In post 324, Palmer~ wrote:I don't really get the town reads on Childs, he is still firmly in my null pile.
did you plan on continuing this thought or?
There isn't really anything to continue there. I was hoping that my comment would make reactions happen that help me read Childs, or anyone else. I don't think that has happened, though.
Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2022 8:50 am
by Palmer~
In post 351, petapan wrote:Norris (4): Nauls, Lars, Copper, Childs
Clark (3): MacReady, Garry, Blair
Copper (3): Clark, Bennings, Windows
In post 351, petapan wrote:Norris (4): Nauls, Lars, Copper, Childs
Clark (3): MacReady, Garry, Blair
Copper (3): Clark, Bennings, Windows
Man, do these wagons give me a bad feeling.
VOTE: Windows
I often see splits like this as "at least one of them is a scum being voted"
yet you voted outside of them
Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2022 9:36 am
by Fuchs~
Sorry, life was kind of a bitch yesterday. I'll try to get caught back up soon.
Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2022 9:37 am
by Palmer~
If you read my posts, you will notice that I don't scumread any of the three wagons! And I DO scumread multiple people voting for those wagons!
In addition to that, I do not care about baseless VCA!
Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2022 9:47 am
by Childs~
In post 356, Palmer~ wrote:If you read my posts, you will notice that I don't scumread any of the three wagons! And I DO scumread multiple people voting for those wagons!
In addition to that, I do not care about baseless VCA!
what is VCA?
I'm not saying you necessarily have to scumread them btw, I'm just saying odds are one of those is correct
Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2022 9:51 am
by Palmer~
Vote count analysis.
Why are the odds that one of those is correct? Besides the pure mathematical probability, which is true for any group of 3.
Why are the odds that one of those is correct? Besides the pure mathematical probability, which is true for any group of 3.
first of, i said at least 1 we could also be looking at 2 things being judged which could explain why the game feels like a gun stand off right now
second, there's 3 things and 3 people voting outside of the 3 main wagons what's more possible that the things are all outside or inside?
of course it is more possible they are inside,
things want to blend in
, which in my eyes gives you, fuchs and windows +town,
third, why isn't there a larger wagon but it's split if all of this players are fairly active? is not like you can't make a case for any of the 3...
this my friend means that we are probably looking at a 2 town-1scum or 1 town-2scum split wagons
this is my hypothesis, things are strugling to push for a town vote.
if i put myself out of the equation it's 9 people to look at
Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2022 10:19 am
by Childs~
I meant norris not windows, despite the fact that I'm voting him
Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2022 10:21 am
by Childs~
Spoiler:
to be frank my vote on him was out of spite rather than logic, because my soul tells me to vote people like him
Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2022 10:35 am
by Palmer~
Or maybe these are three town wagons and the things don't give two shits about pushing town wagons when there's no threat for them. But I dunno.
Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2022 10:44 am
by Childs~
In post 362, Palmer~ wrote:Or maybe these are three town wagons and the things don't give two shits about pushing town wagons when there's no threat for them. But I dunno.
what are the odds of that?
for me it's pretty slim
UNVOTE:
Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2022 11:58 am
by MacReady~
In post 324, Palmer~ wrote:I don't really get the town reads on Childs, he is still firmly in my null pile.
@MacReady, do you scum read anyone other than Clark?
Not to the same degree, but Copper, Bennings, and Windows
Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:04 pm
by MacReady~
I can vote Windows as well, but I don't really want the wagon on Clark to do due to disinterest - I think the slit is pretty scummy, and Clark 2.0 has done nothing to redeem the slot
It reads like someone simulating town behavior with the "not really ready to move any wagon to E-1" thing. Commenting for the sake of commenting.
I don't think it's a "virtue" to E-1 someone if that vote target is town? It only makes sense imo to call it virtue signaling if you think the player being voted is mafia - but he doesn't state he thinks Clark is Mafia.
Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2022 2:05 pm
by Blair~
actually on second thought I don't think it's that relevant because it could just be about E-1ing in general and not about Clark's alignment in this particular game.
I spent ~30 minutes re-reading and I like the following players so far for town:
MacReady, Fuchs, Garry, Childs, Nauls, Lars, Windows.
Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2022 2:07 pm
by Blair~
Thinking more about Norris trolling and refusing to answer the question about which post made him think Clark is a Newb and not having an answer I feel like it might be somewhat more susp as if they had read it somewhere else like in the Mafia PT and subconsciously put it into their head then they might have slipped so it's not just trolling but possibly covering up a slip. I am fine with voting there if we want that
Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2022 2:08 pm
by MacReady~
Why do you think Windows is townie?
Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2022 2:11 pm
by Blair~
In post 362, Palmer~ wrote:Or maybe these are three town wagons and the things don't give two shits about pushing town wagons when there's no threat for them. But I dunno.
I think there will always be more resistance on a scum wagon because the bussing incentives don't exist in this game - you can't really get towncred in a game where scum can jump into townread slots. So there's no incentive to bus your teammates to look good because looking good isn't useful.
On the flip side there IS incentive to hard defend your teammates for shitty reasons because associatives don't help as much when you can just jump out of your own body if your teammate gets flipped - you don't have to worry about looking bad