I made a post somewhere, basically Amrun is pushing DW in a way I'd rather vote Amrun first i think
Posted: Thu Jan 09, 2020 8:37 pm
by Iconeum
you don't think they are partners?
Posted: Thu Jan 09, 2020 8:41 pm
by Datisi
Idk, since Gamma!slot isn't a lynch anymore I think she shifter onto trying to lynch DW? But if that scenario isn't bussing then you'd be the partner fmpov hmmm
I'm hoping the conftown will have actually read the game prior to making a decision
Posted: Thu Jan 09, 2020 11:04 pm
by alimdia
Defence of Amrun's post part 1:
Firstly, Trying to solve a scum team right now for me is just going to induce paranoia. Just 1 town read being wrong is enough to lose the game. Can't just POE here for that reason.
I want to just find the most individually scummy person right now and lynch them. Then if they are town, we lose. If they're scum, THEN I'll start looking at connections.
The fact that Amrun is just doing buddying+points and -points and all that stuff when we have 0 scum flips is
Its like just busywork from my POV.
Creature, what was this? Did you have a legit scumread on AF (which I don't see how) or were you just trying to get a wagon going?
Mixing me up with Aaron is a partnertell now?
Trying to analyse using people's reads is fair enough, but literally Amrun is looking at DW's 2 read lists and basically assuming he is scum.
If anything DW TR'ing me could be just him following the train, since at that point I think Datisi and Icon both TR me.
I've always been saying DW was scummy independently of team analysis.
In post 3276, Amrun wrote:
These posts kind of pull DogWatch out of obscurity but I need to see when sally and I started the DW wagon on day 1 which IIRC alim never votes on. Either way for this gamestate, negative buddy points.
Whats the point of negative buddy points when you don't seem to calculate it to the 'final tally'
Thats all for tonight, had to catch up all my games, I will investigate the rapid Amrun wagon and its equally rapid collapse, along with the people in the wagon.
In the meantime, this is reminding me of another game where nobody ever follows my pushes.
UNVOTE:
Note: she was NOT voting dw here but still did not vote here even though the strongest SR she should have at this stage per her posting would be DW.
Biggest misrep ever! I went V/lA and was very busy before that. Prior to that my STRONGEST SR was SS and I had my vote on SS. I was basically really absent after that and trying
to misrep and shade me for this is???
In post 731, Iconeum wrote:And also, Amrun should always be the lynch today.
If we lynch anyone else, it won't even matter what they flip, Amrun is still gonna be hot tomorrow. Better off lynching today and working from there (with wagon information from today). I know a bunch of players who are gonna look pretty ropey if Amrun flips red.
It's just the best lynch.
tbh same argument could be made for GL.
I agree with Salamence that DW is very opportunstic, but there are others also as opportunstic. They just post less so you don't notice.
Some examples I can point out right now is:
Creature: Read his ISO. Self explanatory
Texcat: He avoids the Amrun wagon but hops on the GL one. Then he shades me using what GL says in post #500.
As you mentioned, DW is also very opportunistic
This post is super weird. At this point, sally and I are going for DW, and alim is basically saying “yeah it’s scummy and I have been calling it scummy, but x y and z (all of whom are town) are just as scummy.” Definitely + buddy points
Straight up - is this not true? Tell me what I was saying then wasn't true?
Not even going to reply to the lurkers point.
You a lot of stuff that I say that I don't know how to respond to you about. Me asking Datisi about her theory - okay.... Whats your point including this here?
In post 2009, Datisi wrote:S_S, reasons for alimdia TR? I'm kinda forgetting that slot exists honestly, and I almost find it a bit weird you've got a TR on them while you don't remember anything I've done?
wasn't I in ur town list in post 1568? (and 1912)
hm......
yes you were
and then you dissapeared for a while
I never reappeared between 1568(or 1572) and 1912.....
VOTE: Datisi
Random datisi vote with no progression. Can’t decide what it means.
It is not a random datisi vote. There was an explanation from Datisi, which made me see I was wrong and I unvoted. Can't tell if misrep or...
Well i had 2 main theories before everyone and their mother claimed N3 rose
1) Scum shot me N3 and it failed
2) Scum shot the N2 rose on N2 and it failed, then they killed the N2 rose again on N3 (GL)
Where is the DW scumread gone? Why is gamma now the one in all her solves? But DW isn’t? There is NO profession here. Why has she not been pushing DW all phase?
Look me in the eyes and tell me you wouldn't have lynched Gamma over DW before he became confirmed town. LOL WTFF?
I have a stronger *actual* scumread on DW, but it basicly doesn't work without Amrun as partner and there's all town's reads to consider like Menal said
Posted: Thu Jan 09, 2020 11:54 pm
by Iconeum
deadline approaching, vla weekend
i need to make up my mind
and it's awfully close between DW and Amrun for me
Posted: Thu Jan 09, 2020 11:57 pm
by Datisi
ye i think it's kinda unfounded since i don't think i've been TRing Amrun? also not sure how you see an Amrun/DW team hmmm
Posted: Fri Jan 10, 2020 12:03 am
by Iconeum
In post 3317, Datisi wrote:ye i think it's kinda unfounded since i don't think i've been TRing Amrun? also not sure how you see an Amrun/DW team hmmm
In post 3076, Menalque wrote:Like I get having tonal reads and letting tone continue to influence you but unless you know someone really well it’s susp af to be mostly basing your read off “they sound frustrated differently” instead of what they’ve actually been doing in the game
Why is that suspect? You have only the most garbage of reasons to suspect anyone at all. All game you’ve been trying to drop Icon back into PoE for NOT ONE SINGLE REASON. Your push on me day 1 was literally better than your push here and it sucked then too.
I had a decent “case” on Datisi with pretty good reasons but now I don’t even think she’s scum.
This game sucks and town sucks and I suck. I’m over it. If I’m to be lynched in LyLo for extremely bad reasons, so be it. The game is half scum so we probably lose anyway. I deserve to lose for having such poor reads this game.
What the fuck are you even talking about amrun
“All game you’ve been trying to drop icon back into PoE”
Fucking WHERE
literally I was calling icon town until D3 at which point I straight dropped him into the PoE bc that’s how PoE fucking works
Also get the fuck outta here “most garbage of reasons”
What like “menalque feels frustrated differently” is such a solid reason and not at all obviously bullshit for the fact that fabricating a real scumread takes effort that you’re trying to get out of by AtEing all over the thread
I guess you’re right about the PoE thing. I just don’t like it bc icon is obvtown to me.
And oh yeah my reasons mostly suck too. Everything sucks this game.
In post 3164, Amrun wrote:Up until today got so fuckingfucked, I thought scum was datisi/gamma(Bingle)/one of {dw, alim}.
Now, my heart is telling me datisi is not scum and I’m just going with it, I still strongly TR Icon, and I think Bingleslot must be the lying gun, so my scumteam by necessity is {menal, alim, DW}.
But my reads have been garbage all day so Whatever. I’m so fed up.
In post 3174, Bingle wrote:His decision about gamma being gun read as the most fake to me. It's not a strong read, but I'm 50/50 off of random chance and it's as good a starting place as any.
In post 14, Datisi wrote:I was trying to find some variation of "he said what we were all thinking" or "he's brave for telling the truth" in gif form but i didn't find anything good in the 3 minutes i was searching
SS, I’m getting scum vibes from you. I don’t think I’m right by any means, but I feel we’re about to be on different sides of the shift. (Not alignment wise, gamestate wise) However, it could be leftover from the last Guns/Roses.
I for one
love
bad puns. You gotta go for the bad ones to test the audience. Sometimes ya hit, sometimes ya miss.
I don't like this post. Don't understand the need for this callout, especially if you say it's not AI?
Looking for a town slip on a stronger player like Menal is +town
Salim or Alim, the first one of you to give us the name of your partner will be allowed to live into LYLO, at which point you shall be lynched. We apologize for having to put you through this process, but at least you can live a couple more days. After all, it's not our fault you rolled scum.
Speak
Now, Icon says alim’s early game was so towny, but these are the only real things he said about alim DURING early game.
In post 892, Menalque wrote:Like I have a high confidence in getting to a correct read on datisi (ftr I’ve read here right every game we’ve had together since our first) and I don’t see scum her yet
Like maybe a little from the hesitance to be in thread but she’s still a tonal TL so I’m not willing to go there today
But I know ur worried about the fact that Datisi is
In post 731, Iconeum wrote:And also, Amrun should always be the lynch today.
If we lynch anyone else, it won't even matter what they flip, Amrun is still gonna be hot tomorrow. Better off lynching today and working from there (with wagon information from today). I know a bunch of players who are gonna look pretty ropey if Amrun flips red.
I know youre going to tell me its more about the other stuff he says but I don't see much of a difference between these two posts. Iconeum wants Amrun dead because hes scum apparently, and hasn't done anything since being asked by Menal to do so. Why is he doing it? Probably because he can get away with it in this game?
Instead of non-stop shading, can you like engage with me over stuff?
740 for starters - your words don't make sense with your actual 'reads'
Very weird post about Datisi that subsequently gets discussed a lot.
In post 979, Iconeum wrote:Salamance, ur not trying to sort me. You have been shading me all game, been calling for a vig shot on me, while also calling my play noob (why do you want a noob play vig'd?) and coasting. Which one is it?
If you are actually scumreading me, then push me. If you think i'm town playing bad/noob/whatever, then you shouldn't have asked for a vig shot on me.
Now we start into the Salamence20 push that I originally TR Ico for.
In post 992, Iconeum wrote:I know this is a reactionary play from me, but it doesn't mean i'm wrong about it.
This is image conscious, but a push on sally here is the opposite of image driven.
In post 995, Iconeum wrote:I did say 'was', and it was in reference to the current ones which I see no particular good reason for me to hop on
And no I just posted that to shade you for no good reason. /
I think what I wrote right there. It feels like ur not quite your town self, perhaps going with the flow some more rather then steering the raft.
If I thought anything major of it, i'd be all over your ass don't you worry.
These constant weird posts on Datisi I will never understand no matter Ico’s alignment. It’s like such an obvious associative tell that it probably just isn’t. Negative buddy points for Datisi.
Opens by questioning my slot in 179, calling me a scum candidate because I'm supposedly ignorant in my 149. Scumread because of ignorance is mehhhh at the very best, and a scumpush most of the time.
When I question him on the fact that he didn't try to push or sort his scumread in AF, he calls it an 'opportunistic' push. It's all very weak and shady.
He doesn't try to engage with me. He doesn't try to sort me.
Also says i'm likely to be scum with Amrun, the 1 slot i've actually efforted in trying to get lynched this game.
498 is more shading of my slot, without ever trying to confront me.
Then in 736, he wants me to be vigged. Ever since the start of the game, he's been on my ass for being ignorant. As time went by he tried to add to his supposed case on me, never coming up with anything actually pushable.
In post 1004, Iconeum wrote:I mean you have a very, ehm, forthcoming? way of playing town. It really stands out. And I'm not seeing that here, yet. That's exactly what I was trying to see how Menal feels about it (him having a ton of experience with you as well).
Yeah, in most cases I do. But it's tiring, and sometimes I do want to take a back seat for a bit.
And both the timing and the phrasing of the remark felt insincere to me. Plus, you've much more experience with town!me than he does, and you've seen me play this way as Town and get mislynched before.
Ur extremely defensive for a very minor thing I said
More weird Datisi posts.
In post 1044, Iconeum wrote:Salamence you've done nothing but take cheap shots at me all game, and been treating me incredibly unfair. If ur town I see absolutely no reason for you not to try and sort me properly instead of these under-the-belt takes you are having.
If ur scum, by all means keep going. Better kill me tonight then tho.
Also, both of them are in my Town pile independently, but I have a 9000IQ tinfoil theory of the whole Mena/DDL push being SvS theatre
She's not of the fencesitting type and this post is yuck
More weird Datisi shit. No mention of alim townread, or any DW read.
In post 1539, Iconeum wrote:Yeah i'm just gonna say it out loud i don't care about fallout here, really
Datisi, you think my 'shading' of you was bad, but you questioned my motivation for Amrun, and didn't follow up on it. You think DDL is scummy I guess, and you think he's potentially theatring with Menal of all players? How can you honestly be trying to sort DDL if ur not saying Amrun in the same sentence?
Instead you go with the shading/fencesitty type of approach on what I think is one of the towniest slots in the game (Menal).
In post 1747, GuiltyLion wrote:what I also think is weird having reflected on it more is DDL townreading Menalque, like, this dude was calling you scum all D1 and trying to get you lynched and you aren't suspicious of him in the slightest? really? I suggest I might switch to DDL and he decides to call me out while making no mention of Menalque?
I legit lol’d when I read this. So I just went and ISO’d DDL again and menal doesn’t even make an appearance in the entire ISO with the exception of one offhand comment that DDL likes him. It does seem extremely unrealistic to barely mention someone who’s been calling for your blood like two game days straight.
I like this. It's indeed completely unnatural for town to stay that quiet about a slot pushing you this way. Reminds a lot about myself as scum who tries to ignore rather then engage.
In post 1740, DrDolittle wrote:It's more math. I had this list, i think if amrun is scum, then SS or dogwatch are partners. Then through the exchange I ruled out SS amrun partners, so that leaves DW. But DW is independently scummy too
extremely sceptical that scum didn't bother to kill of either (menal/datisi), which are prime targets for scum (to target) imo
amrun is likely town, my reasoning being I feel extremely confident that scum would want a lynch on me today, and amrun has not been setting that up, at all
And now, first mention of alim town EVER in Icon’s ISO.
In post 2475, Iconeum wrote:gamma - DW - Amrun - mena - datisi - Amrun - Ico
That means me/you/amrun/alim town
WHO IS THE FUCKING GUN
holy shit
fml
It did take him too long to “realize” gamma was gun. I was telling him and it was fairly obvious.
Also his solves really didn’t follow with his reads from the rest of the game. Re-evaluating is ok (and expected) but I don’t like almost total lack of mention of DW except as a compromise lynch here.
In post 3118, Iconeum wrote:I really don't think that scum!mena is interested in treating my slot as 'could be town' after our engagement
He had the position to hard-scumread me back then and nobody would blink about it, but he didn't
And if most or all of the flipped town had Amrun as top scum, they are all shouting at us from the grave rn. At least it will be a shared defeat then if it comes to that. Still barring my checkup tomorrow wrt to the other flipped town, but scum!mena also has nothing to gain by pointing us towards dead town players reads, unless he thinks that wins him his final mislynch, which means EVERY SINGLE TOWN WAS WRONG, and scum just win at that point
In post 2943, Menalque wrote:Icon turned up and shitpushed me (and you, which is making me think you have negative partner equity)
menal
why would I come into today pushing you if the scumteam has gamma singled out as the mislynch?
I pushed you prior to massclaim
Interesting post.
Conclusion:
I still think there wasn’t much scum benefit to pushing sally the way Icon did. However, in read it again, sally was such a little fuckhead that scum Icon may not have cared and the genuineness I read honestly could have come from scum.
Ico/Datisi seems an almost impossible team, and Ico/menal fairly unlikely, but Ico/dw/alim is really viable.
My heart still wants to TR Ico though :c
Posted: Fri Jan 10, 2020 12:11 am
by Iconeum
In post 3319, Datisi wrote:their reversal on my slot makes no sense and i don't get it
well i just kinda case amrun's reversal on my slot
it's a lot of quotes you might think, but it's actually just a couple ico!locktown reads, followed by a single scumcasing post on me
Posted: Fri Jan 10, 2020 12:23 am
by Datisi
amrun [7] - Menalque, Datisi, Iconeum,
AaronFrost
, Dogwatch,
GuiltyLion
,
Creature
4 uncomfirmed people on the Amrun wagon at its peak - if Amrun is scum then at least one partner was bussing
amrun [4] - Datisi, Iconeum,
GuiltyLion
,
Creature
GuiltyLion
[5] -
texcat
, Amrun,
AaronFrost
,
Salamence20
, Dogwatch
next VC
DW jumped ship
amrun [5] - Datisi, Iconeum,
GuiltyLion
,
Creature
,
DrDolittle
GuiltyLion
[6] -
texcat
, Amrun,
AaronFrost
,
Salamence20
, Dogwatch, alimdia
next VC
Amrun/alim/DW?
lmao probably not
fuck i don't know
Posted: Fri Jan 10, 2020 12:24 am
by Iconeum
yeah well i also *just* cased what you are writing here
how DW was overexplaining his jumping off of that possible bus?
In post 588, DogWatch wrote:Ok, don’t have much time and posting on phone so forgive the lack of quotes. Also I haven’t read every single post yet.
Ever since GL and Creature jumped on fairly abruptly I’m a lot less sure about the wagon. Menalque continues to defend it even though it’s looking shakier by the moment.
Which brings me to this: why is menalque so widely town-read right now?
If it’s because of his “townslip” during RVS, that’s literally nothing. I’ve done something similar as scum and I’ve done it as town too with full intent both times. So I read nothing into that, purely NAI for me. I did not understand why that “slip” dominated the early discussion.
@menalque, what was your initial progression on amrun and why are still so adamant about it?
I don’t know who I’m scum reading right now. I thought amrun’s response to my vote was level headed and made sense. I don’t think my vote was particularly well reasoned. At the very least I don’t like her at L-1 right now.
UNVOTE: amrun
Leaning slightly scum on GL now, but I only skimmed his posts today so I need to go back through him. Creature I’m still leaning scum on slightly.
@amrun, you said earlier this looked like town!creature based on experience. Where are you now with him? I used to think he was easy to sort but I haven’t been here in years.
Ico's final solve
DW/amrum/alim
Menal pushed amrun very heavily, but it were town slots who deflated it at that time
This particular quote feels overly explained for an unvote, and seems like DW was happy to get off of the bus when it got to L-1 rather quickly
Amrun was hardcore townreading me and I think is now seeing that it can get me as a mislynch.
Alim comes into the team because I think Datisi and Menal are town.
If I'm wrong on Alim, then it's Datisi.