Posted: Thu May 07, 2015 8:33 am
I think doing exactly the opposite of what mastin says and does is correct play.
↑ singersigner wrote:Titus wrote:↑ vezokpiraka wrote:
You are the only one who doesn't apply occam's razor.
Why in the name of whatever you curse at would I come forth as scum saying I traced someone who is confirmed town? Do you think I have a death wish as scum?
I suppose both town and scum are equally capable of doing Occam's Razor.
Town you would need to need to disclose that since massclaiming traces and detects is stupid.
Scum you would want to claim that in advance in case someone traced you.
Occam's Razor says that claim's more likely to come from scum.
If someone traced him, he wouldn't have gotten a result from TTH, which he would've known when TTH claimed to have not gotten a result. Unless you're implying that there's a really awkward trace circle going around.
And...didn't you claim to have detected on minor night one? Occam's razor says you're scum.
↑ TellTaleHeart wrote: rubbing your nipples
↑ Gammagooey wrote:Oversoul I think you're confusing innattentiveness and tbf a general lack of care and thoroughness for actual scum motivation.
List out the assumptions you're making for Espeonage deciding to claim that, in that particular way, as scum.
-He's aware that people might think him detecting Cheet might look scummy (he says this in one of his posts)
-If he's scum, he chose to do that action for a particular reason. There are a rare few instances but going into a game and deciding "I'm going to do something that doesn't benefit OR harm me at all and then claim that as a gambit" isn't something that is ordinary for damn good reason.
-So why do it then- do you think that he thought he would be townread by claiming it? I don't see why, especially when he's saying that he knows other people could see it as scummy
-Do you think he claimed it to cover up an action that benefits scum? If he's worried enough to claim it in case people traced him, why do that action instead of trying to get traced visiting someone that looks scummy, and possibly influencing their read that way? What motivation would scum have to detect someone, then immediately claim that detect, making it look much worse for Esp-scum if Cheet dies soon, especially when Esp's already claimed VT and can't visit Cheet himself without worrying about being caught scum?
Like there are a few kind of outlandish ways that would make it possible for scum to benefit from it and make it worth it for Esp to claim it, but actually thinking that they're the most likely possibilities seems pretty wrong to me.
And I think we've all had games where we lunged after a lynch because someone was just too bad and was making too many poor decisions to be town and then had be wrong. It's a reasonable suspicion but I don't think he's trying to get away with anything here, I think he just made some stupid assumptions on how the detects would work and ran with it, and I still think his suspicions on Tammy and Titus were coming from town.
↑ singersigner wrote:@Titus...iou wanted to get signs to the doctor, why did you support a lynch on the person whose sign you had just narrowed down?
↑ Titus wrote:My flip reveals people as scum. ika tends to townread people I'm scumreading and I do like a modicum of conflict around me. It keeps me from being buddied as hard. TSO wasn't a big scumread and someone ika may have wanted healed. I was trying to detect the signs ika would find useful, not what I would do as doctor as I can't force ika to make smart decisions.
Titus wrote:I'm still waiting on your read on anyone who isn't a lurker or me Singer. The more you stall and redirect from the fact you aren't scumhunting, the more I want you lynched.
↑ Untrod Tripod wrote:Show us some scum motivation, not just "he's being a meaniehead"
That's some pathetic nonsense, dude
Titus wrote:Now that you understand why I give players the reads I do, now we're going to look at the specific posts from Bulba's ISO that give me similar feelings about him.
↑ Cheetory6 wrote:Why.DV wrote:Ok I think I'm wrong on Shadoweh too. That's fun!
Why are you okay with a boon on CDB if in your last post you said that "you weren't going to touch him right now" in terms of your read on him? How can you be casually okay with booning someone you have no read on?DV wrote:I've read up and there's not much I want to say except people want to lynch me, woooo, and I'm pretty ok with a boon of CDB.
If scum has this, then the unlockable VT would likely have to have this as well. Otherwise, scumTTH would have to guess that there would be something that would conftown her on minorD2, would have to have gotten lucky that we didn't choose to unlock the ability and get CC-ed and then guess that the ability would be hidden to the VT who would get unlocked.hito wrote:Duplicate. One member of Annihilation may use the same Active ability twice each Major Night. This ability is Locked, and cannot be used until the Lock is removed.
I find it hard to believe all of that would just prettily fall into the hands of scum.
↑ singersigner wrote:"More read stuff." There's not a whole lot of commitment to your reads. >_>
Why isn't my alignment important right now? What concerned you about my posting at the end of Major Day 1?
Cheetory already asked this but what are you wrong about with regards to Shadoweh?
Are you speculating on TTH's alignment based on the fact that you're not dead?
Why do you think Titus is town? Could you find time to comment on my recent posts about her when you're more caught up?
↑ TellTaleHeart wrote:You are a high priority kill or you are not? You just said both. You're also putting a lot more assumptions into your theory for keeping me in the lynch pool than you're suggesting.
↑ TellTaleHeart wrote:Yes, simple and basic mathematics.
The sign mechanic gives a 1/3 chance of guessing the sign correctly and given 3 unmakes, calculating the expected number of kills in any given night yield a value of... one.
Now of course there are things like the detect mechanism and protective (or other killstopping) roles that influence the probabilities slightly but the rough estimate should be pretty close to the actual and it was likely by hito's design.
↑ Titus wrote:@DV, Speculating about yourself being a nightkill is worthless. Provide something actually useful. I was townreading you but my patience has worn incredibly thin with the time you're spending blathering about theory, without any sort of practical conclusion to be drawn their from. It's empty posting. You've went this entire time without even commenting on the boon which is a waste.
↑ vezokpiraka wrote:Then replace out. Seriously. I don't want people to lynch a spot just cause he lurks. That is not fun for any team that player is on.
This is team mafia and I want all slots at their bests.
↑ Cheetory6 wrote:hi dv the reason why you look so bad is because you keep saying sorry instead of just playing the game, which admittedly probably isn't scumtastic, but i mean im getting a little impatient with how much you're pulling that card and it's starting to look more like a schtick than an actual thing.
speaking of which, you just said sorry instead of answering my questions and other people's questions to you.
zzzzz.
↑ singersigner wrote:I haven't pushed DV for jack shit. I'm voting for pressure.
DV wrote:I don't get why what I'm saying is so hard to understand. I was a high-priority kill during minor night 1. I wasn't any time after that.
↑ Titus wrote:Singer, ika and I go way back and have our own language. If I had the same relationship with Mastina, I would have detected last night. I don't. If I can selectively tell information to the slot I believe to be the doctor, you bet your ass that I will indeed do that. Mastina and I both were under heat. Scum killing us would have given the town information. I made a judgment call as to who the best player was to check that night.
I'm still waiting on you to scumhunt instead of nitpick. A read on anyone.
↑ singersigner wrote:I'm not gunna lie, I'm not going to be willing to avoid your lynch for long.