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Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 11:40 am
by Dwlee99
shouldn't xk go last considering there is a claimed inno on him?
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 11:49 am
by texcat
I'm back. I misread this morning on that small screen and thought that Vedith had CC'd Sonia.
So we have
Dwlee 1-shot BP
Texcat vig
Sonia non-consecutive cop
Tiershift VT
Blackstar VT
XK? claimed innocent by Sonia
Mimi?
Have I got it?
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 11:59 am
by texcat
So what are the chances of a Godfather? Is there such a thing (a Normal thing) as BP scum? None of Gerry, Algebra, and me had x-shot powers. That's one of the reasons I didn't believe Trans fake claim. Nor were our powers non-consecutive. I'm skeptical of the claim, but I'm not sure it makes sense to vote there. We could always no-lynch today.
I'm pretty sure that scum has a roleblocker -- since they let Algebra live one night. And they can block and kill me tonight. Unless Sonia's telling the truth, then they would block me and kill her. I'm certainly willing to listen to opinions on what I should do tonight.
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 11:59 am
by Dwlee99
Godfathers aren't normal.
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:05 pm
by Vedith
In post 2192, Xkfyu wrote:During Transcend's fake claim fiasco, everyone was convinced he was scum. The only two who defended him were Dwlee and Vedith. Those two are the only two who I am even considering voting today.
I didn't defend him I was questioning him, what are you even talking about?
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:08 pm
by Vedith
Same reason she didn't check me or Dwlee... She's scum.
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:15 pm
by TierShift
Mimi claimed vt in 2193 which is why indeed xf goes last but he needs to claim.
Vedith it's cool that you want to lynch the cop today but as we need to lynch scum both today and tomorrow we had better flip the lynch order so IF sonia is a cop she gets a chance of a result. Nothing to lose, a lot to gain.
Please tell me you understand this.
'sonia is scum so she is not a cop so it doesn't matter' is not a valid response and shows you do not understand what i just said. If you want to lynch sonia today, you will have to show me what we have to gain by lynching her today instead of tomorrow.
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:17 pm
by TierShift
texcat
who did you target day 1?
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:18 pm
by Vedith
In post 2231, TierShift wrote:Mimi claimed vt in 2193 which is why indeed xf goes last but he needs to claim.
Vedith it's cool that you want to lynch the cop today but as we need to lynch scum both today and tomorrow we had better flip the lynch order so IF sonia is a cop she gets a chance of a result. Nothing to lose, a lot to gain.
Please tell me you understand this.
'sonia is scum so she is not a cop so it doesn't matter' is not a valid response and shows you do not understand what i just said. If you want to lynch sonia today, you will have to show me what we have to gain by lynching her today instead of tomorrow.
Difference is, this is MyLo.
You are suggesting to lynch possibly a chance of someone else being scum rather than scum which is 100% (unless you're a moron, of course).
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:22 pm
by TierShift
For me it's lynch dwlee vig vedith lynch sonia tomorrow if scum lynch xkfyu if not something like mimi but I need to check to see if I'm giving blackstar a free pass.
The promised VCA IS still very much on.
whether or not texcat is a SK his wincon necessitates him to lynch scum, especially if they have a roleblocker. So he can be regarded as town for the coming 2 days.
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:25 pm
by TierShift
In post 2233, Vedith wrote:Difference is, this is MyLo.
You are suggesting to lynch possibly a chance of someone else being scum rather than scum which is 100% (unless you're a moron, of course).
Yeah except your scum hunting skill is not 100%
Think of all the times you were 100% sure someone was scum. I'd be surprised if your accuracy there gets above 70%. I'm happily accepting the 30% chance sonia is a cop.
For me, this chance is even bigger. But even you should realise your scum hunting is far from perfect.
So yeah, just assume sonia is scum and work the associations from there.
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:27 pm
by Vedith
If Dwlee is town, which I highly suspect, then that would be game over.
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:28 pm
by Vedith
In post 2235, TierShift wrote:Yeah except your scum hunting skill is not 100%
Think of all the times you were 100% sure someone was scum. I'd be surprised if your accuracy there gets above 70%. I'm happily accepting the 30% chance sonia is a cop.
For me, this chance is even bigger. But even you should realise your scum hunting is far from perfect.
So yeah, just assume sonia is scum and work the associations from there.
Coming from the guy saying "lynch the claimed BP"
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:30 pm
by TierShift
But letting the bp live another night does not bring town anything
Letting the cop live would.
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:32 pm
by Vedith
In post 2238, TierShift wrote:But letting the bp live another night does not bring town anything
Letting the cop live would.
So why not have the cop check the claimed BP? Boy, you're a smart one!
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:35 pm
by TierShift
I'm thinking dwlee should be investigated by sonia which means lynch vedith and vig one of myself/mimi/blackstar of which I prefer someone that is not me but whatever.
Sonia absolutely needs to be tomorrow's lynch. That gives us confirmed inno(s) or guilties.
I'm just working off the assumption that tex is actually 3rd party because otherwise this game is as good as lost.
P-edit yeah I realised that
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:46 pm
by Vedith
If you're actually town, you are suggesting to be vigged on MyLo?
You really are stupid, aren't you?
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:50 pm
by Dwlee99
There's prooooobably a roleblocker so we can't exactly afford to mislynch today.
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:50 pm
by TierShift
Nah it's not mylo I think
Sk will shoot scum
I'm just working from the assumption we have a SK because fighting 3 scum with a RB is a lost cause.
I'm saying I should objectively be in the vig pool as I belong with mimi and blackstar within the VT claim group. I don't want to be vigged but I think black and mimi are town so whatever.
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:51 pm
by TierShift
Everyone just needs to stop assuming 3 scum because we can simply not feasibly win such a game anymore
So please just assume 2 scum
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:52 pm
by Vedith
In post 2243, TierShift wrote:Nah it's not mylo I think
Sk will shoot scum
I'm just working from the assumption we have a SK because fighting 3 scum with a RB is a lost cause.
I'm saying I should objectively be in the vig pool as I belong with mimi and blackstar within the VT claim group. I don't want to be vigged but I think black and mimi are town so whatever.
If you think they are town, and regardless of your align will say you are town, then why would you ask to be vigged?
And to confirm, you believe there is 2 scum, 1 SK and rest town 1 being a vig, correct?
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:53 pm
by Vedith
In post 2244, TierShift wrote:Everyone just needs to stop assuming 3 scum because we can simply not feasibly win such a game anymore
So please just assume 2 scum
No, we should assume it's 3, because if it is it's MyLo.
Regardless how much you want to be right here, planning for only 2 scum if stupid.
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:53 pm
by TierShift
If 3 scum, sonia is definitely town, btw. No way tracker/doc/vig/1-shot bp is balanced against a scum RB
P-edit no I believe tex is SK
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:54 pm
by Vedith
In post 2247, TierShift wrote:If 3 scum, sonia is definitely town, btw. No way tracker/doc/vig/1-shot bp is balanced against a scum RB
P-edit no I believe tex is SK
Wait, how do we know they have a RB?
Did I miss a post?
Posted: Wed Aug 31, 2016 12:56 pm
by TierShift
Yeah I assumed that based on the lowell kill but it's actually not a given. Very likely thought considering the fact lowell was a pretty likely doc target.
I really need to have texcats day 1 target to update my thought process.