Page 128 of 165
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 5:30 am
by Irrelephant11
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 5:30 am
by BlackVoid
In post 3167, skitter30 wrote:
i literally just saw him do this as town
your responses are actually pinging me a lot
was that just hammer?
Okay, that's interesting. I've always assumed as that as town, there's some gamesolving going on behind the scenes which he just doesn't show us. At least that's what it looked like in the game I played scum against him.
I still get the feeling that he has given up and wants the game to end. I don't know who else it would be if it isn't N_M. I can look back at Gustavo again but I really don't think as scum, he's going to get so frustrated that people ignored his Shoshin push that he almost just checks out of the game.
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 5:32 am
by skitter30
in the aforementioned jungle republic game, *after* tw claimed seer and nobody cc'd him (this was *not* a cc)
and nm was town
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 5:34 am
by skitter30
bv i'm really just getting the vibe that you want to push this lynch through?
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 5:35 am
by Not_Mafia
VT
Now lynch scum
VOTE: EP
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 5:37 am
by skitter30
but then this makes me feel like you legit have no idea what's going and that you're just throwing out random names
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 5:40 am
by BlackVoid
In post 3178, skitter30 wrote:bv i'm really just getting the vibe that you want to push this lynch through?
Yeah, I want to push N_M through. Maybe I'm not playing completely optimally by not going through an extensive analysis of clearing Gustavo before I do it. I think it's ridiculous people are actually voting me over him and I'd hate to give this scumteam a free mislynch on me even if they wind up losing.
I haven't read the game closely enough to see what the context is. But N_M's posts here just gave me the impression that he knows he's caught and the game is done so might as well get lynched and move onto the next one.
Is there anyone I should be seriously considering outside of N_M?
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 5:43 am
by Gustavo
VOTE: nm
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 5:44 am
by Irrelephant11
skitter it might be BV but his wanting to push NM through here is towny - scumplay is to prepare another lynch for when this flips green.
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 5:45 am
by Irrelephant11
though BV if you wouldn't mind responding to Nauci's case
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 5:46 am
by Keyser Söze
Not_Mafia’s votes are beyond a joke now.
HOWEVER I say we put him to the side for now.
- BV needs to defend himself to Nauci (Nauci would be incensed if this doesn’t happen today, her investigations on me and Irrelephant has maybe won us the game so we owe her that)
Then we vote and end D4.
Everyone’s happy.
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 5:48 am
by skitter30
In post 3181, BlackVoid wrote: In post 3178, skitter30 wrote:bv i'm really just getting the vibe that you want to push this lynch through?
Yeah, I want to push N_M through. Maybe I'm not playing completely optimally by not going through an extensive analysis of clearing Gustavo before I do it. I think it's ridiculous people are actually voting me over him and I'd hate to give this scumteam a free mislynch on me even if they wind up losing.
I haven't read the game closely enough to see what the context is. But N_M's posts here just gave me the impression that he knows he's caught and the game is done so might as well get lynched and move onto the next one.
Is there anyone I should be seriously considering outside of N_M?
ok so here's where i'm at:
a) you feel like you're trying to push through a lynch, which feels very wrong from you; like i'm surprised that you aren't re-reading gustavo here or looking at ep. like i understand that from your pov nm is most likely but i feel like you aren't going through the other options as thoroughly as i'd expect from you, which is surprising me. and you not really responding to nauci is just kinda uncharacteristic i think
b) nm is literally throwing out random names, which looks kinda survivalistic to me, to see if anything sticks. my problem is that he isn't that clueless i think? like if he actually cares he has a very good sense as to what's going on. i don't know if he's more likely to care as scum or town but i feel like he usually at least attempts to play to his wincon and here he's just like doing whatever. it looks kinda like a last-ditch attempt to get the heat off of him. but like i don't think this plays to a scum wincon and i don't think tw entrusts the game to someone so clearly out of it; i don't think he gambles that hard on nm who just isn't here
c) i am beginning to get paranoid that i got pocketed by you - i'm having a lot of trouble putting together tw + bv in a way that makes sense to me knowing what i know about your playstyle but i'm having an equally hard time being comfortable just calling you town no matter how much i want to
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 5:49 am
by skitter30
In post 3183, Irrelephant11 wrote:skitter it might be BV but his wanting to push NM through here is towny - scumplay is to prepare another lynch for when this flips green.
i know that's part of what's causing doubts
but rushing the day just feels wrong from him either way? idk
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 5:54 am
by BlackVoid
@skitter, you have the impression of me never being impatient because a scenario like that never happened in the games we played together. In some scenarios, I do get impatient. Example:
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.p ... 0#p9486237 (read my posts about Mulch). You have a good idea of how I play but you haven't seen my full townrange.
I was going to respond to Nauci but then I actually caught up and got distracted with more recent posts.
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 5:55 am
by Irrelephant11
Also as another town point for Nauci (re: anyone who thinks she's a potential lynch) - she knew Keyser and I were not just town, but specifically VT. In a game that was missing a town PR claim, that's a dangerous guess. Unless she's scum roleblocker-and-rolecop
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 5:59 am
by skitter30
she's very very probably town but honestly she's not getting lynched today ever and if we don't solve the game today she's almost for sure getting nk'd before lylo so i'm just sticking her in my townpile without thinking about it too much tbh
like if we're both alive in lylo i'll worry about it then but i honestly can't imagine that lylo will be me/nauci/???? so i don't really care enough to worry about this line of thinking
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 6:02 am
by Keyser Söze
...and me and you are not two slots you t/clear... we were in some players PoE.
Clearing us as two VT’s is a masterstroke that helps us narrow down the lynch pool for the win.
Yes, was thinking rolecop earlier... but we’re hunting roleblocker.
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 6:02 am
by Errantparabola
UNVOTE:
almost impossible that Nauci is not legit, any town result that scumNauci fakes is in essence a town clear, so functionally scumNauci is mechanical suicide assuming that we force her to verify all the VT claims
have this horrible nagging feeling that if gustavo is scum we've already lost this game.
Him simultaneously saying "it's one of BV and NM" while consistently applying pressure on me honestly makes me think that both of them are town and gustavo is prepping for LYLO with me and him but it just feels soooooooooooo far off from stungun and gustavo consistently being towny this game that I really dont know if gustavo scum makes sense ever
Yeah it's townposting
In post 3144, Gustavo wrote:
Odd Night Doctor
Tracker
Neopolitan
Neighborizer
1 shot BP
Encryptor
Goon
Ninja or Blocker?
Who thinks this looks balanced?
with a blocker this doesn't look too far off of balance? 10/3 is CRAZY skewed towards scum
In post 3151, skitter30 wrote:the one thing that's holding me back here is that nm is super disengaged from the game and idk if tw banks the game on nm given how out of it he is
Okay, yeah that's another thing
Why does TW suicide to push NM forward? This D2 fake guilty strategy makes me think that they've got someone who they feel like can go long (or at least, longer than worst which was admittedly not a super high bar this game) which sort of exists directly in conflict with the people i'm townreading
In post 3186, skitter30 wrote:nm is literally throwing out random names, which looks kinda survivalistic to me, to see if anything sticks
Wouldn't interpret this as survivalistic personally. I feel like I can't read any of NM's posting anymore because it makes equally as much sense for him as town to give up as for him as scum to give up
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 6:07 am
by Gustavo
10:3 is like 95% of the games here though so not really.
I don’t really see the point of a bp here but whatever
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 6:08 am
by skitter30
In post 3192, Errantparabola wrote:Okay, yeah that's another thing
Why does TW suicide to push NM forward? This D2 fake guilty strategy makes me think that they've got someone who they feel like can go long (or at least, longer than worst which was admittedly not a super high bar this game) which sort of exists directly in conflict with the people i'm townreading
In post 3186, skitter30 wrote:
nm is literally throwing out random names, which looks kinda survivalistic to me, to see if anything sticks
Wouldn't interpret this as survivalistic personally. I feel like I can't read any of NM's posting anymore because it makes equally as much sense for him as town to give up as for him as scum to give up
yeah from tw i just don't see him banking the game on nm in this context? like that seems like a bizarre strategy to me given that tw was going to get lynched yesterday or today if he survived yesterday
and wrt survivalistic, like i don't know if it's AI - that's kinda what i was getting at; like i can see him doing this as either alignment tbh, which is why i'm having trouble interpreting it
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 6:09 am
by Gustavo
In post 3192, Errantparabola wrote:Okay, yeah that's another thing
Why does TW suicide to push NM forward? This D2 fake guilty strategy makes me think that they've got someone who they feel like can go long (or at least, longer than worst which was admittedly not a super high bar this game) which sort of exists directly in conflict with the people i'm townreading
If this was the strategy, this would not point to NM but supposedly tw has done this before so idk if that was the strategy
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 6:10 am
by skitter30
actually that's a legit point; i think nauci linked a previous game of tw's where he did this after one partner was dead and another partner was super scumread
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 6:10 am
by skitter30
In post 2606, Nauci wrote: In post 2576, Keyser Söze wrote:@skittles
Do you think scum-TW has given up today? (he’s decided for D3 to be about him, with the potential of it being 9 town vs 1 Mafia going into N3) Is he
that
confident that his scum partner is that well town read / hidden?
Is there ANYTHING from his D1/D2 play that backs up this trying-to-look-scummy-but-really-a-town-pr narrative?
In our stack the deck game, I Vigged scum N1. TW basically outed himself D2 while their 3rd was one of the more scumread slots in the game.
So I'm not sure if it means he feels confident about their 3rd?
this one
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 6:12 am
by Errantparabola
VOTE: NotMafia
Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 6:12 am
by Irrelephant11
Anddd that's hammer
Gg NM?