Countdown to deadline: 5 days, 0 hours, 32 minutes
This is running under the assumption that Kagami/Gaiden were town and are removed, and that we're both town as well. There's two distinct pairing with no deviation on this lynch. Does wagonomics insist that Dunn/Bit and Ank/Maria have one pairing? Possibly. If we go by that I can see the thread tyring to go for Dunn/Bit (which was the other lynch considered) but if
that
doesn't have a red I will 100% back my own process that town likely mislynched their own and a lot of the grime aka scum didn't want anything to do with the wagon. BittDunn v AnkMaria will most definitely happen and this votecount works more in our favor if its SvT in relation to DunnvMaria.
I really think GRob/Creature look bad here all things considered. I do see what you're saying about GRob and how he's playing, so perhaps you're going at the angle scum know they have an implanted mate who who's deeper than we percieve?
How many mislynches can we afford? Is the gameplan still lynching BittDunn and then FBShiro? Do we have room to do so?
Posted: Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:09 am
by Ankamius
We have 2 mislynches
Posted: Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:12 am
by Creature
I'm thinking about doing FB/Shiro
Posted: Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:14 am
by popsofctown
It's if we mislynch twice in a row and mislynch a third time we lose right?
Despite Deasrir being a miss I don't think that's very likely.
Posted: Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:15 am
by Ankamius
Correct pops
Posted: Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:16 am
by Ankamius
I want FB in here to go into what happened throughout the night
I think if we can comfortably sort Shiro, we have a very strong chance of having a win assuming Shiro is town
Posted: Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:17 am
by unwnd
What I want to know is if people think town literally all mislynched DeasCeph or there's one scum on there
Posted: Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:17 am
by unwnd
I think occam's razor suggests there is btw
Posted: Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:18 am
by Ankamius
I think it's dumb luck and nigh unreadable unwnd
Posted: Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:21 am
by unwnd
I think discussing it helps more than just ignoring it
Kinda the reason why I agreed to wagon because I wanted to get reads off of how it formed and whatnot
Posted: Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:21 am
by Creature
Yawn man
Now I'm unsure which pair is most likely T-T
Posted: Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:21 am
by popsofctown
I'm pretty torn between just lynching the scummiest people and slowing down and rethinking things after a mislynch. 8 days 4 lynches can't be paced too slow though. I should look at whether Cephrir or DV had reads worth deadsheeping maybe
Did MariaR have some kind of midlife crisis game rethink in the lover PT for Cephvail greenflip or does that not trigger before another greenflip?
Posted: Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:21 am
by Creature
I don't think I can trust FB/Shiro and Dunn/Bit pairs.