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Posted: Tue Jan 01, 2019 9:20 pm
by OkaPoka
hmm

maybe

nero is very paranoid

Posted: Tue Jan 01, 2019 9:21 pm
by OkaPoka
i dunno tho

dann does a lot more for town chemistry while nero kinda breaks it down, i do worry that nero is hard to sway if he's right tho

Posted: Tue Jan 01, 2019 9:22 pm
by OkaPoka
also i think suka is a chamber alt ?

Posted: Tue Jan 01, 2019 9:22 pm
by OkaPoka
is chamber any good?

Posted: Tue Jan 01, 2019 9:23 pm
by OkaPoka
kill nero cain


ill sit here for now but let's put together some pieces in case u get rb'd or something

Posted: Tue Jan 01, 2019 9:24 pm
by OkaPoka
which town players do you want to lylo with?

i think that you making it to lylo is the most important here, over me, because u getting killed my reveal stuff about setup

Posted: Tue Jan 01, 2019 9:28 pm
by OkaPoka
Nero Cain <- if we kill here tonight

Town players left:
Varsoon (I'm planning on pushing this tomorrow as the counterwagon)
Creature (spam post-y, i think he tr's activity lmao)
mbaki (worry that w/o nero's shenanigans that he'll go unchecked, i dunno if i can stand up against him esp with dann here)
Dannflor (pretty townread and is solidified in his reads)
BrightEyedFish (My guess for the dominant early wagon)
Suka (Chamber alt?)
DrDolittle (VT claim)

Posted: Tue Jan 01, 2019 9:30 pm
by OkaPoka
sorry for spam posting, just dumping thoughts in case neighborizing fails

tho i think creature might be mad tomorrow given that vorkuta lynch went through. he might take it out on people on the vorkuta wagon including myself. there's going to be a lot of reads-shuffling, so it's going to be kinda important to make a strong impression early tomorrow

Posted: Tue Jan 01, 2019 9:33 pm
by OkaPoka
possible people who will go after bef (suka, ddl, mbaki, dann)
possible people who would support me on varsoon (creature)

that leaves varsoon, bef as the "unknowns"

tho varsoon + bef might go after ddl?

Posted: Wed Jan 02, 2019 5:21 am
by Kmd4390
I try not to worry about figuring out alts because if you're wrong, you are looking at a player all wrong.

Varsoon is a good push. People seem to be hinting at scum reads but they never do anything with it.

Not sure about LYLO. We need mislynchable players but at the same time we can't have the whole "why are you still alive if you are town" thing brought up. I don't like that we haven't outted power roles. Would be nice to get some claims out tomorrow.

Posted: Wed Jan 02, 2019 9:01 am
by OkaPoka
alright yeah, sounds good

Posted: Thu Jan 03, 2019 9:29 pm
by northsidegal
Day 3 begins.

Posted: Sat Jan 05, 2019 11:08 pm
by northsidegal
Night 3 begins.

Posted: Sun Jan 06, 2019 3:45 am
by Kmd4390
Dann is a better kill than Creature, right?

Posted: Sun Jan 06, 2019 5:19 am
by OkaPoka
Maybe. Anyways I think I have some crumbs to be a 1 shot invest role

I'll think about it

Posted: Sun Jan 06, 2019 5:21 am
by OkaPoka
We need to pr hunt

Fkkk

Posted: Sun Jan 06, 2019 5:44 am
by Kmd4390
I've never been good at that

:(

And nothing has stood out to me. There are no "I'm never gonna get lynched" kind of comments.

Maybe we can look at who didn't believe Bright's claim. I'd imagine a real investigative wouldn't have backed off. But that claim was so bad I was starting to believe he was actual opposing scum somehow lol. Maybe mbaki?

Posted: Sun Jan 06, 2019 5:55 am
by Kmd4390
Mbaki's reaction to the claim was that there is "zero chance" it's real. That could be an investigative. However, he later said it didn't fit with Bright's play or North's mod meta which could be legit but then it seems like he'd be slower to reach that "zero chance" conclusion which felt more knee jerk.

The other player I wonder about is varsoon. If his lurking is intentional, it could be because he's trying to avoid drawing a NK.

Posted: Sun Jan 06, 2019 5:59 am
by Kmd4390
I don't see any crumbs in varsoons ISO.

Posted: Sun Jan 06, 2019 10:40 am
by OkaPoka
Suka maybe? Seems very confident in innocent reads

Posted: Sun Jan 06, 2019 12:16 pm
by Kmd4390
Hmm. Which reads do you think could be results? I'll go take a look.

Posted: Sun Jan 06, 2019 12:28 pm
by Kmd4390
Actually you may be right. Sukas day starts were Nero is town and mbaki is town. And I bet tonight's target if sukas is investigative would be in me/you/drdoolittle. Maybe suka is a good kill. Problem is, if the flip is like VT or something, we look bad because of suka's reads. But the only other alternative if sukaPR is likely would be to claim a guilty on suka at daystart to buy one more day and leave whichever of us doesn't claim alone in 3p LYLO which sounds dangerous. Ugh...

Posted: Sun Jan 06, 2019 2:14 pm
by OkaPoka
yeah i was thinking something along those lines

and i was thinking what if creature was a protective pr

voyeur pr, mastina told me is usually added in last second for balancing as a satellite role. which means town probably had some weaker prs w this traitor setup

not sure tho

ughh

so hard

we can always just kill for team threats

idk tho

Posted: Sun Jan 06, 2019 2:14 pm
by OkaPoka
I don't know if my case on you was enough to distance us unfortunately. Its going to get really rough

Posted: Sun Jan 06, 2019 2:45 pm
by OkaPoka
nah i dont think suka has an above average chance to be invest pr

early game shows that he does this type of reads