This is awkward. I've got so many people offering me condolences, when I heard news that she's apparently not that bad off. (The news came from my grandfather, who panicked, rather than the nurse actually looking after her, who when she examined her, found her to be in good health, apparently. Also hearing things third-hand dilutes the info further. I don't speak directly with my grandfather; I don't even speak with the person who speaks with my grandfather. I speak with the person who speaks with my grandfather, resulting in a large delay in the info chain.)
In post 3326, zMuffinMan wrote:mastin wrote:Mollie's like 95% likely not to be. pidgey a good 85%. Skull about 70%. You're much lower than that.
elaborate on these when you have time
Mollie's been basically largely town the whole game. I may not be perfect at reading her mindset, but I'm still FAIRLY good at it, and when reading her train of thought, it looks to HIGHLY match EVERYTHING I know about how she operates as town and not how she thinks as scum. Admittedly, I could be wrong, but there's also play. I've had no issues with her the entire game; everything she's done has seemed to be (albeit not entirely correct) in mind with a town mindset, in that she's trying to figure things out, rather than trying to manipulate people. Her posts come across as extremely genuine, and overall, her emotions, her tone, everything, all says town.
That's just from me. Throw in the support of sangres (both heads of which I absolutely and entirely trust to be competent at reading her) also agreeing with this super-mega-town assessment? And you've got basically the strongest townread of the not-conftown players.
Pidgey's not conftown, but the slot has been playing a hugely, HUGELY pro-town game. I went over Brian Skies already, but to reiterate: his posting came across as casual, relaxed town, a player who was scumhunting and doing so fairly well, and having no fear of being lynched. That's strongly indicative of a town mindset. You can argue that he was calm scum, not panicking, but overall, he looked highly town. His slot inheritor, Gooner, took this trend and actually INCREASED it. He immediately entered with strong analysis, and was basically the entire time trying to figure things out and coordinating. I saw that same lack of manipulation, only stronger. His posts don't read as scum faking, or scum manipulating. They read as town legitimately analyzing to figure things out, and coming up with some dang-good conclusions overall, a nice process that looks incredibly town.
Pidgey's entrance was weaker than that, thanks to a lack of effort. However, once pidgey actually GAVE that effort, he immediately started to look town to me, because pidgey's posting raised good points, looked like legitimate analysis, and basically, he tried to figure things out in spite of being at a MASSIVE disadvantage information-wise. That he's putting so much effort in doesn't look like scum desperate to rebound from a near-guaranteed lost. It strongly looks like town, trying to end the game quickly with a scum lynch. Not to mention? His reads being similar to mine (yet him clearly not having got them from sheeping/parotting me) is another solidly good sign.
Skull's a much lesser version of pidgey. I really like the effort Skull has put into the game, and Skull's reaction to impending death screamed town. Skull could be scum, yes. Skull's essentially my third choice, behind you (second) and Venmar (first). But Skull's posting simply doesn't feel like scum. That Skull's bringing up such solid points and is seeing the same things I am is again a VERY good sign. Skull's posting doesn't seem like it comes with an agenda. It strongly looks like it comes from the mindset of someone who's attempting to figure the game out. Unlike pidgey, it's fully possible Skull's posting is meant to buddy me. But though the possibility exists, I don't see Skull as likely scum. I don't have concrete reasons. More than any other player, this would be gut. Yet it's a gut I'm actually going to trust.
You? Have kinda just...been there. Your stances don't make much sense. Your posting has not been solid. You've sorta just...well, been in the game, not been as strong as I'm used to seeing from a town-you. Your arguments are kinda convenient for a scum player to make, and your stances seem to match. Additionally, there have been times in the game where it takes a stretch of logic for you to be town and have guessed the things you 'guessed' correctly, whereas if scum you'd obviously have known them. (Such as SSK being a MAFIA tracker.)
It's the read I've done the least work on. I'm not seeing you as scum in spite of the above all pointing your direction. If I knew why, this game would be much easier than it is. But it's there, at a very weak percentage. Like...if 100% is conftown and 0% is confscum, you'd be at something like 40%, maybe even lower. Venmar would be at something like 10%, butyeah. That's really where I'm standing. Assuming one scum, I really think it's Venmar. If not him, then you. If there's two scum, Kaze's slot becomes another option. But I really don't see scum as being any other players.
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