Page 131 of 174
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 7:20 am
by Menalque
If both deb and itle flip scum my guess is maria for the third, but honestly that’s a lot weaker now
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 7:20 am
by Ausuka
because he was towny and is a good player and possible Mason things
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 7:32 am
by Menalque
Do you have another power or only 2shot doc?
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 7:35 am
by RCEnigma
In post 3248, Menalque wrote:I think that if we assume worse case scenario (12:4:1 not 13:4) then there are two more left after me, assuming that happens
My suggestion is lynch in (itlepip, deb) the next two days
If they both flip town, scum is in (FL, RCE, ausuka)
This is a hard no. I'd bet there are 0 scum in that grouping.
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 7:43 am
by Gamma Emerald
In post 3248, Menalque wrote:I think that if we assume worse case scenario (12:4:1 not 13:4) then there are two more left after me, assuming that happens
My suggestion is lynch in (itlepip, deb) the next two days
If they both flip town, scum is in (FL, RCE, ausuka)
Wat
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 8:08 am
by Menalque
I think that if itle, deb and I were to all flip town there is minimum 1, up to all 3 in that grouping
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 8:08 am
by Menalque
If all those players are still alive by lylo and we 3 were all to flip town
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 8:09 am
by Menalque
Not necessarily expecting anyone to put a lot of credence in this while I’m alive but after I town flip pls someone remember it
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 8:53 am
by RCEnigma
So I'm going to hardclaim on the condition that FL is unlynchable. Scum already know my role looking back on Avengers iso. I'm Vilew the second mason.
Pretty sure FL knew yesterday so him trying to move away from the discussion on Mastinas flip is townie considering strongman is a real possibility. Ausuka being out of shots doesn't really matter.
Slim down the Poe today, follow through tomorrow. I've already given Mastinas dying scumteam likelihoods in order of said likelihood. I agree on all three though.
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 9:14 am
by Pink Ball
Yeah I thought it was obvious at this point. RCE, don't you think that Mena's obliviousness about you being the other mason comes from town? I'd expect more attention coming from scum and as you said, the scumteam probably already knew you were the other mason. Or at least I wouldn't expect a scum member to keep saying that you could be scum with FL, it's a weird approach. Especially from Mena who over analyzes everything as scum (Pokemon Ruby just ended; Mena was scum in there. If you skim a few pages of the scum PT you'll get what I'm saying).
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 9:20 am
by Pink Ball
I didn't want to defend Mena until Pokemon Ruby was over 'cause I noticed some differences in the way he was approaching both games, so I thought he would be flip different alignments in both games. Now that I know he was scum in that game, I'm pretty sure he's town here. I was a bit paranoid that he would want to pocket me 'cause we were together in both games, but so did Gamma and Chemist.
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 9:23 am
by itlepip
Can we please lynch DEB?
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 9:24 am
by Ausuka
In post 3259, Pink Ball wrote:I'd expect more attention coming from scum and as you said, the scumteam probably already knew you were the other mason.
Doesn't this also apply to itlepip thinking Alch counterclaimed Maria?
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 9:30 am
by RCEnigma
In post 3259, Pink Ball wrote:Yeah I thought it was obvious at this point. RCE, don't you think that Mena's obliviousness about you being the other mason comes from town? I'd expect more attention coming from scum and as you said, the scumteam probably already knew you were the other mason. Or at least I wouldn't expect a scum member to keep saying that you could be scum with FL, it's a weird approach. Especially from Mena who over analyzes everything as scum (Pokemon Ruby just ended; Mena was scum in there. If you skim a few pages of the scum PT you'll get what I'm saying).
I considered him just being oblivious town so I've been trying to feed reasons FL is just town here to see if he wouldn't or wouldn't reconsider his reads. I think Town!Menalque would be more open to someone else's input considering he was wrong on Avengers.
On the flip side he hasn't really budged on his reads, it's like Avengers hasn't flipped yet. The only difference is that he's ignoring Maria now. I think this could easily be Menalque trying to prevent townlocking. Though I don't really think that's possible at this point? FL also isn't really a viable nk with another mason on the loose and doctors in play. So it makes sense to push him as a ml prospect from a scum perspective.
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 9:32 am
by Gamma Emerald
In post 3260, Pink Ball wrote:I didn't want to defend Mena until Pokemon Ruby was over 'cause I noticed some differences in the way he was approaching both games, so I thought he would be flip different alignments in both games. Now that I know he was scum in that game, I'm pretty sure he's town here. I was a bit paranoid that he would want to pocket me 'cause we were together in both games, but so did Gamma and Chemist.
Btw no hard feelings about that game?
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 9:32 am
by Pink Ball
In post 3262, Ausuka wrote: In post 3259, Pink Ball wrote:I'd expect more attention coming from scum and as you said, the scumteam probably already knew you were the other mason.
Doesn't this also apply to itlepip thinking Alch counterclaimed Maria?
No
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 9:36 am
by Pink Ball
In post 3264, Gamma Emerald wrote: In post 3260, Pink Ball wrote:I didn't want to defend Mena until Pokemon Ruby was over 'cause I noticed some differences in the way he was approaching both games, so I thought he would be flip different alignments in both games. Now that I know he was scum in that game, I'm pretty sure he's town here. I was a bit paranoid that he would want to pocket me 'cause we were together in both games, but so did Gamma and Chemist.
Btw no hard feelings about that game?
Man I was waiting for the game to end to talk to you and apologize but I forgot. I'm sorry, we got pretty heated. But of course, it was the heat of the moment, you're still my difficult to read friend.
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 9:37 am
by Menalque
RCE man the reason I’ve been going that way is because the game seems very under control right now
Which would mean that in the case of itlepip and deb flipping town after me, that town is being run by scum
I said pretty clearly that after me (assuming my mislynch goes through) then itlepip and deb should be the following lynches
That’s an evolution from “I think FL is actively scum”
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 9:37 am
by Menalque
P.s. I’m sorry re:ruby for any extent to which my push on gamma was responsible for that spat
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 9:39 am
by Menalque
What do you mean me trying to prevent townlocking, RCE?
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 9:43 am
by itlepip
PB why do you think I'm scum here?
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 9:44 am
by RCEnigma
I mean I'm fairly confident in the town block being myself, Ausuka, FL, PB. Probably on Alchemist. Scum killed on the avengers wagon and have to throw doubt on early voters as a result. Scum being on the back end becomes a smaller pool with Mastinas death.
There aren't very many mislynch paths for scum that don't lead directly to them.
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 9:45 am
by RCEnigma
Menalque if you flip town who would be your preferred Lynch?
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 9:48 am
by Menalque
I will flip town and I will mock you post game for not having seen how hilariously obv!town I am here
Prob deb followed by itle tbh
Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2019 9:50 am
by Pink Ball
'cause you weren't on Avengers' wagon and 'cause I'm townreading a lot of other players so I have a solid PoE.