Based on?
We have a no kill and Ausuka jk’d Wallflower, Do you have an alternate explanation why no kill? I don’t think Wallflower was the nk target.
Based on?
There was a no kill, Enchant wasn’t jk’d, there’s 2 scum left ahd WF was jk’d, so what’s your explanation?In post 3572, Gamma Emerald wrote:If you’re N3 vig we want to vote out the scum bulletproofIn post 3571, Harley Quinn wrote:Based on?
We have a no kill and Ausuka jk’d Wallflower, Do you have an alternate explanation why no kill? I don’t think Wallflower was the nk target.
I feel like it’s Enchant, not Wallflower
Did Implosion actually claim UB or just the category? but I see your point.In post 3573, Aristeia wrote:if we're undecided between enchant/wallflower
its always better to vote out wallflower first
because if we're wrong and she's a VT
then the mafia nightkill me or ausuka, and the UB becomes a doctor/jk
if we vote out enchant and he's town bulletproof
then we get another town bulletproof and thats like literally useless
It’s not possible because I picked venge/n3 vig category.In post 3577, Titus wrote:In post 3573, Aristeia wrote:if we're undecided between enchant/wallflower
its always better to vote out wallflower first
because if we're wrong and she's a VT
then the mafia nightkill me or ausuka, and the UB becomes a doctor/jk
if we vote out enchant and he's town bulletproof
then we get another town bulletproof and thats like literally uselessNormally agree but Enchant flipping n3 venge is essentially gg for scums.In post 3574, Aristeia wrote:also im quite annoyed that enchant decided to pick a useless role can you tell
I don’t understand why Gamma thinks this.In post 3581, Aristeia wrote:I didn't know Wallflower was JK'd on Night 2 on D1/D2In post 3578, Gamma Emerald wrote:Also this feels incredibly spineless given everything you posted D1+2In post 3573, Aristeia wrote:if we're undecided between enchant/wallflower
its always better to vote out wallflower first
because if we're wrong and she's a VT
then the mafia nightkill me or ausuka, and the UB becomes a doctor/jk
if we vote out enchant and he's town bulletproof
then we get another town bulletproof and thats like literally useless
I adapt based on things that happen.
Don’t you think Ari was the most logical nk?In post 3587, Gamma Emerald wrote:Why wouldn’t scum!enchant have shot Ausuka?In post 3581, Aristeia wrote:I didn't know Wallflower was JK'd on Night 2 on D1/D2In post 3578, Gamma Emerald wrote:Also this feels incredibly spineless given everything you posted D1+2In post 3573, Aristeia wrote:if we're undecided between enchant/wallflower
its always better to vote out wallflower first
because if we're wrong and she's a VT
then the mafia nightkill me or ausuka, and the UB becomes a doctor/jk
if we vote out enchant and he's town bulletproof
then we get another town bulletproof and thats like literally useless
I adapt based on things that happen.
If you think it makes the most logical sense that scum shot you and not Ausuka, Roden, me, whomever, then wouldn’t Wallflower be the logical choice? Why wouldn’t scum shoot you?In post 3584, Gamma Emerald wrote:I’m assuming you are as that’s how we win N3In post 3580, Harley Quinn wrote:There was a no kill, Enchant wasn’t jk’d, there’s 2 scum left ahd WF was jk’d, so what’s your explanation?In post 3572, Gamma Emerald wrote:If you’re N3 vig we want to vote out the scum bulletproofIn post 3571, Harley Quinn wrote:Based on?
We have a no kill and Ausuka jk’d Wallflower, Do you have an alternate explanation why no kill? I don’t think Wallflower was the nk target.
I feel like it’s Enchant, not Wallflower
I only claimed the category not role but what does that have anything to do with Enchant being scum bp? If Enchant is scum, Roden’s voyeur wouldn’t have stopped him from killing.
If you’re vengeful it’s irrelevant whether we vote out scum!enchant or scum!WF first
Right, which is why WF is probably guiltied.In post 3590, Aristeia wrote:In post 3587, Gamma Emerald wrote:Why wouldn’t scum!enchant have shot Ausuka?In post 3581, Aristeia wrote:I didn't know Wallflower was JK'd on Night 2 on D1/D2In post 3578, Gamma Emerald wrote:Also this feels incredibly spineless given everything you posted D1+2In post 3573, Aristeia wrote:if we're undecided between enchant/wallflower
its always better to vote out wallflower first
because if we're wrong and she's a VT
then the mafia nightkill me or ausuka, and the UB becomes a doctor/jk
if we vote out enchant and he's town bulletproof
then we get another town bulletproof and thats like literally useless
I adapt based on things that happen.
I expect scum to shoot the claimed doctor who is protecting the JK rather than the JK.
No, Ari is the most likely target.In post 3598, Gamma Emerald wrote:That roll was @ Ari
I don’t believe WF shot at me but I still think she’s scum here
It’s too bad people didn’t listen to us wrt to that.In post 3592, Aristeia wrote:well I preferred to elim Enchant over Mathblade because I was 100% sure mathblade was town.In post 3591, Gamma Emerald wrote:Ari was raising holy hell about Enchant being scum especially D2 but now she thinks Enchant can be town? It’s weak conviction!
When the comparison is between Enchant and Wallflower who isn't very townie and also happens to have gotten JK'd at night, that's a different comparison.
I understand Ari’s point and I think she was the most likely nk target, so I don’t see how WF isn’t guiltied by that. On d2 otoh, Math was not mech guiltied due to Enchant being bp, so if he’s town, we have no way of knowing if scum targeted him or me but thanks to Roden, we know Enchant could not have been targeted last night. And I don’t see why scum wouldn’t think she protects Ausuka over Roden or anyone else.In post 3598, Gamma Emerald wrote:That roll was @ Ari
I don’t believe WF shot at me but I still think she’s scum here
Why would scum shoot Ausuka when it makes the most sense for Ari to doc Ausuka and therefore nk would fail?In post 3602, implosion wrote:it's sort of "more logical" for scum to shoot Ari than Ausuka, but in reality it's a wifom 50/50. This is how any doc/jk setup works if they're both town - scum are forced to 50/50 shooting the doc vs the jailkeeper, while the jailkeeper 50/50s jailkeeping the doc or someone else.
This is not to say I think wallflower is a bad lim, though. I need to think more on that but probably not a bad lim.
Not really.In post 3610, implosion wrote:Yeah, that. At a glance it certainly "feels" like scum should probably shoot Ari but in practice it's WIFOM.
Wait how could scum have possibly known this before Roden voyeured Enchant?In post 3613, Wallflower wrote:I suppose I could see the logic of killing Ausuka if they thought Ari was a possible JK target. Could have been thought of as a way of shading Ari if Ausuka turns up dead and then people be like “wtf Ari”
Depending on who the scum are, I’m also weighing up how viable no-killing would be as a strategy., which I think is by far the most dangerous role to scum. An approach of no-killing would essentially just make it nightless, because the existing roles are not all that useful if scum decide to just not kill. Gives town more elims though obv so I’m not sure if they would do that, but something to considerFrom yesterday, scum would have known that there could be no ascetic cop
On n1, she jk’d her top sr which was Math but scum are going to logically think, Ausuka is suddenly going to jk her top tr?In post 3618, implosion wrote:…yes really??In post 3612, Harley Quinn wrote:Not really.In post 3610, implosion wrote:Yeah, that. At a glance it certainly "feels" like scum should probably shoot Ari but in practice it's WIFOM.
If airstrip (I’m keeping this autocorrect because it’s gold) is really the obvious nk target, then she is also the obvious jk target for ausuka, who could stop an nk by protecting her… which in turn means scum should shoot ausuka, which in turn means ausuka should jailkeep elsewhere. It’s WIFOM.
Well what do you know @Wallflower and @Implosion, my theory was spot on and I bet scum thought so too.In post 3623, Aristeia wrote:i doctored ausuka last night
i think ausuka should always have some probability to jk me so scum never have a clean shot there
Because I don’t think we have scumteam who played against wncon and I find it extremely interesting that you’re trying as hard as you are seriously arguing that it’s more logical to flip a slot that is far more likely to be town than the slot that is extremely likely to be mech guiltied.In post 3626, implosion wrote:There is 0 reason to assume Ausuka would automatically behave the same n1 and n2. N1, no one had claimed. N2, multiple relevant power roles had claimed.In post 3620, Harley Quinn wrote:On n1, she jk’d her top sr which was Math but scum are going to logically think, Ausuka is suddenly going to jk her top tr?
Besides, Harley, you may think this way, but there is no guarantee scum thinks about night actions the same way as you do. The fact that I think it's something scum could have considered, and Aristeia thinks Ausuka should sometimes JK her, means that it's entirely possible whoever scum is would think that way.
I don't know why you're quoting this like it's a "i'm right and you're wrong" post. It doesn't contradict anything I've said. I never said Aristeia shouldn't doctor Ausuka. Aristeia definitely should have 100% doctored Ausuka last night. What I'm saying is that Ausuka should have had some probability of jailkeeping Aristeia, and as a result, it's possible that scum decided (incorrectly) to shoot Ausuka.In post 3624, Harley Quinn wrote:Well what do you know @Wallflower and @Implosion, my theory was spot on and I bet scum thought so too.In post 3623, Aristeia wrote:i doctored ausuka last night
i think ausuka should always have some probability to jk me so scum never have a clean shot there
I think that any reasonably intelligent scumteam is either going to pick draft cop or role cop, because based off claims, we have a massively stacked town and and extremely weak scumteam mechwise.In post 3627, Titus wrote:Or no one picked itIn post 3607, implosion wrote:Also worth saying: given draft cop/watcher wasn't claimed, either scum got it, or scum got either it or some other role as a fakeclaim with their informed modifier.
Who did Gamma vig?In post 3630, Aristeia wrote:we have one active vig in HQ[Gamma already shot]
there's no need for a voyeur to make sure HQ shoots someone because that someone will die and flip
Voyeur is like p useless, I see no reason not to park on Ausuka forever
Oh right. yeah makes sense.In post 3632, Aristeia wrote:I am assuming Gamma vig'd Mathblade?
I’m so glad you’re in this game. I hard tr Roden so I believe his voyeur claim but I actually think that the category of UB/RC is believable but scum is far more likely to pick role cop > UB and vice versa.In post 3634, Aristeia wrote:In post 3605, implosion wrote:
Enchant BPAusuka JKHarley Quinn N3 Vig/VengeBellaphant tracker Gamma Emerald 1-shot vig/PGOimplosion UB/RolecopWallflower BP Aristeia Doctorhumaneatingmonkey goon (could have picked anything) Titus n3 vig/Venge Dwlee99 n3 vig Roden VoyeurSave The Dragons 1-shot vig MathBlade vt
mmm if there's a fake claim it would have to be Voyeur or UB/Rolecop right? Am I reading this correctly?
Why wouldn’t scum want to acquire jk? That’s a powerful role for scum to have?In post 3635, implosion wrote:HQ hasn't claimed between n3 vig and vengeful yet, correct? So we don't know she's a vig.
Nah, Roden's role is almost useless. Jailkeeper is by a wide margin the strongest role we have - Ari should protect Ausuka without wifoming, and Ausuka is the one who WIFOMs choices.In post 3628, Titus wrote:Doc heals either JK or Roden. #wifomOf course scum may not even want to shoot Ausuka given that I might be a UB.
I think it probably makes the most sense to jk Imposion and me vig Enchant based off of what Ari said. I understand you don’t want to reveal but but Imposion could also be rolecop, so that’s my thinking on that.In post 3650, Ausuka wrote:Oops hit submit early
What I'm trying to say is; Do you want to reveal a target if you're vigi so I don't jail them
In post 3651, Enchant wrote:Here i come again.
Helpful postingIn post 3652, Wallflower wrote:A little less conversation, a little more action
All this aggravation ain’t satisfactioning me
We had no kills and Wallflower was jk’d and I think that Ari makes the most sense as an nk target, no?In post 3656, Gamma Emerald wrote:^^^^^In post 3655, Ausuka wrote:Enchant could be scum BP right? Is there a point in vigging him? Maybe I'm missing something
this is why I would prefer voting out enchant to wallflower today
If you’re town, you need to do something to look town but sure I would definitely be interested in what you think.In post 3657, Enchant wrote:Thanks. It's not like anyone care what i think, yeah?In post 3654, Harley Quinn wrote:In post 3651, Enchant wrote:Here i come again.Helpful postingIn post 3652, Wallflower wrote:A little less conversation, a little more action
All this aggravation ain’t satisfactioning me
Ausuka wrote:Enchant could be scum BP right? Is there a point in vigging him? Maybe I'm missing something
Wallflower was the jk target, no kills, so unless anyone thinks it’s likely Ari wasn’t the nk target, I don’t see how anyone else makes more sense?In post 3662, Titus wrote:Wallflower and Enchant are both good lims.
Strategically, I'd vote out Enchant and vig Wallflower but willing to go with what the group decides. I haven't been batting 1000% due to my work schedule (but the massclaim plan was made before that to try and confirm Enchant as scum).
It’s a combination of both but yes it of course matters whether you’re town or not but I think due to both jk and Ari being the most likely nk, it sounds nuts to me to lim anyone other than Wallflower.In post 3666, Enchant wrote:It's not about if i am town or not, it's more about "bestmechflip" and strong bias that town!me is useless anyway.In post 3661, Harley Quinn wrote:
If you’re town, you need to do something to look town but sure I would definitely be interested in what you think.
I absolutely think Implosion should be jk’d if that helps.In post 3670, Aristeia wrote:HQ I think you should decide on who you want to vig if WF flips scum and who you want to vig if WF flips town so that Ausuka can adjust her JK to not be on whoever you are shooting tonight
Like whom?In post 3673, Aristeia wrote:if wall flower flips scum we can JK enchant and vig a VT and still be p much guranteed to win if enchant is last scum
it also gives us an extra doctor due to UB
I think taking the safer path is better
if the solve really is enchant/wallflower we win either way
I would have 100% limmed Enchant > Math. I would have never limmed Math because he totally obvtowned. I was absolutely pissed when that thread was locked and I saw the flip.In post 3678, Titus wrote:Math imploded and we accidentally hammered before the wagon changed.In post 3676, Aristeia wrote:I really don't get why people were so opposed to elimming Enchant yesterday because "he might be bulletproof! we must test him out with roden!" and now he's proven bulletproof everyone is like "ok lets elim enchant"
like um why didnt we just kill him yesterday then?
Yes, seems very likely to be the case, since I think someone else would have cc’d that.In post 3680, Ausuka wrote:I still don't get this? Isn't Enchant probably BP as either alignmentIn post 3674, Harley Quinn wrote:So I think her decision should take priority but rn, I’m leaning to vig Enchant.
@Ausuka, this is why I think jking Implosion and my vigging Enchant makes the most sense. Do you disagree with this?In post 3673, Aristeia wrote:if wall flower flips scum we can JK enchant and vig a VT and still be p much guranteed to win if enchant is last scum
it also gives us an extra doctor due to UB
I think taking the safer path is better
if the solve really is enchant/wallflower we win either way
Why? I don’t sr anyone other than Implosion so I don’t want to vig anyone else and I like Ari’s argument wrt that.
I read it as she didn’t want Implosion vigged in case he’s UB and can be doc. I don’t sr anyone else but those 3: Wallflower, Implosion, Enchant.In post 3688, Ausuka wrote:I don't get it? I read Ari's post as the opposite of what you're saying? Enchant should be jailed instead of vigged? Since vigging enchant doesn't do anything
And that you vig some null/neutral read VT to narrow the Poe
In post 3690, Save The Dragons wrote:I like the plan of voting wallflower off the island
If WF and both you are scum and you are jk’d then how would we lose? I actually don’t hate those last few posts.In post 3695, implosion wrote:And to be clear, this is the reason I shouldn't be JK'd: if I am scum, and we lim scum today, I have just sealed my own fate as a mechanical loss.In post 3684, Harley Quinn wrote:@Ausuka, this is why I think jking Implosion and my vigging Enchant makes the most sense. Do you disagree with this?In post 3673, Aristeia wrote:if wall flower flips scum we can JK enchant and vig a VT and still be p much guranteed to win if enchant is last scum
it also gives us an extra doctor due to UB
I think taking the safer path is better
if the solve really is enchant/wallflower we win either way
I think Implosion’s posts have been pretty scummy and I really don’t see any good reason he shouldn’t be jk’d.
Which vt?In post 3698, Aristeia wrote:hq you need to shoot a vt. we can vote out enchant tommorrow
I think she should jk Enchant, no?In post 3713, Aristeia wrote:whoever you suspect the most?
as long as you tell ausuka so theres no chance she jails the same one
If the game doesn’t end with WF/Enchant, I guess. Otherwise, no clue.In post 3723, Bellaphant wrote:I also think Implo is town, tbf. Out of those vts, STD is definitely my scummiest read but like, I'd just be surprised if it wasn't wall flower/enchant?
Like... wallflower/enchant
STD/gamma/maybe dweelee - idek a bit above null
Everyone else.
That’s not what you said before Math flipped. You said you wouldn’t have expected me to pick this category. So unless you mean venge > N3 vig?In post 3726, Titus wrote:Venge makes sense for HQ. That's what I suspected.
It’s consolation for getting wrongly sr. I also like prs where I don’t really have to do too much. Also kept that role from scum.In post 3722, Roden wrote:Didn't want to say it out loud but I kinda expected you to pick Vengeful.
I don’t agree with this, especially since you’ve pretty much guaranteed that scum won’t shoot me. But since I am venge, I could theoretically be the town hero in that extremely unlikely scenario if I venged correctly.In post 3732, Ausuka wrote:Think this makes HQ close to clear? Just because if we flip one more scum, and HQ lives to elo, it is always the correct play to lim hq and I don't see why scum would claim in this scenarioIn post 3721, Harley Quinn wrote:Okay guys, I’m starting to think Implosion may be town, so while the fake vig thing was fun and all, I’m just going to straight up hardclaim venge.
So Enchant is probably the last scum along with WF.
I think if Implosion was role cop he’d already know this.
I hard trs all the vts and tl STD so, I’m now pretty confident I was wrong on Implosion.
Obviously if she makes it to 3p elo still flip her because it's optimal play there I think
I also didn’t actually initially get Ari’s reasoning for why she sr Enchant for picking 1 + bp, because it absolutely wouldn’t have been even remotely scum indicative for me to have done that but the difference is I am sometimes an early NK in games but how often is Enchant?In post 1868, Enchant wrote:I did.In post 1866, Gamma Emerald wrote:Can you do me a favor and read the VCs?In post 1860, Enchant wrote:That's not rush in any case, but i think mafia are more likely to be early voted, due DISTANCING, and after 7-10 days of bunnyhopping someone else dies instead.In post 1856, Harley Quinn wrote:We still have 3 days, why the rush?In post 1853, Enchant wrote:Can we cut debate and hammer?
It's annoying.
Aris (not seriously probably)>HAM and then counterwagons Dwlee99+Math.
Therefore, Aris is maf, but you all have affection to anime, so let's kill HAM instwad.
And again, another push on Ari.In post 1873, Enchant wrote:You are enchanted by Aris, and can't see devil.
This reaction also didn’t make a whole lot of sense coming from town!Enchant. You would think he’d be relieved to have his bp confirmed right but he’s probably unhappy about this because unlike on n1, where I couldn’t be confirmed as the almost certain nk target because of his bp and since we know Gamma tried to vig Math, he still has it, so Ari was almost certainly the target.
Again, another strange reaction. Enchant seems fine with being vigged and he wouldn’t had he actually been targeted on n1.In post 3657, Enchant wrote:Thanks. It's not like anyone care what i think, yeah?In post 3654, Harley Quinn wrote:In post 3651, Enchant wrote:Here i come again.Helpful postingIn post 3652, Wallflower wrote:A little less conversation, a little more action
All this aggravation ain’t satisfactioning me
Ausuka wrote:Enchant could be scum BP right? Is there a point in vigging him? Maybe I'm missing something
Oh well if you’re taking the venge part into account, then it makes more sense but it’s not going to happen anyway because game is already solved. It is exactly WF/Enchant because Enchant knows I was the nk target, hence him being fine with being vigged.In post 3739, Ausuka wrote:I don't understand why? Normally in elo, you have to pick 1 player and if they're scum you win. If you lim the venge you get 2 players and if either is scum you win. It seems a lot easier. Obviously you don't like insta lim you have discussion beforehandIn post 3735, Harley Quinn wrote:I don’t agree with this, especially since you’ve pretty much guaranteed that scum won’t shoot me. But since I am venge, I could theoretically be the town hero in that extremely unlikely scenario if I venged correctly.
Idk, if it if, she’s probably scum but Enchant for certain is, based off my analysis.In post 3749, Gamma Emerald wrote:is wallflower not hammered?