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Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 11:25 am
by Dwlee99
In post 2668, Cephrir wrote:I'm not arguing any of this - I think frog is flipping town as I have said multiple times
If he doesn't, that changes things
Like this post is what I'm talking about from Ceph and that's why I wanted to know if he felt similarly about Strange
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 11:28 am
by Andante
In post 4050, Dwlee99 wrote: In post 2668, Cephrir wrote:I'm not arguing any of this - I think frog is flipping town as I have said multiple times
If he doesn't, that changes things
Like this post is what I'm talking about from Ceph and that's why I wanted to know if he felt similarly about Strange
did you not have that feeling about frog? I'm the one telling yall "trust me vote frog" and I had that same feeling...
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 11:36 am
by Dwlee99
No I didn't. If you remember I spent day 2 gloating about being right about frogs
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 11:37 am
by Dwlee99
Also you never said you think Frogster is town from my recollection...
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 11:38 am
by PookyTheMagicalBear
Frogster is a changeling
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 12:42 pm
by Menalque
In post 3820, VP Baltar wrote:Your reads are bad this game and you should let people who have caught mafia so far run the show.
For the record this is wrong both theoretically (confirmation bias) and empirically (it’s very rare for anyone to have perfect reads, so what’s more likely to happen is that you end up limming a few scum and then a bunch of town that person with overall good reads thought seemed scummy).
Nobody in this game bar maybe pooky has reads that are accurate enough to let follow-the-leader be maybe game winning.
With that being said, we still resolve in the (strange, dwlee, VPB) pool today.
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 12:47 pm
by Menalque
We are ignoring andante until maf flip her because they’re worried or we get to a point where we mass claim anyway
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 12:49 pm
by VP Baltar
In post 4055, Menalque wrote:For the record this is wrong both theoretically (confirmation bias) and empirically (it’s very rare for anyone to have perfect reads, so what’s more likely to happen is that you end up limming a few scum and then a bunch of town that person with overall good reads thought seemed scummy).
Nobody in this game bar maybe pooky has reads that are accurate enough to let follow-the-leader be maybe game winning.
For sure. I'm not saying you follow anyone to end game. Just saying, we hit scum yesterday, why are we ego fighting over the play today? We have good reason to lim in the expert pool and dwlee/me have had some correct reads this game. You let the dice roll on that.
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 12:52 pm
by Menalque
HEAL: enchant
HEAL: pooky
HEAL: bell
I’d like to go tomorrow with CSF and ceph
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 12:53 pm
by Menalque
I mean I’m not opposed Baltar, I want to lim strange into misty and then probably dwlee but we’ll see where the chips fall
If pooky is town then I’m kinda willing to go with him on titus being town as much as I don’t like her slot this game
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 12:53 pm
by Bell
I'm ineligible.
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 12:54 pm
by Dwlee99
In post 3700, Dwlee99 wrote:Menalque: why were you voting VPB yesterday? Why are you townreading him now? Why do you scumread me and strange more than him?
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 12:54 pm
by Menalque
Does anybody feel strongly that strange should not be the lim today?
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 12:55 pm
by Menalque
Yeah, I saw dwlee, I just don’t really feel like engaging on it atm
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 12:55 pm
by Bell
In post 4057, VP Baltar wrote: In post 4055, Menalque wrote:For the record this is wrong both theoretically (confirmation bias) and empirically (it’s very rare for anyone to have perfect reads, so what’s more likely to happen is that you end up limming a few scum and then a bunch of town that person with overall good reads thought seemed scummy).
Nobody in this game bar maybe pooky has reads that are accurate enough to let follow-the-leader be maybe game winning.
For sure. I'm not saying you follow anyone to end game. Just saying, we hit scum yesterday,
why are we ego fighting over the play today
? We have good reason to lim in the expert pool and dwlee/me have had some correct reads this game. You let the dice roll on that.
This feels like the opposite of what you said, but uh, this conversation about an opinion a cowboy avatar has is very much a derail of more fun topics like who the scum are and why they're scum.
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 12:56 pm
by Dwlee99
It would be helpful for me if you answered that
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 12:57 pm
by Menalque
*sigh*
HEAL: ceph I guess
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 12:58 pm
by VP Baltar
In post 4064, Bell wrote:a cowboy avatar has is very much a derail of more fun topics like who the scum are and why they're scum.
I shall now change the topic to why you don't know who Hunter Thompson is
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 12:58 pm
by VP Baltar
Mena, put Titus in. She promised CONTENT if elected.
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 1:01 pm
by Menalque
In the barest of bones— it was less related to finding VPB actively scummy and more to do with paranoia around him being defuser twice
But I just think he reads as town, and that goes with how I felt about him in the PT, and I realised it was at least partly ego — I didn’t want to be the one who called VPB town only for him to single handedly win for scum by defusing 4 times
But fuck it, if he’s scum, he’s played really well and he’s fooled me
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 1:01 pm
by Menalque
I’ll say the same thing I do to my students: the chocolates come after the good behaviour is demonstrated, not before
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 1:03 pm
by Menalque
I’d like to go in with CSF and GL tomorrow
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 1:12 pm
by Andante
[unheal] Titus [/unheal]
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 1:12 pm
by VP Baltar
Is csf non eligible either?
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 1:12 pm
by Andante
lol jk
HURT: Titus