Page 143 of 192
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 11:51 am
by Gamma Emerald
In post 3546, VFP wrote:
We don't know what's informed yet from scum.
But SSBM knew that Anya was lying some what. Scum SSBM will claim to think they were Mason as much as town.
Is kyouko the type to take a fake mason claim and run with it as scum?
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 11:53 am
by Gamma Emerald
If I’m not dead by D6 then you can entertain yeeting me
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 1:07 pm
by Titus
I need to full reset but I feel so apathetic towards this game and I know I shouldn't live to lylo.
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 2:02 pm
by ChaosOmega
UNVOTE: Andres
I think I need a reset too.
This is where I'm at as well. Also, PT cop with functionally PT-less masons makes extremely little sense for scum to have, so I'm inclined to just call you mech-town.
I think you're right.
VOTE: Dwlee
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 2:03 pm
by Dwlee99
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 3:32 pm
by Dragon of the West
1) The PT cop claim seems like a fake claim that made sense before scum found out that DGB and I weren't masons
2) There's no PT, PT cop doesn't make a lot of sense based on what we know about the setup. The odd night modifier is a convenient way to have to provide fewer results
3) If Gamma is town there's no way they live to investigate a 3rd person and report results. Even if Gamma lived to D6, you'd have to flip them to get conftowns and scum can NK future conftowns faster than gamma can investigate if they're odd night. If we flip them now we either lim scum!Gamma or get 2 more conftown based on gamma's PT cop results. One conftown would get NK'd tonight leaving 2 conftown. If we wait until D6 and gamma is scum then they'll have limmed me by then and we'll have no conftown.
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 3:39 pm
by Titus
VOTE: Gamma
Baaah.
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 3:42 pm
by Gamma Emerald
Just because a gunsmith exists doesn't mean any role that can mislead it will, sometimes it's just that simple
also, traitor could be a false negative so my clears aren't entirely clears, they just make it so the people aren't priority eliminations (since traitor loses if it's the last scum alive)
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 3:50 pm
by Dwlee99
Can I remind y'all that tomorrow is MELO if we eliminate wrong?
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 3:51 pm
by Titus
Dwelee, is there anything wrong with DotW analysis?
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 3:55 pm
by Dragon of the West
If we lim Gamma and they're town -> we go into tomorrow with 2 conftown
If we lim Gamma and they're scum -> one less scum, no MELO tomorrow
If we don't lim Gamma and lim town -> I get NK'd and there's no conftown
If we don't lim Gamma and lim scum -> I get NK'd; one less scum but no conftown
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 3:58 pm
by Dragon of the West
Who hasn't claimed yet? Anyone besides Dwlee?
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 3:59 pm
by Dragon of the West
This is coming from the slot that's been limming purely through POE
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 4:14 pm
by Dragon of the West
I am 100% open to the idea that I'm thinking about this wrong mechanically... Someone just needs to show me where I'm thinking incorrectly OR make an argument for a slot that's actually convincing and not PoE
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 4:31 pm
by Dwlee99
I guess I follow the logic there. Maybe it works out to do it that way. VT btw
I'm slightly concerned that if we are in a traitor game that today is actually MELO but I don't think this game would really be balanced with two traitors here
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 4:35 pm
by Dwlee99
If anyone else hasn't claimed they probably should today
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 5:15 pm
by Dwlee99
My non-poe read here is chaos and I it's part OMGUS but I don't like
3553
Also feel like the slot has been coasting. I understand the DotW logic here on killing gamma and I think he (DotW) dies regardless of what flips happen today. I don't know if I trust myself to pick correctly tomorrow if Gamma flips town even with two "conf"town. ("Conf" cause traitors can exist).
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 8:18 pm
by VFP
In post 3555, Dragon of the West wrote:1) The PT cop claim seems like a fake claim that made sense before scum found out that DGB and I weren't masons
2) There's no PT, PT cop doesn't make a lot of sense based on what we know about the setup. The odd night modifier is a convenient way to have to provide fewer results
3) If Gamma is town there's no way they live to investigate a 3rd person and report results. Even if Gamma lived to D6, you'd have to flip them to get conftowns and scum can NK future conftowns faster than gamma can investigate if they're odd night. If we flip them now we either lim scum!Gamma or get 2 more conftown based on gamma's PT cop results. One conftown would get NK'd tonight leaving 2 conftown. If we wait until D6 and gamma is scum then they'll have limmed me by then and we'll have no conftown.
This makes sense.
If town, Gamma is effectively VT at this point.
Tomorrow, with the assumption that DotW is killed, we have T3 and Dragons in a safe spot, or 1 scum left.
I'm okay to go here.
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 8:21 pm
by VFP
In post 3564, Dwlee99 wrote:I'm slightly concerned that if we are in a traitor game that today is actually MELO but I don't think this game would really be balanced with two traitors here
The problem with there being a traitor and Gamma being town, is our cop then has 2 nerfs. Restricted visiting and restricted guilty results.
Gamma town means no traitor imo.
Posted: Thu Jul 08, 2021 11:30 pm
by Dragon of the West
In post 3553, ChaosOmega wrote:This is where I'm at as well. Also, PT cop with functionally PT-less masons makes extremely little sense for scum to have, so I'm inclined to just call you mech-town.
Are you just assuming they're being honest about being a PT cop?
Posted: Fri Jul 09, 2021 12:13 am
by Dragon of the West
Also, if Gamma flips town then our pool we had them choose from yesterday probably didn't have scum in it
Posted: Fri Jul 09, 2021 12:17 am
by Dragon of the West
In post 3568, VFP wrote: In post 3564, Dwlee99 wrote:I'm slightly concerned that if we are in a traitor game that today is actually MELO but I don't think this game would really be balanced with two traitors here
The problem with there being a traitor and Gamma being town, is our cop then has 2 nerfs. Restricted visiting and restricted guilty results.
Gamma town means no traitor imo.
Would it be a "buff" to a town!PT cop that there's no town PT so they effectively get a mafia result if they find someone with a PT? Not sure if that would balance traitors/odd night or not
Posted: Fri Jul 09, 2021 1:18 am
by VFP
In post 3571, Dragon of the West wrote:Would it be a "buff" to a town!PT cop that there's no town PT so they effectively get a mafia result if they find someone with a PT? Not sure if that would balance traitors/odd night or not
No, it just wouldn't be a nerf. Well, unless you argue what players expect to what players get.
That's my view on it though.
Posted: Fri Jul 09, 2021 1:19 am
by Dwlee99
I had a dream that Titus and someone named Connor were the last scum. I might be playing too much mafia.
Posted: Fri Jul 09, 2021 1:20 am
by ChaosOmega
In post 3569, Dragon of the West wrote: In post 3553, ChaosOmega wrote:This is where I'm at as well. Also, PT cop with functionally PT-less masons makes extremely little sense for scum to have, so I'm inclined to just call you mech-town.
Are you just assuming they're being honest about being a PT cop?
I am, I guess. I'm old, the last time I played here that wasn't a thing, so I thought it was a weird thing to fakeclaim. If the claim is truthful, then Rathe investigated StD N1 and then had the exchange with him from
2559 to 2562. 2559 makes sense with it saying he's ok, but 2561/2562 reads more like Rathe is trying to sort StD then having a result on him. I know not in a PT isn't a clear, but not scum should be way higher on your list than traitor.