Mafiascum.net

innocentvillager is a sneaky thorn in the side because he's a very reasonable player and will often question people's bad assumptions but is also tunneled on midwaybear right now, which is useful

nsg is sharp by repuation but no idea how rusty she is these days, isn't widely townread even though she's practically close to meta clear, think most in the game aren't aware? shielding flow but scumreading midwaybaer

Datisi's always a good nightkill but he dies all the time and is very unlikely to be a PR here, if his activity falls off he is potentially yeetable IMO


andante is universally townread but very off the mark right now, was top of the draft so could easily get doc proteection? but was doing some screwy PR WIFOM, might be cop, who knows. Still very much a gamble IMO


shooting midwaybear/mare/flow trap would be outright gamethrows, cakez kill would be stupid as he's less credible while alive and unflipped

Shooting Mare does have the upside that we prevent the UB, which almost certainly exists, from getting a good role.

In post 252, Something_Smart wrote:Shooting Mare does have the upside that we prevent the UB, which almost certainly exists, from getting a good role.

Right, forgot the damned UB exists

Do we know what actually happens if two PRs die night 1?

Okay it's randomized, I checked the role PMs. Which is kind of unfortunate.

Mare is passable as a vig shot (under, like, really terrible logic) but not sure how far menalque is going anyway

129 goddamn pages on day 1...that's more than double the length of the entirety of the original PYP X/Y. Ah, for simpler times

Oh right skitter's second in the draft that does make her decently likely to be doc'd

preliminary

generally terrible at deciding night actions so not sure which of us is the best to carry but this is what I feel right now

That

is a difficult replacement

Let’s kill her?

Alyssa I am scared of

There's a decent chance that flip is very revealing to town but it can't really be helped, if you want to use your vig on that, go for it. Don't think she'll be nearly as easy to get votes on.

The replacement kill is like a hilarious laser back to me though since I did that exact thing in mini normal 2180 with iv and cakez (and midwaybear on my scumteam)

just sucks because of gamestate + draft reasons

mrrr can't help but feel in my heart vigging that slot might be a throw

shooting alyssa is a throw and not shooting alyssa is a throw

I simply feel like it's a kill that outright only comes from scum (no one vigs a replacement) and also is...fairly limited in who it'd come from. I think I'd rather just weather the consequences and shoot elsewhere.

Yeah.

I think me doing the kill is good, if for no other reason than if someone tracks me they might be suspected as my partner because I just won a scumgame having a partner guilty me

15 hours left...any thoughts?

No thoughts head empty

Holiday Dance Party convinced me that I should never take part in planning wrt dayplay as scum. So I really can't say much about who's likely to be a smart kill.

While the UB is (likely) alive shooting for PR's doesn't much matter, anyway.

Can I shoot cakez or is that a throw?

What did ydra claim for role btw?

Alright let’s hope that alyssa isn’t all that town and try to misflip her, she’s scary accurate but not always super TR from my memory

In post 268, Menalque wrote:Can I shoot cakez or is that a throw?

my personal opinion is that he's less threatening while alive

In post 269, Menalque wrote:What did ydra claim for role btw?

neighborizer

In post 268, Menalque wrote:Can I shoot cakez or is that a throw?

I think it's pretty reasonable.

It might be better to leave him alive, this is true, but I don't think people will murderize you for shooting him. At least I hope not.

thoughts go to iv/nsg as potential kills

andante is universal townread + guaranteed pr although not sure if she's likely to draw protection


also the alt is more outed now so going to be facing more scrutiny most likely