Large Normal 228: Bananas - Game Over

[LuckyLuciano]

Go ahead, have your self-righteous moment.

[NorwegianboyEE]

Don't be so mad.

[LuckyLuciano]

I'm not?

[Almost50]

The game isn't over until the moderator announces it.

Exactly! And he told me he will make an exception for me if I decided to vote you instead.

VOTE: Norwee

See? This was me setting you up to confess. I work with the FBI and they have it all on tape now. You're looking at a looooong time in jail, Maybe 2 back-to-back life sentences.

[NorwegianboyEE]

It ain’t gonna work kiddo.
Cross of that perfect town win record in your signature.

[Almost50]

I already said I don't count games I replace into. (And what perfect record are you talking about? it's just ONE win)

[NorwegianboyEE]

1/0 is 100% win rate.

[Almost50]

True, but the smallest sample in statistics is 3.

[LuckyLuciano]

True, but the smallest sample in statistics is 3.

Could you elaborate on this? (Serious question)

[Almost50]

Generally speaking it is always preferable to have a sample size of 100 or more. If you are running a test -for example- you need to have as many subjects as possible to run the test on, to give you a more accurate result.

However, I am an civil engineer, and running 100 tests on 100 concrete cubes for instance is too much. I want to know what the bearing capacity of the mix is (or the bearoing capacity of a certaij soil sample.. etc). One result isn't at all reliable (I could just have had a gravel in the mix that made it look like that cube can hold up to 500 KGs/sq cm when in fact it is only 220 KGs/sq cm). Two tests on 2 cubes in this case will give me 2 contradicting results (one says 500 and the other says 200 and I can't tell which is more accurate). Now THREE is the minimum for me. If I get 500, 200, 220 then I know the 500 is the odd result to be excluded and my average bearing capacity is 210 (200+220 divided by 2). If I however get something like 200, 220, 210 then I know all three are consistent with each other and my average is (220+200+210)/3 = 210.

So, one result can't be relied on AT ALL (it could be misleading) and 2 will be dubious if not consistent with each other (because you can'r decide which one is the correct one), and that makes 3 tests the minimum acceptable number. Still, nore tests is better and we usually make 5-7 whenever possible just to be absolutely sure (so if one is way off and thus excluded you still have 4-6 results to base your final result on)

[Almost50]

But that's only for recurring results. You don't pick 3 random people and ask them what their jobs are and then decide to publish the result based on that. The minimum doe THAT kind of survey is 100 persons (unless you're in a town with less than 100 inhabitants in which case you are not publishing estimations but rather actual accurate data)

[LuckyLuciano]

Gotcha. Civil engineer. I was wondering what your occupation was, because saying that 3 is a acceptable sample size in statistics implies a reasonability standard, and a reasonability standard implies real-world application.

[LuckyLuciano]

Town wins btw. I'm vengeful. LOL.

[LuckyLuciano]

Sorry for the slowroll Norwegian. I had to.

[NorwegianboyEE]

Har dee har!

[implosion]

Not gonna bother with VC because I am lazy :p

LuckyLuciano,

Vanilla Townie

, is eliminated on Day 5.
Almost50,

Vanilla Townie

, is endgamed.

NorwegianboyEE,

1-shot Bulletproof Mafia Goon

, survives and wins, along with Drew-Sta and Dr Easy Bake.

[NorwegianboyEE]

Can you release the PT's? I have no redactions for the mafia PT btw.

[Umlaut]

I’m not really seeing that many convincing arguments yet and that’s probably why i can’t pay much attention to all that’s going on. I’m keeping my vote on Cakez and suggest we lynch there. But all in all i’d jusy like to end day 1 so discussion maybe will have more meaning to me.

You can be unconvinced and wanting to see better arguments, or you can be looking to end the day, but you can't be both. That's not a town mindset at all.

I should have just posted this over and over again after I saw it instead of letting myself get distracted.

[Umlaut]

Though tbf I was 'distracted' into lynching Drew so I suppose not so bad

[implosion]

I cannot release PTs, unfortunately. Gobble should be able to at some point when he's back, though. Don't know when that will be.

[Dr Easy Bake]

[Dr Easy Bake]

[Dr Easy Bake]

Way to being us home Norwee!

[JacksonVirgo]

You never saw me replace in, you never saw me

[NorwegianboyEE]

Way to being us home Norwee!

Couldn’t have done it without your lolhammers bud.