Posted: Tue Nov 01, 2011 3:50 pm
Why won't you respond to the last line?
↑ MagnaofIllusion wrote:
Nopoint wrote:I find the reasoning of Ludi and those who talk about how there's 0% fourseen is scum by the fast wagonning bullshit.It's just appeal to probability. Please show evidence that he's not scum instead.If Fourseen flips scum those will be my number 1 suspects.
In regards to the bolded –
1. You are using Appeal to Probability incorrectly. An Appeal to Probability is saying the odds of something happening are so small that they couldn’t have happened (ie a Cop scanning a Godfather N1 and a Miller N2 in a game) which is a fallacy. It’s true that Ludi is incorrect in stating outright there is a 0% chance that Fourseen is scum. Unless he has some power that tells him Day 1 that Fourseen is Town (which I don’t expect is in this game) as Town he shouldn’t be 100% sure. I don’t think Fourseen is scum but am willing to acknowledge I could be wrong.
2. Asking for ‘evidence he’s not scum’ is horrible. You can’t prove a negative, especially Day 1 in this game. What evidence is there of actual scum intent in Fourseen's play?
Nopoint wrote:I don't get why ppl discourage the leading pressure wagon but not pushing for any other wagon (Magister Ludi, slysly )
Um this is a complete lie. I know Magister is pushing warrior and I am pushing Stringer. Why fabricate statements like this?
--
↑ Bunnylover wrote:Got prodded.
Keeping up with the thread, but anything I would say, has been said already.
Unvote, Vote: ML
I'm a little more confidence that Fourseen will flip town. ML has been protecting Fourseen a little too hard. Enough to gain some crediability in the game with his reads on a claimed "bad player" when they flip town.
↑ DrippingGoofball wrote:
Words are tossed around randomly in a mayonnaise base, resulting in somethingintentionallybland and cloying.
↑ wazzatron wrote:↑ RedCoyote wrote:MoI 315 wrote:
wazza 381 wrote:... seriously actually place a case so that people will believe you i will say this once
to start a legitimate wagon place a convincing case that gets others to look at what they have done.
but no you have just said he is scum... sorry but i don't believe it.
I don't like this defense of nopoint out of the blue.
i'm not trying to defend anyone i'm pointing out the simple fact that no case means that i have absolutly no reason to believe the 'case' on him, which may i point out is non existent.
This is me trying to let everyone know that in order to make a case you need a case to be made to begin with.
↑ Toogeloo wrote:↑ Bunnylover wrote:I am still in favor of Crypto been lynched, but I think FourseenCircumstance is a much more obvious choice.
↑ Bunnylover wrote:@ML: Sorry, but I disagree with you.I agree with Junpei that your taking things out of proportion.
There do not seem like a town's thought process. Each of these statements reek to me.
Unvote;
Vote: Bunnylover
↑ Toogeloo wrote:↑ Toogeloo wrote:↑ Bunnylover wrote:I am still in favor of Crypto been lynched, but I think FourseenCircumstance is a much more obvious choice.
↑ Bunnylover wrote:@ML: Sorry, but I disagree with you.I agree with Junpei that your taking things out of proportion.
There do not seem like a town's thought process. Each of these statements reek to me.
Unvote;
Vote: Bunnylover
To further elaborate:
This sounds like Bunny is attempting to leave her options open in case momentum shifts back on to Crypto, which at the time of the post both 4seen and crypto are getting a lot of heat. There is too much justification for the vote switch, and comes off scummily.↑ Bunnylover wrote:I am still in favor of Crypto been lynched, but I think FourseenCircumstance is a much more obvious choice.
Appealing to another player's read to justify disagreement. Bunny is attempting to back up possible support against ML and possibly playing town against town. If Bunny is scum, Junpei and ML are both town.↑ Bunnylover wrote:@ML: Sorry, but I disagree with you.I agree with Junpei that your taking things out of proportion.
Fourseen is getting a lot of backing as a bad lynch, and so Bunny attempts to jump ship here and go with her previously set up attack on ML, which at the moment seems like a park vote due to it being the only vote on ML and almost no case provided by Bunny for the vote other than, "He's WKing 4seen too much."
↑ Magister Ludi wrote:slysly wrote:ML tells FC to check their scum daytalk for a pointer.
I don't quite know what to make of this statement. For this entire day, you've been sitting on the wagon that I was leading on warriormode. Basically, you agree with me that warrior is scum, and forseen is not. And now you all of a sudden you call me out for defending forseen? And you try to fabricate something that is so banally stupid (first, assuming scum have daytalk, second scum A [me] posted in the scum quicktopic, and then felt it necessary to post in thread to point this out to my hypothetical scumbuddy)to call me scum? You make three separate illogical leaps to advance your point. This is circular scummy logic.
You've basically followed my reads all day here and then tried to take a swipe at the hand that feeds you.
And the rest of the post was equally as bad. Informing the game that it take 13 instead of 14 to lynch. Takes for the valuable input champ.
↑ Magister Ludi wrote:I know this is not concrete at all, butin my experience I have found scum who are skating by are very quick to be reading and responding to the thread when they are attacked, but not really otherwise. slysly had been pretty lethargically posting until I made an incorrect statement about him, and then was quick to come in and point out how I was wrong. I think I saw it reference once as 'scum damage control'. It doesn't create a read, but it certainly enforces it.
↑ Magister Ludi wrote:magnaofIllusion wrote:So you’ve fired off a clearly incorrect attack. And one that was based completely on undermining the observer as opposed to refuting the observation. And when you realize this your response is ‘Hmmmmmm’ and then to do a sloppy ISO attack?
Yeah, I mixed up the names when I posted that. Not sure what you mean by 'undermining the observer', as technically thats what all attacks ever in a game of mafia are supposed to do. Attacks are supposed to get other players in the town to view the attacked player as scum. When I attack someone, I am attempting to undermine their town reads with everyone else and insert scum reads (or further scum reads, etc)
Your summary of why he is scum - “Lazy vote. Contenless posts, accusations of slips, nonsense, outrageous accusations. Not backing anything up.”
The bolded shows Cognitive Dissonance in spades. You just had posted a long rant about how everyone doesn’t have to share reasons when making accusations. Then you use that same behavior as a scum-tell on SlySly.
There is a clear difference it what I have said this game. Voting is more important than words, yes. But when you leave a very early vote on someone, promise content and then fail to actually deliver, all the while keeping your vote exactly where it is, I will take object. That is scummy play.
Trying to paint my two valid opinions here as in direct contradiction is a lazy and simplistic thought process.
Accusations of slips is Null. Both scum and Town do that. Town when they see what they perceive to be a slip. Scum to attack Town / bus a Partner. Trying to say otherwise is scummy.
Not at all. I rarely see town accuse other town of inside information. A larger majority, say 66% vs 33%, is scum falsely accusing town of inside information, when in fact they have the inside information. It's something I have noticed in my games playing. How is making that accusation, which I based entirely on my own experience (which is how everyone scumhunts in any way shape or form, from experience), scummy. That is to say, how is what you are accusing me of more likely to come from scum than town?
The rest of your reasons are either Null tells (Lazy votes) or subjective opinions (contentless posts, outrageous accusations).
Things aren't null because you say they are, and Everything is subjective. I'm surprised you're accusing me of this. I find things scummy, I call them out. You find things scummy, you call them out. I happen to think my post had very valid points, and I was quite happy with my isolation of slysly.
Overall a scumtastic series of posts. Magister you can go swim in the Scum pool.
So it's scumtastic because you disagree with it? I'm not sure how you came to this conjecture, and I'm not sure I like it at all, Magna. You've basically take the same thing you have accused me off (being subjective), and applied your own (subjective) tells to it, and called me scummy for it.
↑ projectmatt wrote:↑ Stringer Bell wrote:↑ EtherealCookie wrote:
@ Stringer Bell
You’re not off the hook. Who else do you think is suspicious? You can’t have just gotten ONE PERSON from this entire thread. Nice job hopping onto that wagon gaining steam, by the way.
Scum list:
Fourseen-it seems this wagon is slowly dying, just like all early D1 wagons. Not everyone has jumped off yet, but I just can't see this going to a lynch.
Just a wait a second here, Stringer. You don't say why Fourseen is scum, but instead you comment on "that his wagon has died down like most d1 wagons and you can't see a lynch happening". What in that makes him scum? Is it the fact that the wagon HAS died down, is it the fact that he's made bad posts? Please explain your scum read on Fourseen more in depth.
↑ Junpei wrote:Stringer, everyone who thinks Fourseen is scum should be voting him, he can be our lynch today if people don't go "doesnt look like it's happening", advocate for it, don't let people switching around votes for pressure and what not deter you from what you want to do.
MORE FOURSEEN VOTES PLEASE!!!
I think these posts were an intentional screwup to seem like a townie who hadn't read the rules. In his mind, he's probably thinking, "No scum would blatantly screw up the rules like this; they'll definitely think I'm town!" I don't like it. Also never answered the question posed by MoI about why he did this. I'd love to see what he could come up with for reasoning.
I've had a scum read on Fourseen since his crypto vote/unvote (ISO #2 and #4). Like I said before, that's about as blatant as it gets. A little pressure, and he backs off? That screams scum to me. I still believe he's scum, but his wagon is dying down and it seems like his lynch isn't going to happen today. Therefore, I voted a different suspect, Furcolow.
- Stringer Bell
This is how you decide: does intuition tell you that scum would do this more than ideal town? If not, then it's not a scum tell. I can't comment on "flimsy votes" because the adjective 'flimsy' has no basis in my view. I don't know what post you guys are talking about, please link to posts (don't quote it... that just makes a big wall, link it using [url] tags). – Junpei
Magna wrote:Why is Warrior scum BTW? You never mentioned or questioned him before your vote at 140 and aside from a weak mention later that he’s a good wagon I see nothing in your ISO re that scum read.
Why is NoPoint scum, other than DGB pushing on him?
↑ implosion wrote:Oh, and nopoint was basically just looking at the first few posts of his ISO (he only had like 3 then iirc) and thinking that they felt like they were structured oddly.I wasn't even necessarily calling him that scummy; i was saying that I'dbe willing to wagon him and see where it goes.
nopoint wrote:He focusses more on defending Fourseen than on pushing for his reads, which I find scum-like.
↑ Junpei wrote:↑ implosion wrote:Oh, and nopoint was basically just looking at the first few posts of his ISO (he only had like 3 then iirc) and thinking that they felt like they were structured oddly.I wasn't even necessarily calling him that scummy; i was saying that I'dbe willing to wagon him and see where it goes.
What? Can you explain the rationale here, because wagoning a non-scum read for fun makes no sense. Hell, wagoning a non-scum read makes no sense.
↑ Junpei wrote:Kdub; lets say that Furclow is i) prone to make that mistake as town ii) not likely to come up with that plan as scum. Isn't it still very realistic to think that maybe another one of the scum members told Furclow to at some point do that? I hadn't thought of that at first, but if they know his meta, they could suggest it.
↑ Bunnylover wrote:@Kdub:
1) I think ML is over defending FourSeen. Its not what Fourseen has done that changed my read on him, it what other people have done.
2) Scum defending scum. Ok. How does this change my vote on ML? I am still voting scum right? Also scum defending scum wouldn't be for townie credit. I would be leaning on Fourseen been more town then my previous read, but that doesn't mean everyone else read will change.
3) I can do a lot more then I've shown. The problem is, that I am not an outspoken person. So I could have recognize the situation before in a previous game, but not spoke about it because I thought it was stupid. I'm trying to change that about my play, and be more outspoken. But I understand why you think that.
Question though: Do you agree or disagree on the scenario that I posted. That last statement (Number 3), makes me believe you see/agree with the scenario, but I don't want to put words in your mouth.
nopoint wrote:OK. What I'm saying is that ML: fast wagonning = 0% scum has no basis. I find it likely for scum to grasp onto reasoning like this to defend someone, whether town or their scumbuddy. Maybe slysly didn't have much content but look at the way ML is playing. He votes people, but never follows up. He focusses more on defending Fourseen than on pushing for his reads, which I find scum-like. I would be happy to vote ML if there's a wagon on him.
↑ MagnaofIllusion wrote:
Spring wrote:All arguments I have seen on Fourseen is low zone scumhunting, the guy is derp at best. I can't fathom how people can form read on him, except to bet on an easy lynch.
The whole back and forth between stringer and MoI is bad, with similar bad reasonings.
IIoA right here Spring. You make dismissive comments yet don’t take a stance that says anyone you are deriding is scummy. Who is scum in the ‘low zone’ scumhunters ( besides Junpei)? Are either Stringer or I scum?
This is twice now that you have attacked me with a blatant lie. Please quote what I said that you interpreted as me saying Magna is scum and is your
scumbuddy.
NoPoint wrote:OK. What I'm saying is that ML: fast wagonning = 0% scum has no basis.
NoPoint wrote:And here our friend Magister Ludi immediately addresses the accusation against him with a big post, up for some Cognitive Dissonance ol' Magna?
NoPoint wrote:Magna: Could you summarize your case on Stringer? Though I'd be much more willing if we lynch Ludi today.
Spring wrote:IIoA? What is IIoA in what I have said?
1. You are obviously wrong in saying that 'i'm not taking a stance' because I'm currently voting Junpei who is on the fourseen wagon which I think is the scummiest wagon.
2. I don't think either you or stringer is scum atm. What is this 1v1 mentality crap? Your argument about Stringer was townish when it was made but it has been overstated for very many pages now. I'm not buying it. I think stringer's defence is ok and don't think that his unvote warrior stuff is as scummy as you make it out to be.
implosion wrote:Frankly, when I called warrior scummy, it was based on gut feeling about his posts that I'm sure I could elaborate on, but really don't feel like elaborating on.
implosion wrote:ML-town is because I feel like his play here resembles his play in sexy sedilla (towngame) more so than his play in PYP 5 (scumgame). This is entirely based on gut; but there was something about his early play in PYP5 that just felt very off. His play here doesn't feel off.
...DGB. Check.
We're at six. Already.
Seven. Although I'd almost say seven and half here with the mention of Toog, but that's not what you're asking for.
This is pretty close to half a suspicion right here--he couches it in 'too soon to tell', but I'd hope this wasn't the only thing he had on Red. Surely?
I'd count this at eight, but even if you discard the rest of the 'questionable' ones, he's suspected (FoS or direct vote) seven people, and infered at least two others are scummy (Red Coyote's catching up, Kdub's "scum slip".)
These are all from his ISO. I didn't fabricate them.
↑ MagnaofIllusion wrote:
Spring wrote:IIoA? What is IIoA in what I have said?
1. You are obviously wrong in saying that 'i'm not taking a stance' because I'm currently voting Junpei who is on the fourseen wagon which I think is the scummiest wagon.
2. I don't think either you or stringer is scum atm. What is this 1v1 mentality crap? Your argument about Stringer was townish when it was made but it has been overstated for very many pages now. I'm not buying it. I think stringer's defence is ok and don't think that his unvote warrior stuff is as scummy as you make it out to be.
It’s IIoA for precisely this reason – That post had lots of information but added exactly zero to scum-hunting. You just said you were already voting Junpei and that post doesn’t expand on that ‘case’ any. You don’t call anyone else scum in the post. It’s a large post that looks very much like active lurking fodder.
Who said anything about 1 v 1? No-one’s called for that or couched anything in the game as such. I specifically asked you for reads on both Stringer and I given you commented on how you didn’t like out back and forth and that is was bad on both sides. Bad indicates the possibility of scumminess in the vacuum of actual commitment to a position.
I just glanced through your ISO. The only solid suspicion I see is Junpei. You had early votes for Magister and Warrior but I don’t see any strong indication you think they are scummy. Who at this stage are your scum reads beyond Junpei?
Spring wrote:You are selective quoting me in that post.
Once you have acknowledge it, how much of what you have said above can be conceived as a relevant and weighted argument?
Everybody on the fourseen wagon is using crappy arguments. Junpei is the scummiest because he tried to pass his call policy lynch for something more than what it was and trying to actively defend that stance when called on it. The only thing that is townish about him is activity, but when you plough through it, it's just noise with everyone whom he seems to be suspicious of being what I identify as weaker players. Read back his replies to me, I don't like how he handled it. I'll venture to say now that the diddin vote looks like a bussing vote.
Spring wrote:You post a lot, andyour cases are getting progressively more over the top.I don't remember you being that much fuzzy and all over the place from that future/past game.
Spring wrote:Right now I think Junpei and diddin are scum, and probably together. The rest is yet unwashed. Not disclosing town reads.
Btw I'm kinda thinking that disclosing town read may be more hurtful than in normal games since it helps scum guess cycling choice.
↑ DrippingGoofball wrote:MoI, who are you trying to convince, and of what?
↑ MagnaofIllusion wrote:
Stringer wrote:How does anyone look at this and not think that FC is scum?
Because despite how obviously derp it was I can’t see any viable scum motivation for it. What does he gain by attacking one of the most active and non-Newb players who had pretty much dormant wagon as opposed to hopping on Warrior or picking someone with almost no votes but lurking (take your pick, plenty out there) and call them scummy for lurking?
Stringer wrote:This is where you have questions. You think that I succumbed to the pressure of Junpei needing a vote from me, and hence voted FC. You think that this is similar to how FC voted crypto and succumbed to the pressure of Junpei, crypto, and projectmatt and unvoted. Here is the difference:I did not take a crap case and vote FC just because Junpei asked me about why I didn't vote somebody after unvoting.
It wasn’t just Junpei that suggested you were scummy for unvoting with no vote – RedCoyote also did and it dinged my scumdar when I read it.
Actually – I think you did just what the bolded says. You saw a derp posting series and pounced with a vague ‘as bad as it gets’ statement attached.
Stringer wrote: 153-I look at the vote count and see that I still have my vote on FC. At this point, FC still hasn't done much of anything, so I take it off. I don't supply any other reads or another place for my vote.
159-In answer to Junpei's question, I did not, at that time, have a place to put my vote. I wasn't sure of the warriormode wagon, I didn't want to quicklynch him.
186-FC comes in with his terribad reasoning and votes crypto
196-FC unvotes, with the reasoning that crypto is an active player. My view of this is stated earlier in this post.
204-I vote FC, with the reasoning of "that's about as blatant as it gets."
1. Why did you bother to unvote FC in the first place then? In the time you posted 153 he had a whopping two votes. No danger of a ‘quicklynch’.
2. Why didn’t you supply other reads or place the vote then? Is it your contention that nothing scummy had gone on?
Stringer wrote: Not at the moment, I'm not sure of the warriormode wagon and don't want it to get out of hand this early in the day.Nothing worse than quicklynching day 1.
This is your quote from 159.
Warrior got his first vote at post 40. He topped out the speed portion of his wagon at 6 votes by 147. So he gathered 6 votes in 108 posts (18 posts per vote gathered)
Fourseen, with no votes, makes the first of his bad posts at 186. He’s gathered 8 by post 213 from wazzatron. That’s 8 votes in 28 posts.(3.5 posts per vote gathered).
Is your stance that Fourseen’s wagon, which exploded at a rate approximately 5 times the pace of warrior’s wagon, isn’t a quicklynch?
Does your Day 1 quicklynching stance from 159 only apply to players you don’t think are scum?
↑ Junpei wrote:.....
What should town Fourseen have said? 186 shouldn't have even came about, as it is a pretty poor post in itself.
188 shouldn't have happened, it is basically "im sheeping MoI".
196 also shouldn't have happened, if he was town he'd have a good reason for his crypto vote that isn't the reason for his unvoting.
What town Fourseen should have posted cannot be found in those posts, they are:
real reads
real analysis
instead we got backtracking through a contradiction when pressured, and... that's it.
↑ wazzatron wrote:then finally he would have went
oh shit some pressure (i'm not gonna back pedal like a retard)
projectmatt lynched information = blablabla
i have a town read on MoI therefore his scum read on crypto is relevant
junpei you need actual reasoning (this was before back pedaling hard)
theres a bunch of townie answers that could be put in
first instead of being moronic don't do it or at least have your own case.