Page 149 of 192
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2021 4:22 am
by Dragon of the West
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2021 4:26 am
by Titus
In post 3695, Dwlee99 wrote:I'm pretty sure the scum faction is 4 non-traitor scum. Did you mean 5 scum?
Yes. Brain fart. Used to minis.
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2021 4:27 am
by Titus
That's a typo but it was used to show we have like 5 conftown and a vig, so there should be at least 5 scum.
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2021 4:29 am
by Dwlee99
Voyeur wasn't conftown given we threw her off a roof. The babysitter/vig also wasn't conftown. Titus what role are you?
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2021 4:29 am
by Dragon of the West
In post 3696, Dwlee99 wrote:To summarize my thoughts here:
We have Gamma with a clear on two people. Either one of these is scum or none of them can be something except for traitors. This removes STD/T3/Gamma from today's lim.
DotW is cleared.
That leaves Titus/Chaos/Kyo/Me/Andres/VFP as a lim pool.
Assuming town!gamma, limming in there (gonna exclude myself from this) gives us a 2 in 5 chance of hitting scum. That's pretty good.
Assuming Gamma!scum, we lim him leaving us in MELO or day before MELO and also may have hit scum assuming Gamma didn't pick both all the scum as the clears.
I'll ultimately defer to DotW here I just feel like if we can eek an extra investigation out it'd be good.
If Gamma is scum and your setup assumptions are correct then (including you) it's either a 1 in 6 or 0 in 6 chance of hitting scum today because they could be lying about one of their clears if scum. If Gamma is town then it's 2 in 6. If we flip gamma and they're town, tomorrow we have 2 in 6 chance because 8 people are left with 2 conftown. So the worst case scenario of limming gamma today, which is they're town, and then following up tomorrow matches the best case scenario of limming outside of gamma, T3, STD today
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2021 4:30 am
by Titus
In post 3703, Dwlee99 wrote:Voyeur wasn't conftown given we threw her off a roof. The babysitter/vig also wasn't conftown. Titus what role are you?
Babysitter enabler.
Vig is conftown in normals.
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2021 4:36 am
by Dwlee99
If we think there are 3 scum alive or there's a good enough chance we should be killing gamma here today so we can just do that.
Pedit: except that the claim of babysitter vig isn't confirmable.
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2021 4:39 am
by Dragon of the West
In post 3706, Dwlee99 wrote:If we think there are 3 scum alive or there's a good enough chance we should be killing gamma here today so we can just do that.
Pedit: except that the claim of babysitter vig isn't confirmable.
It is it you have a voyeur to see both actions happening to the same target
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2021 4:45 am
by Dwlee99
The chances of that are so abysmal but I'm not Gypyx.
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2021 5:01 am
by Dragon of the West
Lol that was
mostly
tongue in cheek
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2021 5:06 am
by Dragon of the West
Tbh I'm gonna wait for VFP to be off VLA and let everyone catch up and give thoughts before settling on anything but I think I'd like to lim Gamma today
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2021 5:06 am
by Dwlee99
Okay sounds good.
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2021 1:58 pm
by Gamma Emerald
lol it feels ironic to say this given the previous discussion but it feels stagnant
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2021 2:25 pm
by Dwlee99
Do you object to being killed.
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2021 5:05 pm
by Gamma Emerald
yes
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2021 5:12 pm
by Dwlee99
Okay who would you want dead if not you?
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2021 5:24 pm
by Gamma Emerald
I'm currently voting andres, is that not clear enough?
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2021 5:25 pm
by Dwlee99
Okay fair enough ig. Idk you're a fresh pair of eyes so your perspective can be helpful if town.
Posted: Sun Jul 11, 2021 1:00 pm
by Titus
My god, please people show. Only 3 players posted in the last 24 hours.
Posted: Sun Jul 11, 2021 1:02 pm
by Dwlee99
VOTE: Gamma
Posted: Sun Jul 11, 2021 1:11 pm
by T3
This game lol
VOTE: gemma
Posted: Sun Jul 11, 2021 1:15 pm
by Dragon of the West
Can you comment on the mechanics of being limmed or is it just "I'm town don't lim"
Posted: Sun Jul 11, 2021 1:30 pm
by Titus
Posted: Sun Jul 11, 2021 1:47 pm
by Save The Dragons
yeet titus
Posted: Sun Jul 11, 2021 2:02 pm
by Dragon of the West
Okay so just to make sure I get my thoughts out in case there's a quick hammer:
I think even if Gamma flips red that STD and T3 are
probably
town because scum!gamma would want their claims to flip green if needed. I also think that Gamma's reasoning for choosing T3 over Titus and Andres is weak. Because of that if Gamma flips red Titus and Andres should be pushed along with Dwlee