Page 129 of 156

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:13 am
by Anatole Kuragin
It seems like you're
really
trying to stretch this which is annoying since you're conftown.

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:14 am
by F-16_Fighting_Falcon
Because it shows your mindset. You were joking about how you were carrying the town on your back after you ended up scumreading two scum. It wasn't a "funny" joke. It was something that was said in a lighthearted way.

But I'm not going to keep pushing this point. I'd rather look through your ISO in this game and post more comments.

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:16 am
by Cutty Shark
I am toying with the idea of no lynch today. We are in the +SK equivalent of MYLO:

worst case scenario tomorrow would be 3v1v1 where we are essentially in the same situation as today (ML can lose the game but a correct lynch cannot lose it). Best case scenario is considerably better for a number of reasons.

Also it gives Nashville or whomever the camera ends up with an extra shot with it.

Thoughts?

-b

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:17 am
by Anatole Kuragin
I didn't pretend to nail messiah in that game though. He was nightkilled and I never voted him or even really addressed him at all. It doesn't add up to what you're saying here.

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:18 am
by Anatole Kuragin
Anatole Kuragin wrote:I didn't pretend to nail messiah in that game though. He was nightkilled and I never voted him or even really addressed him at all. It doesn't add up to what you're saying here.


@f16

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:19 am
by F-16_Fighting_Falcon
Then me or Ffery will get shot at. It is suboptimal to no lynch when there is conftown. I really don't think mafia or SK will try to shoot at each other. Also, scum have to choose between killing Titus/Mala or one of me and Ffery and that uncertainty is there even if we lynch out of Anatole/Majiffy/Oka.

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:19 am
by Cutty Shark
F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:I really don't think mafia or SK will try to shoot at each other.


I guess this is the point of contention. They can't both win and have to deal with each other sometime.

-b

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:19 am
by F-16_Fighting_Falcon
Anatole Kuragin wrote:
Anatole Kuragin wrote:I didn't pretend to nail messiah in that game though. He was nightkilled and I never voted him or even really addressed him at all. It doesn't add up to what you're saying here.


@f16

That's fine. I already said I'd drop that point.

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:21 am
by F-16_Fighting_Falcon
Cutty Shark wrote:
F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:I really don't think mafia or SK will try to shoot at each other.


I guess this is the point of contention. They can't both win and have to deal with each other sometime.

-b

They are going to try and make it happen through a day lynch. It is much more likely they would lose if they leave conftown alive.

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:21 am
by Anatole Kuragin
If you want to see my decent town meta, look at Belisarius's flying aces where MC was scum and I called him from day one. I think it's probably pretty similar to my progression with the Babs lynch. I went back and forth with him (since he fakeclaimed doctor and most people townread him) but after there was a decent association I pulled the trigger.

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:21 am
by Cutty Shark
Well if we end up at 2v1v1 I am going to auto NL if I am still alive, so neither will be winning that way.

-b

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:22 am
by F-16_Fighting_Falcon
Which is still a sort of kingmaker scenario/prisoner's dilemma. Why go there when we can win outright and still have the power to choose who to lynch?

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:23 am
by Cutty Shark
F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:Which is still a sort of kingmaker scenario/prisoner's dilemma. Why go there when we can win outright and still have the power to choose who to lynch?


No, that's what happens if we ML today, not if we NL.

-b

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:23 am
by Anatole Kuragin
Anatole Kuragin wrote:If you want to see my decent town meta, look at Belisarius's flying aces where MC was scum and I called him from day one. I think it's probably pretty similar to my progression with the Babs lynch. I went back and forth with him (since he fakeclaimed doctor and most people townread him) but after there was a decent association I pulled the trigger.


Same with my read of Reck in the recently finished Air Combat Mafia by Oman - I had a gut scumread on Reck all game but didn't really push it until I hammered him in LYLO.

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:24 am
by Cutty Shark
And yes, I would rather lynch correctly today. I'm just trying to do that from the most informed position I can

-b

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:26 am
by F-16_Fighting_Falcon
Cutty Shark wrote:
F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:Which is still a sort of kingmaker scenario/prisoner's dilemma. Why go there when we can win outright and still have the power to choose who to lynch?


No, that's what happens if we ML today, not if we NL.

-b

You are right. But let's say two of Nashville, Ffery or I get nightkilled after we no lynch. You are in the same position as before and you won't be any closer to figuring out which of Oka/Majiffy/Anatole are scum.

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:27 am
by Anatole Kuragin
well i can help you there - lynch oka now

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:28 am
by Cutty Shark
Yep. That is definitely that particular worst case scenario

-b

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:29 am
by Anatole Kuragin
¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:29 am
by F-16_Fighting_Falcon
Oh yeah, I read through the Air Combat game. Not sure what to make of it yet.

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:29 am
by Cutty Shark
Anatole Kuragin wrote:well i can help you there - lynch oka now


Why oka and not majiffy?

-b

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:30 am
by Anatole Kuragin
we've been over this - Oka is almost certainly serial killer

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:30 am
by Cutty Shark
And you think nashville is outside shot at groupscum only?

-b

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:31 am
by Anatole Kuragin
it's her or majiffy

there is an or there

I don't have an or on serial killer

Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2014 7:32 am
by Anatole Kuragin
Her discussion about the camera doesn't seem groupscummy to me but I don't have a good argument aside from that