Posted: Wed Oct 06, 2021 11:45 pm
Did anyone claim this pagetop yet?
So far so good. Now why is it not the loftwing slot? I don't think Mama Ru's catch up is AI. Good Scum could do that too.In post 1984, LicketyQuickety wrote:Did you read my case on them? DW was playing LAMIST because they were faking the emotions. In the other game they were playing at the exact same time they were completely calm compared to how irritated they seemed in this game. Like 2 separate personalities at the same time.In post 1975, DkKoba wrote:dwlee is pretty towny on dayplay.
Geez! YouIn post 1988, DkKoba wrote:because it isn't helpign the gamestate and scum know who they killed and norwee was a liklier choice than you(and even a50 to be honest).
In post 195, Almost50 wrote:Like Gamma Emerald once said: That's not a crumb. It's a bread loaf.
In post 193, Almost50 wrote:COME ON, PEOPLE!
Like; I get it. We all get it. The players on ANY other ongoing game get it. The players not involved in any games currently get it. Even the players who got banned or quit playing on the site .. they ALL GOT IT ALREADY. Duh!
And now I look like a red ass monkey!In post 1996, Dwlee99 wrote:Eh fuck it I was lying
I already explained it, and you should trust me on it. I do have this magical power of deciding who is Scum and who is Town by using a crystal ball, and it tells me to draw random playing cards from a deck, or rearrange the player list in a certain way, or use some Nursery Rhyme such as Eenie Meenie Miney Mo & Hickory Dickory Dock to decide people's alignments. This time the crystal ball told me to rearrange the players list in the alphabetical order.In post 2032, DkKoba wrote:@a50 can you talk to me about andres townread btw - I wanna hear your side here.
Like, this I feel is a slightly townie entry, I'll give you that, but that's it. Her 1747 was HORRIBLE, starting off by shading you, then shading the whole early wagon on Kyouko, followed by what feels like a tunnel on you in particular.In post 1734, Mama Ru wrote:Greatpartyyougotgoing!Whoisupforelimination?
My neighbor Rannygazoo, who had only terse conversations with my predecessor, did not even snuggle up to me even once during this long, cold night.
My brief attempt at flirting was rejected, no one was debriefed. If you can’t love yourself, how in the hell are you gonna love somebody else! Can I get an amen?
I think I like ya. Would you like to join my team or would you rather work with Marcel Marceau?In post 2043, NorwegianboyEE wrote:Resist the urge to speculate about replacements Resist the urge to speculate about replacements Resist the urge to speculate about replacements Resist the urge to speculate about replacements Resist the urge to speculate about replacements
I thought someone said cookie was clear?? (I mean someone from the town!Bloc)In post 2049, DkKoba wrote:I believe I was left alive on the assumption I would pursue either cookie or loftwing slot.
I like this post.
cookie is town based on how kyouko treated that slot+ general thought flow is towny.In post 2175, charlemagne wrote:koba can you like. respond to this pleaseIn post 2161, charlemagne wrote:This seems like really, really poor reasoning. If you're town, your priors of getting the entire scum team from a random sampling of three players (out of 14 not including you) is 3/14*2/13*1/12 or 0.27%. There can't beIn post 2153, DkKoba wrote:the thing is no matter what you do, short of voting a very likely townie - it will be something i want because I am 95% sure i have PoE'd the whole scum teamthatmany people you consider mechanically town—I'm not sure exactly what you believe, but I don't think that you've said anyone is locktown except House/Titus (correct me if I'm wrong.) That leaves 12 others, so a 3/12*2/11*1/10 or a 0.45% chance of guessing three players and having them being a scumteam. Koba, you're saying you're 95% sure you've PoE'd the whole scum team, which means that your reads based off meta+flips are somehowone hundred and ninety times better than random.I really don't understand how you get there, because I don't think that any player in existence (including xyz top amazing wonderful beautiful scumhunters, or even top amazing scumhunters who are intimately familiar with the meta of every player in the game) can be 190x +rand.
Can you walk the rest of the players in this game through the process where you go from the priors to your current state of confidence? Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, and honestly I haven't seen those thought processes spelled out where anyone here can be anywhere near as confident as you in your claims.
I'm really conflicted here. To the best of my knowledge you have a reputation for being overconfident/tunneling like this in games when you are town, so I'm hesitant to say this is especially scum indicative, but on the other hand I'd think town you should know better.
Your personal experience is limited, my friend. Scum have many reasons to hammer their partners. One would be to end the discussion. Another would be "to appear Town". Like, it happens a lot it's totally NAI unless there were two competing wagons both put @E-1 and the player decided to hammer the Scum of the two, and then Scum kill the other and they flip green.In post 2191, charlemagne wrote:hammers on scum are +rand town, in my personal experience.
Considering how shit your logic is when it comes to reading me, I give you zero credibility.In post 2237, Almost50 wrote:I like this post.
VOTE: Mama Ru
The upside is if MR flips red charleman becomes conf!Town to me. ALSO it removes MR (as either alignment) from my PoE, so as step ahead regardless.
I’ll be there to hammer next wagon then.In post 2242, T3 wrote:statistically hammers on scum are actually more than 3x >rand scum