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Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 7:54 am
by Tet
In post 2422, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:
In post 2420, The Three Bears wrote:I would but there's nothing there.

Casual lil role fishing? >:P

-Pinkie
You're being insufferable. Tet is clearly saying they want no info shared and to kill Ircher and go next to keep info out of hands of scum.
I knew we would head that direction when I decided to respond.... That's my fault.

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 7:54 am
by The Three Bears
In post 2422, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:
In post 2420, The Three Bears wrote:I would but there's nothing there.

Casual lil role fishing? >:P

-Pinkie
You're being insufferable. Tet is clearly saying they want no info shared and to kill Ircher and go next to keep info out of hands of scum.
It's what I do best, and ngl the mania is creeping up to 11.
You know me enough to know I'm doing what I do for a reason, LLD.

-Pinkie

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 7:54 am
by Malakittens
But isn’t it like role fishing ….?

I don’t get it

Maybe it’s just me

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 7:55 am
by Tet
In post 2427, Malakittens wrote:But isn’t it like role fishing ….?

I don’t get it

Maybe it’s just me
Once I figure out how to play mafia I'll let you know.

Also vote Ircher please.

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 7:55 am
by catboi
I would like for everyone to have a chance to post today so don't go turbo'ing anyone

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 7:55 am
by Malakittens
I really hate irchers response…

Richer have you ever been a friendly neighbor in a past game

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 7:56 am
by Malakittens
In post 2428, Tet wrote:
In post 2427, Malakittens wrote:But isn’t it like role fishing ….?

I don’t get it

Maybe it’s just me
Once I figure out how to play mafia I'll let you know.

Also vote Ircher please.
Duck urself

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 7:57 am
by Malakittens
Ps waiting for my iPad to charge I forgot I haven’t used it since I got diagnosed with Covid <<

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 7:57 am
by Tet
Uh.

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 7:59 am
by Ircher
In post 2430, Malakittens wrote:I really hate irchers response…

Richer have you ever been a friendly neighbor in a past game
Over 5 years ago is the last time I've drawn the role according to my records. I really don't see a point on dwelling on the issue. Nothing I say will convince people otherwise, and the cause is self-evident from my point-of-view. What kind of response would you have expected?

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 8:02 am
by Val89
In post 2412, Ircher wrote:I targeted catboi specifically because I was town reading the slot and didn't think they would be killed.
Why did you figure catboi was unlikley to be killed?

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 8:02 am
by Tet
I'm not going to be V/LA but I don't have anything to add to this day phase and no questions will be answered till day 3.

See you guys at prodge time.

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 8:04 am
by Val89
VOTE: Ircher

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 8:05 am
by Val89
I'm an idiot. For some reason, I thought that was Ircher replying "I'm not telling you".

Vote can stand for now, though.

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 8:06 am
by The Three Bears
VOTE: Dunnstral

~Mama

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 8:06 am
by Ircher
In post 2435, Val89 wrote:Why did you figure catboi was unlikley to be killed?
Greeting had a lot of "hot takes" if I recall correctly. That gives scum ammunition to setup a mislim there down the road, so catboi wouldn't be a high priority kill. People like Dragons, Cephrir, and Lambdadelta would be more likely kills because they have more control of the game state and are widely seen as town by everyone.

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 8:08 am
by Lady Lambdadelta
In post 2426, The Three Bears wrote:
In post 2422, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:
In post 2420, The Three Bears wrote:I would but there's nothing there.

Casual lil role fishing? >:P

-Pinkie
You're being insufferable. Tet is clearly saying they want no info shared and to kill Ircher and go next to keep info out of hands of scum.
It's what I do best, and ngl the mania is creeping up to 11.
You know me enough to know I'm doing what I do for a reason, LLD.

-Pinkie
Not asking you to stop asking, just asking you to stop poking people with the pointy stick.

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 8:09 am
by The Three Bears
In post 2441, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:
In post 2426, The Three Bears wrote:
In post 2422, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:
In post 2420, The Three Bears wrote:I would but there's nothing there.

Casual lil role fishing? >:P

-Pinkie
You're being insufferable. Tet is clearly saying they want no info shared and to kill Ircher and go next to keep info out of hands of scum.
It's what I do best, and ngl the mania is creeping up to 11.
You know me enough to know I'm doing what I do for a reason, LLD.

-Pinkie
Not asking you to stop asking, just asking you to stop poking people with the pointy stick.
How's about the blunt stick?

~Mama

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 8:10 am
by Lady Lambdadelta
If you wanna just claim do you but I would rather kill Ircher

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 8:16 am
by The Three Bears
In post 2443, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:If you wanna just claim do you but I would rather kill Ircher
Wish it was that easy. We're need our information refining. :(

*Puts the Morning Star away and grabs the Bar Mace instead*


-Pinkie the LARPer bear

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 8:22 am
by Ircher
Reads:


Confirmed Town
(From my perspective) (98%-100% Confidence)
Ircher (100%): Role PM

Likely Town
(85%-97% Confidence)

Leaning Town
(60%-84% Confidence)

Save the Dragons (+82%): They just seem town to me. No real concerns or comments.

Cephrir (+76%): I think he has consistently been town this whole game.

Lady Lambdadelta (+74%): I feel the way she initially pushed Cephrir and the progression of her read on me makes much more sense and felt more genuine than MUSH did in either respect. She has been lacking in presence some, but that's really my only concern.


Neutral Town
(31%-59% Confidence; Mixed Read or Diffident Read)

catboi (+49%): I thought Greeting was town. I would have to ISO them to point out the things I specifically liked, but I lack the time.

Roden (+32%): While I do have my concerns here which I've covered in and , I do think Roden's overall behavior comes more from stubborn town than scum.


Null
(0%-30% Confidence; No/Very Weak Read)

Bell (+10%): I pretty much explained this earlier. I haven't really noticed anything good or bad from the slot. Looking over the ISO activity-wise, he's had a pretty consistent presence though he did skip a day.

tictac (-1%): I've seen almost nothing from this slot. I think they claimed ascetic?

Dunnstral (-20%): This certainly could be Dunnstral's scum game, but I lack confidence as Dunnstral has this style as both alignments. I agree is a bit off, but that alone isn't very convincing to me. I think the best way to read Dunnstral is after we get some flips so we have a clearer idea of his motivations.

Malakittens (-25%): She has a lot of posts like and where she explains why she hasn't really read the thread. I get being sick and all, but I think this slot needs to do more.


Neutral Scum
(31%-59% Confidence; Mixed Read or Diffident Read)

The Three Bears (-31%): I was mildly town reading Noraa's posts because they seemed to be on the level of outrageousness where it actually becomes somewhat townie for her. That said, Flea's posts since the start of Day 2 is really tanking the slot.

Tet (-33%): Last time I checked, I've agreed with a lot of this slots reads. At the same time, I don't think this slot is doing much. They have a history of being contrary to the popular opinion, but I feel it is off in some way.

TheWayItEnds (-42%): Who is this slot again? They severely lack thread presence, and the times they have popped in, it hasn't been very good. was especially egregious.

mastina (-44%): mastina has been rather quiet this game. I feel that's a pretty big tell for scum!mastina actually. is a rather questionable reads list though mastina's read rate can vary a lot on Day 1.

MUSHSHAGANA (-48%): I outlined a lot of my qualms with this slot in . Since posting that, all I've seen it do is continue to advocate for my elimination without ever expressing a reason that goes beyond "Ircher's ISO is just oozing scumminess." Furthermore, tells me its reads are almost completely based on how others are reading me. Its focus is its push on me to the exclusion of all else, and I think that comes from scum that wants to look busy without really doing things. was actually decent.


Leaning Scum
(60%-75% Confidence)
​​
Likely Scum
(76%-100% Confidence)

Spoiler: How to read this reads list
Players are placed in different sections based on my confidence in the read expressed as a percentage. A positive percentage indicates that I leans towards town on a player whereas a negative percentage indicates I lean towards scum on a player. Please note that the Null section contains both townreads and scumreads, and you must look a the sign of the percentage in parenthesis to determine which way I lean.

Confidence ratings are rough estimates (and somewhat arbitrary) and are relative to one another. They do not represent a probability of any kind and should not be interpreted that way.

---
Val is also scum, but I didn't really have time to ISO and evaluate specifically what I don't like about the slot. NorwegianBoyEE I think I'd go with town if forced to choose, but it could easily shift. Galron lacks presence, and I don't have much of a read there. Toogeloo struck me as off, but I would need to ISO to give a fair evaluation. Similarly for Andante except I lean more towards town.

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 8:31 am
by Save The Dragons
are people okay with ircher potentially being roleblocked town

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 8:33 am
by The Three Bears
In post 2445, Ircher wrote:That said, Flea's posts since the start of Day 2 is really tanking the slot.
People don't actually like me being serious or taking the game seriously :3 Like there is a pattern starting here lol

-Pinkie

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 8:47 am
by TheWayItEnds
honestly unless theres no one else to lim should have ircher try again on either day 3 or 4 and make scum spend role blocks on him if theyre that concerned with him not being confirmed

Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 8:48 am
by TheWayItEnds
if your action was roleblocked can you use it tonight? for non consec? im assuming not but worth a check