In post 3594, Flavortown wrote:Can someone make me a chart of all the claims and actions?
I’ll do my own look on VCA.
Scum, you better kill DEB tonight, or you’re screwed.
I’m about to go out into the world because I’m out of food.
I do want this chart, though, if it isn’t too much trouble.
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 7:19 am
by Mikoto and Kuroko
The lynch pool today is anyone who was egging on the Blake vs Kuroko thread spam fight.
-Mikoto
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 7:27 am
by The Searchers
Confirmed Town
(From my perspective) (98%-100% Confidence) The Searchers (100%): Role PM
Likely Town
(85%-97% Confidence) Imperium (+94%): This is like 99% based off of the claim and mod-confirmation that the ability was used. I just don't see that ability being used by scum. They haven't really been present day 2.
Leaning Town
(60%-84% Confidence) Black Hole Defection (+73%): I've liked their general reads and approach this game.
Disaster Artists (+60%): They claimed neutral 3rd party (to some extent) and one head is suicidal. I don't see that claim coming from scum.
Neutral Town
(31%-59% Confidence; Mixed Read or Diffident Read) Feminist Blocc (+50%): I liked their approach to our slot early game. Datisi had a valid reason to not be actively playing. This slot gives town vibes overall.
Hectic (+48%): I think the posting restriction is town-oriented, but I don't like his unwillingness to sell GeorgeBailey.
Blake X Yang (+34%): I liked their early game, but recent posts have really been ???.
Mikoto and Kuroko (+34%): Yeah, I think we were wrong on this slot. The claim makes a lot of sense.
Null
(0%-30% Confidence; No/Very Weak Read) Flavortown (+24%): Honestly, their lack of engagement in the game is a town-indicator.
Latias and Latios (+21%): Some meta knowledge involved, but they kinda fell to the wayside.
Unapologetically Foxy (+15%): We kinda derailed that wagon because it amounts to basically a policy lynch. I think both slots have legitimate reasons for being absent and feel it is a waste to lynch there.
Despair Night (+5%): Honestly stopped paying much attention here after we backed off day 1.
Fahrenheit (-15%): The fact that the replacement hasn't done a lot is a red flag.
Neutral Scum
(31%-59% Confidence; Mixed Read or Diffident Read) Equitable Androids (-40%): Mostly a PoE read for me right now; t
Leaning Scum
(60%-75% Confidence) GeorgeBailey (-74%): Possesses a survivalist mindset all game. This slot can die and die quickly. Their role claim was somewhat +town equity, but doesn't erase everything else they've done this game.
Likely Scum
(76%-100% Confidence)
Spoiler: How to read this reads list
Players are placed in different sections based on my confidence in the read expressed as a percentage. A positive percentage indicates that I leans towards town on a player whereas a negative percentage indicates I lean towards scum on a player. Please note that the Null section contains both townreads and scumreads, and you must look a the sign of the percentage in parenthesis to determine which way I lean.
Confidence ratings are rough estimates (and somewhat arbitrary) and are relative to one another. In addition, they tend to be scored on a quadratic scale versus a linear scale; in other words, the difference between 0% and 30% tends to be less than the difference between 30% and 60%.
Disclaimer: These reads reflect my reads and not necessarily those of my hydra partner (although many are similar).
I think day 1 Gamma was town Gamma, not 100% lock but he should be above rand town I think
I'm happy with a compromise on anything in EA/Fahren/Foxy/Flavor, with slight preference given to slots that weren't in events
Dude what if the entire scum team has names that start with F?
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 7:31 am
by Disaster Artists
Oh shit there it is
The feminist blocc deepwolf solve
THE F SOLVE
Foxy/Flavor/Fahren/Feminist
*even though this probably is not the solve, it damn well should have been and you all know it*
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 7:31 am
by Feminist Blocc
oh god oh fuck
-D
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 7:41 am
by The Searchers
In post 3598, Equitable Androids wrote:I misspoke searchers I meant to say egospray. You were saying egospray was scum not foxy
We were calling attention to egospray. We can have multiple scumreads at once. We weren't heavily pushing it because Black Hole asked us to focus elsewhere, but that doesn't mean we have to let everything slide by.
~Ircher
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 7:47 am
by Despair Night
The only thing I'd be voting EA for is gg not playing which I find it more scum indicative for him.
*even though this probably is not the solve, it damn well should have been and you all know it*
Feminists unite
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 9:47 am
by Mikoto and Kuroko
More votes on The Searcher pls.
-Mikoto
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 10:16 am
by Equitable Androids
In post 3608, Despair Night wrote:The only thing I'd be voting EA for is gg not playing which I find it more scum indicative for him.
Gg was just posting our last few posts.
~Titus
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 10:51 am
by Despair Night
I realized that, but he posts like maybe 3 times every 4 days or even more than that
It’s not like he’s also stock piling info and pushing god cases either, which i would expect out of him if he chooses to lurk as a town
I’ll keep you alive but you guys gotta send me some more bucks, ngl
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 10:52 am
by Despair Night
UNVOTE:
I’m abstaining toDay
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 11:57 am
by Black Hole Defection
I am let's say in a calmer state of mind now.
I shouted into my walkie talkie rather than the thread that a big part of why CO Blake seems like Black Hole is that she has been acting strongly concerned she will be killed today, when there is very little overall interest in bombarding her. It suggests knowledge that that's what she deserves.
In what she has added since I was last here, she seems to be saying that using her CO Power Vigilante role can prove she is with Orange Star, and yet just a moment ago would like to kill CO Farkran because waiting to see him use his CO Power Vigilante role does not prove he is Orange Star. It's an absurd mismatch.
It doesn't look like the necessary artillery support for killing CO Blake is there. Killing Tag Team Equitable Androids is not an awful compromise because CO gobbledygook is matching Black Hole activity patterns and giving very little, but I'd prefer killing Tag Team Foxy since I have seen a Black Hole pattern in each partner. Double is better. That's why I have a Super CO Power!
CO John Cena's assessment of Tag Team Farenheit is 75% true because CO MariaR uses submarine dive more in Orange Star service, but there's plenty reasoning there.
Tag Team Searchers seems to execute maneuvers that look like signature Orange Star Techniques and signature Black Hole Army techniques all game. It's crazy. It would probably be fun to join them in future battles, I like that kind of opponent, teehee. As far as I know, Hawke is still very adamant about this team so we won't pledge our rockets there.
VOTE: Equitable Androids
I still haven't heard from Hawke in a while, but it looks like only Tag Team Equitable Androids and Tag Team Searchers has potential right now. A battle summary soon would be nice.
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 11:58 am
by Black Hole Defection
I am fine by the way
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 12:29 pm
by Black Hole Defection
Spoiler: Chart
Blake x Yang (Alyssa the Lamb and Taly) - Unspecified CO has Vigilante CO Power for an unclear number of attacks. Unspecified CO received "revive CO" invention from CO Firebringer, plans to use on CO Silver Bullet (Pink Ball) tonight. Claimed responsibility for killing CO Firebringer, ambiguous whether this was with the Hachi's shop power they could likely afford or another power. Had a neighborhood with Tag Team Smol Might.
Disaster Artists (John Cena and DeathRowKitty) - CO Kitty leaves the game and wins when all living COs have played a minigame with a diseased CO or touched on at night. CO John Cena perishes during Night 3. CO John Cena did something to CO insomnia night 1 and expected CO insomnia to acknowledge it but CO insomnia did not. CO John Cena purchased neighborhood CO Power from Hachi's shop and used it on Tag Team Imperium Day 1. (well, it is strongly implied it was a purchase, at least, CO John Cena encouraged all Orange Star COs to purchase neighborhood CO Power). After selling CO bugspray CO DRK purchased Lucky Dip and she now has a fabulous hat. This is excellent.
Egospray (bugspray and GeorgeBailey) - Can (must?) create a neighborhood with another CO and give that CO the right to sell them for 500 funds at any time, each CO. CO bugspray chose CO John Cena and CO GeorgeBailey chose CO Hectic.
Black Hole Defection (popsofctown and Prism) - unclaimed
Imperium (Nachomamma8 and Tammy) - Claims to have several CO Powers, one of them being Lightning Rod CO Power that was used night 1. Superb Subtlety announced that a CO Power was used, but we only heard its name. Lightning Rod effect didn't occur last night.
Mikoto and Kuroko (Bitmap and Farkran) - CO Kuroko: Single CO-killing Vigilante CO Power every night, Tag Team-killing Vigilante CO Power one time. Failed to kill CO Blake first night. CO Mikoto: Jailkeeper CO power (not an entire Tag Team). Threw CO Hectic in jail first night.
Smol Might (Eragon and Shadowlesscloud) - dead
Fahrenheit (Eddie Cane and Keychain) NL (GuyInFreezer and MariaR) - unclaimed
Equitable Androids (Gobbledygook and Titus) - Gave money to insomnia night one, CO insomnia confirmed receipt.
The Searchers (SirCakez and Ircher) - unclaimed
Flavortown (Dr Easy Bake and Flavor Leaf) - Upgradeable vision CO that can use CO Power Track and then go on to better similar CO Powers as he gain funds. And on the other side, a Commuter CO Power.
Spiffybringer (Spiffeh and Firebringer) - dead
Despair Night (JunkoChan and insomnia) - Unclaimed
Feminist Blocc (Datisi and Ausuka) - CO Datisi has a walkie talkie channel with CO Pine. It seems like it wasn't created until today but could still have come from Hachi's shop.
Latias and Latios (Chemist1422 and Gamma Emerald) - Unclaimed
Unapologetically Foxy (Pine and xofelf) - Unclaimed. Claimed to have purchased Lucky Dip.
Cappy (Hectic and Pink Ball) - CO Silver Bullet (Pink Ball) gave everyone who made a special statement at a certain time period 25$ from Superb Subtlety's funds. CO Hectic claims to have a different restriction on his speech each day. He also claimed to have been robbed of all his money during the day today.
I'm holding onto CO GeorgeBailey for now. I always have the option to delete him in a future battle anyway, but I do think he's very likely Orange Star based on the battle tactics discussed over our walkie talkies.
Invincibility lies in the defence. The possibility of victory lies in the attack.
please do not use our modcolor thank you
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 1:14 pm
by Superb Subtlety
VOTE COUNT 2 . 8
Equitable Androids
---- 4 ( Blake x Yang, The Searchers, Feminist Blocc, Black Hole Defection )
L- 4
The Searchers
--------- 3 ( Mikoto and Kuroko, Equitable Androids, Flavortown )
L- 5
Blake x Yang
---------- 1 ( GeorgeBailey )
L- 7
GeorgeBailey
---------- 1 ( Unapologetically Foxy )
L- 7
Latias and Latios
----- 1 ( Fahrenheit )
L- 7
Fahrenheit
------------ 1 ( Disaster Artists )
L- 7
Unapologetically Foxy
- 0 ( No One )
L- 8
Mikoto and Kuroko
----- 0 ( No One )
L- 8
Flavortown
------------ 0 ( No One )
L- 8
Feminist Blocc
-------- 0 ( No One )
L- 8
Imperium
-------------- 0 ( No One )
L- 8
Despair Night
--------- 0 ( No One )
L- 8
Disaster Artists
------ 0 ( No One )
L- 8
Black Hole Defection
-- 0 ( No One )
L- 8
Hectic
---------------- 0 ( No One )
L- 8
Not Voting
------------ 5 ( Imperium, Latias and Latios, Hectic, Despair Night )
With 15 alive, it takes 8 to Lynch
Deadline is in (expired on 2020-04-26 17:00:00)
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 1:28 pm
by Fahrenheit
In post 3562, Disaster Artists wrote:We could also lynch Fahrenheit since Eddie is like almost certainly mafia given 4 different heads have just up and decided not to play the game from that slot
why would town be apathetic in a game this readable?
Because this game is not super readable, but is super boring?
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 1:33 pm
by Fahrenheit
In post 3618, Superb Subtlety wrote:With 15 alive, it takes 8 to Lynch
Deadline is in 0 days, 15 hours, 27 minutes
The biggest wagons are 3 and 4, so people should probably vote one of them unless you have a damn strong reason not to. Key or I will be around to place a vote whenever we feel ready, we won't end the day no lynching.
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 1:36 pm
by The Searchers
Plurality lynch is in effect. You should not feel compelled to vote in order to avoid a no lynch. Can you talk some about your current reads?
~Ircher
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 1:46 pm
by Mikoto and Kuroko
Hey can we get more people on Searchers? Pls and ty.
-Mikoto
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2020 1:55 pm
by Fahrenheit
In post 3622, The Searchers wrote:Plurality lynch is in effect. You should not feel compelled to vote in order to avoid a no lynch. Can you talk some about your current reads?
~Ircher
Oh. Then never mind, I am not concerned. I have read very little of the game, and Key has read very little of the game. My current reads are not strong enough to be relevant. I have read everything since I've replaced in, but its been pretty nothingburger. No wagon has enticed me enough to join, and Key is preoccupied with not mafia stuff so we haven't really touched base.
