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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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So what power roles do we think scum have? This looks like a stacked town right now.
Ninja- seems almost definite.
Backup ninja- seems likely to make up numbers/not be instant lose if Ninja is lynched d1.
Backup rolecop- seems likely to make up numbers/fit with the traitor.
Tracker? If they do then they 100% would have tracked Cliff on the night where Bob got confirmed. Some wording on the backup implies there could be two trackers. Though this seems townsided since lynching that tracker would
Vistor/Fruit vendor style roles- due to the watchy stuff.
Backup watcher/similar- to fill gaps in town claims.
Roleblocker- maybe, but doesn't gel with how they've handled Rick.
Strongman- does not appear necessary.
Any modifiers- none meaningfull enhance power.
Every other role- does not seem meaningfulThere's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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This technically addresses the wording of my point that 'you have not mentioned Eevee at all'.In post 4751, Titus wrote:
Eevee is EEArmy which is Evolution Army sooo it was exactly about that slot.In post 4748, Hopkirk wrote:
This is a terrible response. Looking through your entire posting and you don't mention Eevee by any other names either, except for that one reference you made that you quoted above which wasn't about Eevee at all.In post 4745, Titus wrote:Sorry I don't use your method of referencing EE. Sorry real life has prevented me from posting but I am trying to catch up.
It clearly ignores the actual point 'you have not mentioned Eevee directly or meaningfully at all'.
If the best response you can make it 'I mentioned them offhand once while refereed to the wagon on them without following up with an opinion later' is the best you can do then you're not answering the question, you're trying to make it look like you've answered or that I'm unreasonable. It's weaselly rules lawyery avoiding the actual question.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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Don't see the titus one unless the entire thing is in a spoiler.In post 4760, Hectic wrote:I have a whole semi-ISO analysis on Titus yesterday iirc, and I must've commented on Kop and Garmr.
Garmr you mention a lot, but you townread.
Kop I think you only mention in terms of replacement.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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There's this if that's what you mean.In post 4353, Hectic wrote:That's amazing. I am forever in your debt, Texcat.
Titus' stance on profii is really odd. Like I get considering the possibility that he could be scum with a traitor in a neighbourhood, but thinking it's likely the case is dubious to say the least.
@Titus: Why'd you vote for Garmr late on yesterday? Earlier, you said he does crazy stuff as town and that you'd very surprised if he flipped scum.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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There's absolutely no indication you townread Eevee post Alonzo lynch d2. How strong is this townread and why is it?In post 4767, Titus wrote:
Hardly. You're just arguing what I can do is never good enough. I don't deny that I didn't follow up. I am not sure that's the only interaction but in that interaction, I clearly take the position that EEArmy is town and act accordingly in thread.In post 4754, Hopkirk wrote:It clearly ignores the actual point 'you have not mentioned Eevee directly or meaningfully at all'.
If the best response you can make it 'I mentioned them offhand once while refereed to the wagon on them without following up with an opinion later' is the best you can do then you're not answering the question, you're trying to make it look like you've answered or that I'm unreasonable. It's weaselly rules lawyery avoiding the actual question.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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I have a reasonable reason to townread you based onIn post 4771, Hectic wrote:Not as much as I thought but it's post 160 to 163 in my ISO.
@Hop: What's your read on me right now?reasons
Interactions with likely scum + POE make me concerned. I'd lynch other people first (Eevee, Titus, Garmr).
If Garmr or you are scum then you're probably both scum. Garmr's interactions with you feel different to how he interacts (much more aggressively) with most of the thread.
Currently more likely scum than town on the aggregate.
What's your read on me right now?There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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Looks like you're right here.In post 4785, Billy Pilgrim wrote:
Didnt eevee already claim VT yesterday?In post 4774, Hopkirk wrote:Eevee flips scum, we're just waiting for his fakeclaim.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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I feel like at this point it's fairly obvious to everyone that neither Garmr/Rick wants to be the first one to say whether or not Rick was on X player because
a.) their 'claim' could be proven false based on the result
or
b.) they want to catch the other out
We (Carca/Billy/Dave) should decide which of them claims their result first rather than it being whichever one gives in first.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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That's right. To be honest I stopped reading his posts properly around d2.In post 4802, AaronFrost wrote:
You've spent the entire game assuring us that Hectic is town and now you're suddenly all concerned about him?In post 4730, Hopkirk wrote:@Hectic: I'm kind of concerned that you never say anything bad about Kop/Titus/Eevee while they write the word 'Hectic' a combined total of once over all of their posts. Should I be worried?There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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I agree with this.In post 4806, Billy Pilgrim wrote:
My vote is for Garmr to full claim results up to last night. Then I want Rick to full claim everything including last night. Then Garmr can give last nights target.In post 4796, Hopkirk wrote:I feel like at this point it's fairly obvious to everyone that neither Garmr/Rick wants to be the first one to say whether or not Rick was on X player because
a.) their 'claim' could be proven false based on the result
or
b.) they want to catch the other out
We (Carca/Billy/Dave) should decide which of them claims their result first rather than it being whichever one gives in first.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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Oh, why didn't you use a codeword like 'eyebrows' that I'd have known meant the tell.
You did some d1, but didn't do that much of it when you started posting later on in the game.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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The A is the name of someone we know shortened for anonymity.
I assume the R etc is the towntell I claim to have on Hectic. I haven't tested in that much online, but it works fairly consistently irl.
I don't understand why he used R either so that probably doesn't count as a code since only Hectic knew what it meant.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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Town doctor and more likely town.In post 4839, Hectic wrote:
What're your reads on Rick and Texcat?In post 4781, Hopkirk wrote:I'm thinking 4 of (Eevee, Titus, Garmr, Hectic, Kop) as scumteam.
@Pine: Eevee, Titus, and yourself are what most seem to want to lynch today.
My current plan is still lynch Eevee/Titus/kopine and see what happens next.
-hopThere's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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Have I just had bad luck recently or is there something up with mafiascum since I last played? Been in three games including this one since my last break and there's been issues with all of them.
1- Mod flakes, abandoned.
2- Selfhammer by town within a couple of irl days. Followed by the only modkill I've seen in ~50-60 games on here (legitimate reasons, but still meaningful to note).
3- This one: two town self hammers, one town faking two types of guility on another town pr.
I literally had a one person blacklist before this and now I'm starting to feel like I actually have to look at playerlists/mods before I join a game.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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It doesn't rely on that but let's try a thought experiment. Assume I'm scum and this is what I think then which of the following am I planning.In post 4859, Hectic wrote:Hopkirk + Titus + Kop are my top scumreads for now. The only non-confirmed person that I'm not scumleaning/reading is Aaron and Garmr, though Aaron's claim of a Hectic-Hopkirk scumpair is slightly dodgy.
I bought Hopkirk's townread on me because apparently I have a "towntell" and he's had similar strong townreads on me in the past that have been accurate while he was town. I was aware it could just be him buddying me, but I was leaning towards him being town since the rest of his play seemed helpful/genuine. This sudden flip on me is really unnatural though, and I don't buy the reasons for it. Kop didn't mention most players in the game. I did mention Titus enough.
Also there's the factor that his scumread on me relies on all of his scumreads being correct, so it's a fairly weak link.
I'm townreading Garmr based on his frustration recently, though perhaps I'm too easily swayed. Could someone remind me of what Garmr lied about earlier in the game which Lilly caught him out for?
1- bus and lynch (likely all) of my partners to get a lynch on you. People I've wanted lynched since d2.
2- lynch those people, have at least one flip town, then either try and lynch you anyway or change my mind on you?
3- try and lynch you first despite repetedly saying those three are my top three scumreads, more people scumread them than scumread you. I've actively said I want to lynch them first.
Aaron I townread too, can you explain why the meta read you had on him has changed? I don't recall you liking him before.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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Looking back to confirm and you changed your mind based on my meta read. Is your townread also based from that meta read?In post 4238, Hectic wrote:
I see what you mean, I'd accidentally deleted that Aaron!scumgame from my personal wiki. Was just making sure you actually had good reasons to back it up.In post 4228, Hopkirk wrote:
This is where I changed my mind on Aaron @Hectic. How different to you think he feels to what you've played with? I obviously wasn't in these games so it's kind of second hand. I'll probably reread the slot sometime soon.viewtopic.php?f=50&t=80577&user_select[]=33131
viewtopic.php?f=50&t=80540&start=925
viewtopic.php?f=11&t=80753&user_select[]=33131
I'm going to go with a nice townread on Aaron actually.
1950- scumgame finishing the same time this started. Aaron doesn't really give a read on anyone for 200 posts. Barely townreads anyone, scumreads aren't particulrly justified.
1949- Catch up is very similar to this game. Gives a lot of reads early on. Changes reads (two townreads for most of the game flip to scumreads)
1954- frequent reads
This game- catch up mirrors thought process in 1949. Mind changes frequently enough (excuse the formatting). Not afraid to give reads. The previous scumtopic (1950) that ended when this started makes me think Aaron wouldn't go into this as confidently as he did with the reads list. Some of the Ate earlier sounds legitimate.
Hop is still town, I buy Aaron's reasoning for being more aggressive for now, so he also stays in the town wiki for now.
@Hop: Why is Aaron the top reread priority? Doubting your read on him now?There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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@Hectic: why are you surprised I've not got you as locktown anymore/are considering you from POE?
There's 8 potential scum. If you discount Rick/Garmr/Aaron then that leaves 5 (with likely 4 scum in it based on game's I've looked at) at which point why would I/you not consider the other one as possible scum?
Kop
Hectic (or Hopkirk for you)
EeveeLution Army
texcat
Titus
You seem to have basically this as your lynchpool but with Rick added - please clarify this as it's unclear if you're treating him as confirmed.
Can you point to any interactions you've had with them that make any of them less likely partners?There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Eevee may not be scum if the traitor rolecop wanted a credible reason to target Eevee actually.In post 3396, profii wrote:So here is how the game has progressed for me:
Firstly, I think I scum read rooster early on, certainly in my mind, but I think i did also post - there wasn't much reason in the thread but he was posting in the hood, but not in the game which bothered me, I felt it was too early in the game to call it out but it adds up something wasn't right
Rooster left with nothing really happening in the hood.
Gook straight up asked me who is scum and I said IDK. In hindsight, this will be my best move of the game ha ha
Gook talks about elements a lot without actually giving a stance. It was still in the 'I dont trust you and you dont trust me' section of the hood
Gook tried to pressure me into giving more reads, but I couldnt be bothered reviewing 80 odd pages when a flip was incoming and he didnt like that at all, but I am lazy ok. I guess he wanted to know if i should be pushed if my reads were decent, idk be hard to influence that from his position.
He thinks JJD is town
He then says he thinks him being a gunsmith + elements role meant a scum doc exists (not sure what elements claimed if anything - i dont have a note here?)
He also says it's confirmed a scum doctor targetted a mason, but i dont know if this is true and i guess from our hood position he doesnt know if his known scum-mates made the n1 kill or if they got blocked - i.e. if it's single or multiball
He then does say depending on how big the scum team is there is most likely a serial killer (and earlier he asked how big i think the scum team is, so i think that gives something away)
He said he didnt want to claim because he'd probably die (sorry if you are reading)
He speculates eevee is the doc.
He said he would gunsmith Hopkirk or eevee but then I pointed out we thought eevee was a doc and he then picked from a pool of players i presented.
then he died.
Feel like the line about SK suggests this probably is the 4p scumteam as consistent with numbers.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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Town as I said twice above, based on the meta read. Scum him seemed a lot more cautious where he feels more open here.In post 4882, EeveeLution Army wrote:What do you think of aaron hop?
No indication why, seems pretty par for the course.In post 4883, bob3141 wrote:Were i am now is that i think hopk is scum
VOTE: HopkVOTE:
The interaction of late between hopk and hectic do feel rather funny. Not sure is scum hopk is eitehr distancing from hectic or just trying to portray that. So not entirly sure on how hectic fits in yet
There's no way he's a survivor who joke claimed it page 1.In post 4884, EeveeLution Army wrote:Hectic did claim surv. And his iso kinda matches it.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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So just Pine, Titus, Tex, Hectic to claim. We should get those claims today since we're looking closely at all of them.
Bob is town unless scum have a tracker. If scum have a tracker Bob only goes into the possible scum pool (many more likely scum remain). I wouldn't consider voting there unless we lynched a scum (backup?) tracker.
Garmr's claim feels like an odd role for scum to have. I'm still townreading there based on attitude/tone as earlier. Only scum explanation I can see there is scum have the backup watcher and Garmr's been getting legit no results from it. There's enough people I don't think flip scum with Garmr that I don't really see scumteams possible here.
Looking at the possible scumpool it just feels like the scum have had no impact this game. Looking at the Rooster kill feels like they weren't even reading.
I'm struggling to see Hectic deciding to kill Rooster there unless someone was really pushing hard for it.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Texcat didn't really post anything after the Alonzo lynch. Lack of follow up on Eevee there makes me doubt his committal to the lynch. Kop flips scum if Tex does.
@Texcat: how do you read Hectic? You haven't expressed a read on him this game. How do you feel about Eevee and Titus?There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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@Hectic: Based on your reads if I'm scum then I've been pushing my scumpartners for 90% of the game.
We've discussed in the past several times that I'm not a fan of bussing so why does that seem likely to you now?
Why do you think I'd rely 100% on the towntell when you haven't flipped scum yet on MS?There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Kop also more likely to flip scum if Hectic does. It feels off that Hectic went to check this (though the joke made me laugh) when he wasn't posting any content.In post 4512, Hectic wrote:@LUV:If you're replacing Kop, don't you need to post you're looking for a replacement in the replacement queue?
Also Hectic keeping his vote on Cliff while saying 'let's wait until the replacement to end the day'.
Hectic normally actually does some content at some point and I don't think I've seen anything in the last two-three weeks. I can only account for like five-seven days of that time. D4 he still doesn't have clear reads on pretty much any of his possible partners.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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My previous hectic read was a good townread that I didn't revisit, that I joked was a 100% read. It was more like 70-80% town.
On a reread of lots of stuff that changed. I very frequently reassess reads. See basically any of my games to see hard town/scumreads move between the two.
I convinced myself otherwise after reisoing 6/7 people, some of them 2-3 times.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Nothing to do with how I read him.
- I was strongly implying an innocent on him (and maybe garmr)which also would lead him to believe I'm VT.
- Garmr says mafia didn't target me with kills, roleblocked etc the following night.
- the above is more likely to occur if mafia either don't have a roleblocker/way around cop OR if either hectic or Garmr is scum as they'd know I'm not a cop. Scum teams excluding them wouldn't have the same information as they'd see me getting two possible cop results that were actually true.
This didn't factor into my read change on Hectic as I thought of this after my read changed
I'll explain the read change part when I'm not toilet phone posting.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Titus, Hectic (unless he's hardclaiming miller survivor), Texcat, Kopine.In post 4951, bob3141 wrote:so who is left to roleclaim.
Everyone scummy except Eevee.
I feel like scum gave up a while back and we should actually get around to lynching them at some point.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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What's your scumpool at right now?In post 4948, AaronFrost wrote:Tinfoil hat theory is telling me that Hopkirk and Hectic are bussing right now but I don't really have any solid evidence for it. I think at least one of them are scum though.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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I don't really feel like putting more effort into trying to work out exactly which 4 of the 5 are the scumteam since we have a spare mislynch and there could technically be five scum.
This would go faster if any of the confirmed town were posting more than once a day.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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What I was saying there is that the confirmed town don't really seem to be asking each other questions to try and work stuff out. There seems to be people popping in and out, not cooperating to try and swap thoughts/opinions.
Rick I've had as town since d1. I still believe the claim and I don't see my read changing.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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I joked we were a second set of masons at one point.In post 4968, Garmr wrote:I been under the assumption this whole time that you and hopkirk had a qt + a role and that's why you were town reading each other because of it.
I also very lightly softed an investigative with a clear on Hectic and you took my responses to your questions about it to mean I had a clear on you as well.
So some questionsIn post 4970, Hectic wrote:
Nope. Hopkirk probably joked about it at some point.In post 4968, Garmr wrote:I been under the assumption this whole time that you and hopkirk had a qt + a role and that's why you were town reading each other because of it.
I'm surprised people are reading his complete flip on me as genuine.
How can you go from "If anyone has anything bad to say about Hectic, say it now." to being okay with lynching me today?
People were always suspicious of his strong townread on me, so this was a necessity for him, also because some of his scumreads are actually probably scum, so he needed another person to possibly mislynch.
-What benefit does scum Hopkirk get from pushing the 'Hectic is confirmed town' for several days and why did I do it?
-Given you're aware I've been memeing a lot, why are you treating it like I had you locktown?
-Why do I change my opinion on you now? Who is my scumteam if I flip scum?
You know I dislike bussing unless absolutely necessary. We've discussed this numerous times, and you ignored the question I asked you earlier about it. I'll ask again: You have me as scum and you ALSO have everyone I've spent the entire game pushing (Eevee, Kop, Titus) as most likely scum. Why have I spent the whole game pushing them? I don't see any credible attempt from you to look for my partners or develop the idea that 'Hopkirk is scum' into 'Hopkirk is scum which means x looks better and y looks worse'.
In post 4972, AaronFrost wrote:
Not Eevee?In post 4954, Hopkirk wrote:
What's your scumpool at right now?In post 4948, AaronFrost wrote:Tinfoil hat theory is telling me that Hopkirk and Hectic are bussing right now but I don't really have any solid evidence for it. I think at least one of them are scum though.
{Titus, Hopkirk, Hectic, tex, Garmr, Kop/Pine}
At least 6 (billy,bob,hop,hec,eev,AFF).In post 4979, EeveeLution Army wrote:How many vt claims do we have now? 4?There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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There's at most one town in (Hectic/Pine/Titus/Eevee/Kop). I don't care who it is because there's no reason I can see not to lynch all of them as our next 5 lynches. My activity is going to be roughly reducing to the average activity for this game from now until the 12th of December. If people want substantial input from me then I recommend stalling the days out until then. I'll likely go full V/La the week before that.
Would be hilarious if Pine was SK and just hadn't been killing ever because he hadn't been here the whole game.
-HopThere's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
- Hopkirk
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- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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Literally even if you had a guilty there you absolutely should not have hammered without the claim there. No matter what he flips there's no way we lynch anyway except Titus tomorrow and I don't believe any pr claims that come after this day.
One hasn't quite been dragged into another day without claiming Billy.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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Any scenario that involves scum doing tracky stuff around carcalilly that hectic suggested earlier doesn't match with Garmr still claiming the result on carca. Scum tracky stuff would have had a no result if he/they actually targeted her and wouldn't have made the claim. Wouldn't make sense to claim if they actually had results.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
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Assuming four days per day, two days for twilight and night taking longer, two days for night, and up to 4 more scum (probably 3 after this but we could mislynch once), and counting tonight, this could easily be over thirty days no matter how inevitable things look.There's no reaching. I've become enlightened. - Hopkirk
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