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Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 10:04 am
by Amrun
why wouldn’t they?
It’s probably more likely though hmmm. Interesting point.
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 10:05 am
by Amrun
In post 3174, Bingle wrote:His decision about gamma being gun read as the most fake to me. It's not a strong read, but I'm 50/50 off of random chance and it's as good a starting place as any.
I'm open to being convinced on scumreads.
Can I towncase icon instead?
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 10:17 am
by Bingle
It's a terrible choice.
It first presumes that town would pick N4 gun when they're vastly more likely to pick early roles and then presumes that both town N4 gun and scum N4 rose survive to N4.
Gun is just always a better choice for scum there, and early choices are better than later ones. If I were playing this setup, I'd never pick anything later than D3.
There's the potential that alim is fakeclaiming as spent gun (in which case they die) or just made an insane pick without input from partners, but leaning on Occams makes alim N4 rose crazy likely town if we can prove that is the case.
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 10:18 am
by Bingle
You can, but I'm traditionally really hard to convince with towncases.
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 11:18 am
by Amrun
In post 3178, Bingle wrote:
You can, but I'm traditionally really hard to convince with towncases.
Have you read the whole game? (No judgment just asking)
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 11:29 am
by Menalque
Ahhh jinglejanglebingleboi
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 11:30 am
by Menalque
I think bingle makes it into the category of people I don’t feel bad about losing because of following them
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 11:31 am
by Menalque
In post 3167, Bingle wrote:Hot take, soft preference on lynch order is Ico > Datisi. Thoughts?
How would you feel about doing amrun first instead?
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 11:31 am
by Amrun
I think Bingle’s alim point is good, and his plan is good.
I think the lynch should be DogWatch. No truly viable teams work without her or alim in it, and alim is out for obvious reasons.
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 11:33 am
by Amrun
Like even if I’m wrong on all my townreads, and both datisi/Ico are scum, DW or alim is the partner, never Menalque.
If one or more of them is right, both DW AND alim is scum.
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 11:33 am
by Menalque
In post 3170, Bingle wrote:0-1 scum in mena/Amrun means 2-3 scum in Ico/datisi/dw/alim.
Dw feels like the unpopular consensus, but is being pushed by both Ico and datisi, which means he’s very unlikely to be pushed by a pure wagon. The fact that it’s a well, I guess wagon makes it an unlikely bus.
Alim is getting shot tonight.
Does anyone feel strongly about any of these points being wrong? If so, why?
DW is also being pushed by amrun, and harder than by datisi iirc
I also have some doubts about icon based on the interaction we had a few pages ago but it may be real time bias
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 11:37 am
by Menalque
I also don’t really see datisi and think that if icon is scum amrun makes by far the most sense there
And i don’t really know what you’re seeing that’s scummy in dats beyond for instance alim, although I see how that’s a moot point if you’re shooting him
You realise that if we lynch scum today and alim is town tho then shooting him auto loses?
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 11:38 am
by Datisi
Alim claimed N4 rose
If he's town he'll survive
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 11:39 am
by Menalque
Wait I thought he said that was a meme?
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 11:40 am
by Datisi
Idk
Claimed N3 then changed to N4
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 11:40 am
by Menalque
Yeah I thought he’d then said later that that was a meme but maybe I got mixed up
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 11:41 am
by Datisi
Icon said that N3 roses are a meme
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 11:42 am
by Menalque
@bingle i need to sleep bc exhausted but I’ll case amrun tomorrow afternoon/evening if you can wait
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 11:42 am
by Menalque
Okay I think I may have just mixed up who was calling what a meme
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:20 pm
by alimdia
First, Bingle I hope you know that scum has a NK as well in addition to any guns
Secondly, I thought we all knew I was trolling when I changed my claim. I had breadcrumbs for night 3 rose and shit that I Showed ya all...
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:25 pm
by alimdia
In post 3183, Amrun wrote:I think Bingle’s alim point is good, and his plan is good.
I think the lynch should be DogWatch. No truly viable teams work without her or alim in it, and alim is out for obvious reasons.
@Amrun whats your post 3138 doing/implying?
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:25 pm
by Bingle
In post 3179, Amrun wrote: In post 3178, Bingle wrote:
You can, but I'm traditionally really hard to convince with towncases.
Have you read the whole game? (No judgment just asking)
Not even close.
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:27 pm
by Bingle
In post 3194, alimdia wrote:First, Bingle I hope you know that scum has a NK as well in addition to any guns
Secondly, I thought we all knew I was trolling when I changed my claim. I had breadcrumbs for night 3 rose and shit that I Showed ya all...
Damn, I was hoping you'd stand by the claim. That makes this more complicated.
Why did you think you were worth keeping around by casting doubt on your ability to be nightkilled?
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:28 pm
by Bingle
Via Dat's logic that there is 0-1 scum in you/Amrun, Amrun shouldn't be lynched today.
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:30 pm
by Bingle
With that said, I'm not tr-ing amrun. Neither her nor Dat gave me townvibes when I repped in.