dramonic wrote:@Mod: confirm/deny that this is mountainous?
Cannot confirm or deny.
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 7:50 am
by BuJaber
In post 1, implosion wrote:This game is pseudo-nightless. The mafia have a 1-shot nightkill that they may use any night after night 0. They may not use their kill if it would cause the mafia to have as many players alive as there are town players alive. There are no other killing abilities in the game. There are no other night actions in the game.
So theoretically we could have day PRs.
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 7:52 am
by BuJaber
Wisdom would you be willing to vote for group 3 or is that not an option for you?
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 8:12 am
by Eddie Cane
In post 298, BuJaber wrote:Are people serious about the pr claims? I thought this was confirmed all vanilla/goons?
this setup would be really frickin scumsided as a vanilla setup. this wasn't run in the open queue for a reason.
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 8:19 am
by northsidegal
In post 285, Pine wrote:Should we be pausing at L-1 for claims? Or do we think this is mountainous?
It's at least not
confirmed
mountainous - I asked the mod
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 8:20 am
by northsidegal
In post 288, Wisdom wrote:{kokichi, pine, Riku} contains at least two scum
All of them have felt really fake when it comes to suspecting group 2
In post 298, BuJaber wrote:Are people serious about the pr claims? I thought this was confirmed all vanilla/goons?
this setup would be really frickin scumsided as a vanilla setup. this wasn't run in the open queue for a reason.
You have no concept of balance.
The only thing "japanese name person" implies is that im phonepostin and cant open an extra tab to confirm names.
Same way I didnt parse NSG's name not just being nonsense and therefore called her... whatever is it I called her.
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 8:28 am
by dramonic
1 long meaningless name.
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 8:31 am
by dramonic
I could shift to group 2 but at this point Im getting the warm fuzzies that we're looking at 2-1-0
In post 298, BuJaber wrote:Are people serious about the pr claims? I thought this was confirmed all vanilla/goons?
this setup would be really frickin scumsided as a vanilla setup. this wasn't run in the open queue for a reason.
You have no concept of balance.
The only thing "japanese name person" implies is that im phonepostin and cant open an extra tab to confirm names.
Same way I didnt parse NSG's name not just being nonsense and therefore called her... whatever is it I called her.
yes I do, lol.
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 9:36 am
by dramonic
keep telling yourself that <3
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 9:39 am
by Eddie Cane
okay. tell me how this vanilla is not scumsided as fuck. scum can split the groups evenly and almost autowin ignoring all other possible gambits and wifom.
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 9:46 am
by Eddie Cane
10:3
lynch 1 scum 3 town
7:2
lynch 2 town 1 scum (dont hit the all town group)
5:1
lynch the correct pairing, or its 3:1 into 2:1 after the nk and its lylo
these are all best case if scum does the very basic low risk thing of splitting evenly. so assuming you lynch optimally you get 1 single mislynch. as opposed to regular 10:3 games which have 3. never mind the rest of the possible wifom xcum could do (maybe 3 scum are in group 2, or maybe none are and lynching it pretty much endgames us) maybe they do 7:3:3 or whatever. but sure, I dont gwt balance and arrogant oldie understands mafia on a transcendent level.
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 9:54 am
by dramonic
Saying "we only get one mislynch" when 10 town dies in your scenario is a fascinating interpretation.
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 9:58 am
by zMuffinMan
he's right, though (not that it really matters and this is a boring discussion)
the scenario he gave is a good example. town's win chances if it reaches 5:1 are 50% but if you factor in that comes after a 1/3 chance of hitting an all-town group, it's less than that overall
don't have time to read this morning, will catch up sporadically over the day probably
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 9:59 am
by Pine
Blah blah blah
And when we nail 2 scum today, the ratio goes to 8:1.
This setup is swingy. No excuses, play like a champion.
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 10:08 am
by Eddie Cane
okay, i understand its hard being shit at something you've done for almost a decade and its hard to accept that, so i'll break it down even more.
If scum does the most basic strategy of even spreads
we have a 5 / 4 / 4 day 1, each with 1 scum. we are assuming optimal lynching for this scenario. we lynch a 4.
that leaves the number at 7:2 going into night. we enter the day with 3 / 3 / 3, with 2 of the 3 containing scum. IF we mislynch and hit 3 town, its 4:2 going into night and then 3:2 going into day, so lylo. 1 mislynch.
if we lynch correctly, its 5:1, and day starts with 2 / 2 / 2 and 1 of those groups contains a scum. if we mislynch, 2 out of 3 of the slots filling that bill, then we are 3:1 and a night kill or not leaves it at mylo / lylo tomorrow. 1 mislynch.
yes, mislynches are less likely by a bit because of the fact there's less mislynchable slots, but there's also far less opportunities to lynch properly and scum control who you lynch. also, people will wifom and self vote a ton so unlike normal slots will be advocating for their own lynch some of the time as we've seen lots of here.
then there's the other dynamic:
scum goes for wifom
lets say they stick with a 4/5/4 split. the 5 has no scum, and we lynch it. then its 5:3, nk 4:3, lylo. 1 mislynch.
4 has no scum, and we lynch it. then its 6:3. nk 5:3. pretty much lylo.
or scum could do 3:7:3, and if the scum are not in the 7 and we lynch it we just lose, but if scum wifom'd and put all of them and we don't lynch it (the likelier outcome) then free 3 townies dead. or, they put 2 scum in it, we lynch it, and we are now at 3:1 lylo after the nk.
and then we get into the fact its still mountainous and towns on this site do awfully in mountainous, worse than rand a lot of the time.
in conclusion: yes granddad, computers
are
in fact useful. technology
isn't
evil. also, this is pretty much confirmed to not be mountainous because its not in the open queue so there's elements that aren't open. fuck off.
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 10:10 am
by Eddie Cane
pine's muffin push is weird. muffin's content is weird, i don't think his dv stuff is scummy. jaber is awkward. dv is pretty townie compared to TM, i had him as hard scum there. dramonic is meh. kokichi is meh. nsg inventing a tell on kokichi is meh. roj is cute. fitz is meh. north is a lil townie. cakez is a lil scummy. riku is meh. wisdom is meh. in conclusion: stop being meh!
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 10:16 am
by zMuffinMan
i'm weird, not meh though so i guess i'm ok
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 10:17 am
by Eddie Cane
muffin would you agree dv is town?
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 10:20 am
by zMuffinMan
i haven't read anything not on this page since after i went to sleep last night (been focusing on something else)
let me get to a computer at work
in the mean time, feel free to summarise why you think that though