with 9 votes in play, it takes 5 to make a decision. day 3 ends in (expired on 2020-10-03 13:30:00).
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 9:39 am
by Menalque
Okay basically I’m not sure if this matters too much bc I’m thinking it’s likely all the scum are in (bob, plus, osuka, math) and maybe the right play is the right thing to do but I lowkey am not sure that I want to do (plus, osuka) today instead of (bob, math)
I think I actually don’t wanna do plus today? I would reconsider there on a bob redflip, but I’ve been running through the fake vengeful claim and honestly that just seems so weird that I’m not sure it comes from scum? Like it’s such a batshit plan in a way that makes me think that’s town insanity not scum insanity, because it involves claiming a role that actively should be flipped and then backtracking on that so openly that it’s just... TSTBS?
And then osuka I’m really not sure on, but I think his decision to push on shelly is maybe slightly towny? Idk I could compromise here because I just can’t make my mind up either way. But Shelly wasn’t someone who was gonna be flipped today and so for scum to push that while they’re on the chopping block is a *very* non-survivalists mood and I’m not sure what the scum motivation is there? My main concern would be that it’s almost pre-emptive, as in, if osuka is scum with someone else in the pool thenthe only way to win is to manage to draw someone else in. I’ve misplayed this before myself by feeling like I needed to start undermining that person early because I’d prob still die before them if I hadn’t started creating doubt in people’s minds before gylo. But idk. I might be overthinking this, maybe osuka’s move off kerset was just scum but like rn I think this is slightly more likely to be town than my last two
Which brings me to bob and math
Math just seems to be entirely trying to coast by in the background. Minimal engagement with anything, I looked at the scumgame he linked and I think they’re similar tbh. Low posting, some slightly longer posts to give the impression of depth, and like I’m not sure I want this slot in gylo with there being such little content it’s produced so far. I don’t wanna have to try to decide between a slot that looks superficially scummy vs here if it comes down to that, and given that I think there’s a decent chance of scum here I’d rather get it out of the way earlier
Bob is... idk. I don’t like how much he’s trying to self-meta his way out of things, and I especially don’t like the argument of “I’m too good at scum to be in this position” because like, I’m p good at scum and I’ve still had games that have gone to shit and I’ve pulled that /exact/ line before and had moderate success with it. The whole PR hunting thing is moot to me too, because it’s like... okay, town PR didn’t die N1 but like LITERALLY the cop died N2 and that’s really not bad PR hunting at all imo yet you’re trying to spin that as less incriminating somehow? And idgi
But like equally idk if math and bob tie themselves together so much by both getting on osuka, when there’s the plus wagon available that one could support instead especially when bob is at risk?
I think rn I prefer a VOTE: bob guillo and I think we should choose fairly soon and move on
If someone has a strong argument for why we should do math today instead or osuka, I’ll listen. I don’t think plus is a good choice for today
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 9:47 am
by Menalque
@taylor @ydra can you explain what you think the motivation is for plus, as scum, to claim vengeful (a role that should be guillotined when claimed if the claimant is even moderately suspicious) only to then retract it later on when it wasn’t even particularly obvious that he was going to be the one to die
And like, an explanation beyond just “he’s real bad at scum lol” because while that’s *yes* possible I don’t think it’s necessarily a good idea to default to that assumption rather than that scum are going to do what seems like best route to their wincon at any given time and like... I don’t see how this helps plus achieve very much of anything especially with the retraction. Even if he’s scum with one of the others in the pool surely you’re better off hard bussing them from day start than doing a bad claim-retract gambit
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 9:48 am
by Menalque
@andres i feel like we’ve been missing each other this week. Do you currently have a strong preference for osuka>bob or only a mild one?
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 10:07 am
by Andresvmb
I think the positioning that Osuka was doing was either a gambit, or Scum that wants to survive. I think they’re both likely to be Scum in all honesty, but I still think Osuka flips Scum more often than Bob does. I could just hammer Bob and get it over with.
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 10:09 am
by Andresvmb
Actually Bob only has 3 votes. So I can’t do that.
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 10:11 am
by Ydrasse
no one went for my little bob case like 2k posts ago and yet here we are huh.
uh, fmpov i feel it's plausible scum!plus thought somehow that the claim would get a nightkill or something and then decided to walk it back when the votes started piling up. like, didn't actually expect anything to happen from it? and there really is only one thing you can do in that case and retract it, yeah?
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 10:15 am
by Tayl0r Swift
my scumread on plus is totally aside from the claim. but you might be right that the claim is the only relevant thing and it sorta clears plus. i dont know. im still not confident evaluating claims or setup spec/balance.
that said, im kinda thinking that bob is not only scummy but that the game is in a strange place if bob isnt scum. and a bob lunch gives us a lot of info to go on.
so VOTE: bob
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 10:16 am
by Andresvmb
VOTE: Bob
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 10:18 am
by Andresvmb
Alright I just hammered Bob. I forgot to claim intent. Oops.
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 10:18 am
by bob3141
menal im hurt I hope this is not scum you again. I still cant beleive you ended up wining that game with teh lylo you picked. No one listens to me, they lynch me when im almost always right.
And you know its always best to lynch me l-1. As im one good scum hunter and near impossible to lynch as scum before my buddies have been caught.
____
Wagon analysis should tell anyone im town. And leaving a big for when i flip.
Do the wagon realy flow the way they did with 2 scum on dead wagon. That takes 2 scum to do. wagonomics 101.
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 10:18 am
by bob3141
im a town tracker
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 10:19 am
by bob3141
your all awful scum hunters
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 10:20 am
by bob3141
ynone of you can read day one wagons
100% of teh time
a wagon liek the teacher one is never s+s
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 10:21 am
by bob3141
i get pushed day one after the counter wagon to kerset fails.
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 10:30 am
by Datisi
Vote count 3.final
with 9 votes in play, it took 5 to make a decision. day 3 ended.
Posted: Mon Sep 28, 2020 10:49 am
by Datisi
Vote count 4.00
with 7 votes in play, it takes 4 to make a decision. day 4 ends in (expired on 2020-10-08 23:50:00).
Posted: Mon Sep 28, 2020 10:54 am
by Andresvmb
Uhm, VOTE: Osuka. We really should have done this yesterday.
Posted: Mon Sep 28, 2020 10:55 am
by Andresvmb
Sigh. I should also re-read. I want to see if there’s something I’m missing.
Posted: Mon Sep 28, 2020 11:00 am
by PlusJOYED
VOTE: shelly
I think shelly is scum. I'm annoyed that our townies keep scumslipping
Posted: Mon Sep 28, 2020 11:07 am
by Andresvmb
I also think plus is Scum. So he should be summarily ignored. We’re not doing Shelly today.
Posted: Mon Sep 28, 2020 11:07 am
by Andresvmb
@Menalque I need to get your opinion here.
Posted: Mon Sep 28, 2020 11:08 am
by Menalque
Hello friends I’m very drunk
Posted: Mon Sep 28, 2020 11:08 am
by Menalque
I’m legit surprised bob wasn’t scum and I’m not sure what that means rn for the gamestate