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Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 1:46 pm
by Taly
I haven't looked at
PvtUrist
but
>
TheBrie and GE
most strike me as town, with me being a little less sure of
Moment
for his lack for explaining readslist and lower amounts of posts/thoughts
>
GE+Moment
does not sound very viable since
Moment
has not stated a townread and I didn't notice any that
Gamma
made, so I don't see the point in this unless they actively sort each other now which is.... ehhhh... because that interferes with interactions.
I would think of
GE+TheBrie
, but they're both ladies. lol
I'm asking
GE+PvtUrist+TheBrie+Moment
to discuss who they would think are good partners, and it's not exclusive amongst themselves.
But from the ISO-group,
TheBrie+Moment
is something I'd be happy with IF THEY CONSENT. :3
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 1:46 pm
by Krazy
In post 3084, Pink Ball wrote:So my final suggestion is:
PvtUrist/Gamma
Moment/TheBrie
DoubtingThomas/SS
Allonely, I'm so lonely (8)
not bad
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 1:48 pm
by Taly
In post 3093, TheBrie wrote:I've never really seen a good scum read articulated on Moment. It's mostly been admitted be correlated with low posting.
I also trust
TheBrie+Moment
more because of this statement - this seems like a genuine attempt at reading
Moment
despite what people generally state.
TheBrie
, to be concise - thoughts on
Allo
,
PvtUrist
and
Moment
?
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 1:49 pm
by Nancy Drew 39
In post 3078, Krazy wrote:Oh right Pvt isn't paired yet
Tricky questions
who is more town out of moment and Pvt
who is more town out of gamma and brie
Right now, I trust Urist more with Gamma’s six coins and why not Brie/DT?
Didn’t SS say, he wanted to pair with Moment?
But again, I think it should be primarily up the individuals. We don’t need any more suicide pairings in this game.
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 1:50 pm
by Krazy
Weren't people townreading DT
I'm a little bit surprised I'm not seeing more pushback here already
what ever happened with that
first no one can give me a straight answer on why he's town and now no one will defend him from being listed as a bottom pairing?
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 1:51 pm
by Dannflor
I support PinkBall's suggestions for pairings. It'll be interesting what input the people actually involved provide however particularly because I think there's likely some scum in there.
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 1:52 pm
by Nancy Drew 39
In post 3103, Nancy Drew 39 wrote: In post 3078, Krazy wrote:Oh right Pvt isn't paired yet
Tricky questions
who is more town out of moment and Pvt
who is more town out of gamma and brie
Right now, I trust Urist more with Gamma’s six coins and why not Brie/DT?
Didn’t SS say, he wanted to pair with Moment?
But again, I think it should be primarily up the individuals. We don’t need any more suicide pairings in this game.
So, my pairing preference was by # of coins but rn, I think Brie is townier than Gamma.
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 1:53 pm
by Dannflor
In post 2705, Dannflor wrote:I'm not very hot on DT either, but I don't have a strong opinion on him yet either way.
I need to ISO him and figure it out, gun-to-head I like Moment better than him
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 1:54 pm
by TheBrie
In post 3050, Allomancer wrote: In post 3049, Vedith wrote: In post 3048, Allomancer wrote:you were only top town read at the beginning before most people had posted. As people townier than you started posting, you moved town.
Why would this make someone null rather than town, just normal town as others?
You get 3
because he was only town with regards to being townier than the others. It was actually null, but placed in perspective, I made him town to distinguish.
Null means you could easy flip either wy, or aren't reading the player much in either direction. How can someone be null, and townier simultaneously.?
In post 3062, Something_Smart wrote:If Allo flips scum, the simplest way to explain his flubbing is to say that he initially put his buddy Dannflor as town and then his team later decided that Allo should distance from Dann, and he did so very awkwardly.
In post 3071, Pink Ball wrote:I'm actually calling you out SS, that by saying that seems like you're planning a push on obvious town pair Nancy/Dann in case your scumpartner Allo flips
And Pinkball says what I wanted to say. Which put Pinkball as town for me. Cause there's no way in anything she's scum with SS and Allo if they're scum.
In post 3078, Krazy wrote:Oh right Pvt isn't paired yet
Tricky questions
who is more town out of moment and Pvt
who is more town out of gamma and brie
I don't know which is more town, but I think I'd be better with Moment.
In post 3084, Pink Ball wrote:So my final suggestion is:
PvtUrist/Gamma
Moment/TheBrie
DoubtingThomas/SS
Allonely, I'm so lonely (8)
in favour, though it's up to the gentlemen to ask, and us ladies to accept. I think Gamma would accept. What SS has said here, points away from Allo and SS both as scum. Because SS would have to choice between beign paired with her partner, or leaving him out, and she shows no worry.
In post 3090, Pink Ball wrote:Errrr why would Dann being town make Allo town? That correlation sounds more wacky
Mmm. Want that answer.
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 1:54 pm
by Pink Ball
In post 3096, Krazy wrote:
Funny that this is probably the towniest post Moment made in my mind lol
and it's still basically NAI
From my point of view that was the scummiest post from Moment. Seemed like fake frustration, something easy to do instead of actually playing the game.
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 1:56 pm
by Nancy Drew 39
In post 3088, Something_Smart wrote: In post 3068, Pink Ball wrote: In post 3062, Something_Smart wrote:If Allo flips scum, the simplest way to explain his flubbing is to say that he initially put his buddy Dannflor as town and then his team later decided that Allo should distance from Dann, and he did so very awkwardly.
Oh ok I get your point, good catch.
But Dann is town tho
If anything, this would imply that Allo is town. With whatever degree of confidence we accept the premises that (a) if Allo is scum, then Dann is scum and (b) Dann is town, we must accept the conclusion that (c) Allo is town with the same degree of confidence.
Probably not more than, like, 60% or 70%, depending on how confident you are in (b). But I don't know if Allo is the best choice to be left behind.
Also I have this nasty feeling that I'm going to be the last lady unpaired and I'm going to have to choose who dies.
The problem with this game, is so many lurkers and that makes it difficult to move the game forward.
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 1:57 pm
by Taly
@Mod, Nancy+Dann couple became a thing at
2928
Just to make sure it was seen; since it wasn't listed in the pair list.
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 1:58 pm
by Krazy
I guess the towniness of bottom pairings is kinda a question
I still have no idea how serious RC is about leaving, and I have no idea what firebringer will do
I'm more discussing pairings in the scenario where we actually vote on people after the first flip, but I don't even know if that will happen
We could do a soft vote for how many people would vote to lynch SS *assuming allo flips town*
If Allo is excluded and flips red then we play out dance 1 and discuss
If Allo flips town I would like to know before pre-dance ends whether the town would like to flip SS immediately or not
Should we be trying to speed lynch SS to prevent RC from leaving or do we have a reason to wait to see whether RC leaves or not?
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 1:59 pm
by Krazy
Like I honestly kinda don't know what to do with multiple pairings trying to leave
I don't know whether I should be literally trying to force RC to stay to second dance or not or how that would help
If he's suiciding anyway is it better to just let him do that? I townlean both sides of that pairing still so this is kinda a messy situation
hmm
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 1:59 pm
by Nancy Drew 39
In post 3090, Pink Ball wrote:Errrr why would Dann being town make Allo town? That correlation sounds more wacky
Yeah, I don’t get how either are linked, short of them both scumreading each other.
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 2:00 pm
by TheBrie
In post 3102, Taly wrote: In post 3093, TheBrie wrote:I've never really seen a good scum read articulated on Moment. It's mostly been admitted be correlated with low posting.
I also trust
TheBrie+Moment
more because of this statement - this seems like a genuine attempt at reading
Moment
despite what people generally state.
TheBrie
, to be concise - thoughts on
Allo
,
PvtUrist
and
Moment
?
Allo keeps saying things that feel weird, and being inconsistent.
Pvt hasn't factored on my radar, but I've noticed he's not afraid to go against the flow with his reads.
Moment's posts so far aren't bad, and haven't pinged me though it would be nice if he could be a little more active. i'd prefer to see a reads list before partnering with, or an attempt at one. I'd probably fail badly at making a comprehensive list right now.
As to DT, Nothing pinged me as scummy, but he's not been around enough lately to impress himself as town either.
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 2:02 pm
by Ankamius
In post 3113, Krazy wrote:I don't know whether I should be literally trying to force RC to stay to second dance or not or how that would help
you're wasting your time
it's optimal to wait until second dance to suicide but I'm 100% certain he's deadest on suiciding the moment first dance begins and nothing you say will change that
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 2:03 pm
by Krazy
I guess Firebringer was mostly just threatening Vedith to keep his act together rather than actually saying he would leave so there's that at least
So assuming Fire was just yanking his chain then it's just RC+Ank that's threatening to leave which then leaves Vedith with a potential speed hammer?
Should I be doing
"If Allo, RC, and Ank all flip town, do we lynch SS"? I feel like that's a stupid question but it's one we should answer maybe?
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 2:03 pm
by Nancy Drew 39
In post 3096, Krazy wrote:
Funny that this is probably the towniest post Moment made in my mind lol
and it's still basically NAI
Yeah, I don’t understand the strong Moment townreads, we hardly have any content to really have a correct read on her. She’s still a hard nullread at this point for me. We need Gamma, Moment and DT to all post more.
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 2:05 pm
by Pink Ball
In post 3097, Something_Smart wrote: In post 3090, Pink Ball wrote:Errrr why would Dann being town make Allo town? That correlation sounds more wacky
If we were to assume that the statement "if Allo is scum, then Dann is scum" is true, and we also assume that "Dann is town" is true, then by contraposition, we could conclude that "Allo is town" is also true.
Therefore, the more confident we are in those two premises, the more confident we can be in the conclusion.
Or, to use words instead of logic: it's not likely that scum-Allo flubs his read like that on a townie. Since you're confident Dann is town, it means that Allo is less likely scum for it.
That's not how logic works. If p is "Dann Is scum" and q is "Allo is scum", then:
P Q p-->q
T T T
T F F
F T T
F F T
So, Dann is scum implies Allo is scum is a true statement if both are indeed scum. If Dann is scum and Allo isn't, then the statement is false. But if Dann is town, Allo could be either town or scum, since the premise implied that Dann was scum, and he isn't. So the promise isn't broken if Dann is town, thus making Allo's alignment a mistery regarding Dann.
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 2:05 pm
by Dannflor
Yea honestly, I'm just waiting for the lower people to post more. I'm hoping more interactions there will be revealing
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 2:08 pm
by Dr Worm
RC is PLAYING MIND HURT GAMES with THREAT of LEAVING!! DR WORM doens"t BELEIVE!!
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 2:08 pm
by Something_Smart
I'm just a poor girl and nobody loves me
She's just a poor girl from a poor family
Spare her her life from this monstrosity
I have 1 coin
In post 3098, Dannflor wrote:I'm not sold Allo didn't just drop his town read of me because I started hard pushing him.
I rarely see scum doing stuff like that.
In post 3088, Something_Smart wrote:But I don't know if Allo is the best choice to be left behind.
Also I have this nasty feeling that I'm going to be the last lady unpaired and I'm going to have to choose who dies.
Who would you choose to be left behind, if you had to choose?
That's the thing, so many of the remaining gents haven't done much since I replaced in... so I really don't know. I'd probably just go with popular opinion.
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 2:09 pm
by Dr Worm
PINKBELLS THANSK YOU for LOGIC lesson!! DR WORM KNEW IT TOO.. but HARD TIME explaining!!
Posted: Sun Feb 10, 2019 2:09 pm
by Something_Smart
In post 3119, Pink Ball wrote: In post 3097, Something_Smart wrote: In post 3090, Pink Ball wrote:Errrr why would Dann being town make Allo town? That correlation sounds more wacky
If we were to assume that the statement "if Allo is scum, then Dann is scum" is true, and we also assume that "Dann is town" is true, then by contraposition, we could conclude that "Allo is town" is also true.
Therefore, the more confident we are in those two premises, the more confident we can be in the conclusion.
Or, to use words instead of logic: it's not likely that scum-Allo flubs his read like that on a townie. Since you're confident Dann is town, it means that Allo is less likely scum for it.
That's not how logic works. If p is "Dann Is scum" and q is "Allo is scum", then:
P Q p-->q
T T T
T F F
F T T
F F T
So, Dann is scum implies Allo is scum is a true statement if both are indeed scum. If Dann is scum and Allo isn't, then the statement is false. But if Dann is town, Allo could be either town or scum, since the premise implied that Dann was scum, and he isn't. So the promise isn't broken if Dann is town, thus making Allo's alignment a mistery regarding Dann.
The premise is Allo scum implies Dann scum, not Dann scum implies Allo scum. The idea was that if Allo was in fact scum who fudged a read, it was more likely he fudged it on a partner.