Mafiascum.net

In post 249, BTD6_maker wrote:

In post 248, Kappy wrote:

In post 247, BTD6_maker wrote:

In post 204, innocentvillager wrote:

BTD6_maker wrote: He started off distancing Ranger whilst backing out of the wagon when it looked dangerous. Now he is defending Ranger and criticising the wagon that he was on himself. IV and Ranger seem a likely scumteam.

Protip: You will be wrong 95% of the time when you think you have the scumteam down, I promise it's never worth it to vote based on a scumteam hypothetical unless it's super obvious

I'm not sure how I missed this. He may be intentionally saying that to try to make Town think IV and Ranger is more unlikely than it really is. Back then I may have been 20% confident of this (very confident, given that a random pair has under 3% probability). Now I consider Ranger to be the most likely suspect for scum with IV.

Ranger also agreed to be lynched if IV was town. Makes you wonder how she knew he was scum, since she supposedly wasn't actually 100% sure.

Are we visiting your home country for the third time today?

what?

In post 250, Kappy wrote:

In post 249, BTD6_maker wrote:

In post 248, Kappy wrote:

In post 247, BTD6_maker wrote:

In post 204, innocentvillager wrote:

BTD6_maker wrote: He started off distancing Ranger whilst backing out of the wagon when it looked dangerous. Now he is defending Ranger and criticising the wagon that he was on himself. IV and Ranger seem a likely scumteam.

Protip: You will be wrong 95% of the time when you think you have the scumteam down, I promise it's never worth it to vote based on a scumteam hypothetical unless it's super obvious

I'm not sure how I missed this. He may be intentionally saying that to try to make Town think IV and Ranger is more unlikely than it really is. Back then I may have been 20% confident of this (very confident, given that a random pair has under 3% probability). Now I consider Ranger to be the most likely suspect for scum with IV.

Ranger also agreed to be lynched if IV was town. Makes you wonder how she knew he was scum, since she supposedly wasn't actually 100% sure.

Are we visiting your home country for the third time today?

what?

I noticed your Location.

In post 251, BTD6_maker wrote:

In post 250, Kappy wrote:

In post 249, BTD6_maker wrote:

In post 248, Kappy wrote:

In post 247, BTD6_maker wrote:

In post 204, innocentvillager wrote:

BTD6_maker wrote: He started off distancing Ranger whilst backing out of the wagon when it looked dangerous. Now he is defending Ranger and criticising the wagon that he was on himself. IV and Ranger seem a likely scumteam.

Protip: You will be wrong 95% of the time when you think you have the scumteam down, I promise it's never worth it to vote based on a scumteam hypothetical unless it's super obvious

I'm not sure how I missed this. He may be intentionally saying that to try to make Town think IV and Ranger is more unlikely than it really is. Back then I may have been 20% confident of this (very confident, given that a random pair has under 3% probability). Now I consider Ranger to be the most likely suspect for scum with IV.

Ranger also agreed to be lynched if IV was town. Makes you wonder how she knew he was scum, since she supposedly wasn't actually 100% sure.

Are we visiting your home country for the third time today?

what?

I noticed your Location.

oh yeah. Check out my occupation and interests on my profile page.

In post 247, BTD6_maker wrote:

In post 204, innocentvillager wrote:

BTD6_maker wrote: He started off distancing Ranger whilst backing out of the wagon when it looked dangerous. Now he is defending Ranger and criticising the wagon that he was on himself. IV and Ranger seem a likely scumteam.

Protip: You will be wrong 95% of the time when you think you have the scumteam down, I promise it's never worth it to vote based on a scumteam hypothetical unless it's super obvious

I'm not sure how I missed this. He may be intentionally saying that to try to make Town think IV and Ranger is more unlikely than it really is. Back then I may have been 20% confident of this (very confident, given that a random pair has under 3% probability). Now I consider Ranger to be the most likely suspect for scum with IV.

That's an interesting theory you've got there

This is one long twilight

Oh wow I suck.
The "crumb" made me laugh though.

Twilight is almost 8 hours long... This only makes sense in a world where days are 336 hours long.

My new town reads are BTD, Shotty.

Old ones that are still current for me are Kap and Ranger.

That leaves Alpaca, M&M, KAAG/sick, Alexcellent for my scum pile

Complete null read on KAAG and Alpaca, slight scumread on Alexcellent, not sure on M&M

By the way: I suggest treating every night as like a normal game, as if we had one player die.
This is for the worst-case scenario, in case all scum douses are successful.

So while we have 8 alive, treat today as if we have 7. And after the lynch today, 6. Unless scum ignite, treat tomorrow as having 5, and so on.

I'm willing to fulfill my promise today even if I was lying about my confidence if there's doubt about my alignment, but my thoughts are:
I really don't think shotty is scum. The logic he gave while doped up doesn't seem like something I'd expect him to post as scum. It felt a lot more like crazy town.
Alexcellent and Alpaca remain townreads.
BTD6 and Sickofit are both nullreads still.
I still hold suspicion on both Kappy and Music & Mail, but I'm not voting anyone yet until I have a much better grip on the game, sorry.

@Ranger what do you think of BTD's responses after I scumclaimed? They looked pretty genuine to me, especially since they were done so quickly. Shotty's responses also reeked town, I couldn't read anyone else's post-scumclaim posts unfortunately

VOTE: Music and Mail

I now weakly scumread Ranger. I thought that Ranger was much more likely scum if IV flips scum but IV has flipped Town. Music and Mail is now my strongest scumread.

Ranger, when you promised to get lynched was that some sort of gambit? What was your purpose?

IV, why did you claim scum? From what I can see it was to have a chance at catching out the scum that know you are Town.

VOTE: Ranger

In post 217, Ranger wrote:But, I have to be completely honest here.

I lied.

I wasn't 100% sure you were scum at all.

I was actually less sure about you than I was on Music and Mail! Especially with your later posting.

I was kinda afraid I'd be getting lynched tomorrow, and then we'd be in D3 with no assured scum leads, my credibility shot, and nothing to go on.

Hahahaha no you don't get off that easily you slippery snake.

In post 217, Ranger wrote:I lied.

I wasn't 100% sure you were scum at all.

I was actually less sure about you than I was on Music and Mail! Especially with your later posting.

Thinking about this, why didn't you say so before we stumped IV?

Scum reading a M&M an Ranger from my skim.

More coming later haven't had time to catch up yet.

fuck yourselves.

Music is definitely scummier than Mail. Music/RC is extremely uncooperative, characteristic of his scum game in Newbie 1700. He refuses to help Town or even interact with those scumreading him, just as in Newbie 1700.

In post 269, BTD6_maker wrote:or even interact with those scumreading him

That's generally a town!RC thing more than it is a scum!RC thing IIRC.

I can sort-of see where his frustration is coming from. I don't really understand any of the scumreads on us; I mean, at least one of them is probably a scum push, but not FoSing/voting us can be scum. :L

In post 269, BTD6_maker wrote:Music is definitely scummier than Mail. Music/RC is extremely uncooperative, characteristic of his scum game in Newbie 1700. He refuses to help Town or even interact with those scumreading him, just as in Newbie 1700.

On the contrary they seem to be heavily interacting with Ranger, but like only Ranger. They townread IV, but aside from scum reading Ranger and their one in the moment vote on you they haven't done much else.

Wait, so M&M is a hydra? I didn't know that! I'm assuming RC is RedCoyote, who's Mail?

Or RadiantCowbells

So RadiantCowbells and ...?