In post 34, Luca Blight wrote:Of course I may be; I wouldn't expect anyone to trust me implicitly based on a post or two, but what particularly makes you want to point this out here?
Because I'd like to know one way or another, and I think posting that will make it more likely for your alignment to become apparent sooner than later because of reasons. To answer the related question of why from CoA, or rather, to fail to answer it without ignoring it, I'd rather wait to discuss it for a few more days.
On a mostly unrelated note, I recognize your name, but your gameplay is off from what I have associated with you in my memory. Which would you say is the most likely reason for this? A. A large playstyle change over the last couple of years. B. A conflation of two players in the long time between games. Or C. An intentional subversion of meta/ change of playstyle for this game? It probably doesn't matter much, and I'll get around to the meta work eventually, but I'd appreciate your two cents before I do.
In post 37, CultOfAthena wrote:It does contribute something towards solving the game – I think that anyone going off of what Jingle said would be lead to false conclusions, so I pointed that out. What I was saying wasn't even mainly about Korts and Reck, it was about Jingle. I'm mainly looking to see how Jingle responds. If, for example, he continues to push his point and his reasoning doesn't feel genuine, that begs further questions about his motivations and why he might be pushing that narrative. If he responds and his thought process feels genuine, that indicates to me that he's probably town, even if I disagree with what he's saying – that kind of examinating of the game seems more likely to come from town than to be fabricated by scum, to me.
I wasn't aware this warranted a response, but if you'd like one I can provide it. I considered that series of logical turns, and dismissed it as unlikely.
First, that style of play (subversion of reads via suboptimal play) is a risky strategy that only really works if you can rely on someone in the game to point it out. As such, from both your join date and your lack of obvious connections to the other players, it seems unlikely you would be comfortable enough making such a gamble. This is of course predicated on the belief you are not an alt, which is as yet unfounded, but can be assumed D1 (In the case you are an alt, there is a roughly 60% chance you are mastina, btw, which means you are incredibly unlikely to have revealed yourself for a gambit given A. an inflated sense of my usefulness to town that would lead to me be a priority lynch and a powerful desire to keep alts hidden). Insanity, by their own admission, is returning from hiatus. This means they likely don't have the clout to influence their scumteam to try such a thing when the risk and reward is unknown, especially given the strength of reck's personality.
Second, that inception comes from a style of player who is overly concerned with the long term plan, not the immediacy of the thread. Luca from what I remember of him is not that style of player. Ari, likewise, relies far more on a 'gut and interaction' style than allows for that. Reck wouldn't go for that style of play, either. He's a Majiffy school of mafia player, not a mastina one. That means he's more interested in reacting to the thread and all around being a powerful voice than crafting an early narrative to bank iffy townreads in the endgame. Keychain was in a game where she was my scumbuddy and watched me dance around the gallows convincingly for pretty much the entire time as one of if not her first scumgames before winning LYLO. It was, if it is not too arrogant of me to say so, one of the examples of my better scumgames. Thus, I assume she vastly overestimates my skill level and will be extremely wary of me regardless of her alignment, meaning she was unlikely to be ringleader to such a plan in this case, regardless of capability or inclination. Ray is definitely capable of that level and style of thought, but again, if my experience with him holds true he is probably too busy IRL to have put something like that together, convinced his scumbuddies, and implemented it so soon into the game. This leaves Korts, who is at the moment my primary concern, but whose play reminds me more closely of TSQ than mastina's meaning he likely relies far more on his charisma and ability to react to the thread than complicated plans. I would honestly be shocked if Korts-scum had started considering a nightkill target at this point in the game.
Of course, there remains the chance that one or more of my analyses are flawed and a couple of them are predicated on the knowledge of me-town, but the funny thing about mafia is that when I make sweeping grand statements on D1, I can still change my mind should new information come to light.
In post 31, Korts wrote:Yeah nah you're kinda overthinking it. You think I'm being calculated and actually scumhunting at this point. No, I'm just stirring shit up, and you gave the apropos.
Props on the NK-immune miller vig reference, though.
And here comes the dirty little secret about Jingle. I overthink everything, I'm just also really good at hiding it behind a veneer of levity and/or seeming insanity. The even darker truth? That doesn't mean I'm wrong. I do think I'm doing a pretty good job of peeling away the layers and getting inside your head, given your agreement on Luca, so I'm going to keep on with the current course.
Whatever else may come, I've decided I very much enjoy playing with you, and I'm looking forward to this game even more, if possible.