Large Normal 234 | A Large Normal | The End
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Okay. Do you have a guilty on Gamma? How are you sure this is scum? You said you had a PoE but it seems like you're full Gamma here.In post 1154, Dunnstral wrote:
Between that game and this game, I've never voted for townIn post 1148, humaneatingmonkey wrote:I also don't remember you being this visible in Cook's Mini Normal, Dunn. You were town there.- humaneatingmonkey
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I said it what are you gonna do about itIn post 1176, Gamma Emerald wrote:who did say that so I could point my fury that way- humaneatingmonkey
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I meant that you were trying to counterwagon against Elsa and that's a defense on my books. You disagree?In post 1189, Gamma Emerald wrote:
but you literally didn't say it, Nero corrected himself on thatIn post 1185, humaneatingmonkey wrote:
I said it what are you gonna do about itIn post 1176, Gamma Emerald wrote:who did say that so I could point my fury that way- humaneatingmonkey
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You explicitly thought Elsa was scummy, and yet you counterwagon against her with no conviction to your counterwagons at all. That's dissonance to me. Where were you when we were limming Elsa?In post 1197, Gamma Emerald wrote:when I explicitly said I thought Elsa was scummy, YES, I do disagree!- humaneatingmonkey
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I've slept on it. I think Gamma is town.
Hard crumbling to A50 like that and even dropping game numbers were more dangerous to do that as scum than as town. If he was NK'd by scum!A50 and flipped Werewolf, what purpose would it have to declare what he did in twilight?
Also, I can believe the GS claim. It was done early enough.
Dunn's conviction that Gamma was the scum was nonsense.
How is it bad? Dunn solving could just be explained as a bussing teammate trying to cement the narrative that scum never bussed. Elsa's wagon was not going to die, even with the fake switch up in the end. Notably, no one tried to take Elsa on his word for it other than cyrus62. If Elsa was indeed never bussed, I would have expected more resistance when that claim happened. Instead, we just accepted that scum never bussed and that they're outside the wagon. Why is that? It makes better sense that Werewolves were bussing at that point.In post 1206, nomnomnom wrote:Monkey my dood my bro I love your style but your slip on Dunn is bad, Dunn is trying to solve here and it's pretty obvious from my POV. Probably town
Plus, coming here D2 with 2 random dead bodies and no indication who killed who, he made a declaration that the mafia was trying to target town with no real obvious indications. That was sus and TMI as hell.
Let's elim Dunn. If he flips scum, check real hard for the mafia team on Gamma's wagon.- humaneatingmonkey
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Thank you!In post 1243, Gamma Emerald wrote:I think HEM does have a point about the slip that Dunnstral was way too confident in what the mafia should have done.- humaneatingmonkey
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Tell me how Dunn is outside of his scum range here.In post 1237, nomnomnom wrote:All the votes on Dunn are pretty bad.- humaneatingmonkey
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I know I've said that, but from what I'm seeing now, it's obviously not the case. Notably, we just up and surrendered to the idea that scum will never bus here. How would that not be the perfect scum strategy especially if your partner is never gonna let up? Notably, he scum claimed at E-2 which means his buddies are bussing him as well.In post 1247, nomnomnom wrote:It doesn't make sense because this is a multiball game and bussing your partner is seriously risky.- humaneatingmonkey
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Talk to me about this one. I feel like I have a good case for town!Gamma.In post 1251, nomnomnom wrote:people who are scummy in a vacuum and I find Gamma to fit that description.- humaneatingmonkey
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I'm also not talking town range. I'm talking scum range. How can you rule out scum!Dunn based on play here?In post 1248, humaneatingmonkey wrote:Tell me how Dunn is outside of his scum range here.- humaneatingmonkey
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In post 1245, humaneatingmonkey wrote:I've slept on it. I think Gamma is town.
Hard crumbling to A50 like that and even dropping game numbers were more dangerous to do that as scum than as town. If he was NK'd by scum!A50 and flipped Werewolf, what purpose would it have to declare what he did in twilight?
Also, I can believe the GS claim. It was done early enough.
Dunn's conviction that Gamma was the scum was nonsense.
How is it bad? Dunn solving could just be explained as a bussing teammate trying to cement the narrative that scum never bussed. Elsa's wagon was not going to die, even with the fake switch up in the end. Notably, no one tried to take Elsa on his word for it other than cyrus62. If Elsa was indeed never bussed, I would have expected more resistance when that claim happened. Instead, we just accepted that scum never bussed and that they're outside the wagon. Why is that? It makes better sense that Werewolves were bussing at that point.In post 1206, nomnomnom wrote:Monkey my dood my bro I love your style but your slip on Dunn is bad, Dunn is trying to solve here and it's pretty obvious from my POV. Probably town
Plus, coming here D2 with 2 random dead bodies and no indication who killed who, he made a declaration that the mafia was trying to target town with no real obvious indications. That was sus and TMI as hell.
Let's elim Dunn. If he flips scum, check real hard for the mafia team on Gamma's wagon.@nomnomnom
There's also a scum case on Dunn.
1. TMI'd what the mafia team's intentions were on their kill.
2. TMI'd who the mafia team's kill were.
3. Saying he had a PoE that he wanted to sort, but went straight for Gamma Emerald for reasons unclear with an insistence that "he never votes town."
I also think we can't rule out Dunn as scum because he was in Elsa's wagon. I think at that point, Elsa's partners were probably bussing.- humaneatingmonkey
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I also don't buy that Dunnstral trusts this wagon.In post 1210, Sirius9121 wrote:Gamma Emerald (5): Iecerint, cyrus62, Andresvmb, Dunnstral, nomnomnom2 out of 3 of these are his PoE.Andresvmb is invisible the entire game.- humaneatingmonkey
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You can't say that and blank face declare that town!Dunn is fairly sure. I already gave my counterarguments why I think the reasons Dunn is town isn't as strong as you think. You should at least comment on that.In post 1254, nomnomnom wrote:Present it to me.
If your case is good I'll reconsider Gamma, but I'll say it again, I'm fairly sure in my Cyrus and Dunn reads at this point.
pedit: nothing is entirely provable in this game and you should know it, but I'm fairly sure on town!dunn- humaneatingmonkey
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Tell me why it doesn't come from townIn post 1260, nomnomnom wrote:I believe the GS claim too, but I have reasons to believe it doesn't come from town.- humaneatingmonkey
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What would you think should have happened if Gamma was truly a town!GS?In post 1264, nomnomnom wrote:Because it's a weird claim to make in this gamestate. Tell me, if you're an investigation role and you get a no result PM, is your first instinct to come in thread to out your invest target with a no result? There's no reason to think that Kitty is some form of ascetic here so why do that? It's completely weird to claim for a town member here. GS also makes sense for scums to have in a multiball game and when we know a cop has already flipped. It would be odd play coming from town so I'm more likely to believe it's a scum claim.- humaneatingmonkey
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The only person I had the ability to ISO was ActionDan to see if he had any useful insights, but he just rode that Elsa wagon to the end. His legacy was: Stay away from Gamma/Cyrus. He also had a meta read on Iec that makes him think town.
I was on-board with this setup spec that we were in a 3/3 in odd-even mafia scenario but because we had two deaths last night, I don't think that's the case anymore.In post 117, ActionDan wrote:
As HEM has said, I'd like to think I can fake that as scum. My main goal though is simply eliminating the possibility that his is 3/1. I think we are likely in 2/2/1 or else 3/3 where there's a restriction on factional killing power (like one team is odd night kills, other team is even etc.)In post 108, T3 wrote:ActionDan gets a lot of townpoints for this. If he were scum then he would already know what parties and multitasking mean from his role PM/scum PT. I also don't think him asking is faked because he didn't do it in an overly showy way and he appeared to have looked at the rules with detail.
My favorite theory is 2 scum, 2 werewolves and a traitor for each team. A grand total of 12 town v 5 scum. (Traitors count as 0.5)- humaneatingmonkey
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This is what I was believing earlier too, but then I remember that he could be lying about targetting Kitty as well. I don't know if he would lie about that as scum though.In post 1284, T3 wrote:Because of the crumb, Gamma is either a Scum Gunsmith or a Town Gunsmith. If Gamma is Scum Gunsmith then why would he waste his 1-shot earlier by targeting Kitty? Also, if A50 gets limmed today and flips town thhen that places a target on his back for tomorrow's lim. If he's Elsa's partner then he very likely loses with this claim.- humaneatingmonkey
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Like, nomnomnom has put forth such a compelling argument for you being scum — and I don't think I've heard a response from you yet or trying to see if nom is scum himself. Maybe that's just been my perspective because I've been only reading the last posts that I open without scrolling up and only lightly skimming.
I get that feeling, though. I can sympathize. I have Iecerint camping on my tail and I've been ignoring him because I'm focused on sorting you vs Dunn first. But the difference between the two of us is an E number that is less than 3.- humaneatingmonkey
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I just realized something.
If I'm right that we are in 2 scum 1 traitor on each team. We are playing in 11 v 6.
That means we are in ELo now.
11 v 6 - Originally
9 v 5 - Elsa, ActionDan, NDMath dies
6 v 5 - Gamma Emerald, nomnomnom, T3 dies
If we lose one more, it would be 5v5 and both scum team will have majority. One of them will win —and that is the team other than the Werewolves (our theory is the Mafia). This is because the Werewolves are missing a member right now, and the Mafia will have the numbers.
So today, the Werewolves have no choice but to hunt the mafia with us or else they lose as well.
We can still elim Werewolves and get out of ELo. We'll get out of even more shit if they killed each other in the night.
Of course, we will know if it's actually 2/2 depending on what moves would our Werewolf PoE be doing today.
I think we should hunt inside Elsa's first wagon:
Dunnstral,nomnomnom,humaneatingmonkey, KittyTacky,NDMath,T3, cyrus62,Elsa Jay,ActionDan
(I made myself green. If you don't like it, make your own.)
Unless I misread the signals of our dearly departed, I think KittyTacky is the sure option here. VOTE: VOTE: KittyTacky Bonus points: If someone on the Werewolves bussed, it's probably KittyTacky as well. (Elsa Jay defending him early on could just be ditched in favor of bussing each other.)
I'll take a day off the grass to really get into this game.- humaneatingmonkey
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