.- Prism
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Doesn't look like we're getting floo today. Floo definitely busses here if he has to; there really isn't another choice.
Take seriously my case on floo but as always, trust your own judgment and work together. That means you, flow trap.
It's E-1, I will 100% be here to vote if someone else doesn't before deadline.- Prism
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I think he's definitely a liability in Elo if he's town but I'm fine taking a shot that gives a lot more information and that I feel better about today.
flow trap v. Frederick is a much harder call. My instinct is that Frederick is worse overall, even though I really, really hate how flow trap has played the last ~48 hours.- Prism
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So, do we want to talk more about flow trap/Frederick/floo or do we just want to see the flip already? This seems pretty set and I'm ready to just see the result and call it a day.
P-Edit: Aight I'll hold off a bit longer.
From a scum trap perspective, I think flow trap's day 2 play was more being worried about a partner being flipped/not wanting to be on a miselim rather than thinking they were in danger themselves. I definitely concur we're in for a rough 5 way with flow trap around.- Prism
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I feel bad that we're beating up on flow trap but you do have a point with this post (I'm sorry but what was the galaxy brain plan regarding voting Quiet and hoping I don't vote there? I hope he doesn't try this in Elo) and I would much rather have Frederick in 5 way than flow trap.In post 1560, fairyprincess69 wrote:flow trap's game just dropped significantly for me since it's clear his whole playstyle never was utilised to find mafia- Prism
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Eh between the two yeah I'd rather go flow trap. Frederick is the only person voting with me on floo. I don't like preflips but I really don't like what happens if he flips town here, I think flow trap flipping town is a lot more salvageable and probably more likely to flip scum considering today anyway.- Prism
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I mean joke's on them I'm not instavoting.In post 1606, flow trap wrote:That is (probably) either the worst frame-job on me ever or an attempt to get human Prism to vote human Floo
I don't really know why scum would need a frame job though, only one vote on you needed to miselim.
Do you have any thoughts on the end of day yesterday/did your reads evolve at all overnight?- Prism
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To be clear, my instinct is you/floo or floo/Spartan. The one read you gave with the defense was deeply questionable with the conclusion and you've preached being willing to go with others to pacify me only to immediately revert back to galaxy brain.
Like you gave some line about playing defensively when I asked about it but this still makes absolutely no sense to me:In post 1482, Prism wrote:In post 1473, flow trap wrote:I SR spartan & Quiet so I switchedIn post 1480, flow trap wrote:I'm not even voting Quiet because I suspect them- Prism
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Before I explain why I think itIn post 1614, quiet wrote:ahaha please make sense of the kill from my perspective as scum, cause I don't understand it whatsoever.doesmake sense from certain perspectives, why doesn't it make sense to you?- Prism
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Not quite sure what you're saying here-Is this saying that, as town, you were going to push fairy but expect the other two players/me to be the actual scumteam playing you off of each other?In post 1615, quiet wrote:My overnight theory was that Prism, me, fairy are alive and I go full accusation mode vs. fairy trying to pocket the two of us into a win.- Prism
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Issue is basically that scum can fakeclaim doctor adaptively.
Doctor exists and doesn't claim. Scum claims doctor on getting voted. Two buckets to vote in.
Doctor doesn't exist. Scum exclusively claims it on getting voted, likely buys themselves an extra day in Elo.
The strength is in them not claiming it, or in us policyvoting an E-1 doctor claim: This gives us a chance at the doctor making it to three way, which is when the EV pays off.- Prism
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"openly concerned about me" is true but willfully misses the point that I would likely shut down any potential push on you. Fairy also wanted flow trap and wasn't sold floo was town. Spartan wanted you EoD but that 1v1 is really the only thing to bet on with you alive.In post 1629, quiet wrote:Prism, in what world do I get shot? Spartian, flow think I'm scum, I don't know what floo thinks but I think it's neutral at best, and you're openly concerned about me and have been for ages. Most damning, though it was Spartian's strong SR in part that drove my decision of floo vs. fred or flow, I was still the first on the Fred miselim wagon.
I will hold off on doctor world speculation.- Prism
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You're right in that this should be E-2. Scum have to coordinate to blitz, meaning there's a window where TvT votes are still possible.In post 1631, quiet wrote:Doesn't it require 3 to elim today?
So any misvote is an instaloss from a quickhammer. Which means no town can vote on town, or the game is immediatly over; I'm 100% policyvoting any E-1 claim, because if they were inno, they'd already be dead.
or am I missing something critical there- Prism
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If you're worried about me making the NK you don't have to.
That kill is outright against my philosophy for playing the mafia alignment, which is explicitly shooting people that I think won't get voted. I'll try to dig up a few posts that confirm that if you want.
Still unclear to me why you (quiet) think the kill doesn't make sense. I get that you said you're thinking on it still but that's a strong claim.- Prism
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Actually since they can't do it anymore it's fine to just out it.
You no kill. 6 town alive. Four branching paths
Town wants doctor to claim+votes that day: 1/4 chance of partner being voted. Not predictable what your odds are of making it through, but pretty good.
Town wants doctor to claim, you don't vote that day: You nightkill the save and claim roleblocked.
Town doesn't want doctor to claim+votes that day: No info, 2/3 chance of town getting voted.
Town not voting w/o a claim isn't actually an option as scum can doctest by hunting w/ the roleblock- Prism
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Scumsman PTs/Sakura Wars PTs never got released, shame.
I shoot almost entirely based off how likely they are to get voted. I allude to this here in a postgame Scumsman post, 4257 talks about how I was the one behind the Hectic shot where the entire reason was that he was a universal TR and never getting voted, even though his reads were pretty poor. Here's one from The Thaw, and a few from Market Blitz.
That said there are two scum in the game, so it's not bulletproof. If you're worried I masterminded that kill though that is......definitely not the case.- Prism
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Let me put it this way: You don't want me wondering if you're being truthful of your claim to have wrote it overnight.In post 1649, flow trap wrote:If I release it allllll at once, it's going to take a long time- Prism
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I totally agree that reevaluating me is the move, and it's completely rational to do as town. Like I don't want you to think I'm upset over that.
Simultaneously, I'm definitely more interested in other slots, and this makes twice players have openly fished for paranoia thoughts on me after Spartan did Day 2. - Prism
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