i am all perspired and shit...too many numbers...need to make sure this makes sense for scumdgb to do. DGB have a history for throwing hail marys like that?
only thing of value i can claim at this point is that i got a watch on you n2. hence why i was saying so definitely that bella did not protect you. additionally, ythan targeted you (obvies.) can say for sure there was no kill submitted on you n2 but i think it unwise to claim any further visits that may or may not have occurred on you
my mistake, this actually doesn't specify the other amount of actions that hit pdra. But ythan def targeted them.
Posted: Fri Jan 11, 2013 1:06 pm
by DrippingGoofball
@ Zoidberg
You can check The Sopranos Mafia, an ancient large theme modded by Mastermind of Sin, but that's after I'd been doing wagon analysis for a while. It's one I remember off the top of my head.
Posted: Fri Jan 11, 2013 1:08 pm
by Kawaii
You're just saying that cus I was in that game
Posted: Fri Jan 11, 2013 1:08 pm
by TheTrollie
@dgb...and an answer to my question?
were u thanking me for my speculation of wyrd?
Posted: Fri Jan 11, 2013 1:10 pm
by Kawaii
TROLLIE
We have a shitload of information roles on the table. What do you do to confirm yourself, or when?
Posted: Fri Jan 11, 2013 1:13 pm
by TheTrollie
wow, could you hide the fact that you are just rolefishing for fuck's sake any less?
At this point I gotta ask. Hardcore rolefish BUT LEMME TELL YA, it's bevause of the other info roles out here.
pedit: shit, i kinda like that vote tho
Posted: Fri Jan 11, 2013 1:20 pm
by DrippingGoofball
↑TheTrollie wrote:@dgb...and an answer to my question?
were u thanking me for my speculation of wyrd?
YES
I'm amazed that he's not being looked at more closely, he's basically done nothing at all the entire game but call me scum. He's totally not scumhunting. He's trying to avoid being lynched but not pissing anyone off but one person, and trying to avoid being NK'd.
Given how regularly and early I get myself NK'd, going after me during the day is really dumb. Just wait for a night without a power role to kill, and normally I shouldn't make it for very long.
I should never be let into end game, though. DGB in endgame has to be scum (unless I'm replacing at LyLo but that might never have happened).
Posted: Fri Jan 11, 2013 1:21 pm
by DrippingGoofball
↑Kawaii wrote:You're just saying that cus I was in that game
It's always about you, you little attention whore.
Posted: Fri Jan 11, 2013 1:21 pm
by Kawaii
Lovers, cop, prob just 1 town god, and a modified amnesiac cop (FBI Agent kinda but no really)
And you said you can be confirmed. That's a shitload of roles that give info on alignments.
DrippingGoofball wrote:
↑Kawaii wrote:You're just saying that cus I was in that game
It's always about you, you little attention whore.
You can check The Sopranos Mafia, an ancient large theme modded by Mastermind of Sin, but that's after I'd been doing wagon analysis for a while. It's one I remember off the top of my head.
Oh DGB.
Wagon analysis is not my problem. My problem is your seemingly purposeful misinterpretation of the
implications
of your wagon analysis. You are claiming that I have ~140% probability of being scum based on where I voted.
You didn't formulate those probabilities correctly
You are attempting to pass them off as fact
They are based on assumption
I have no doubt you use this technique all the time. But pointing at the analysis itself and saying "I do this as town therefore I am town" is not proof that you are town. The act itself means nothing. The conclusions you draw and the implications you make are telling.
Furthermore, why aren't you voting me if I have the most imaginary scumpoints on your silly scale?
Posted: Fri Jan 11, 2013 1:23 pm
by Kawaii
↑TheTrollie wrote:and wait your turn, right now I'm talking to DGB
I had to wait FOR THAT
Why I'm smelling blood all a sudden?
Posted: Fri Jan 11, 2013 1:23 pm
by DrippingGoofball
↑Kawaii wrote:That's a shitload of roles that give info on alignments.
Are you sad because that's unfair to your scumteam? You want to off a few information roles?
You can check The Sopranos Mafia, an ancient large theme modded by Mastermind of Sin, but that's after I'd been doing wagon analysis for a while. It's one I remember off the top of my head.
Oh DGB.
Wagon analysis is not my problem. My problem is your seemingly purposeful misinterpretation of the
implications
of your wagon analysis. You are claiming that I have ~140% probability of being scum based on where I voted.
You didn't formulate those probabilities correctly
You are attempting to pass them off as fact
They are based on assumption
I have no doubt you use this technique all the time. But pointing at the analysis itself and saying "I do this as town therefore I am town" is not proof that you are town. The act itself means nothing. The conclusions you draw and the implications you make are telling.
Furthermore, why aren't you voting me if I have the most imaginary scumpoints on your silly scale?
I don't explain everything in detail every time, it gets tedious. Most of the time people have already seen this.
If you have particular questions, I'll take the time to explain it to you, but bear in mind that I'm playing badminton tonight and I'm leaving in 15 minutes, and when I come back I like to shower and I can't guarantee you'll get your answer before morning unless you ask me rIght nOW.
Posted: Fri Jan 11, 2013 1:26 pm
by Pretentiousdra
tbh it's patently obvious to me what Trollie is at this point.
However now is the time for SPB to declare first whether they saw anyone else visit us N2. No need to say who that person is if applicable.
Posted: Fri Jan 11, 2013 1:31 pm
by Zoidberg
↑Zoidberg wrote:Furthermore, why aren't you voting me if I have the most imaginary scumpoints on your silly scale?
Posted: Fri Jan 11, 2013 1:31 pm
by DrippingGoofball
You didn't formulate those probabilities correctly >>> I'm using probabilities to assign a value to each un-flipped player on each wagon, but past that, I'm not doing "math" anymore, but it doesn't matter since all that is needed is an ORDERED list. The numbers are relative. They don't need to represent a unit of something.
You are attempting to pass them off as fact >>> it's a fact for me. I also look at behavioral clues and give them lots of weight. The wagon analysis is useful to point out people that you might have otherwise overlooked. It's not the end-all.
They are based on assumption >>> this assumption is based on experience that there is always more scum ON wagons, than OFF wagons. Depending on how the game goes, it usually gets harder and harder to get a townie lynch unless there is scum on it, with every passing day.
