Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2013 7:10 am
Day 1 ends in (expired on 2013-11-28 21:56:00)
Goodmorning wrote: This is WIFOM, WIFOM is bad and the first part looks extra specially bad.
This is as much wine in front of me as the reasons I give, any discussion about night kills can be WIFOM, that does not mean you can't consider them. What especially didnt't you like about the first part?Goodmorning wrote:Nacho was probably the strongest player in this game.
Sure and you did not consider how people would react upon reading you were V/LA during the night time.Goodmorning wrote: Because the mod could need to reach me overnight for any number of reasons and I like to let folks know when I'll be unavailable?
Yes, day 1, 2 v 7 with 2 town power roles you don't know about, getting your buddy killed for no reason is just not a good option, unless now you think Nacho is a bad player? If RM was under heavy scrutiny before Nacho started accusing her and he threw in his vote, that was one thing, but to start the whole suspicion on her, vote her, and let her die is just very unlikely. You apparently agree:Goodmorning wrote: Are you saying bussing is impossible?
So what you are saying is: you are about to discover if RM is town or mafia, and your first thought is, let's check Nacho because he might have bussed her?Goodmorning wrote: I hadn't thought of that. I suppose you could be, although this early in the game?
Do you have a history of bussing/bussing early in your scumgames
So you RSV'ed Buck and since then you are convinced he is mafia, I hope you have more to say about this accusation because up to now you certainly haven't made it clear, and yes, I have read your posts.Goodmorning wrote: The same one I've had the entire time. If you haven't been reading my posts that's a crying shame. It's Buck.
Except that I was specifically asked, and as it's in part a theory question, answered.In post 301, CrisP wrote:Goodmorning wrote: This is WIFOM, WIFOM is bad and the first part looks extra specially bad.This is as much wine in front of me as the reasons I give, any discussion about night kills can be WIFOM, that does not mean you can't consider them. What especially didnt't you like about the first part?Goodmorning wrote:Nacho was probably the strongest player in this game.
good =/= infallibleAlso the best player in the game, according to you, was dead wrong day 1 and did his best to save a mafia?
Anybody who's come across my V/LAs knows that I'm pretty active during them anyway, besides which only one of my V/LA days was even overnight to begin with. Or is today not Friday?Sure and you did not consider how people would react upon reading you were V/LA during the night time.Goodmorning wrote: Because the mod could need to reach me overnight for any number of reasons and I like to let folks know when I'll be unavailable?
If you think your partner's going to be dead weight sometimes it is a good option.Yes, day 1, 2 v 7 with 2 town power roles you don't know about, getting your buddy killed for no reason is just not a good option, unless now you think Nacho is a bad player? If RM was under heavy scrutiny before Nacho started accusing her and he threw in his vote, that was one thing, but to start the whole suspicion on her, vote her, and let her die is just very unlikely.Goodmorning wrote:Are you saying bussing is impossible?
No. I was saying that specifically about jmo. Nacho is a very different species of player imo.You apparently agree:
Goodmorning wrote: I hadn't thought of that. I suppose you could be, although this early in the game?
Do you have a history of bussing/bussing early in your scumgames
No. What I am saying is: RM is lynched. I think Nacho has been acting suspiciously regardless of her flip. I want to take a closer look at him.So what you are saying is: you are about to discover if RM is town or mafia, and your first thought is, let's check Nacho because he might have bussed her?
voting early =/= RVSSo you RSV'ed Buck and since then you are convinced he is mafia, I hope you have more to say about this accusation because up to now you certainly haven't made it clear, and yes, I have read your posts.Goodmorning wrote: The same one I've had the entire time. If you haven't been reading my posts that's a crying shame. It's Buck.
So what you are saying is we should just ignore NK's?Goodmorning wrote: Except that I was specifically asked, and as it's in part a theory question, answered.
1. There is no arrogance in stating facts, it's a fact I was town read by most people in the game day 1. It is also a fact that mafia has every interest in killing slots that are thought of by most as town because that increases their chances of hiding among suspicious people.Goodmorning wrote:I especially didn't like the first part because 1. arrogance and 2. waving your not being killed in everyone's faces
Here you are answering a question you were not asked, clearly worried that someone might check if you were active during your supposed V/LA (which makes it even more artificial), instead of the reply I was expecting, which would have gone along the lines of: no I did not think about what others would think about my post because I was just telling something to the mod. Guilty conscience someone?Goodmorning wrote:Anybody who's come across my V/LAs knows that I'm pretty active during them anyway, besides which only one of my V/LA days was even overnight to begin with. Or is today not Friday?
Are you trying to argue that your vote on Buck, after he voted and unvoted Immuno, was not an RVS but an early scum tell? Here again I see you debating semantics, instead of giving valid content so that we may judge for ourselves if what you are saying has merit or if you are just bullshitting.Goodmorning wrote: voting early =/= RVS
Not always, but it definitely shouldn't be at the forefront of anyone's reasoning.In post 303, CrisP wrote:So what you are saying is we should just ignore NK's?Goodmorning wrote: Except that I was specifically asked, and as it's in part a theory question, answered.
It's not reasoning if it could be any one of a number of things.1. There is no arrogance in stating facts, it's a fact I was town read by most people in the game day 1. It is also a fact that mafia has every interest in killing slots that are thought of by most as town because that increases their chances of hiding among suspicious people.Goodmorning wrote:I especially didn't like the first part because 1. arrogance and 2. waving your not being killed in everyone's faces
2. If you read the follow up you will see why I wrote it, it was not done in order to "wave it in your face" but using it as a premise for the reasoning that comes after it. The fact you are debating the premise and ignoring the reasoning by screaming WIFOM, instead of pointing out what is wrong and what might be right from your POV looks scummy.
Here I am answering the question you were likely to ask next. Or was that not what you were getting at? I certainly wasn't thinking about it at the time. It was a blanket V/LA that I stated everywhere.Here you are answering a question you were not asked, clearly worried that someone might check if you were active during your supposed V/LA (which makes it even more artificial), instead of the reply I was expecting, which would have gone along the lines of: no I did not think about what others would think about my post because I was just telling something to the mod. Guilty conscience someone?Goodmorning wrote:Anybody who's come across my V/LAs knows that I'm pretty active during them anyway, besides which only one of my V/LA days was even overnight to begin with. Or is today not Friday?
If you think it's too early I challenge you to read Shadows and Lights, my (Sensual Koala) uptake on the BnB hydra's scumminess with their very first post.Are you trying to argue that your vote on Buck, after he voted and unvoted Immuno, was not an RVS but an early scum tell? Here again I see you debating semantics, instead of giving valid content so that we may judge for ourselves if what you are saying has merit or if you are just bullshitting.Goodmorning wrote: voting early =/= RVS
The forefront of my reasoning is that there is a very high chance that inside the 4, or 5 if you extend it to BW, of you that voted for RM there is at least 1 mafia.Goodmorning wrote:Not always, but it definitely shouldn't be at the forefront of anyone's reasoning.
At least you are making your point here, but I still disagree, if you are mafia and you know someone is going to go after you, you have a strong motivation to get rid of him/her. How do you rate jmo16mla as a mafia player?Goodmorning wrote: It does in some fashion point to at least one of the Scum having played Nacho before because this game has been not his best, but on the other hand it could just be that someone thought they saw him drop a PR tell or that someone thought he'd be a good kill choice to frame someone or that someone thought he'd be a good kill choice to confuse people or on and on and on.
This is why it is WIFOM. This is why it is dismissable.
This is true.Goodmorning wrote: Here I am answering the question you were likely to ask next. Or was that not what you were getting at? I certainly wasn't thinking about it at the time. It was a blanket V/LA that I stated everywhere.
If you often give early scumreads, sometimes you will get it right, maybe it makes sense for you but I can't really see someone picking up something by reading their first post.Goodmorning wrote:If you think it's too early I challenge you to read Shadows and Lights, my (Sensual Koala) uptake on the BnB hydra's scumminess with their very first post.
What is this reason? Why did you never mention him during the day after switching your vote to me, then to JM and finally to RM? Why did you interact with him so little if you thought he was scum? You never asked him a question day 1, just answered when he prodded you.Goodmorning wrote:I absolutely voted Buck for a reason.
Asking the same question in different ways is a consistency test, it also gives more information since you tend to answer in different ways.Goodmornign wrote: Here I see you trying to play around with my words. Why?
It should be, also you voted RM mainly for that over JM, which now apparently is a confirmed mafia to you.Goodmorning wrote: Lurking is not a scumtell.
And I find VCA to be problematic for a whole mess of other reasons, but that's more a discussion for postgame.In post 306, CrisP wrote:The forefront of my reasoning is that there is a very high chance that inside the 4, or 5 if you extend it to BW, of you that voted for RM there is at least 1 mafia.Goodmorning wrote:Not always, but it definitely shouldn't be at the forefront of anyone's reasoning.
And how is that working out for you so far?The rest is speculation so that: I can narrow it down, am able to get people's reactions and see what happens once I start applying pressure, à la bull in the china shop.
Well then I suppose we shall have to agree to disagree on that.At least you are making your point here, but I still disagree, if you are mafia and you know someone is going to go after you, you have a strong motivation to get rid of him/her. How do you rate jmo16mla as a mafia player?Goodmorning wrote: It does in some fashion point to at least one of the Scum having played Nacho before because this game has been not his best, but on the other hand it could just be that someone thought they saw him drop a PR tell or that someone thought he'd be a good kill choice to frame someone or that someone thought he'd be a good kill choice to confuse people or on and on and on.
This is why it is WIFOM. This is why it is dismissable.
I don't usually, sometimes it just happens. That's the point I was trying to make here.If you often give early scumreads, sometimes you will get it right, maybe it makes sense for you but I can't really see someone picking up something by reading their first post.Goodmorning wrote:If you think it's too early I challenge you to read Shadows and Lights, my (Sensual Koala) uptake on the BnB hydra's scumminess with their very first post.
I was watching. Some people are the type who crack under pressure, but others are the type who relax too far when there's no pressure at all.What is this reason? Why did you never mention him during the day after switching your vote to me, then to JM and finally to RM? Why did you interact with him so little if you thought he was scum? You never asked him a question day 1, just answered when he prodded you.Goodmorning wrote:I absolutely voted Buck for a reason.
Actually, I voted Rach for her bad vote on jmo. If she had flipped red then jmo would be nigh on confTown to me. But she flipped green, so I'm looking again at the reasons the jmo wagon failed.It should be, also you voted RM mainly for that over JM, which now apparently is a confirmed mafia to you.Goodmorning wrote: Lurking is not a scumtell.
, do you also find power roles problematic? Because in that case we can just just use a random generator for lynches and see if we win the game. Jokes aside, every strategy in mafia uses incomplete information, so it's always going to be fallible, this does not mean you can't use it and most of the time if it's a reasonable strategy it will help you.Goodmorning wrote:And I find VCA to be problematic for a whole mess of other reasons, but that's more a discussion for postgame.
It's too early to say, at the very least it provides a lot of information. For instance, after having read your answers and some of your mafia defences I can say you are either upping your game here and fooling me our my accusations are wrong, still thinking about it. Look at it from my POV:Goodmorning wrote: And how is that working out for you so far?
It's a possible strategy, so did you get something from his day 1 after letting him relax? If the only thing you are going with is the immuno vote you'll have to agree it's a pretty weak read, at least from a logical point of view.Goodmorning wrote: I was watching. Some people are the type who crack under pressure, but others are the type who relax too far when there's no pressure at all.
See that's in part my problem. You were the one who stopped it dead in it's tracks, if you had kept your vote on him then I would have argued with BW that even if he liked JM's defence JM made much more sense from a strategic point of view, his reaction then would have been telling. Let's also not forget we could all be townies going at each other, a possibility which you seem to be ignoring.Goodmorning wrote:But she flipped green, so I'm looking again at the reasons the jmo wagon failed.
If it helps to clear her it's not time wasted, especially since her play day 1 doesn't seem very town at all to me, but I agree, the more I look at her defence day 2 the more it looks like she is town.Buckwild wrote:GM: I want to hear more from GM on why he has such high suspicions of me. Either way, he feels even more town than ever since his last few posts. Crisp, I think you are wasting your time on GM.
Why aren't you voting someone then?In post 312, Buckwild wrote:Alright,
Crisp: Not going into anymore given that he is town. If he were mafia he would not have to post so much to win this. Usually I'm uneasy about people buddying up with me but in this case I don't care since Crisp is def town.
GM: I want to hear more from GM on why he has such high suspicions of me. Either way, he feels even more town than ever since his last few posts. Crisp, I think you are wasting your time on GM.
DC/AA: This ones ez. Still null, but this all changes depending on AA's next post.
Even if I assume AA is a lurking scum, there is still one more scum between these three:
JMO: Still being useless in my eyes. Not giving any reads or analyses of anyone, just yelling at people when he gets voted by them. He appears much more scummy today than yesterday.
GIF/YUI: SO GIF's first attack is on me which was in response to me questioning him. He doesn't do anything useful all game and just outright avoids questions directed toward him. He lurks a bit then ends with the rachel vote which itself is null. Yui comes in with a great post that I agree with for the most part. I don't see how AA is the scummiest person on the list. Finally though, I do not like her not having anyone she would vote for after 13 pages of info. IMO scum often find it hard to point to someone to call scum since they know everyone else cept their partner is town.
Brian/Dr. Robot: Since his first couple posts, he has been lurking as well. I disagree with Yui as I do not think Brian's posts were that useful, especially the first one. Brian, you were pretty strong on coming after JMO earlier on. Now that Crisp is moving away from JMO, what do you think of JMO?
Ultimately my vote would be on 1. YUI 2. JMO or 3. Brian right now.
Why are you more interested in his vote than about his reads?jmo16mla wrote:Why aren't you voting someone then?
Because I'm phone posting and I can't rally post comprehensive posts on my phone.In post 315, CrisP wrote:Why are you more interested in his vote than about his reads?jmo16mla wrote:Why aren't you voting someone then?
Just cause someone else is my top scum read doesn't mean I can't vote you.In post 317, jmo16mla wrote:Why aren't you voting your top scum read?
You must have been posting from your phone since the beginning cause almost all of your posts are one liners that comment on other people's "comprehensive" posts. You are useless cause you aren't giving any thing novel and useful.In post 318, jmo16mla wrote: Because I'm phone posting and I can't rally post comprehensive posts on my phone.
His reads were meh. I really don't see how he can call me even more useless than yesterday. Anyways. I'm feeling nacho was killed because he was defending me so much. Without him is be an easy lynch right?
or how you told me GM was town and that I wasBuckwild wrote:he is definitely town
, wasting time for you because you already know her alignment, or how you have no doubt whatsoever about my alignmentBuckwild wrote:wasting time
, trying to buss JM once you knew he was a goner was a good idea, but I'd advise against hiding your mafia in the middle of your scum reads, that has become a classic tell... maybe going against Brian when he pointed you out as a pair was a bit too much but in and by itself it was not such a huge thing.Buckwild wrote:given that he is town