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Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:18 am
by chennisden
In post 48, Elements wrote: In post 45, chennisden wrote:Worst case we lynch wrong and lynch scum tomorrow.
WORST CASE. That's terrible for scum btw.
PRs should claim D1 and w/o counterclaim we spare.
Don't scum just kill the pr claim night 1?
Nah we spare them.
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:18 am
by DrDolittle
thats pretty extreme... considering
mod wrote:Early claiming from the town power role is detrimental as all of them are vulnerable to a factional nightkill.
nonetheless i think youre town
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:18 am
by Something_Smart
Yeah I get the spare PR idea, don't see why it needs to be D1 though. If we spare D1 then Undyne can claim D2.
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:18 am
by chennisden
If scum CC:
1) they're throwing
2) we figure out who the scum is and lynch that
worst case we'll lynch the situationally useful PR and kill the scum D2 which isn't bad btw!
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:19 am
by DrDolittle
and if there is a cc, then we go into day 3 in a 5-1?
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:19 am
by Oversoul
If Chennis forces the PR to claim I will advocate for Genocide route
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:19 am
by chennisden
Spare happens before NK ddl
If there's no counterclaim (there probably will be none) we spare the PR
If there is a counterclaim we're going to find the scum and lynch them
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:20 am
by Something_Smart
Well, here's my idea. If you're PR and you think you have a reasonable (~33% or greater) chance of dying at night, you should claim and be spared. Otherwise, we can probably put that off until D2/D3 because Toriel equity.
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:20 am
by chennisden
Worst case yeah then I think we just play mafia at that point.
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:21 am
by chennisden
In post 57, Something_Smart wrote:Well, here's my idea. If you're PR and you think you have a reasonable (~33% or greater) chance of dying at night, you should claim and be spared. Otherwise, we can probably put that off until D2/D3 because Toriel equity.
Asgore should probably claim today, idk how strongly I feel about undyne claiming today but i feel like they should, and toriel maybe claims d2? idk
i think prs should claim d1/d2
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:23 am
by DrDolittle
meh numbers-wise its not a bad play.
gut says that if im pr im not going to claim since it ruins the fun, especially if Im Undyine or Toriel
Not sure if I agree its the best plan since we lose out on PR action, but its better than mine
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:24 am
by Something_Smart
Well Undyne claim D2 in genocide is pretty funny for some evil WIFOM
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:24 am
by chennisden
btw i think the PR will prolly play rly obvious and we should just get rid of them early ya know
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:25 am
by chennisden
we're sparing almost always btw. minus the scum CC (which i don't think will happen) we're sparing.
also CC worst case gives us 6-1 not 5-1 so scum literally has to be the towniest or second towniest person alive idk
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:25 am
by Oversoul
How about this
Do we want to go for Spare with safety valve of Neutral, or we want to go for Genocide with safety valve of Neutral? Thinking about it, I think we should do the later.
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:26 am
by Something_Smart
Yeah, I mean, it's obvious that chennisden is the PR
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:26 am
by Oversoul
UNVOTE:
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:30 am
by chennisden
In post 64, Oversoul wrote:How about this
Do we want to go for Spare with safety valve of Neutral, or we want to go for Genocide with safety valve of Neutral? Thinking about it, I think we should do the later.
no, we should spare. scum has to play significantly better to be spared than for them to just get mislynches.
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:32 am
by chennisden
cool
====
Something_Smart
Gamma Emerald
chennisden
Elements
Oversoul
DrDolittle
Dr Easy Bake
volxen
Chemist1422
Adorable
Emperor flippyNips
====
people who should be easy to read:
chennis
gamma
volxen (it's been a while but i think his town meta is p obvious)
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:33 am
by Oversoul
I don’t think that’s true. Sparing is like doing the scums job for them. We are removing the townies player then they have a chance to remove the second towniest player. It accelerates the race to the bottom which is typically why most scum teams win.
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:33 am
by chennisden
idk if elements is town or just good at mafia.
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:34 am
by chennisden
In post 69, Oversoul wrote:I don’t think that’s true. Sparing is like doing the scums job for them. We are removing the townies player then they have a chance to remove the second towniest player. It accelerates the race to the bottom which is typically why most scum teams win.
no.
just no.
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:34 am
by Oversoul
I really, really don’t get EV.
Looking at the EV for 9-2 it is 35.2 town win. With a confirmed innocent (our PR) in this case, the EV increases to 35.7. Da fuq? A confirmed townie is only worth .5?? I don’t trust math.
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:35 am
by chennisden
if we're playing the spare game then we've changed scum's job entirely.
Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2019 4:35 am
by chennisden
and thus we aren't doing it for them.