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Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 12:41 pm
by Andrius
I don't know what color he is but since TD makes way more sense as Blue he could be red.
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 12:57 pm
by BROseidon
Why does TD make more sense as blue?
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 3:13 pm
by Andrius
Look at his play yesterday compared to GiF.
tl;dr: His play spiked to a previously unseen mode of aggression, which tells me he was more geared for survival/actually finding scum. Red, like GiF, had no great reason to and were not nearly in as dire of circumstances to push hard. So GiF's passivity makes sense.
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 4:48 pm
by BROseidon
That is a valid point. What do you think of the case I built with the associative tells with GiF?
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 5:13 pm
by Andrius
I think it was easy for GiF to establish a 'id be fine lynching either' since he had reasons and whatnot to come back to.
I see a couple things that you point towards TD/GiF, but I see it just as lining TD and MS up.
OH HEY
REMEMBER THAT TABLE
brb
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 5:14 pm
by Metal Sonic
In post 4227, Andrius wrote:Look at his play yesterday compared to GiF.
tl;dr: His play spiked to a previously unseen mode of aggression, which tells me he was more geared for survival/actually finding scum. Red, like GiF, had no great reason to and were not nearly in as dire of circumstances to push hard. So GiF's passivity makes sense.
holy shit this is gold
TD is scummers yep, but the SAD mislynch might make me doubt my previous reads :/
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 5:15 pm
by Andrius
Neeeeeevermind- was a reads list for someone else who wasn't GiF.
So that whole deal makes me think MS isn't red.
Aka, the first five of this:
http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.ph ... &start=200
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 5:16 pm
by Andrius
EBWOP: Link broken here you go:
In post 3592, GuyInFreezer wrote:town | none | none | s.twn | s.twn |
town | none | v.twn | none | s.twn |
town | none | none | none | town |
town | town | none | s.twn | s.twn |
town | none | l.twn | none | town |
town | none | twn | none | town |
scum | none | none | none | none |
troll? | none | scum | none | none |
none | town | v.twn | none | s.twn |
none | l.twn | town | l.twn | town |
none | town | none | none | none |
none | l.twn | none | none | none |
none | l.scm | l.twn | l.twn | none |
none | l.scm | none | none | none |
none | none | scmr | s.twn | town |
none | none | town | town | town |
none | none | none | none | none |
none | none | none | none | none |
none | none | none | none | none |
P-Edit: Thnx.
In post 3593, GuyInFreezer wrote:Anyway
Those are his reads on D1. He hasn't post reads after this.
Now his voting records
In post 1394, Metal Sonic wrote:ok i just iso'd tiphaine
except for #901
the rest of his posts are shit
yep scum
VOTE: TiphaineDeath
The problem vote.
Nacho we can discuss this vote.
He never picked up on this, now did he?
Out of nowhere, considering his reads.
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 5:16 pm
by Metal Sonic
bro, i dont remember the 2 read super duper clearly since its been like a month or something, but imo i think I read him town because he posted the most and was "helping the town"
but his quality flaked after a while so his towniness dropped
when he flipped scum i was mildly surprised though
same for GiF^(the mildly surprised part)
thank goodness we got a xfire else we all screwed
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 5:17 pm
by Metal Sonic
either way GiF in the game is pleasant... so
;3
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 5:28 pm
by BROseidon
Andy makes a good point for blue TD, but Nacho doesn't make sense for red and MS makes less sense than TD.
MS why does SAD townflip make you doubt your reads? What about them are you doubting?
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 5:30 pm
by Metal Sonic
If I am wrong with one of them I may be wrong with another one of them
thats all
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 5:34 pm
by BROseidon
Got it.
Yeah I'm doubting reads constantly at this point because I've been wrong about everything after the 2 flip.
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 5:34 pm
by Andrius
In post 4235, BROseidon wrote:Andy makes a good point for blue TD, but Nacho doesn't make sense for red and MS makes less sense than TD.
MS why does SAD townflip make you doubt your reads? What about them are you doubting?
The good news is all we need is one today.
Though as a counterpoint, I thought spinach could be blue for the exact same reasons, out of NOWHERE waynegg comes in and starts accusing literally everyone of being scum, makes cases etc. It was odd and I couldn't see it coming from Redscum then.
When we were in dire straits I expected Blue to step up as they needed to level the playing field- which they did.
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 5:41 pm
by BROseidon
Waynegg stepped it up in a huge way. I was super sad when SAD flipped town.
And yeah bluescum stepping it up would make a lot of sense, although pretty much everyone except Nacho stepped it up yesterday to some degree. I would say it's valid to say TD and wayne stepped it up the most, though.
Yeah I'm starting to think TD is the way to go today. I want to run the last ISOs to be sure, but I think TD is our best bet. Unless something in Orc/Rach's ISO makes me think he's definitely not blue, he has high chance of flipping scum for either alignment that would make me want to lynch there.
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 6:02 pm
by Andrius
In post 4239, BROseidon wrote:although pretty much everyone except Nacho stepped it up yesterday to some degree.
Yeah um this is why I think he's red. >_>
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 6:10 pm
by BROseidon
Except the n1 nobody targeting him still doesn't make sense if he's red scum. I just can't get over that.
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 6:11 pm
by Metal Sonic
golden x2
nacho/TD
due to SAD mislynch i may be afraid
but lets get it anyway
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 6:21 pm
by Andrius
In post 4241, BROseidon wrote:Except the n1 nobody targeting him still doesn't make sense if he's red scum. I just can't get over that.
Blue simply had better people to target?
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 6:28 pm
by BROseidon
But GiF was doc.
That is the thing I cannot get past.
The only reason I could possibly think of is if Nacho is an n-shot ninja which would tip the red scumteam off to there possibly being a watcher role in play (n-shot or not) so they decided NOT to protect one of the most pro-town people on the day on the off chance Nacho got watched over BnB/Orc/Mac who were all also tasty targets WHILE HOPING he didn't get targeted by bluescum. I guess even if the last red isn't an n-shot ninja a watcher action being in play would still be a plausible assumption to make, but like, cmon.
That seems fairly unlikely to me.
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 6:42 pm
by Andrius
True.
You make a damn good point.
But I still can't shake scumcho.
I'm assuming that they had GiF protect someone town, acting as town would but not protecting nacho for whatever reason.
Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2013 6:45 pm
by BROseidon
"for whatever reason."
Maybe GiF was afraid of getting tracked? Okay, this is getting really WIFOM-y and I'm just going to Occam's razor it off and say that GiF was most likely on his scumpartner.
Posted: Sun Jul 07, 2013 1:17 am
by Metal Sonic
I love how TDscum and scumcho aint here
makes for important private discussion
Posted: Sun Jul 07, 2013 5:35 am
by TiphaineDeath
I'm almost here... wait for it.
Posted: Sun Jul 07, 2013 8:12 pm
by Nachomamma8
In post 4211, Andrius wrote:Idk man. I think Scumcho is likely for the reasons GiF was scum, and I think TD wasn't red for the same reasons.
andy.