Yes I will. If skitt votes me there is a greater chance I will survive by self voting and convincing her that I wouldn't do that as scum than otherwise.In post 3498, Disaster Cartel wrote:ur not gonna vote urself infinity so stop acting like u will
Mini 2206 - Deja Vu: Perpetual MELO IV - END!
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You're the only one I'm pretty sureIn post 3500, SirCakez wrote:this is just not true
i expressed openness more than once to voting notsci
Skitt is town and wants to vote me, pretty sure prism is also town and wants to vote me, that's all that's needed- Infinity 324
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Literally tell me what the fuck I am supposed to do to accomplish this goal. My thoughts are all in the thread and I've already obvtowned as much as I possibly can.In post 3510, Disaster Cartel wrote:and instead of trying to get her to do that- Infinity 324
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Meh this is pretty cathartic atpIn post 3512, Iverson wrote:Infinity, you should stop posting and go do something else for several hours.- Infinity 324
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If this is to me I don't know how to do thisIn post 3520, notscience wrote:It might also help to try snd convince skitter or the rest of us to ignore skitter in that case
I don't know how to make a case either- Infinity 324
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@DC In the you-town mom-scum world from cakez's PoV, I was the scum. I was exaggerating when I made that post, but the gist of it is that cakez should expect scum to have strong opinions about the elim only if one is scum and one is town. If either skitt or I is scum from cakez's PoV, then that heavily implies mom-scum/you town or vice versa.- Infinity 324
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The way I make sense of the game in the late game is a very team-focused perspective. The way I saw it, yesterday the most likely possibilities were:In post 3528, Disaster Cartel wrote:
okay but you also have posts like this which make it sound a lot like that that's not you just referring to how you think cakez should be seeing the game, but that it's also your perspective that only one of me/mom is scumIn post 3328, Infinity 324 wrote:I can't see a viable third partner for DC/mom
and then there's also your complete flipflop on skitt from skitt!town to skitt!scum for pushing mom and defending me from being limmed yesterday only to... completely jettison your (VFT, DC) theory from yesterday and to go so far as to say you'd vote yourself if that's what skitt wants
like that doesn't make any sense to me as a progression
1. 3 scum in {notsci, bork, you, VFT}, most likely you, bork, VFT
2. You/mom/x
3. Many other possibilities could go here and I wasn't sure which was most likely. I was hoping someone else would propose a different solve, but I couldn't see one. However, all these possibilities combined were probably more likely than #2.
For obvious reasons mom flipping scum made #1 impossible and #2 more likely. I still can't think of a third option that makes a lot of sense (still open to possibilities here). To me, skitt is basically confirmed town because strongarming a bus when mom was not getting limmed otherwise seems insane to me. It's more likely if you're also scum, yes, but it's still unlikely. I also thought your interactions with lilith early on were unlikely to be scum theater, which I considered yesterday but it wasn't enough to outweigh my other evidence. Now it is.
That's part of it, yes, but a bigger part is that you're the biggest other option and I don't actually believe you're scum atm. A convincing case on you could help, sure, but I don't believe you've played like scum this game even if you are. My heart just isn't in pushing you, and going against consensus to push someone else when I feel like I'm so likely to be wrong again is not really something I'm interested in doing right now. Another part of it is that I can't argue against people scumreading me for consistently pushing town over scum, and being pushed for that when I'm already so upset with myself over it is pretty unpleasant. Obviously that's kinda just part of the game but it's certainly not my favorite part.In post 3530, notscience wrote:For the record my posting was not to push Infinity
Part of why I feel like she feels so overwhelmed regardless of alignment is noones done shit to try and kill anyone but her today and yeah we just opened but all anyone’s done re me is mild sus
A case would help- Infinity 324
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To be very clear, I don't believe this is what happened. I'm pretty sure skitter is town here. The question is mostly how skitter sorted mena wrong, and I don't have a good answer besides "skitter is human".In post 3533, notscience wrote:It would also beg the question why would skitter stick her neck out to save one scum partner by bussing the other- Infinity 324
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I can quote some of skitt/mena's interactions, but it comes down to very little direct engagement compared to what I expect from them. This was definitely not the main reason I suspected they were partners (low activity from mena helps explain it) but it was a small contributing factor.- Infinity 324
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I looked back at mena/skitt interactions briefly, and there's not much to quote because it's more what isn't there than what is there. The mena/skitt interactions in PyP were the type of stuff to make me townlock both of them and not look back.- Infinity 324
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A lot of that is probably because they haven't been SRing each other, but I feel like from mena's side he hasn't put in as much effort trying to sort skitt as I'd expect.
This isn't even the towniest part of the interactions from PyP but I don't feel like finding the rest atm, lmk if you need more.
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T -> S
Prism, VFT, cakez, notsci, (big gap) DC
I'm very aware of the irony of trying to argue that I'm right and skitter is wrong after d3, but if I wasn't doing that I'm not sure if I could make a post that would qualify as scumhunting. I shouldn't give up just because I was wrong a few times, and I'm sorry I tried to do so.- Infinity 324
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Fmpov it looks tough for notsci to convince me to vote ex. cakez here, but maybe that's because I'm not aware enough of how I come off.
Top 3 of my T -> S list are very interchangeable. Specifically, those 3 are in order of most to least likely to surprise me as scum, so maybe scum!prism played d3 in a way that I really didn't expect because I just don't know his scumgame well enough. Really doubt that though.- Infinity 324
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I'm not really sure what to tell you, it seemed like it made a lot of sense to me at the time. The biggest thing I look for in teams in the late game is who is playing aligned, and for a long time you bork and VFT just did not want to vote each other. It especially made sense to me because if bork was scum he really didn't want to have to NK someone and make people paranoid. Speaking of, the reason why I didn't out my bork scumread until I thought the game was lost is because 1. People would've though I was insane and I would've lost credibility 2. More importantly, if I was wrong about bork they could've left him alive to fuel my paranoia.In post 3546, Disaster Cartel wrote:(1) okay, why? this solve just seems so collectively off and doesn't really fit with the gamestate yesterday at all. not to mention, from what I can see you spent far more time trying to undercut skitter than trying to focus on bork, and I think the simplest explanation for that is that bork was amenable to voting me and skitt very clearly wasn't going to. I think you wanted to win yesterday, and the simplest way to do that was to try to undermine my key supporter and disregard... basically anything else- Infinity 324
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The reality is that I think a lot of the game doesn't make sense, and until I find a solve without that feels at all reasonable, I think you just have to be scum here. You kind of ignore a pretty obvious reason why a you/mom scumteam becomes more likely with mom's scumflip, and that's because...mom flipped scum. You being town and mom being scum seems even more unlikely to me, because I really think scum could've gotten you limmed yesterday.In post 3546, Disaster Cartel wrote:(2) which leads me into this -- I've cited two posts of yours above from yesterday where you said that you didn't think mom/me were teamed together because of the way the day unfolded. if this was a genuine thought process, I don't think you come in today and after briefly AtEing and voting notsci, switching back to me bc you think I'm the easiest miselim. basically the only person who really TRs me is skitt and bork kinda did. so from scum!you perspective pushing me makes a lot of sense, but from town!you perspective you'd have to be totally disregarding your process from yesterday which doesn't follow because
(3) there's no real reason you provide why if yesterday "all these possibilities were more likely than #2" things are now different. again, I think if you're town you try to reevaluate given that you'd have been consistently wrong throughout the game. instead, you're trying to have your cake and eat it too by going "oh man my reads have been really bad whoopsie... but btw it *is* still mena, and oh, don't worry about the fact that I was trying to push him yesterday vs the confscum flip we have on mom". it's like you're not actually trying to generate any possibilities for your supposed scenario #3, you're just trying to bend things back around to me being scum
I understand why you're frustrated I seem to not be re-evaluating the other players on the list, but I now have 3 rock-solid townreads and even if one of them is wrong notsci is much townier than you here. I've talked about these reads before, but basically I don't think prism's day 3 play makes any sense from scum, I don't think skitt bussing mom makes any sense, and cakez has felt very town emotionally and he would have to have bussed quite a bit this game to be scum, something that he's supposed to be allergic to now.- Infinity 324
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I didn't say this, I said that it wasn't enough to outweigh my other evidence yesterday and it is today. The other arguments for a you/VFT team got much much weaker with mom's scumflip.In post 3546, Disaster Cartel wrote:(4) this also just... doesn't really follow? how has the likelihood of my doing scum theatre different today vs yesterday?- Infinity 324
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Mena I started showing doubt on notsci when he started making towny posts, I'm pretty sure he didn't show doubt at all up until that point. I also think notsci is the most likely player to get limmed besides me todayIn post 3546, Disaster Cartel wrote:(5) this feels like you're trying to walk back on notsci bc you don't think he's the most likely slot you can wagon today, and because you think he's less of a threat at this point than I am. when notsci entered he was saying "it's me or infinity" and you were perfectly happy to go after him. now he's shown like any doubt you're trying to bring him on board with you and switching your target back to me, despite this not being consistent with your supposed earlier thought processes
(6) but you just said earlier that you think one of your biggest mistakes this game was NOT going against consensus earlier in the game. why is this different now? you were making an issue of how going with consensus has led to us to here and that you wish you hadn't, only now you're switching back to "well, guess I'd better go with consensus bc I don't wanna be wrong again"
I'm not quite sure why I said 6, because I don't really scumread anyone outside the consensus anyway, but if I did it's true I would certainly have difficulty pushing them. Yes it would absolutely be correct, but there's only so many times you can push against consensus and be wrong before it wears you down.- Infinity 324
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I didn't think about this, this makes senseIn post 3547, Disaster Cartel wrote:only there's a very large difference here which is that skitt is in a hydra, something you've been totally neglecting as part of this. I don't *need* to sort skitter head if she's paired with someone else who I have a very good read rate on, and lili is someone who after reading her wrong in our first couple of games, I'm p sure I've read correctly in every game we've had since.- Infinity 324
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This is only partly true, I said in UGC that it's a bit +scum for me to have too many TRs but it also happens to me most games as town.In post 3554, Disaster Cartel wrote:and this is exactly the crux of my issue with you -- it's that we *have* to be scum for you, and I think that's something you need a lot more than scum than as town.- Infinity 324
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I can find quotes for why I TR people later in the day. I'm weighting the cakez not bussing thing very heavily, I don't really see a reason for cakez to be like "I'm changing how I play scum" but then just go back on it this game for no real reason- Infinity 324
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Well yesterday my solve was very outside consensus. I guess what I'm trying to say is that me being wrong emotionally makes me really want to just trust others' reads. Mom flipping scum does make going inside consensus a bit more reasonable too, because it means scum aren't in control of the game most likely.In post 3558, Disaster Cartel wrote:and you haven't pushed outside of consensus all game! yet the game has gone completely off the rails and you said you considered that following of consensus a mistake only to hit today and to... go after the probably most consensus-y scumread that's not you (and maybe not notsci but I think notsci has more people who are ambivalent on him than are on our slot)?- Infinity 324
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In post 3561, Disaster Cartel wrote:okay fine, I'll wait and see on the quotes
where did cakez say that he's not bussing anymore?
Yeah cakez had a meta of bussing a lot and pooky said somewhere that he's now allergic to bussing, I made a mental note of it. Will try to find it.In post 3562, Disaster Cartel wrote:and cakez had a prior meta of bussing heavily?
Obviously I don't think my townreads are for flimsy reasons, yesterday I went through my reasons for TRing prism. I'm weighting my salsa read a decent amount here, which makes me more comfortable having a strong TR on a strong scum player.- Infinity 324
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I'm not sure how many ways I can say the same thing until you understand. D3 I thought you and skitt were scum together for other reasons (skitt pushing mom was a big one) which to me outweighed the unlikeliness of you/lilith being scum theater. Now that those reasons are gone, you/lilith interactions get weighted more heavily and for that reason and others I don't think you're scum with VFT.In post 3556, Disaster Cartel wrote:
fine, whyIn post 3552, Infinity 324 wrote:I said that it wasn't enough to outweigh my other evidence yesterday and it is today
if you think it's not theatre today, why didn't you think that yesterday
idgi- Infinity 324
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Bork and me both being very loud and very wrong helped scum out a lot. Scum may have had some influence d3, but if they had control this game would me over.In post 3566, Disaster Cartel wrote:and I also don't get the "scum not in control of the game" thing. like there's something to be said for that with mom flipping but I don't think we see the first two days be town flips without scum having pretty decent control of the game? or like what's your alternative explanation for how we're still a day away from even having a shot at winning if scum haven't had decent control over the game so far
Maybe I should be weighting skitt's read on you more, I didn't realize how consistent she was. For now I'm just putting my thoughts out there, no one has to listen to me but honestly trying to find a solve without you in it would drive me insane atp.- Infinity 324
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I'm sidestepping notsci because even if notsci is scum, unless one of my other 3 TRs is scum you still have to be scum here.In post 3569, Disaster Cartel wrote:
feel like ur kind of sidestepping notsci here but w/e. okay, I'll go back through your posts yesterday again on prism!slot but like... idk, I don't think salsa was towny at all, and even if u think she was I'm confused by how you think it was to such an extent that prism just gets a passIn post 3565, Infinity 324 wrote:Obviously I don't think my townreads are for flimsy reasons, yesterday I went through my reasons for TRing prism. I'm weighting my salsa read a decent amount here, which makes me more comfortable having a strong TR on a strong scum player.
Yeah I disagree from a theory perspective, people are weird and just do weird things sometimes, whereas even if scum aren't specifically trying to avoid weirdness they often will because their play is crafted. I think prism's play d3 makes some amount of sense from town who is frustrated with how the game played out, and of course that doesn't explain everything but the scum perspective seems so unlikely that it's good enough for me.In post 3570, Disaster Cartel wrote:
like again to stress this, but from what I've read of prism's D3 it just doesn't make a lot of sense overall not specifically doesn't make sense from scumIn post 3551, Infinity 324 wrote:I don't think prism's day 3 play makes any sense from scum
and someone (I wanna say maybe unwnd or Shirou) made a point to me a lil while back that I've kinda taken to heart that if someone's play just makes no sense as either alignment and you really don't get it, that makes them scummier not townier- Infinity 324
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That's possible, point still stands. I at least was trying to be loud on d2 but maybe people weren't really listening to me at that point.In post 3573, Disaster Cartel wrote:
I don't think you were particularly loud since like... D1? so I kinda think you're assigning yourself an outsize weighting hereIn post 3571, Infinity 324 wrote:me both being very loud and very wrong- Infinity 324
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If you're town mena I don't really blame you for being wrong on me here. I do sort of wish you'd take into account our previous experiences a bit more (specifically, my play tends to be a lot more all over the place as town and you often have issues with that), but /shrug- Infinity 324
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A big part of it is that I don't think scum would be frustrated in his position. Like, he's about to win. It could've been fake, yes, but I just don't see a reason for it. Just push town, say some things about "oh this sucks town's losing" or w/e, and be done with it. I guess what I'm trying to say is that I think it makes some sense from frustrated town because frustrated town can look like a lot of different things (I believe prism would be especially idiosyncratic with his frustration but I'm not sure). "This makes some (small) level of sense from town" is my baseline for pretty much everything because I've seen wildly unexpected things from town and much less so from scum. So I'd like to see those links yeah. The one exception is when scum is about to get limmed, they do weird things because that's their only shot, but when scum is about to win that's when I expect them to be the most predictable.- Infinity 324
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I know you hate this, but that's cause the read is PoE. I've tried specifically to avoid having to read you lol, and tried to focus on ydrasse (I think she'd be posting here as town!) Ultimately, I wish I knew which of my townreads I should be focusing on re-evaluating but on the surface given all the ways I know how to scumhunt I don't see 2 of {prism, cakez, VFT, notsci} being scum.In post 3584, Disaster Cartel wrote:I could also flip this back on you, which is that I think you've more often been wrong on me when you've thought I was scum and I've been town and I think when I've been scum against you (not sure if it was just that one game or if there are more) you've normally thought I was scum, but the fact you also don't seem to have considered that feels ehhh to me- Infinity 324
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Missed this post, this was before I had another burst of energy and I don't think I'd have been able to fake believing the you/DC/bork solve as scumIn post 3450, Venus Fly Trap wrote:
i don't think you're out of your scumrange, i had a whole thing abt it yesterdayIn post 3422, Infinity 324 wrote:Skitt I simultaneously don't blame you for thinking I'm scum and am surprised that you don't realize I'm out of my scumrange- Infinity 324
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In post 3543, Infinity 324 wrote:Someone tell me a possible scum motivation for notsci trying to pocket me here, I don't see it.
This is my strongest concrete reason to TR notsci.In post 3544, Infinity 324 wrote:Fmpov it looks tough for notsci to convince me to vote ex. cakez here, but maybe that's because I'm not aware enough of how I come off.
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This is over the lineIn post 3625, Disaster Cartel wrote:and you're just so fucking good you've got that strong insight that you just know we're scum right
that's why you're such a strong player who never gets misyeeted and is always getting N1'd and why I constantly get misyeeted and scum never fearkill me or marginalise me- Infinity 324
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Attack the play not the playerIn post 3632, Disaster Cartel wrote:but you know what even if it is harsh where's the lie- Infinity 324
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Anyone that knows me and thinks I'm scum here needs to admit that I have to have had a sudden massive improvement in my ability to argue about things I don't believe to be scum here. I really just cannot confidently argue positions I know are wrong.- Infinity 324
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In post 3156, Infinity 324 wrote:Part of what I was thinking about last night is how I really don't see prism as scum here, idk if you agree but I don't see him doing loopedy loops trying to avoid getting limmed here as scum when he could've just drawn less attention to himself by letting NM hammer. And the fact that prism is so ~messy~ here is like, why is he putting so much effort into getting into a mental headspace as scum if people are going to not understand it and write it off anyway? Idk- Infinity 324
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Yeah I feel thisIn post 3658, SirCakez wrote:EVERYONE IS SAYING CAKEZ YOURE DUMB THIS MEANS IM OBVIOUSLY TOWN HOW CAN YOU NOT SEE IT???
NOT EVERYONE CAN BE TOWN- Infinity 324
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Notsci bork was getting paranoid of you last I checked
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Here's scum!me in a recently completed game where I just had to believably vote ydrasse in order to win. Andres was leaning towards voting ydrasse but he insisted I vote first. Eventually he just voted her with a few hours left in the deadline. Compare that to my d3 here
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In post 730, SirCakez wrote:I don't bus anymore Alisae
Here's where pooky talked about cakez refusing to bus, I should've made sure it wasn't during an ongoing game at the time.In post 732, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:he's actually allergic to bussing now lol- Infinity 324
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In that game I knew the correct position to take but I couldn't bring myself to take it.
In this game I took a position and stuck to it and yelled at people to try to get them to listen to me.- Infinity 324
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I mean, this time I'm actually presenting analysis and thoughts about the game in real timeIn post 3681, SirCakez wrote:It doesn't seem like anything has changed.
That's not the point though, the point was that my play in the isis game pretty clearly demonstrates that I'm incapable of my d3 play here as scum imo and if you don't see that then whatever- Infinity 324
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I was not in a good mental state and the time and I felt like I was going to get limmed almost no matter whatIn post 3692, SirCakez wrote:Yeah the vote myself stuff seems so faked
Like i could maybe buy it if it's weren't LyLo and a town elim means a loss???- Infinity 324
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