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Post Post #475 (ISO) » Thu May 07, 2015 8:51 am

Post by T-Bone »

Yeah I'm about to go on vacation and will be unavailable all weekend as it is.
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Post Post #476 (ISO) » Thu May 07, 2015 10:24 am

Post by Aneninen »

Oh, TierShift is wagoned?
I'll sort him out very quickly. (Or at least, I hope so...)
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Post Post #477 (ISO) » Thu May 07, 2015 10:26 am

Post by T-Bone »

Yeah I'm not sure where that came from, and he's a potential lynch in my opinion (but a distant third)
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Post Post #478 (ISO) » Thu May 07, 2015 10:29 am

Post by Aneninen »

I can see it in the VC. And I still don't know what those scores mean.
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Post Post #479 (ISO) » Thu May 07, 2015 10:32 am

Post by T-Bone »

They don't mean anything so don't worry about it.
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Post Post #480 (ISO) » Thu May 07, 2015 10:37 am

Post by Aneninen »

I don't think TierShift is scum. This is his town-posting style.
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Post Post #481 (ISO) » Thu May 07, 2015 11:30 am

Post by Aneninen »

1.13 – Cephir and Mollie moved to the Katsumi-wagon.
1.14 – Copper jumped down, TierShift joined. Mollie jumped off later.

IceRint/GreyIce are not scums together. Too long vote parking on Shos.

Shos was vote-parking and doing nothing until 1.20?

1.24 – The Katsuki-wagon dissipated, Cabd and Shos were small counters.

Okay, who are the common names on the Cabd and the Katsumi-wagon? Iecerint, Cephrir – one of them is scum.
1.34 – Cephir jumps back to Katsuki.
1.37 – WTF is that wagon on you? And Cephrir is there. He left the Shos-wagon when it got too big.
1.38 – Cephrir leaves the wagon, Shos joins it.

Okay, as for Day1 VCA, Cephir is scum. Especially after that Reckoner-vote-parking. The other one seems to be on the early-Cabd wagon. Reckoner or Icerint.

2.01 – Reckoner insta-starts the Cabd-wagon.
2.10 – That Shos-wagon seems to be town-f-ck-driven.
2.11 – Aaaand there's the Cabd-counter. Pushed by Cephrir. And Wisdom jumped there too. Shos is the third one.
I think that wagon contained all scums. (There was a sooo long pause at L–1...)

3.2 – Wait-oh, that's not good. Reckoner wouldn't have left your wagon if he were scum with Cephrir.
What if Notscience is a VCA-avoiding scum?
No, Reckoner can't be scum with Shos either.
3.26 – that's a scumf-ck wagon on Reckoner.
3.29 – the same on Tiershift.

Let's see Notscience's votes alone. Nothing and harmless wagons till 1.30. Ffffft jumping on Katsuki. 1.36. Next Day, vote-parking on Cephrir until joining a major wagon.

And no, I haven't read Wgeurts's analysis. Because I've wanted to get my own reads.

Cephrir is the surest scumread.
Notscience and/or Shos is the next one.
Reckoner a "spare-read", but I'm not too confident about him.
Maybe the Wisdom-slot is worth a further examination because of all those replaces.

Has this helped?
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Post Post #482 (ISO) » Thu May 07, 2015 12:47 pm

Post by T-Bone »

No one (including me) takes VCA too seriously. But your reads are noted.
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Post Post #483 (ISO) » Thu May 07, 2015 6:55 pm

Post by Aneninen »

Still, I think those slots are the ones which should be examined.
When I have time, I'll check Cephrir first and, I think, Notscience next.

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Post Post #484 (ISO) » Thu May 07, 2015 8:29 pm

Post by wgeurts »

Cep and Iece were the worst day 1. Need to check day 2/3
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Post Post #485 (ISO) » Fri May 08, 2015 6:05 am

Post by wgeurts »

Final scum are in BBmolla/Brantz
All scum know we're lying, there's no reason to not believe us otherwise.
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Post Post #486 (ISO) » Fri May 08, 2015 12:14 pm

Post by Aneninen »

Icerint looks f-cking scummy too.

Not only the votes, or more precisely... the lack of them? Still, he managed to put Reckoner at L–1. That bullshyt addressed to TierShift, something like "there were a couple of players at L–1". Also, his recent change after he got a couple of votes.

(And I seeeeeeeeeriously hope that I'm not wrong about TierShift now.)
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Post Post #487 (ISO) » Sun May 10, 2015 8:31 am

Post by wgeurts »

Really reading now.
Is Esp still alive btw or do we need to prod/replace him?
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Post Post #488 (ISO) » Sun May 10, 2015 8:31 am

Post by wgeurts »

Also, T-Bone.
If your about to get lynched we can try replacing you with Aneninen. It may crack down the wagon.
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Post Post #489 (ISO) » Sun May 10, 2015 8:31 am

Post by wgeurts »

This is a really last resort though.
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Post Post #490 (ISO) » Sun May 10, 2015 9:21 am

Post by wgeurts »

What night did Rhinox die?
TierShift is probably town though.
Same with Iece.
Notscience a scum reads starting as well.

I'm only at page 11 though, everything may change.

(Your early day play was pretty scummy.)
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Post Post #491 (ISO) » Sun May 10, 2015 9:21 am

Post by wgeurts »

Anen, you reading?
It'd be cool to have someone else to talk to.
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Post Post #492 (ISO) » Sun May 10, 2015 9:22 am

Post by wgeurts »

Oh, light scum read on shos as well.
The catch ups are awful.
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Post Post #493 (ISO) » Sun May 10, 2015 9:23 am

Post by wgeurts »

I think Reck's town as well.
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Post Post #494 (ISO) » Sun May 10, 2015 9:26 am

Post by wgeurts »

TierShift pulling up Rhinox's read looks really town to me, I was literaly thinking about doing so myself as well.
People claim Night Kill Analysis is not worth a dime, however scum do kill who they fear or who's a threat to them. Aneninen should know from the white flag, all the kills have been strategic.
Rhinox dying makes sense with shos scum.
If shos flips town however TierShift pulling it up shifts to a scummier spectrum.
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Post Post #495 (ISO) » Sun May 10, 2015 9:27 am

Post by wgeurts »

Nope, Reck is definitely town.
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Post Post #496 (ISO) » Sun May 10, 2015 9:29 am

Post by wgeurts »

Is Copper's slot dead?
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Post Post #497 (ISO) » Sun May 10, 2015 9:38 am

Post by wgeurts »

Got a nagging feeling TS vs Copper early game is SvT. Can't tell which yet as they both logicaly make sense.
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Post Post #498 (ISO) » Sun May 10, 2015 9:40 am

Post by wgeurts »

Copper's town, I need to think this through.
Shos's flip would shed a lot of light.
I need time to think and time to finish reading.
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Post Post #499 (ISO) » Sun May 10, 2015 9:40 am

Post by wgeurts »

Going to sleep now
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