I went over the vote history and noticed that hopk is very suspect.
I remember when i found a poe pool on teh rooster wagon and he moved to dismiss it. Of the 4 only one now is alive and thats kop.
He has been on nearly every mislynch
He was even on cliff wagon day 2. Got upto 7 votes and of which only 2 are either not confirmed or dead. I would of expected atleast one scum to be on wagon the size of 2. Only those left undetermined are hopkirk and hectic
Posted: Mon Nov 04, 2019 6:03 am
by Hopkirk
I haven't been on 'nearly every mislynch'.
d1 lynch- consensus, my vote wasn't on it.
d2 lynch- actively against it.
d3 lynch- obviously I was on it, we had an effective cop claim.
d4 lynch- was not on as waiting for Kop.
The 'POE pool' you mention was literally just you saying 'if 4 people vote someone then one of them is X% scum' where the X% you used was actually just the same % as a randomly selected player being scum iirc.
(Titus/Eevee/Kop) remain scum based on the d1 Cliff wagon I agree.
13th Elements - (5): Aaron, t(1086), titus (1168), RD (1169), t (1329)
15th Cliff (3)- , t(1092), t(1097), Hectic (1142),
15th Elements - (6): Aaron ,t (1086), titus (1168), RD (1169), t(a) (1329), Hopkirk (1401)
16th Elements - (5):,t (1086), titus (1168), alonzo (1329), Hopkirk (1401) , rick (1479)
17th Elements - (5): ,t (1086), titus (1168), alonzo (1329), , rick (1479), garmr (1674) ,
18th tchill -Tchill - , t(1692), Hopkirk (1698) , garmr (1733) , , b (1748), t (1752) , t(1805)
18th Tchill - , t(1692), Hopkirk (1698) , garmr (1733) , , t(b) (1748), t , t
19th cliff (3) Hectic (1142),) ,, s(t) (1729),) , titus (1773)
Elements - (11): t, Rick Dalton, t, AaronFrost, t, EeveeLution Army, t(b), t, t, t, t
Posted: Mon Nov 04, 2019 6:08 am
by bob3141
rick has claimed doc with no counter claim. We have macho so must be some sort of protective in the deck. Macho would have no effect for scum doc as scum would know who is scum. So rick is highly likely town
You should probably factor in scum inactivity in any anlysis.
Posted: Mon Nov 04, 2019 6:35 am
by Hopkirk
In post 4706, bob3141 wrote:I went over the vote history and noticed that hopk is very suspect.
I remember when i found a poe pool on teh rooster wagon and he moved to dismiss it. Of the 4 only one now is alive and thats kop.
He has been on nearly every mislynch
He was even on cliff wagon day 2. Got upto 7 votes and of which only 2 are either not confirmed or dead. I would of expected atleast one scum to be on wagon the size of 2. Only those left undetermined are hopkirk and hectic
I really don't understand how you would reach this conclusion organically when AaronFrost and you have both been on all 4 wagons.
Posted: Mon Nov 04, 2019 6:38 am
by bob3141
i also believe aaronfrost is scum. But in your own words you said that cliff must be scum otherwise one of you and hectic would have to be scum. Only 2 not flipped players on cliff. And that was when proffi ahdnt fliped yet
Posted: Mon Nov 04, 2019 6:38 am
by bob3141
as in day 2 wagon i think it was. migth have been 3
Posted: Mon Nov 04, 2019 6:41 am
by Hopkirk
In post 4716, bob3141 wrote:i also believe aaronfrost is scum. But in your own words you said that cliff must be scum otherwise one of you and hectic would have to be scum. Only 2 not flipped players on cliff. And that was when proffi ahdnt fliped yet
I'm 99% sure I said that if Cliff flipped town then scum were mostly/all inactives. I never said it would make me/Hectic scum since I haven't said a negative thing about hectic at all.
Come to think of it, Hectic hasn't said a negative thing about my top 3 scumreads and he's followed most of my other reads.
Posted: Mon Nov 04, 2019 6:42 am
by Billy Pilgrim
Wait, we have a doc claim. We had one pr that wasnt suspected (Profii) Why is the doc believable?
Tchill13 - (4): - , Hectic (2398) , ,
Hopk - t , t , t ,t
Eve- , Rick (2510), , S(t), hopkirk (3186), texcat (3225)
Alonzo - , b, garmr (2808), t ,t, aaron (2978), titus (2991), t
Titus - eve (2971),
9th
Tchill13 - (4): - , Hectic (2398) , ,
Eve- , Rick (2510), , , hopkirk (3186), texcat (3225)
Alonzo - , b, garmr (2808), t , t, aaron (2978), titus (2991), t, S(t), t , t
Titus - eve (2971),
Posted: Mon Nov 04, 2019 6:45 am
by bob3141
note worthy wagons
Tchill13 - (4): - S(t),, t, Hopkirk, t
Tchill13 - (6): - S(t),, Hopkirk, t, Titus (2355), Hectic (2398) , garmr (2428) , t
Alonzo - , b, garmr (2808), t , t, aaron (2978), titus (2991), t, S(t), t , t
Eve- , Rick (2510), , S(t), hopkirk (3186), texcat (3225)
Alonzo - , b, garmr (2808), t , t, aaron (2978), titus (2991), t, S(t), t , t
Posted: Mon Nov 04, 2019 6:47 am
by bob3141
above day 2
below day one
12thCliff (7) - t(1065), Hopkirk(1071), t (1075) , t (1090), t(1092), t (1097), Hectic (1142),