Mafiascum.net

alright, so we're two days away from deadline. we have a new slot that hasn't caught up yet, and it's obvious to me that we don't have the numbers for a majority anywhere. there are simply too many townies with differing viewpoints of the game.

we seem to be of a reasonable consensus that the right way forward is to execute in {SS, peta, infinity, mena}

but since we haven't been able to come to any meaningful consensus within that pool (and it's only two days until deadline), we really need to start compromising so we can get an execution most of us are at least OK with.

i'd like everyone to rank order SS, peta, infinity, mena from most preferable to least. include who you'd be happy eliminating, and who are absolute deal breakers. then, maybe we can move forward.

~~

for me, i've come back around to viewing the game through the lens of mena & infinity both being town, so ideally i'd like to elim between SS & peta.

i still believe the cop/redirector is higher in the list, so i prefer SS. but i would be willing to compromise on peta, as that slot also gives more info about dave. so:

SS
peta
infinity, mena (would prefer not to go here)

Peta
SS
Mena (would prefer not to)

Inf8nity
SS
Peta/Mena

Could do any of them.

menalque
infinity
smart

but honestly i keep flip flopping between the second two. infinity is all over the place but i want to believe him whining about no one listening to him


i don't really have a high confidence in my ability to vote correctly in ELO. When I end up there as town, the outcome is typically a loss.

kinda dont think its infinity because reasons

but if he gets his way on me i'll probably still go down screaming his name. i don't have a good process this game. didn't find the will to reread.

it feels like it should mean something that something_smart is getting named as a primary or secondary scumread by basically everyone actually playing the game who isn't me

if i had to guess, instincts are scum don't have good reason to bus here and he's being set up as an unhappy compromise? unless the team were something like exactly dave/smart/bird at which point it's maybe plausible distancing but that's maybe like the only real possibility where i see him as scum. more likely to be town based on those reads, willing to eat shit for this

In post 3679, petapan wrote:the way dave has thrown suspicion s_s's way a few times makes me wonder if that

could

be a thing

Please clarify -- you mean if SS could be scum? I'm unsure how to treat "thrown suspicion" here.

I doubt I even need to say what my preferred order is.
I view this as a 99% vs a 33% and it doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out where the best odds are.

In post 3710, davesaz wrote:I doubt I even need to say what my preferred order is.
I view this as a 99% vs a 33% and it doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out where the best odds are.

what do you think about my logic in 3665?

In post 3665, Hoopla wrote: however, this logic doesn't make sense. we eliminated the PGO/1-shot vig slot on D1, and the other vig (if town didn't choose vengeful) isn't active until N3. so scum wouldn't have been scared of either vig on N1.

actually, now that i think about it, scum wouldn't have been scared of any roles N1 really, as they blocked cop,

knew

doc/RB didn't exist from their informed information, and the vigs weren't a threat. if there was ever any N1 to deviate from the status-quo move of shooting for PR's high in the draft (and instead shooting a strong player), it would be in this specific set of circumstances: where PR's are a low threat.

you could also argue that given the UB slot was out of scum's control and we eliminated a PGO D1, scum may have been fearing a high draft pick arming themselves with a PGO shot. shooting mena (who was one slot below DGB) is a plausible NK choice as he's a strong player guaranteed not to be PGO.

^could explain why scum NK that low in the draft N1.

either way it's not 99%.

do you at least have a preference in {SS/infinity/peta} as a secondary choice? even if you're locked into a scum!mena mindset, who of those three make the most sense as a buddy?

Menalque Infinity peta I guess, but I don't have to feel good about it.

I don't have that awful sinking feeling in my gut that I got when Menalque was scum before.

But, he's not trying to execute me this time.

In post 3711, Hoopla wrote:what do you think about my logic in 3665?

I quite literally don't care about it.
Talking ourselves out of a guilty is the fast track to losing.
I'm absolutely not voting anyone else.

In post 3709, davesaz wrote:

In post 3679, petapan wrote:the way dave has thrown suspicion s_s's way a few times makes me wonder if that

could

be a thing

Please clarify -- you mean if SS could be scum? I'm unsure how to treat "thrown suspicion" here.

if it's somehow you distancing from him. i realize that is incredibly vague. but i still think draft logic says if you're a team you choose different roles

peta
S_S
infinity

@hoopla, that's my preference

I've been bouncing back and forth on S_S/peta somewhat tho, just because I'm still not sure if peta/Dave would do the gambit they'd have to be doing

idk, I just can't get to a team that makes sense to me here

In post 3714, Something_Smart wrote:I don't have that awful sinking feeling in my gut that I got when Menalque was scum before.

But, he's not trying to execute me this time.

it's a totally different scenario anyway -- even if I were scum here, in that game there was no ~vague mechanical evidence~ suggesting I was scum for people to hide behind, and so I was really under no threat even with your town flip and you loudly calling me scum as I pushed you

even on the final day I wasn't really ever at that much threat of being flipped myself, and it was mostly trying to make sure we won then and there because I had *risk* associative with dogwatch and alimdia

Can we requote this and add into it pls?

it'll be easier than trying to recompile all the individual posts

• hoopla:
  S_S
  peta
  mena/infinity
  
• infinity:
  peta
  S_S
  mena
  
• Best Bird:
  infinity
  S_S
  peta/mena
  
• peta:
  mena
  infinity
  S_S
  
• dave
  mena
  S_S/infinity/peta?
  
• S_S
  mena
  infinity
  peta

In post 3721, Menalque wrote:Can we requote this and add into it pls?

it'll be easier than trying to recompile all the individual posts

• hoopla:
  S_S
  peta
  mena/infinity
  
• infinity:
  peta
  S_S
  mena
  
• Best Bird:
  infinity
  S_S
  peta/mena
  
• peta:
  mena
  infinity
  S_S
  
• dave
  mena
  S_S/infinity/peta?
  
• S_S
  mena
  infinity
  peta
  
• mena:
  peta
  S_S/infinity

forgot to add mine the first time lmao

so currently:

first preference:
mena: 3
peta: 2
infinity: 1
S_S: 1

second preference(s) included for infinity and S_S 1st preference voters:
mena: 3
peta: 3
S_S: 1

third preference included for the S_S voter:
mena: 3
peta: 3
peta/mena: 1

so unless S&M and N_M both want the same person it looks like Best Bird is tie breaking between me and peta

VOTE: peta

I have deep misgivings because if S&M are town then actually I think it does strongly implicate infinity, but at this point in the game there's no actual way of knowing that without ending the game if wrong (i.e. I assume if I'd got my S&M elim today, I would definitely be elimmed in lylo and we'd lose)

soooooo

I think probably if I go down today then Dave is the best flip tomorrow? and then probably you're gonna have to take a gamble but I'd say peta + BB seems like it could well make up the set, but honestly who knows. I'd prob do BB next after Dave because that would spew N_M town, I think

then in lylo it's prob between peta and S&M

if we do peta and he's scum today, I still think Dave is the best flip tomorrow, and then maybe S&M the day after that because we'll still have a misguillo in hand -- if S&M flips town, then I think I'm most likely wrong rn and have been pocketed by infinity somewhere along the line (although it could still be S_S lmao)