We don't have time for patience. Your patience yesterday is why we couldn't lynch Egix yesterday, and why I almost got mislynched by a matter of hours.In post 2511, Creature wrote:You're way too impatient.In post 2420, Shoshin wrote:Creature, why aren't you voting Egix yet?
Open 756: Hope Plus One (Day 5)
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I wanted to lynch Egix. How many times must I say this?In post 2520, Titus wrote:
Shosin scum. He was the other option.In post 2504, Creature wrote:Who tf lynches Dr Worm?- Shoshin
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You said Titus was your top scumread yesterday. Why aren't you pushing that today?In post 2523, Egix96 wrote:
I figured that there would be a lot of dead air at SoD due to the long wait, so I wanted to try and help get things moving again by putting a vote down on someone who a) I scumread, and b) had shown that they were active by posting so they'd be around to react to it.In post 2483, Shoshin wrote:I'm not as confident on town Creature as I am on Icon/Eyes but this:
Egix, why vote Creature over Titus?In post 2067, Shoshin wrote:Creature's town because the way he played around Baezu on D1 strongly suggests he's town (calling him scum after the point where scum would have known Baezu was doctor), & Creature's self-vote almost never comes from scum him in this context whereas I've seen him do it as town before. Also, he's defending me at a time when he had no reason to, especially since he had been calling me "underwhelming" earlier in the game and easily could have jumped on my wagon. Lack of opportunism is strongly town indicative for Creature.
And his reaction was pretty meh to say the least...- Shoshin
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This doesn't answer my question. Titus was you top scumread. Now it's not? What changed?In post 2542, Egix96 wrote:Because I'm having trouble deciding who's more likely scum between you and her.- Shoshin
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You're describing most of my town games. Me under high pressure while voting scum.In post 2544, popsofctown wrote:Why is it contradictory for me to vote you and agree with your reads if I believe all the game's correct reads are in your role pm?
You've been high pressure all game, I don't have to deep dive your games to believe you're smart enough to know to bus when likely to get lynched. It's no reason not to scumread you.
The point is that when someone agrees with your reads, it's usually a sign that the person in question is town. It means you're reading the game from a similar perspective.- Shoshin
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This sounds like a reason for you vote Egix over me.In post 2576, popsofctown wrote:I don't think it's correct play for Egix to bus you here though. We'd probably lynch him anyways.- Shoshin
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I have a proposal, then: Lynch me at LYLO.In post 2582, popsofctown wrote:I'm paranoid we lynch Egix, he flips scum, and you tank stock to end game off the cred.
I'll accept my own lynching if we get to LYLO. My goal is to avoid getting there altogether.- Shoshin
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The ability to reevaluate reads is one of the most important skills a townie can have in this game. Especially when there's a very good explanation for the low effort in the beginning of the game.In post 2599, popsofctown wrote:I'm a big believer that to some extent future good behavior can't obviate past bad behavior in mafia. And much of your early posting was really bad.
You know as an objective fact that I was posting this way in all my games at the time, and even got mislynched in another game at the same time for inactivity. So you know that what's generally "bad behavior" wasn't in this case, it was simply a sign that I was too busy to give the game my normal level of engagement.- Shoshin
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https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=83&t=79139 -- I'm town Jungle Medicine in this game. You can see how active I was earlier in the game & then the massive drop off around the same time as this game started. I ended up being mislynched for inactivity.
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=79367 -- I was scum Papyrus. I was very active in this game until around the time this game started. There was a massive drop in activity around that time.
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=11&t=79402 -- I was scum. This game started around the same time as this game. I was fairly inactive & eventually got replaced because I couldn't keep up.
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=79367 -- I was scum Papyrus. I was very active in this game until around the time this game started. There was a drop in activity around that time. This game is notable because my inactivity continued much after the point where I became active in this game. The fact I continued to be inactive there but became active here should be very telling on alignments.
There's other ongoing games but I can't talk about those. You'd have to do the research yourself. For all these games, pay attention to time stamps. There's periods of activity in all my games, just like this one, but in the key points where I was inactive in this game, I was also inactive in those.
Also, remember that Buki did the research & he reevaluated his read on me. He expressly stated that his meta analysis was wrong based on new evidence from looking deeper. I can also point you to many other games where I've had periods of inactivity as long as D1 on this game.- Shoshin
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Buki reevaluating my meta:
In post 2177, Fumuki wrote:I've been searching some Shoshin games and I retract my meta on her.
Definitely not completely retracting, but I thought I had seen more of her games than I actually have? I have this habit of skimming through ongoing games and I had seen Shoshin quite a lot, however she rolls town quite a lot? although I didn't look game by game (I search for topics she posted in and try to see if there she posted in a "scum PT" in that game, if not I assume that she was town there), I've only found a very old scum game of hers now that I'm diligently reading them.
I'm not saying she has been towny in a meta way here though. Just that I thought I knew more about her than I actually do. Also I'm not particularly counting the Starcraft game as a scum game since you were third party.In post 2181, Fumuki wrote:Actually, I'm taking most of Shoshin meta to the trash can.
Shoshin meta right now can change drastically I would say. It's unstable grounds and not reliable. She seems to not be confident with her own methods.
I'll review her ISO here but maybe the optimal play is to try something else today, and cop checks Shoshin tonight? Brass slot is probably be easier to engage with so I'm not as worried as I was before with RC. (I don't really know how to read him that accurately though).- Shoshin
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I also don't think I lied to anyone about mafia experience? I was trying to remove meta expectations because I was experimenting with a different approach. But I never pretended not to have previous knowledge about the game.In post 2605, popsofctown wrote:Lying about your mafia experience as town is gross.- Shoshin
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I can make the case if you need one.In post 2633, Iconeum wrote:I don't wanna lynch shoshin but I don't see a spectacular case on egix either- Shoshin
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This is extremely towny from Clemency.In post 2632, Clemency wrote:id prefer egix lynch over shoshin- Shoshin
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Let's clarify a few things.In post 2638, Titus wrote:There's a slight chance it's T v T but how else do we explain the three day failure rate or scum letting lynchbait get lynched over Shosin if Shosin is town?
1. There's been two mislynches, not three.
2. RC led a mislynch on D1, not me. I had nothing to do with that failure.
3. I strongly pushed for a lynch on scum Egix yesterday.
4. Townies chose to lynch Worm over me. Remember, I was at L-1 with Emperor declaring intent to hammer. The only reason I survived is because GIF (confirmed town) & Fumuki (obvtown) switched voted to Worm. Scum didn't let Worm get lynched over me, townies forced that to happen.
The biggest issue I have with Titus is that she seems to assume scum control everything that happens when that isn't true. Towns often mislynch with no influence from scum, or against the lynch that scum are pushing, and that's what happened in this game.- Shoshin
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Icon, I'd like your help to sort out Titus.
According to Titus, there's two possible explanations for the mislynch on Worm: (1) I'm scum who couldn't be lynched because I had the help of two teammates, or (2) I'm town & scum were unsuccessful in their attempts to lynch me over Worm.
The former means that scum have been actively manipulating town into mislynching, whereas the latter means that town acted contrary to scum's manipulation but still against town's interests. Both possibilities happen all the time. There's games where scum control everything, and there's games where town lose the game for themselves with no active effort on scum's part.
Titus defaults to explanation (1). But she never explains why.
I've pointed out a few times why this narrative directly conflicts with the evidence. In short, I survived yesterday because GIF & you (townies) switched votes from me to Worm before I could be hammered by Emperor with only a couple hours left until deadline. If I'm receiving protection, it's from townies, not scum.
Why isn't this piece of evidence changing how Titus views the game? Why ignore this evidence to keep pushing the narrative in (1)? This is what I don't understand. Am I missing something about Titus?- Shoshin
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Yes, Egix just scum claimed with those results.In post 2684, popsofctown wrote:Shoshin you said I could burden of proficiency you on Egix can I cash that in?
Scum are obviously going to fake claim cop here before going down.- Shoshin
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Why isn't Radiant his top townread here?In post 1950, Egix96 wrote:
No offence intended, but have you been reading my posts? I thought I'd been explaining myself quite well but if not, I apologise.In post 1942, Shoshin wrote:Why have you been scumreading me?
All right then, if I'm wrong on you and you're actually town, then now's your chance to show it.
- Can you remember why you said "I'd feel tempted to self-vote in that case, RC." in post#36? Because I don't think that's a very towny attitude to have.
- You seem to ask the question "if you assume I'm town, who are the scum?" or some variation of it, often. What do you intend to achieve by asking it?
- P#798 - "I'm also sort of lazy this game because I have the backup of RC & NSG, so I feel less urgency about sorting alignments." Why those two players specifically?
- P#978 - "You're scum until you stop scumreading me." Can you remember why you said that?
- P#986 - "I don't have a solid read on either of RC or NSG." Then why were you using them as backup?
This is from looking through the first ~half of your ISO. That should be enough for the time being.
{NSG, Freezer}In post 1943, Shoshin wrote:What are your reads, Egix?
{Cowbells, Fumuki}
{Eyes, Wormy}
Flippy - If I be honest I don't really have a read on him atm
{Creature}
{Titus slot, Shosh} - Shoshin
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