Alonzo's two votes at the start of D2 and D3, best indicators(imo) of who his targets were. He didn't keep voting for either the whole day, but he did vote for gamma until it was clear hebi was going to be the lynch. No other posts from him seemed notable on a glance. Did someone receive any results on D2/D3 that may have been from him?
-Cerb
Posted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 12:29 pm
by Reasonably Rational
2 dead scum, 8 dead town, only two kills tonight, four kills on the previous night(one of which at most was due to BEF), there's an additional expected KPN from last night that did not happen unless it was a limited shot ability. 2 groupscum, 1x sk, and 0x unlimited town vigs, or else protectives were in play.
Armchair setup spec.
-Cerb
Posted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 12:34 pm
by Varsoon
VOTE: RR
One SK.
One.
SK.
Posted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 12:39 pm
by Reasonably Rational
@A50: Can you please edit in the roles for each of the flips in the OP? It helps a lot to just see what roles died when without having to go to the actual flips, especially when they're a mess of flavor that doesn't matter for figuring out what information people may have been trying to crumb without claiming.
Also: BEF, next time you use a cop gambit as a PGO to draw fire, claim ascetic at the same time. It'll keep people from getting themselves killed trying to verify you, and though it'll make it a bit harder to keep from being lynched, it'll keep you from killing a doctor accidentally. Also also also: When a tracker exposes themselves to get you lynched, don't try to scare people off the lynch; come clean, and either claim PGO and lose all your utility, but know that you're guaranteed to take out a scum slot unless they want you gamesolving all game long, or else claim something else that isn't cop, but is still threatening to scum.
Also, first thought right now is that BEF received Alonzo's N1 results, saw a guilty, claimed a guilty(to communicate the guilty to whoever the cop was), and that's basically it.
Which, coupled with the likelihood that Alonzo's initial vote was on his cop target means...
VOTE: Gamma
-Cerb
Posted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 12:42 pm
by Varsoon
Awh gaddamnit cerb why you gotta go and make sense like that
Are you seriously going to interpret my obvious conclusion that since there were 3 kills that are unexplained on N2, there are three separate scum killing mechanics in play, and therefore 1x sk+2x groupscums of whatever sizes as an SK claim? Is that what you're doing here Varsoon? Or are you just scum and really looking forward to actually managing to get our slot lynched, since you've seen so many try and fail?
-Cerb
Posted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 12:44 pm
by profii
In post 3760, Reasonably Rational wrote:Also, first thought right now is that BEF received Alonzo's N1 results, saw a guilty, claimed a guilty(to communicate the guilty to whoever the cop was), and that's basically it.
Which, coupled with the likelihood that Alonzo's initial vote was on his cop target means...
VOTE: Gamma
+ existance of a Busdriver =
VOTE: Gamma
/sheeping
Posted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 12:44 pm
by pinturicchio
In post 3760, Reasonably Rational wrote:
Also, first thought right now is that BEF received Alonzo's N1 results, saw a guilty, claimed a guilty(to communicate the guilty to whoever the cop was), and that's basically it.
Which, coupled with the likelihood that Alonzo's initial vote was on his cop target means...
VOTE: Gamma
-Cerb
I thought the same thing, but why did BEF incriminate hebi? Was he just wrong?
In post 3760, Reasonably Rational wrote:
Also, first thought right now is that BEF received Alonzo's N1 results, saw a guilty, claimed a guilty(to communicate the guilty to whoever the cop was), and that's basically it.
Which, coupled with the likelihood that Alonzo's initial vote was on his cop target means...
VOTE: Gamma
-Cerb
I thought the same thing, but why did BEF incriminate hebi? Was he just wrong?
BEF would not have known who Alonzo's target was, based on A50's previous statements about how results would be displayed; he clearly stated results are in teh form of "your target", with no indication of who the target is; therefore, BEF would not have known who the guilty was on.
I do need to analyze the posts from Nero to see if there's any indication of who he targeted so we can make sure we're not walking into a bus driven mislynch.
-Cerb
Posted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 12:48 pm
by pinturicchio
Ok yeah just read what a bus driver was, but it still doesn't make sense. Could you explain like to a five yo?
p-edit: yeah that's what I thought, that makes more sense.
In post 1191, Majiffy wrote:Chickadee is probably flipping scum or 3P here but BuJ remains the ideal lynch today.
I feel that this statement warrants explanation.
-Cerb
Post-game, maybe.
Maybe
Why only postgame, what advantage would that give?
In post 1231, Gamma Emerald wrote:I call BS. There’s a multitude of reasons why a post-game explanation is bad VOTE: Majiffy
If you’re making that type of statement you’d probably have already done analysis to support it. Since you haven’t that means it’s a crock of shit.
In post 2198, RCEnigma wrote:Can we get chickadee today and DGB tomorrow? If I need the puppy dog eyes ok but...
No.
Chick/Clem seems to be a LHF push based on activity
I'm gonna place a bet that Gamma flips the same team as Chick.
Posted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 12:56 pm
by Reasonably Rational
Again, quick read over his ISO, and I don't see any clear indicators. He used the word bus once, in reference to bussing on the clemency wagon, and he he didn't use any mobility related words in the context of any other players. Someone with more time should look over NC's ISO and see if they find something I missed, otherwise I'll have Drixx do it later.
-Cerb
Posted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 12:59 pm
by Varsoon
VOTE: Gamma
Ugh.
I just.
I keep compromising what I WANT for what other people logic out as better lynches.
Like I wanted the RCE lynch but nooo now that guy gets to have a win.
And I wanted a Bujaber lynch but nooooo no one else gives a shit about THAT.
And I am fairly sure you're third party but nooooo
It's just BIG UGHs from me.
Like what I care about doesn't matter.
Posted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 1:00 pm
by Fortian
I will catch up on everything this afternoon.
Please don’t flash lynch anyone
- DV
Posted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 1:02 pm
by Reasonably Rational
Right, someone should also ISO Clemency+Chick+Cheeky and see where that leads them. If I had any strong town reads I'd hand out assignments, but I fucking don't right now. :-/
-Cerb
Posted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 1:03 pm
by Almost50
In post 3760, Reasonably Rational wrote:@A50: Can you please edit in the roles for each of the flips in the OP? It helps a lot to just see what roles died when without having to go to the actual flips, especially when they're a mess of flavor that doesn't matter for figuring out what information people may have been trying to crumb without claiming.
*Sigh*
Done!
It was my way of not giving away there was more than one Mafia squad, until you guys caught the subtle messages in the flips, so I guess that's alright now.