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Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 12:39 pm
by The Bulge
personally

VOTE: Something smart

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 12:39 pm
by morph the cat
In post 3824, The Bulge wrote:
In post 3820, The Bulge wrote:while we're talking about how bad it is to kill players everyone agrees on, when was the last time we all had a serious discussion about wagonning someone who is not mariab/alisae/420?
like how much info are we
really
banking on if whichever of these we go with flips green? given that everyone for the most part seems pretty in-line with this limpool.
Speak a name into the ether?

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 12:40 pm
by zMuffinMan
i take it you think mariaboy is town now something_smart?

what do your scum reads look like now?
In post 3820, The Bulge wrote:while we're talking about how bad it is to kill players everyone agrees on, when was the last time we all had a serious discussion about wagonning someone who is not mariab/alisae/420?
probably not enough time left for there to be any serious consideration for anyone else, given the current game state (specifically, i don't know if there's a name outside of them that enough people feel pretty strongly about)

plus they're probably not all town anyway

plus unless we crapshoot and hit scum, it's gonna come back to them tomorrow anyway most likely

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 12:41 pm
by zMuffinMan
something_smart is probably the person i feel least good about outside of those names though so i am not exactly opposed to what i'm ultimately thinking is just going to be a vanity wagon at this stage

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 12:43 pm
by The Bulge
and how fun is an 18 hour vanity flashwagon :D

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 12:43 pm
by morph the cat
The thing is, I'm not sure i WANT that slot to be able to act, regardless. So if they're town, we saved ourselves from two players who couldn't be bothered to catch up OR even ask for the entire role PM, but somehow should be trusted to get a vig shot with even higher than average negative utility.

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 12:44 pm
by morph the cat
Something something data for the data gods.

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 12:47 pm
by The Bulge
of those 3 I'd be by far the most ok with maid if im only considering likelihood of flipping red

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 12:47 pm
by midwaybear
Vanity and flash wagon don’t go together. I don’t think he is a good option for today.

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 12:47 pm
by The Bulge
and i skipped all the leashing talk, ill let yall lead that one if thats how we're dealing with that slot

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 12:50 pm
by The Bulge
In post 3831, morph the cat wrote:Something something data for the data gods.
In post 3833, midwaybear wrote:Vanity and flash wagon don’t go together. I don’t think he is a good option for today.
it's not like we only have wagonomics on our side? we have 150+ pages peppered with peoples opinions of s_s

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 12:51 pm
by midwaybear
I don’t really think he is scum at this point even if he has been scummy.

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 12:52 pm
by The Bulge
huh?

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 12:54 pm
by zMuffinMan
In post 3830, morph the cat wrote:somehow should be trusted to get a vig shot with even higher than average negative utility.
indeed, this is what i meant when i said it doesn't make sense to try less than usual in a game where you have a short shelf-life and ideally wanna be as accurate as possible about the one thing it's important you get correct

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 1:04 pm
by Something_Smart
In post 3827, zMuffinMan wrote:i take it you think mariaboy is town now something_smart?
yes and even if I didn't the potential upside to giving them a day to prove would outweigh the potential downside.

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 1:05 pm
by Something_Smart
In post 3827, zMuffinMan wrote:what do your scum reads look like now?
I don't know, I don't really have any. I wouldn't oppose killing 420.

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 1:05 pm
by Something_Smart
In post 3830, morph the cat wrote:The thing is, I'm not sure i WANT that slot to be able to act, regardless. So if they're town, we saved ourselves from two players who couldn't be bothered to catch up OR even ask for the entire role PM, but somehow should be trusted to get a vig shot with even higher than average negative utility.
what

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 1:18 pm
by The Bulge
i feel so ignored :^(

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 1:22 pm
by Bell
I think maidcFe maybe town, even though they claimed something almost exactly the same as last time this is still a “why claim a role that makes sure they don’t make it to end game”.

I don’t disagree that it may be a poor choice to have them use the ability without targeting someone that is really likely to be mafia.

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 1:25 pm
by Remilia Scarlet
I don't really have a stake in the flavor thing.

I don't know why we're trying to leash Maid Cafe. That's a move you do for SKs that you're basically trying to force to play pro-town while knowing that they're really not on your team - it's a method of control, not a path to clarity. If they're lying, they're lying - I don't think controlling the target gives any insight into that and it gives scum less room to maneuver if that slot is indeed legitimate.

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 1:27 pm
by Remilia Scarlet
In post 3807, morph the cat wrote:the shot choice is data.
they can claim that tomorrow then? If they're town they can say who they picked, and we can decide what to do at that point.

If they're scum then it doesn't matter what they "pick"

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 1:29 pm
by midwaybear
It definitely matters who they “pick” if they are scum.

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 1:29 pm
by morph the cat
In post 3845, Remilia Scarlet wrote:
In post 3807, morph the cat wrote:the shot choice is data.
they can claim that tomorrow then? If they're town they can say who they picked, and we can decide what to do at that point.

If they're scum then it doesn't matter what they "pick"
Yeah, I didn't mean it was data we can only get today. My point was that leashing actually fuzzes up that data.

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 1:29 pm
by Bell
Scum rarely if ever have roles that exchange 1 for 1

Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 1:30 pm
by Remilia Scarlet
In post 3847, morph the cat wrote:
In post 3845, Remilia Scarlet wrote:
In post 3807, morph the cat wrote:the shot choice is data.
they can claim that tomorrow then? If they're town they can say who they picked, and we can decide what to do at that point.

If they're scum then it doesn't matter what they "pick"
Yeah, I didn't mean it was data we can only get today. My point was that leashing actually fuzzes up that data.
word