FFS, you say "almost always" and I ask for evidence, and you come up with a single game????? But no. If that would work, "Normal 2016" right back at you. JKs are slightly (but only slightly) more likely to keep a killer than killer. Not "almost always"In post 7687, MathBlade wrote:Newbie 1209
Team Mafia 2020: Normal Game (Endgame)
Forum rules
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Faith in RC being RC and destroying his early game wagons?In post 7692, skitter30 wrote:ari was very very very nearly lynched tho
so neither tried to form any cw and were content to just lurk it out and watch him get wagoned?- teacher
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What you are saying is demonstrably wrong, whether by pure math or by RCE's flip in this game. But Im not trying to convince you its wrong.
Im assessing the strength of your belief in the demonstrably wrong. Because that does matter into how to read your day 3.
So Im trying to see if it is an article of pure faith for you -- "a sitewide standard that's existed" and so must remain so despite the lack of evidence, or if there is something more there.
(o be clear, I too believe killer is more likely than killee, but only marginally rather than your absolutely)- teacher
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TBH, Im not sure how you get to BOTH me and skit being hard town after resisting RCE, plus maintaining (at least to a limited extent) your traitor theory?In post 7527, MathBlade wrote:
Not really I was the only one who pushed her. She’s not after being right on RCEIn post 7515, skitter30 wrote:
Nice shadeIn post 7512, Xtoxm wrote:Skitter stop prancing around like you own the thread. You are still a suspect.
Like, to you this is mylo, right? or did you give up on that?
If you gave up on that, why did your reference the neighborizer bit earler?
Regardless of the traitor bit, why do you assume both people pushing against a town wagon are necessarily town? Wouldnt one white-knight/divergence from a partner be more likely in the abstract?
(BTW, sorry for the lot of questions, and I appreciate you playing with the flu. Feel better!)- teacher
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Thats just not true. Since we are talking about N1, here are RCE's other reads:In post 7528, MathBlade wrote:
Yes and RCE had no reads other than RC scumIn post 7526, Flopz wrote: Is this assuming you were the N1 target?
Spoiler:
Like the EoD1, RCE's posts in the 2000s are more about Ari scum than just about any other slot. And Im not sure how you could possibly say otherwise?- teacher
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Did this happen?In post 7524, Flopz wrote:fun digging through ISO's which I should hopefully do in the weekend.- teacher
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Why are you assuming the other two are vanilla? Im assuming a strongman N-shot.In post 7705, MathBlade wrote:The setup as written penalizes scum for using the power assuming the other two are vanilla. Saudade could be guiltied by RC for multitasking if he uses tracker. Something doesn’t add up.- teacher
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No. Again, scum!neighborizer paired with traitor roughly 11% of time. This isnt gambler's fallacy (assuming the past has relevance to this actual setup). Its about the validity of the evidence. It is not evidence, because it has not been evidence.In post 7710, MathBlade wrote:Neighborizer evidence of traitor- teacher
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OK, try it another way. What's the benefit (leaving town!Ico)? B/c theres no world where I consider Ico scum, and Ill suck ass if thats wrong.In post 7720, shos wrote:Don't think anyone actually said why they think it is a bad idea, everyone just say no we're not doing that without remotely explaining.
The only bad thing about this plan is "we lose icos voice for a day" and this is solvable by my method of deciding tomorrow's lynch.- teacher
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IIRC, and I havent checked this, Skit didnt push Saud that hard. In fact, I think she initially pushed against it for a bit (pref'ing shos, and saying shed be able to read saud in time) and flipped only when momentum felt strong that way. That was my broad takeaway from that time, but Im not double checking itIn post 7735, Iconeum wrote:
i'm constantly doubting both your slots, but i end up going in circlesIn post 7732, teacher wrote:Ico, I have to do grading stuff, but can you talk about me/skit? Like I think your reads were upside down, but I have a hard time seeing that train of thought and Im surprised you arent testing the waters in any way with either of us.
it's always 'skitter pushed that saud wagon so hard' and 'teacher just isn't scum here'- teacher
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Whats the less informed state, if we are doing that whole full discussion thing.In post 7745, shos wrote:3. Forcing scum to make one of their kills in a less-informed state- teacher
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When did xtomx claim hooded relative to Bella’s claim. Iirc, it was before the jk. I can’t check while at school, but that’s one of my main reasons to tr him, along with a completely believable portrayal of the hood thread and picking up details today.
On Ari, I don’t recall him pushing saud hard, but he’s my goal for a reread tonight.- teacher
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It’s less of a reason to rely on that, since scum!you would know the attempt to hood RCE failed and so the claim was safe. I’m still inclined to credit especially with today’s play, but that’s the relevance.In post 7773, Xtoxm wrote:i checked and it was after.
not really sure what the difference there is tho?- teacher
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Possibly. Certainly reads like a neighborizer crumb though.In post 7968, Iconeum wrote:
does this read like scum interacting with scum to you, shos?In post 5728, Xtoxm wrote:
im notoriously difficult to force to talkIn post 5716, Saudade wrote:Xtox come back here I'm going to force you to talk and then vote rc- teacher
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presumptively 6:2 now. ML+NK=4:2 Mylo tomorrow. 1 mislynch.In post 8004, Aristophanes wrote:
We are 2 mislynches away from mylo are we not?In post 7999, shos wrote:
LOLIn post 7995, Aristophanes wrote:And shos, NL is a good plan but not at this moment. It is for when mylo hits or is nigh. Not when we are up in town numbers! Give your head a shake!
how can you be any more 'nigh' than now you're one mislynch away from mylo- teacher
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Sorry, I thought it was for skit and they came around anyways. Sure Ill do it in a bit.In post 8017, Flopz wrote:Teacher are you going to do the Ari associative thing because I've kind of been waiting for that- teacher
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Welcome to the Ari-Trisaudade associative show.
For our opening act, we offer this vintage RC:Spoiler:
So most of the initial scumread was based of Ari-Tris interactions, and RC’s conclusion – that there was hard distancing between the two slots without backup – is proven throughout the thread. Ari scumreads the Trisaudade slot consistently…..
Spoiler: Ari scumreads
But then, as RC begins to express “scumpinging [saudade]” 4072, Ari suddenly loses that scumread and in fact pushes against it, defending the slot and pushing counterwagons.
Spoiler: ari defending scum
He does this until its clear the momentum is coming around onto Saudade, and he needs to be in a position to bus again, when he shows openness to the lynch while still trying to push others.
Spoiler: shift to bus
In all, the sequence ends with this:Giving Ari on-wagon cred while reason to get off if something else gains traction.
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I hadnt forgotten about this. I went back and read the context. Its already the RC and TW show. I dont think scum needed to do anything.In post 7685, skitter30 wrote:what were scum doing here-ish if it's ari/tris/plum?- teacher
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