Sorry to Zachrulez and to the other players for being utterly useless. I just keep falling further and further behind, and many of the major events that have transpired today (such as Furcolow's meltdown and Percy's contradiction in suspects) have flown over my head. But my V/LA just ended, so starting next week, I'll be able to devote much more time to this game.
If people think my lack of contribution is adversely affecting the town, I can replace out, but I don't want to do that to Zach.
It's entirely my own fault for missing out on all the "town points" (to quote Red Coyote
) I'd have got by voting or attacking Dry-Fit instead of just repeatedly mentioning that I need to reread him. (This is definitely something I deserve to be pressured on. In all honesty, I was so behind on this game and it takes me so long to post at a level I'm comfortable with that I kept putting off a huge catch-up post. I would have been okay with a Dry-Fit lynch because his posts came off as very safe, but suspected RC/Furc/imkingdavid more.) But anyway, town probably has this in the bag now.
================================================================================================
I've reread the game a few times (although TBH, I've wrapped my brain around the earlier events more than the later ones) and stayed up late last night trying to finish this post, but I'll have to leave for work soon. I still haven't got to Baby Spice, Nikanor, or LordWhyt, but if I wait, the game will be over before I finish a post. I'll cast my vote tomorrow (leaning toward a LrdWhyt vote). I'll just stick to general impressions first.
-After the DF flip, I'm on the fence re: Furcolow. I originally suspected Furcolow for seeming cautious and eager to please (um...for Furcolow, anyway). His post sucking up to Percy and lecturing us on how , his useless "I'm making spreadsheets and totally planning to analyze this game"...it all gave me the impression he was nervous and trying not to make waves. I also hated how he claimed not to know there were roles and then tried to use it. But his bizarre spastic flip between DF and RC didn't look much like a bus.
Oso/having fitz, and jason look squeaky clean (although I was gradually getting a town read on both anyway) as a result of the flip. Locke is succinct and hard to read, but that's just his style. Given that he was early on the Dry-Fit wagon, it's enough for me to trust him for today. He needs to post more, though (said the pot to the kettle).
I've disagreed with almost all of I am Innocent's reads this game, and logic says his hop onto Dry-Fit looks a lot like a bus...but I had a really strong gut town read on him. Elmo looks worse for not going after Dry-Fit, but I got town points from our early interactions. Put him at neutral, leaning town. I'm not familiar with Benmage's scum meta, but he's always this abrasive and overconfident in his arguments when he's town. I disagree with him that the flip makes him look super-confirmed, but I don't see anything unusual there.
I've liked most of what Sotty's been doing this game. Sotty's attacks on Dry-Fit could go either way. Hers is the first vote that really looks like it could be a bus. But a couple of things she's done have rung as true: for example, her reasons (which came across as more of a townie thought processe than Percy's). And I'll trust jason's towntell on how she used his meta to defend him. I read Gonzo Mafia a while back, and remember Zach suspecting her as scum for misrepresenting his meta.
-Kaleidoscope is most likely town for his early hop on Dry-Fit. I find players like Kaleidoscope (who just post one-line suspicions like "X is so obvscum and lynch him!" with utter confidence) hard to read, though. Seriously, people! My philosophy is that if you cannot write a five-hundred word essay explaining the pros, cons, negatives, and positives of your top suspect, then it's not a real suspicion, just a guess.
Kscope, can you do me a favour? What REASONS do you have for suspecting Red Coyote. Write one paragraph selling the lynch to me.
-Eek. I'd planned to vote Lrdwhyt in this post (although mostly for imkingdavid's play), but then I saw this from ikd, in reaction to Nikanor's day-cop claim:
Imkingdavid wrote:And what is your goal behind claiming this early, when you're not even at L-1?
I didn't like ikd's case on Benmage, and he made a few very wishy-washy and filler comments. Lrdwhyt's reaction to Dry-Fit's flip also seems off.
-Re: the three players being wagoned, I feel as though I'm missing something here from the flip. Everyone's going, "Ha ha, you're all busted! All...three of you, even though at most two of you can actually be scum."
Red Coyote:
Eh, it makes me uncomfortable that I don't have anything on him but gut, and yet he keeps doing so many little things that bother me even as he makes long, helpful, protown posts. For example, saying how "Mina is so focused on me" when I hadn't really attacked him that hard. Repeatedly making forced jokes and talking to people like they're naughty little children. I can give a list of quotes, but it's so many little things.
That said, his massive wagon analysis is good, and the last paragraph in particular (with his last words) makes me doubt my Red-scum read. I suppose some players can fake that level of helpfulness as scum, but the last part did seem sincere in comparison to the rest of his posts.
I could probably compromise on him, but my mind isn't made up yet.
Percy:
I'll be honest; I still haven't quite grokked what happened with Percy's contradiction. And considering only 2/15 player are scum, I doubt the speed of the Percy wagon says anything. But so far, I'd be against a Percy lynch.
Ironically, part of what's making me waver on Percy is that he's
playing too badly
to be scum.
In the two outings I've seen from him, he's bused ruthlessly, and was much more manipulative. This looks more like a townie whose opinions bit him in the ass. But I also got a MAJOR town tell from his reaction to Red's post. I pretty much had the same "Oh, shit!" reaction to Red Coyote's last words (and I've played in a game where Percy had that "oh shit!" reaction to a lynched townie's last words), so it makes me feel a bit better about Percy.
-Eek, I really have to go now, so I'll save my thoughts on mongoose/Baby Spice and Nikanor for later. mongoose did a lot that was suspicious. But to be honest, I haven't read BS that carefully yet, so I'm not sure what the smoking gun was.
============================================================================
If anyone has questions for me, feel free, because I know I'm usually a lot more contributive and easy to read than this.
). Main reason as I finished my read was due to gut. I don’t know her suspicions towards Nik and her willingness to come off IAI’s wagon after he freaked out. Her comments regarding scum being able to talk during the day seemed off to me coupled with saying she had discussed day talk with the mod. I don’t guess that is a scum tell but it just doesn’t sit right with me. In 281 she laments that she will probably be moving her vote off Nik to DF or RC. She says,