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Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:25 pm
by mhsmith0
In post 3322, Dunnstral wrote:I'm on mobile and busy but:
Mhsmith is scum. Let's lynch him (I'm caught up.)
Hs-parama probably has scum hs
Jester mds can die

Shadow can stop pushing me and admit he wants to lynch kagami and we can talk about that
If pie-me flip and pie is town, then the next two lynches are shadow-maria and dunn-kagami in some order.

I doubt HS is scum, not a priority sort.

PS If Jester-MDS flip double town, powerlynch dunn ASAP.

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:26 pm
by mhsmith0
In post 3324, Dunnstral wrote:Smith pushing on pieguy looks like a last ditch effort to get townread
The incompetence of that read is truly extraordinary if you're town.

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:27 pm
by Dunnstral
In post 3316, Nahdia wrote:i wish i wasnt an ic from game start. being confirmed town from post 1 is hella lame.
Agree

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:27 pm
by pieguyn
In post 2309, mhsmith0 wrote:Also how could you miss the point discussed from 2305? You say that she's bound be be called out for potential BS and yet she HASNT been called out and even questioned for the lack of push on me, which basically invalidates your point.

So far there seems to be no curiosity about why she isn't pushing me, so why would you think it's "inevitable" that scum!her would get pushback if it's a bs'd thing?
In post 2310, Ser Arthur Dayne wrote:
In post 2309, mhsmith0 wrote:Also how could you miss the point discussed from 2305? You say that she's bound be be called out for potential BS and yet she HASNT been called out and even questioned for the lack of push on me, which basically invalidates your point.

So far there seems to be no curiosity about why she isn't pushing me, so why would you think it's "inevitable" that scum!her would get pushback if it's a bs'd thing?
No I didn't understand what you said in 2305...

Anyway what I was originally saying was that if scum are saying (we'll use me as an example):

"I really have no idea who is scum anymore seriously I really think inspector is scum"

now compare that sentence with something like:

"I think mhsmith, MDS, shadow are scum. Even Dunn and Jester to a lesser degree I can see as scum. I also seriously have my doubts about inspector idk I really think he could be scum."

Now, which of those two sentences sounds more scummy?

If you have a lot of scumreads and you add your partner, it just looks like scum who's looking for town points by ~kinda~ scumreading their partner.

If a scum barely has any reads, they'll try to use bs to justify a read somewhere else, they don't want one of their few reads on their partner, because then later on they have to put up or shut up with their scumread on their partner. And that is disadvantageous for scum because then they'll have to be pushing against their pairing.

Therefore, what Pie said reads more coming from a townie mindset, as I don't see scum making that post.
In post 2311, mhsmith0 wrote:The problem with that idea is "later on". Pie hasn't positioned herself for a lengthy run here, which means that if she's a wolf, she's probably either going to try and get through a couple more mislynches before she goes, or she's willing to get bussed for town credit.

So "pie not playing to be the deep wolf" is I think probably accurate, but that doesn't actually make her town. I can see the argument that it comes more from a town mindset, but the fact remains the she HASNT gotten a push on that issue, which means that it's reasonably likely that she won't get flak in the very near future.

Ps the large quantity of posts in the game so far gives decent odds of that one being forgotten later on as well, which means that it'd be a very effective wolf post if from a wolf, but isn't disqualifying.
In post 2312, pieguyn wrote:for the record, the only reason I'm on The_Jester and not mhsmith0 is that I'd like a chance to be able to discuss reads with Kagami with a scum flip on the table (and Nahdia if they're still alive).

if we lynch The_Jester (likely regardless of what he flips), or if we get a scum flip somewhere else, or if Kagami decides to ditch me and go ahead and vote us, then I likely will self vote (and SAD is correct that this approach kills me if I'm scum, since once one of these things happens I really have no option but to invent some reason to push someone else and I look like obvscum).
In post 2313, Cerberus v666 wrote:So you scumread your partner and they are your preferred lynch?
In post 2314, pieguyn wrote:based on reads, I think they're the likeliest to flip scum, yes. situationally, not my #1 lynch choice because of what I said in my last post, but that goes away very soon.
In post 2315, Cerberus v666 wrote:Who are the most likely T/T pairs at this moment?
In post 2316, pieguyn wrote:
In post 2281, pieguyn wrote:mhsmith0 feels really fucking off and I'm honestly considering a self vote because that's the only thing I feel even half-strongly about this game. I hated most of his posts in the past 10 or so pages, especially after GE flipping town.

I still think The_Jester is likely scum, too, but I'm not certain about it.

I still think SAD/inspectorscout is the most town pair. I think Dunn/Kagami is probably also town/town, but I'm not 100%.

I largely just want this day to end at this point. I'm ok with any of {jester/MDS, mhsmith0/me, no lynch}.

vote: The_Jester/MDS
your pair excluded
In post 2317, Cerberus v666 wrote:Where is shadow/Maria then? Nowhere on your radar even though they've been the primary topic of conversation for so long? Are they simply...not most likely scum, but not likely enough to be town?
In post 2318, pieguyn wrote:I am not going to lie, I have mostly just skimmed every single thing related to them because it hasn't helped me at all in terms of getting strong reads (there are posts that I might read either way but as I said I'm not interested in forming detail reads on everyone, I'm interested in consolidating town reads on a pair where I'm strongly town reading both players). it's just endless back and forths.

I recall not finding the case on S_S compelling, but I don't have any particular strong town read on him and I have no read on Maria.
In post 2319, Cerberus v666 wrote:Hmm. Got it. Thanks pie!
In post 2320, mhsmith0 wrote:@scout:
It looks like youv only had one scum game on site (excluding marathon)
http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.ph ... er_sort=Go
And that was as a hydra. Is that correct?
In post 2321, mhsmith0 wrote:Just isod both scout and sad, they're probably a town pair, especially if THAT was scouts only scum game on record.

He's been tonally fine, content seems fine too, ditto most of his questions (apparently I'd found the really shitty one when I was on earlier).

Sad is super aggressive in a fairly hard to fake way, especially if he's been gone for years. Where he's been wrong it's more of an "I'm being an asshole" kind of wrong as opposed to using it to strongarm lynches or advance a partuclar agenda that I can see. was a good example of a town post, not for the content so much as for the contemptuous tone and the lack of an agenda, I.e. He's showing clear disgust with the game state, and it's being demonstrated rather than just stated, and it reads much more like an hijest expression of disgust than something played up for the crowd to create a TR.
YOU ARE LITERALLY STRAIGHT UP FUCKING LYING.

THERE IS ABSOLUTELY NO WAY YOU'RE NOT AWARE OF WHY I PREFER A JESTER LYNCH OVER A LYNCH ON YOU. YOU WERE LITERALLY HERE, READING AND RESPONDING TO THE CURRENT POSTS IN THE GAME, AS I POSTED IT. YOU READ MY POSTS ON THE PAGE DIRECTLY BEFORE THIS WHERE I SAID SAD/INSPECTORSSCOUT WAS A TOWN PAIR, AND I KNOW THIS BECAUSE YOU FUCKING *AGREED* WITH IT.

ABSOLUTELY NO FUCKING WAY.

YOU EXPLAIN TO ME WHY I SHOULDN'T SUICIDE ON YOU RIGHT THE FUCK NOW.

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:29 pm
by Dunnstral
In post 3326, mhsmith0 wrote:
In post 3324, Dunnstral wrote:Smith pushing on pieguy looks like a last ditch effort to get townread
The incompetence of that read is truly extraordinary if you're town.
Disagree

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:31 pm
by mhsmith0
@pie: guess what? you've said you prefer a jester lynch, but at the same time jester-mds, me-you and shadow-maria were in the "well they're dying anyway" category. And you're doing jack shit to push a jester lynch, despite the fact that you're vote parking on him. And you're not doing much work to find town-town pairs OTHER THAN sad/scout, despite the idea that finding a town/town pair is, to you, supposedly super important.

So if you want to game throw via suicide, be my guest. Then if you flip town you can complain in dead thread about how it was all my fault, when you coould have just voted for me, pushed my case and saw what happened. Because CLEARLY there is no reasonable middle ground between game throwing and parking your vote an a different slot.

PS pie-dunn probably v/w fwiw

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:33 pm
by mhsmith0
In post 3329, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 3326, mhsmith0 wrote:
In post 3324, Dunnstral wrote:Smith pushing on pieguy looks like a last ditch effort to get townread
The incompetence of that read is truly extraordinary if you're town.
Disagree
And when I flip town it's going to be "damn smith was just scummy town and totally deserved to die", right? Because interpreting my back and forth with pie as going for a townread on me is completely fucking ridiculous, and if you're town it's an insanely lazy read of it. You're either conf!biased or scum, and I'd say scum is likelier.

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:34 pm
by pieguyn
In post 3330, mhsmith0 wrote:And you're not doing much work to find town-town pairs OTHER THAN sad/scout, despite the idea that finding a town/town pair is, to you, supposedly super important.
This is such bullshit garbage. Not only do you only need one town/town pair that you feel really confident about to win, this isn't even true (anyone reading the game should be able to tell that I also think Kagami/Dunn is town/town).

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:35 pm
by Dunnstral
In post 3330, mhsmith0 wrote:PS pie-dunn probably v/w fwiw
Based on what?

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:35 pm
by mhsmith0
In post 3333, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 3330, mhsmith0 wrote:PS pie-dunn probably v/w fwiw
Based on what?
your bullshit read just now. also your bullshit push on me.

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:36 pm
by pieguyn
In post 3332, pieguyn wrote:
In post 3330, mhsmith0 wrote:And you're not doing much work to find town-town pairs OTHER THAN sad/scout, despite the idea that finding a town/town pair is, to you, supposedly super important.
This is such bullshit garbage. Not only do you only need one town/town pair that you feel really confident about to win, this isn't even true (anyone reading the game should be able to tell that I also think Kagami/Dunn is town/town).
Moreover, you *AGREED* with SAD/inspectorscout being town/town, so I have no idea why you're attempting to complain about it.

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:37 pm
by Dunnstral
I call it how I see it.

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:37 pm
by pieguyn
Like, you literally are just straight up not thinking critically at all if you actually believe these posts.

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:37 pm
by mhsmith0
In post 3332, pieguyn wrote:
In post 3330, mhsmith0 wrote:And you're not doing much work to find town-town pairs OTHER THAN sad/scout, despite the idea that finding a town/town pair is, to you, supposedly super important.
This is such bullshit garbage. Not only do you only need one town/town pair that you feel really confident about to win, this isn't even true (anyone reading the game should be able to tell that I also think Kagami/Dunn is town/town).
And how much work have you actually done to prove that read? You've done a bit on kagami, and basically zero on dunn other than you saying you think the pair is town/town. So "people can tell I think it" and "I've actually done the work to prove it and convince others" are completely different, and I can assure you that you haven't done the second.

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:38 pm
by pieguyn
And go on, feel free to explain why you're attempting to spin that "I'm pushing you without voting you" when you know full fucking well the reason I prefer a Jester lynch over a lynch on us if I have the option for it.

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:40 pm
by mhsmith0
In post 3335, pieguyn wrote:Moreover, you *AGREED* with SAD/inspectorscout being town/town, so I have no idea why you're attempting to complain about it.
You've made ONE substantiated town/town read. Big whoop. You're bitching about my not having done much, while you haven't done much either. If you truly believe that finding town/town is super important, you should be investing your time into finding and demonstrating more town/town pairs. Because I can absolutely ASSURE you, that if you honestly believe Dunn is town, that your read there will not survive my flip, given how bullshit his push has been. So if you really believe that, you better do the actual legwork to show it, because I will be VERY happy to see him get the axe for his garbage push on me before game-end.

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:42 pm
by mhsmith0
In post 3339, pieguyn wrote:And go on, feel free to explain why you're attempting to spin that "I'm pushing you without voting you" when you know full fucking well the reason I prefer a Jester lynch over a lynch on us if I have the option for it.
And yet you just threatened to suicide right? Because it's a perfectly normal town perspective to be like "I don't want to actually lynch my pair, but suiciding works great as an option" right?

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:42 pm
by pieguyn
In post 3338, mhsmith0 wrote:And how much work have you actually done to prove that read? You've done a bit on kagami, and basically zero on dunn other than you saying you think the pair is town/town. So "people can tell I think it" and "I've actually done the work to prove it and convince others" are completely different, and I can assure you that you haven't done the second.
Yes, because saying "if you all decide to lynch us let me know so I can talk about why I think SAD/inspectorscout is town/town" means I clearly have no interest in convincing anyone of either of these reads.

And you're being deliberately dense again. You know just as well as I do that this is a very chaotic game that is almost impossible to keep up with (which, surprise, why do you think I want a scum flip and the intermission before I cut myself off again?). I've been doing what I could, in terms of poking people at various points in the game and discussing reads with them, but acting like I should somehow be able to sway everyone over to my point of view in this game state is disingenuous and you know better than that.

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:44 pm
by pieguyn
In post 3341, mhsmith0 wrote:And yet you just threatened to suicide right? Because it's a perfectly normal town perspective to be like "I don't want to actually lynch my pair, but suiciding works great as an option" right?
Holy _fuck_, you cannot be serious.

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:44 pm
by mhsmith0
In post 3342, pieguyn wrote:
In post 3338, mhsmith0 wrote:And how much work have you actually done to prove that read? You've done a bit on kagami, and basically zero on dunn other than you saying you think the pair is town/town. So "people can tell I think it" and "I've actually done the work to prove it and convince others" are completely different, and I can assure you that you haven't done the second.
Yes, because saying "if you all decide to lynch us let me know so I can talk about why I think SAD/inspectorscout is town/town" means I clearly have no interest in convincing anyone of either of these reads.

And you're being deliberately dense again. You know just as well as I do that this is a very chaotic game that is almost impossible to keep up with (which, surprise, why do you think I want a scum flip and the intermission before I cut myself off again?). I've been doing what I could, in terms of poking people at various points in the game and discussing reads with them, but acting like I should somehow be able to sway everyone over to my point of view in this game state is disingenuous and you know better than that.
Forget over the top effort, just show me where you've done ANY legitimate work on that dunn read of yours. "I read him town" doesn't count. If you're confident on that townread you should have backup for it. So far you don't, unless I've totally missed it.

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:45 pm
by pieguyn
Like you're just flooding the thread with bullshit now and hoping people accept it as truth without thinking critically about it.

I'm stepping away.

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:45 pm
by mhsmith0
In post 3343, pieguyn wrote:
In post 3341, mhsmith0 wrote:And yet you just threatened to suicide right? Because it's a perfectly normal town perspective to be like "I don't want to actually lynch my pair, but suiciding works great as an option" right?
Holy _fuck_, you cannot be serious.
1) You're voting jester
2) You're not voting me and are pretty resistant to the idea
3) You were fine with suiciding our pair

Those three things together lead to some pretty strange conclusions, unless of course the suicide threat was just a stunt.

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:45 pm
by mhsmith0
anyway i'm leaving work, will be back on in like half an hour.

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:46 pm
by pieguyn
In post 3344, mhsmith0 wrote:Forget over the top effort, just show me where you've done ANY legitimate work on that dunn read of yours. "I read him town" doesn't count. If you're confident on that townread you should have backup for it. So far you don't, unless I've totally missed it.
literally everyone besides like you and Parama already believes Dunn is town. I don't give a shit about you, you're scum, and I don't think Parama's meandering paranoia will go anywhere.

what exactly is your point here again?

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 12:46 pm
by pieguyn
In post 3346, mhsmith0 wrote:Those three things together lead to some pretty strange conclusions, unless of course the suicide threat was just a stunt.
so you did think I was serious. good to know!