In post 366, GrandpaMo wrote:each person has a probability of 11.1% chance of being chosen as scum. one se at least on the team have a 33.3% chance of being there -- i think i did the math right.
Your math doesn't look right.
6 choose 2 ways of choosing 2 scum from 6 Newbies
9 choose 2 ways of choosing 2 scum from all players
6C2/9C2 = 42% probability of scum being between newbies
58% chance of at least one scum in the 3 SEs.
Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 2:38 am
by Titus
In post 368, Dorsey wrote:That's crazy timing, though. I say all of the SE's can't be town and GrandpaMo pops back up.
His VLA ended today.
Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 3:18 am
by Greeting
Everyone has an equal chance of rolling scum. I don’t see anything more to it.
Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 3:42 am
by Micc
kennyk replaces Dew.
Prodding AlwaysNever.
The deadline for Day 1 has been unpaused.
GrandpaMo is V/LA until 9/17.
Titus is V/LA from 9/17 to 9/20.
Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 6:06 am
by AlwaysNever
Ah crap I thought the day ended, this is a massive turn of events, I might need some time to read through Hockey's posts and readjust my position on their slot, and also kenny when they do post after this, but I'll be sure to do it quick before the prod range time, like Dorsey said
Welcome, welcome though!
Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 8:44 am
by HockeyFan
too much mechanics talk from UhUh and too little game-moving content. This is not AI but I do want to see some more content from uhuhwaitandsee(like asking questions, making reads, giving thoughts e.t.c)
Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:50 am
by HockeyFan
Ok after reading Grandpa'a ISO one more fking time since its so god damm confusing, I am formally declaring him as a TL. This is a meta read since ive played with gpa a fair bit on other sites and this aligns with his town meta(dont let him fool u by saying his town meta is to be pro-town, cuz its not)
Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 1:34 pm
by RCEnigma
Then who's your preferred elim today hockey?
Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 3:54 pm
by HockeyFan
to 382, honestly not much has changed here execpt gpa jumping into tl and uhoh going into Nullish Scum. Greeting also into null from nullish town
So yea my lim pool is {Tits,Uhuh}
Also, as a side note, my posting will be very limited this weekend since im going camping
Nullish town:
Dorsey(ik i didnt express alot of my thoughts on this slot but I think thier progression has been semi-ish towny?)
Greeting
Null:
RCE
UhOh
Nullish Scum:
Grandpa
SL:
Titus
Posted: Sat Sep 18, 2021 12:00 am
by AlwaysNever
Short version of my catching up:
Goddamn I don't think I can hammer Hockey now
Long version might come soon but that's all for now, if anything I don't know who to fuccing elim now
Posted: Sat Sep 18, 2021 3:15 am
by Dorsey
A to Z, blazehd, and TL the Legend (now HockeyFan) were all the same slot.
Does Titus still think HockeyFan is scum?
Posted: Sat Sep 18, 2021 3:15 am
by Dorsey
I'm good with HF's pool of Titus/UhUh.
Posted: Sat Sep 18, 2021 5:14 am
by AlwaysNever
In post 380, HockeyFan wrote:too much mechanics talk from UhUh and too little game-moving content. This is not AI but I do want to see some more content from uhuhwaitandsee(like asking questions, making reads, giving thoughts e.t.c)
been saying that and they end up doing so (they post it with this purple font, if you miss it), I still have a feeling that they might be but I usually wait until day 2 to really start sussing seemingly inactive people cause they're LHF until then
In post 381, HockeyFan wrote:Ok after reading Grandpa'a ISO one more fking time since its so god damm confusing, I am formally declaring him as a TL. This is a meta read since ive played with gpa a fair bit on other sites and this aligns with his town meta(dont let him fool u by saying his town meta is to be pro-town, cuz its not)
I'll make note of this if you flip red
In post 385, Dorsey wrote:A to Z, blazehd, and TL the Legend (now HockeyFan) were all the same slot.
Does Titus still think HockeyFan is scum?
they said that they're more comfortable on elimming TL('s slot) now here on 337
In post 310, Dorsey wrote:I answered your possibility with a possibility - I'm comfortable with the risk
You haven’t really left any hard clues as to whom you think is mafia. Someone before had characterised your playstyle as defensive, a statement I can agree with. Voting out a townie, as a principle, is not beneficial for town. TL did say that they strongly believe me being scum for some vaguely specified reason. If they’re town, they apparently are willing to sacrifice themselves to make their point. So, assuming that TL is scum and you are voted out Day Two, being town, what benefit would it bring?
a brownie point for you, keeping my one eye on you still
In post 315, Dorsey wrote:[UhUhWaitAndSee/RCEnigma/Titus] I still think it's one of these
Are you that paranoid of RCE being scum? I can agree with the other two
In post 323, Titus wrote:Feeling a bit uneasy about eliminating TL.
In post 337, Titus wrote:Ok, I feel better about eliminating TL's slot.
this quick change in opinion really warranted a reason cause.... huh? 3 post from Hockey and you're suddenly like, "I'm ok with this"? why though?
Overall, I think theres at least 1 scum on this wagon(would say 2 but idt scum buddy up like this to get a mislim). I claim VT, idm getting voted out, u should probs look at
Greeting/Titus/RCE/UhUh
when I die imo
it is very interesting that this is the same four people that Dorsey were focusing on, either by voting them or asking people on their opinion like on post 178
curious curious, accidental or on purpose?
In post 325, Titus wrote:GrandpaMo is not being replaced. See Mod post at the top of the page.
avoiding dorsey's question by pointing out gpa (thanks hockey that's a great nickname) is actually not being replaced. hmmm
In post 360, Dorsey wrote:I was also looking back through some newbie games and it looks like at least one SE is always scum
purely coincidental
Posted: Sat Sep 18, 2021 5:52 am
by AlwaysNever
In post 332, RCEnigma wrote:.... Is your argument for Greeting over TL based on the fact greeting is defending themselves?
and looking at this post I can believe you're relieved cause you can focus on Hockey instead of actually answering that post lmao
Posted: Sat Sep 18, 2021 6:02 am
by AlwaysNever
An interesting tidbit, about 40% of Uhuh's post (until 375) is a reply to Dorsey. 44% if you count post 59. Almost half. Curious
Posted: Sat Sep 18, 2021 6:04 am
by Titus
In post 383, HockeyFan wrote:Also, as a side note, my posting will be very limited this weekend since im going camping
You should bold your VLA.
Second, you'll be vla during the deadline
Posted: Sat Sep 18, 2021 6:05 am
by Titus
In post 388, AlwaysNever wrote:this quick change in opinion really warranted a reason cause.... huh? 3 post from Hockey and you're suddenly like, "I'm ok with this"? why though?
HockeyFan's bad read on me.
Posted: Sat Sep 18, 2021 6:07 am
by Titus
In post 388, AlwaysNever wrote:avoiding dorsey's question by pointing out gpa (thanks hockey that's a great nickname) is actually not being replaced. hmmm
Not a dodge. My willingness to eliminate GrandpaMo depended on them actually getting replaced.
In post 383, HockeyFan wrote:to 382, honestly not much has changed here execpt gpa jumping into tl and uhoh going into Nullish Scum. Greeting also into null from nullish town
So yea my lim pool is {Tits,Uhuh}
Also, as a side note, my posting will be very limited this weekend since im going camping
Nullish town:
Dorsey(ik i didnt express alot of my thoughts on this slot but I think thier progression has been semi-ish towny?)
Greeting
Null:
RCE
UhOh
Nullish Scum:
Grandpa
SL:
Titus
What good are those reads if you’re not voting for any of them?
Posted: Sat Sep 18, 2021 8:32 am
by Dorsey
The difference between TL and Greeting for me was Greeting's Post 96 and our interaction thereafter, as expressed in my Post 131. I thought Greeting was being exploitative and deceitful by accusing me of being desperate and then, when I asked him to cite where I was desperate, recanting in Post 118. Then, in Post 120, he said he was voting me because I had the most posts. I also had the most votes, so it was all very opportunistic to me. TL the Legend (much like his predecessors) just didn't post.
Posted: Sat Sep 18, 2021 8:32 am
by Dorsey
Do you feel like a slot repeatedly replacing out in a newbie means it's scum?