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Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 9:32 am
by Umlaut
In post 2017, Eyes without a face wrote: In post 2013, Umlaut wrote: In post 1980, Eyes without a face wrote:My first thought is that someone's desperate to frame Nero. Greeting was his counterwagon and only Frozen was voting him along with Greeting.
This means that once again I won't be voting Nero today. In fact that's the first thing I have decided to do (or not to do actually) today.
I think you are overthinking this.
VOTE: Nero Cain
Yeah? Then explain to me how scum gets to E-2 less than 2 [pages] from the start of the day without an explicit guilty on them
By just... having four votes on them? I don't feel like any special explanation is needed here.
Why do you think it's impossible for four people out of eleven to vote scum at the start of the day?
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 9:40 am
by fireisredsir
In post 2013, Umlaut wrote: In post 1980, Eyes without a face wrote:My first thought is that someone's desperate to frame Nero. Greeting was his counterwagon and only Frozen was voting him along with Greeting.
This means that once again I won't be voting Nero today. In fact that's the first thing I have decided to do (or not to do actually) today.
I think you are overthinking this.
VOTE: Nero Cain
usually it's maf that says this
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 10:45 am
by Eyes without a face
In post 2024, HockeyFan wrote:i don't nesccearily think that just because 3 votes on nero within 2 pages makes nero town, and I dont see how u think a countewagon makes the person counterwagoned mafia?
I did it both ways didn't I? Consider Nero scum and Scorpious town one time then do the math again with the inverse. One could also argue both could be town but I hardly see it as both being scum so there's that. IMHO it's more likely Scorpious is the mafia of the two because he actually got voted first so the way I see it Nero is the counterwagon to Scorpious and not the other way around.
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 10:49 am
by Eyes without a face
In post 2025, Umlaut wrote:Why do you think it's impossible for four people out of eleven to vote scum at the start of the day?
Because town by nature are more cautious on D2 when they have misyeeted on D1. We are currently losing and we don't have a guilty on Nero so it doesn't make sense that 3 or 4 townies decided to yolo vote the same person with the opening 50 posts of the day
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 10:55 am
by fireisredsir
townies often don't make sense. if they always did then this game would be easy.
i don't think which wagon came first and which one was the counterwagon so far today really matters that much because they were two of the top candidates from yesterday near the end of the day. it seems natural that suspicions would carry over and they would still be top choices
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 11:09 am
by Eyes without a face
Fair enough. You can take your time to decide which is more likely to flip scum. After all we have the whole day ahead of us so no hurry
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 11:10 am
by HockeyFan
In post 2027, Eyes without a face wrote: In post 2024, HockeyFan wrote:i don't nesccearily think that just because 3 votes on nero within 2 pages makes nero town, and I dont see how u think a countewagon makes the person counterwagoned mafia?
I did it both ways didn't I? Consider Nero scum and Scorpious town one time then do the math again with the inverse. One could also argue both could be town but I hardly see it as both being scum so there's that. IMHO it's more likely Scorpious is the mafia of the two because he actually got voted first so the way I see it Nero is the counterwagon to Scorpious and not the other way around.
TBH idt scorpious getting the first vote makeas them any more likely to be mafia, the 2 wagons rn both ahd suspicion EOD yday so ??
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 11:32 am
by Eyes without a face
@hockey: it's not the fact he got voted first. it's the fact a counterwagon was raised to protect him. One vote on Scorpious then one vote on Nero was fine. Nero gets a second and that was still ok. Then Nero went back to one and Scorpious received another and
that was also fine
. Then Nero received a second vote which
VOTE: is[/s] the issue here. Why does Scorpious vote his counterwagon so early? Need I remind you that Scorp was also on Greeting by the end of yesterday? And then the ease Umlaut shrugged my view and voted Nero pinged me too. All I'm saying is from where I stand I think Scorpious is scum and Nero is town who i4s being used as a shield or diversion if you will. That's my view. Now you can take your time to analyze it or you can ignore it all and use your own scumhunting technique and decide for yourself. For me Scorpious is scum and then at least one
of Umlaut/Stephen is his partner. The third one is between Umlaut/Stephen/Dwlee. That's my solve.
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 11:37 am
by fireisredsir
In post 1493, Eyes without a face wrote:
This doesn't come from scum I don't think. If Nero is Town scum would stand their ground and wait for a hammer. If Nero is Scum the unvote brings a lot of attention to Scorpious once Nero is flipped.
what changed your mind from this?
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 11:50 am
by Eyes without a face
Four different people argued against it including two of my strongest townreads and they can't all be scum, so I guess I stand corrected
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 11:51 am
by Eyes without a face
My two strong townreads I'm referring to worst and Hockey. The other two were wave and Umlaut
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 12:23 pm
by fireisredsir
do you think that hockey and worst being townreads makes them that much more likely to be right
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 12:39 pm
by Andante
My dilemma: I want to vote Nero, but I didn't like the composition of the d1 nero wagon, and I don't like the composition of today's nero wagon
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 12:40 pm
by Andante
VOTE: eyes
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 12:41 pm
by Andante
there is no way these 2 are strong TRs
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 12:57 pm
by fireisredsir
he didn't say they were
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 1:02 pm
by Eyes without a face
In post 2036, fireisredsir wrote:do you think that hockey and worst being townreads makes them that much more likely to be right
At least they're being honest about what they think is theoretical mafia play
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 1:04 pm
by Eyes without a face
@Andante: Sometimes I feel like I'm talking a dead language and onlt fire is an expert in reading it. Sigh
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 1:06 pm
by Eyes without a face
In post 2034, Eyes without a face wrote:Four different people argued against it including two of my strongest townreads and they can't all be scum, so I guess I stand corrected
What I said: Four people argued against my reasoning. 2 of them are Hockey and worst whom I strongly townread. The other two
that argued against it
were Umlaut and wave. Also if you had been reading I said my solve had Umlaut by like 75%
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 1:58 pm
by HockeyFan
VOTE: Dwlee
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 4:26 pm
by the worst
VOTE: dwlee
why vote eyes here tho?
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 4:47 pm
by HockeyFan
the worst town?!? But yea, i dislike how dwlee has only focused on eyes while having a general read on everyone else(im down to kill them). And at this point of the game, i do not think its a town mentality
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 5:02 pm
by Dwlee99
Eyes is just scum and if you wanna make 70 more pages of posts instead of limming them be my guest I guess
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 6:23 pm
by HockeyFan
No one is saying that, but it feels like you're using the fact that there are too many pages to only put suspicion on ONE person while having a very very general read on everyone else
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 6:49 pm
by Dwlee99
Do you actually want me to read more of the game before I flip my number one suspect