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Post Post #550 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 9:58 am

Post by MagnaofIllusion »

Heck, just in case this happens this weekend so as to not hold up Night ...

MOD - I'm stating for the record if I am lynched this weekend that the following is my choice (assuming Fate is still on the wagon) -

Kill: Fate

Feel free to process it unless Fate leaves the wagon. It will not change unless that happens
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Post Post #551 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 10:02 am

Post by Fate »

I claim a power role and you say I'm vengekilled unless I unvote? No fuck off.

You are the BEST lynch today by far. A vengeful is ALWAYS Lynched thats the point of the role. If you decide to kill me because... of somethign as childish as OMGUS? Well then it can't be helped.
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Post Post #552 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 10:33 am

Post by PeregrineV »

MagnaofIllusion wrote:
MOD – I’ll be LA from 4:30pm EDT today until Monday morning for my usual weekend family duties. And specifically this weekend with a charity golf Scramble on Saturday to help with and Mother’s Day on Sunday my posting is likely to be restricted to late nights if at all.


--

Peregrine wrote:I was using Matt as an example of no Pizza case given, like you stated a few sentences above.

I read the post you voted him, and you said lining up lynches, but you said this after you voted him. Before you voted him, you were responding to him. Is that not the reason for your vote?


Interesting. Either my brain is no longer properly processing English or the way you wrote that is fairly obtusely bizzare and I didn't make the connection regarding your first sentence there.

In I point out the ways the post I reference in question is scummy. Do you disagree with the points I made?

There are many posts and obvservations between 72 and 287 where I comment on Pappums being scummy and detail why.

I only actually voted him in and by that point Pappums had already dropped another terrible vote (this time on Pizza).

So again – why are you trying to dismiss my vote on him as OMGUS when it is nothing of the sort? Do you not, looking at my and pappums ISOs, see me doing inquiry and scum-hunting regarding him?

--

Korlash wrote:
I need to take some time to analyze today's votes. A quick look back gives me a funny feeling...


Please do elaborate on this ….


Yeah, I could have made that poitn better. But stuff always makes more sense in your head when your thinking it.



1. People do that all the time. Not generally a scumtell in and of itself.
2. Never heard of scum attacking a town player for the town player using the 'easy target' argument.
3. Since that's opinion, I don't find it particularly scummy. If I had a strong scumread at that point on BenMage or Korlash, then I might. Did you have a strong scumread on Ben or Korlash at that time?

I've seen the back-and-forth. When a vote is made, though, a summary is usually given.
From 287
Oh look, lining up lynches based on Town flips.

And more questions.

So, I'll look back over everything again, but your summary of "2 bad votes, and lining up lynches" isn't convincing to me.
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Post Post #553 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 11:58 am

Post by Korlash »

Wait wait wait...

Do I have this right? If we lynch MoI we either hit scum or Fate dies... So... It's a win/win for me? >.> <.<

I'm going to do this vote analysis right now first but combine this with my uneasy feeling about the wagons and MoI's recent gamble of posting his PM to the mod in thread (or prematurely, I don't know how the fuck vengeful are suppose to operate) I see a very strong possibility of me swapping wagons...

Although it does pain me to vote with Fate... Hmmm... I guess I'll just cover his name up and pretend I'm joining Ben... Ahhh... Blissful ignorance...

More to come...
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Post Post #554 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 12:33 pm

Post by Korlash »

So MoI gets to L-1, wagon stalls as it does and fallout more or less leads to the Pizza wagon forming. Rat unvotes MoI and revotes Pizza swapping out MoI for Pizza in terms of lead wagon. Immediately following this MoI creates the Rat wagon (knowing I would follow him) which creates an alternative possibility for competing wagon to the Pizza wagon that isn't his own. Pizza wagon falls through, as they do, and oddly enough MoI is returned to the competing wagon thanks to Rat's revote...

I can't make any conclusions on vote analysis without flips so I can only say that from a scum perspective of MoI, this would fit fairly well. Given who he is, the competing wagon he creates would have to be on a partner to both give him better credit (after being at L-1) and to make sure that wagon sticks (a wagon on scum is easier to build since, you know, it's on f'in scum). So it is a viable conclusion to say both MoI and Rat are likely and possibly scum. Clearly not enough on it's own to make me switch my vote, but certainly doesn't let me sleep easy knowing MoI is getting off if I don't.

Now we come to the new information. MoI's vengeful claim has just been solidified as a real claim (I was being honest when I said I didn't remember it the first time so I never took it as a 'real' claim) and that claim is bullshit in the setup. No 'good' comedian takes someone down with them when they die. Bad comedians do that. "I sucked, therefore your show is going to be terrible too." So from a setup perspective his claim is not only unlikely to be town, but actually more likely to be scum.

Lastly, My own selfish desire to see Fate die in as creative a way as possible intrigues me... >.> (No in all seriousness his idea of having two flips isn't terrible. MoI's death alone gives us his early game wagon along with how Pizza's and Rat's sprang up and grew from whatever alignment's perspective. Having a flipped Fate(anyone else) would just be icing on the cake that is scum's imminent demise.)

Given the invalidity of the claim and his 'kill:fate' gimick, my vote change is pretty much a given. Add in the rest and it just makes sense...

Unvote:, Vote: MoI


For what it's worth dude, I don't hate you. I actually enjoy playing with you and you being on the player list above me was a reason I joined. But... This whole shtick screams gambit at this point, and uh... I can't have that. Just a word of advice, if you had said you would have killed Rat... Might have worked better for you. But that's a big slip up on your part.

On an unrelated note, A non-vengeful Scum flip from MoI would make my two top suspects Rat and Fate in that order. (yes yes, blah blah blah at me Fate but if this is a gamble on his part one of you [if not both] is likely his partner)
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Post Post #555 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 12:35 pm

Post by MagnaofIllusion »

Oopps I made a mistake

Kill: Korlash


I was wondering who I could bait into the wagon that way.
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Post Post #556 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 12:42 pm

Post by Korlash »

Go for it mate. Vote analysis, set-up speculation, and recent events all say you should be lynched. You can't scare me off...

You're still killing someone other than Rat which isn't what a townie in your position would be doing at this point.
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Post Post #557 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 12:42 pm

Post by Fate »

....

I had a feeling.

Retract PR claim


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Post Post #558 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 12:57 pm

Post by MagnaofIllusion »

Korlash wrote:Go for it mate. Vote analysis, set-up speculation, and recent events all say you should be lynched. You can't scare me off...

You're still killing someone other than Rat which isn't what a townie in your position would be doing at this point.


I'm not trying to scare you off.

Not a single thing you said about vote analysis, set-up speculation or recent events is true BTW. It was a nice little exercise for you to slide onto the wagon you did a great job avoiding earlier when my claim wasn't clear. But the timing (after I had made it clear I would only be shooting Fate) was perfect scum hopping on.

Yup, I know my trifecta of Benmage / pappums / Fate were not ALL scum. All three were on my wagon the first time around.

You on the other hand did a stand-up job buddying me (which Peregrine did point out) early. Yet the second I looked at you sideways in questioning you began"Oh, maybe you are scum calling everyone who questions you scum".

Stay right there Korlash ...
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Post Post #559 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 1:11 pm

Post by vijay2vasandani »

Was that the hammer? If so, yay night time :D finally, not as useless.
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Post Post #560 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 1:48 pm

Post by The Mini-Librarian »

Well I was going to say that Korlash's hammer post looks like scum trying to overjustify a finishing blow, but it seems like MoI agrees with me...

Just out of curiosity who is your comedian MoI?
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Post Post #561 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 2:14 pm

Post by jasonT1981 »

Day 1 Vote Count 7

Rat 3 - MOI,Mini-Librarian, Pizza,
MOI 6 - Benmage, Yates,pappums rat,MattP,Fate,Korlash,
Pizza 1 - Shotgun,
Mini-Librarian 1 - Zeek
Yates 1 - vijay2vansandani,
MattP 1 - PereV

Not Voting




It is now Day 1, with 13 alive it takes 7 to lynch

(expired on 2012-05-15 10:21:52)

till Day 1 Deadline
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Post Post #562 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 2:19 pm

Post by The Mini-Librarian »

Why in the world did I listen to vijay when it comes to hammers?!?

Still don't like Korlash's vote though.
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Post Post #563 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 2:22 pm

Post by Korlash »

... I didn't hammer. Weird, normally I'm the one that can't count.

MoI wrote:Not a single thing you said about vote analysis, set-up speculation or recent events is true BTW. It was a nice little exercise for you to slide onto the wagon you did a great job avoiding earlier when my claim wasn't clear. But the timing (after I had made it clear I would only be shooting Fate) was perfect scum hopping on.


Actually, no. This is a lie. You just said point blank your 'kill fate' was some sort of ploy, thus 'recent events' is true by your own admission. You haven't posed an alternative to my setup speculation, so you have no grounds to argue it. And to say any sort of 'speculation' is wrong is just a stupid thing to say. It's not wrong or right, it's speculation.

And I made my feelings on the wagon being fishy before you posted you would 'kill fate' and before he even voted. Are you suggesting I was psychic and had planned this all along? Regardless of if you think I am scum or not, my 'timing' began before your ploy. The only one who is wrong here is you mate.

MoI wrote:You on the other hand did a stand-up job buddying me (which Peregrine did point out) early. Yet the second I looked at you sideways in questioning you began"Oh, maybe you are scum calling everyone who questions you scum".


Aye. And don't forget to mention the part about me 'regretting' you not being lynched. You want this thing to sound legit don't you?

MoI wrote:Stay right there Korlash ...


You do realize that anyone who had voted you would have gotten this treatment from you, right? Which makes it all the more stupid as a ploy. With deadline approaching and you the lead wagon someone was going to vote you. Just some advice from one gambiter to another. Even when you're faking it, you need to sound legit. You have a lot to learn.

Flynn Carson wrote:Well I was going to say that Korlash's hammer post looks like scum trying to overjustify a finishing blow, but it seems like MoI agrees with me...


Over justify? What part do you disagree with?

Ultimately it doesn't matter, but I'd like to know.
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Post Post #564 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 2:24 pm

Post by Korlash »

Flynn Carson wrote:Still don't like Korlash's vote though.


This is such a stupid statement. How can you justify this? If I'm scum, I die because of my vote. If I'm town (and am right) we lynch scum. If I'm town and am wrong, well short lived mistaked.

There is no possible way you shouldn't 'like my vote'... :\ First you trust V2V's math and then you speak illogically... you sir, make me cry tiny spear fighting vampire dating one...
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Post Post #565 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 2:42 pm

Post by vijay2vasandani »

The Mini-Librarian wrote:Why in the world did I listen to vijay when it comes to hammers?!?

Still don't like Korlash's vote though.

Lol ikr? Hahaha God it's something about you TML. I can't seem to count. If nobody has claimed a hammer, I'll do it in 24 hours. (that's assuming I can count to 24 X.X)
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Post Post #566 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 2:46 pm

Post by Korlash »

No, you stay off the wagon V2V.

If the scum want you dead they'll have to do it at night. Don't take the risk MoI has a scum equivalent of the role he claimed.
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Post Post #567 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 2:50 pm

Post by vijay2vasandani »

Well I think he gets to choose anyway..
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Post Post #568 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 2:52 pm

Post by The Mini-Librarian »

When I say I don't like your vote, I mean I think it was very scummy. I mean yeah I guess if MoI dies, you die. So I guess it's not terrible, but I'd rather actually lynch scum today than MoI.

-

As for why I think your post feels like over-justification.

1) The vote analysis section is all smoke and mirrors. It SCREAMS of confirmation bias. This isn't the only scenario that makes sense and you know it. For example MoI could be a town vengeful who's wagon died when he claimed and scum split themselves between the pizza and pappums wagons until townie fate jumped back onto MoI. Basically why is the version you presented make any more sense than what I just said?

2) Setup spec is bullshit. First of all, your reasoning that a 'good' comedian wouldn't bring others down with him is terribly flawed. Why do town comedians have to be nice people and not take people down with them? I mean my comedian isn't exactly someone I'd want to have lunch with, if you know what I mean.

3) "Even if MoI isn't scum at least we get another flip. WIN WIN! *winkwinknudgenudge*"

So yeah, these reasons add up to nothing for me. Feels like scum making up reasons.
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Post Post #569 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 3:17 pm

Post by Korlash »

V2V wrote:Well I think he gets to choose anyway..


Exactly, that's why you should be as far away as you can. If he can choose from off his wagon, then it doesn't matter, but I'd rather not take the chance.

Flynn wrote:When I say I don't like your vote, I mean I think it was very scummy. I mean yeah I guess if MoI dies, you die. So I guess it's not terrible, but I'd rather actually lynch scum today than MoI.


Lynching MoI (from your perspective) would kill me (Who you just said voted 'scummy' so... I'm guessing you have some notion as to my alignment.) Add in MoI's recent actions and from any town's perspective lynching MoI gives a potential two chances to take out scum. Him, or if we're wrong, me. Lynching anyone else only gives us one. It's a no brainier really.

Flynn wrote:1) The vote analysis section is all smoke and mirrors. It SCREAMS of confirmation bias. This isn't the only scenario that makes sense and you know it. For example MoI could be a town vengeful who's wagon died when he claimed and scum split themselves between the pizza and pappums wagons until townie fate jumped back onto MoI. Basically why is the version you presented make any more sense than what I just said?


It doesn't, I never said it did. But your version doesn't explain his actions just now, mine does.

Flynn wrote:2) Setup spec is bullshit. First of all, your reasoning that a 'good' comedian wouldn't bring others down with him is terribly flawed. Why do town comedians have to be nice people and not take people down with them? I mean my comedian isn't exactly someone I'd want to have lunch with, if you know what I mean.


Setup speculation in a theme game is never bullshit. It's a viable tool to use and to excuse it as 'bullshit' is a dumb move. Now, you presented an argument, so please take no offense to this. I'm just stating a point.

As to your argument, good comedians don't have to be nice guys, but they wouldn't take others down with them. When you put 'real life' characters in a situation like this (a good vs. evil game) this is a statistic that would qualify someone for the evil side. And being a prick (aka someone you wouldn't have lunch with) doesn't equate to taking someone out with you. This is a team orriented game regardless of how anyone sees it. The comedians that purposefully heckle the others would not be on the 'town' team. So, a 'vengeful' is not the type of power role I expect to see.

Add in the presence of a claimed vig and you're saying the town has two killing roles? Both setup and theme suggest MoI is likely lying.

My speculation may not always be 'right' but it's never 'bullshit'... It's one of the few things I actually do good.

Flynn wrote:3) "Even if MoI isn't scum at least we get another flip. WIN WIN! *winkwinknudgenudge*"


This would only be a valid 'point' from you if MoI wasn't so likely to flip scum. I'm not saying this is a reason on it's own to lynch him, merely stating that the small percentage that MoI is scum is offset.

Lynch wrote:So yeah, these reasons add up to nothing for me. Feels like scum making up reasons.


Then hammer MoI and see me hang for it. (or see me take a bullet) To argue you think I'm scum for this WHILE saying MoI should live is illogical.
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Post Post #570 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 3:32 pm

Post by Pizzadudes7 »

So, MoI is alive b/c people are scared to hammer, but he wants to vengekill Fate, but not really. This is the most confusing trap you have ever tried to create MoI.
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Post Post #571 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 3:58 pm

Post by Fate »

Lol how is pizza allowed to live.

Ok no way is what MoI did a scum move.

He used our history and hate between eachother to try and draw out EAGER scum. That's 100% town

Unvote:
Vote: Korlash


We're doing this for that HORRIBLE vote which was justified with basically... "OH YAY HES GONNA KILL FATE! I hate Fate I SWEAR ========[ ]" while licking his chops for a town double kill.
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Post Post #572 (ISO) » Fri May 11, 2012 4:47 pm

Post by Korlash »

Fate, stop being a moron for a second. Lynch MoI and I die if I'm scum, end of story. Lynch me and you risk letting yourself get played by MoI. As for his clever gambit, if he did catch scum with it why are you the first person to vote?

But this does bring up an interesting point... There is a nearly equal number of people in this game that hate me as there are that hate MoI... Will make for an interesting next couple of days I suppose...
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Post Post #573 (ISO) » Sat May 12, 2012 1:50 am

Post by MagnaofIllusion »

Yeah, I have to agree here.

Korlash's hop on was overjustified (I get Fate dead also? Win Win! Also I do like playing with you but all the concocted bullshit means you have to die and take Town with you.), his appeals to Vijay (stay as far away from the lynch as possible you are toooo valuable) and this last round of "We have two chances to catch scum by lynching MoI Fate) seals it for me.

No Town player says "We've got two chances to catch scum ... MoI if he's scum and me if he shoots me".

VOTE: Korlash

Korlash-scum means paradoxically that pappums is more likely just terrible Town. But his buddying / defending Benmage fits scum buddy behavior to a tee.
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Post Post #574 (ISO) » Sat May 12, 2012 2:49 am

Post by Yates »

MagnaofIllusion wrote:No Town player says "We've got two chances to catch scum ... MoI if he's scum and me if he shoots me".

VOTE: Korlash

Korlash-scum means paradoxically that pappums is more likely just terrible Town

I have to admit, this is a pretty tempting wagon for a few reasons:

1. I have never played with Korlash before so I don't know if his play here is "typical Korlash" or not but I certainly don't understand his playing style. There seems to be a lot of fluff and arguing for the sake of arguing which is where I agree with Pere in post 350.
2. I will go back to my ancient accusation about fence-sitting with Korlash. He doesn't vote the whole game while arguing about the strength of other people's votes then throws his vote on MoI late in the day for a flawed reason? This also takes me back to post 348 where I called him out on the fact he claims he regrets MoI not getting lynched but then claims he never stated he thought MoI was scummy enough to lynch. Instead of answering my question, he tried to get me to argue my choice of bolded words. Which AGAIN illustrates how he tries to turn every little thing into a sideshow.
3. I have already stated in post 396 the reasons I think pappums is Town.

My hesitation is, unbelievably, something along the lines of what
Pizza
said [God help me]. It's impossible to determine the motivation for your gambit until after a flip but this one does feel like a survivalist play. The whole "I'm going to shoot Fate - scratch that I'm going to shoot Korlash" thing played weird yet somehow created this Korlash counter-wagon when you have once again reached L-1. While I'm sure scum can get out of L-1 without a problem [simple matter of a bussing scum buddy hopping off], I don't know how Town can wriggle out of L-1 twice in one day so easily. This would make me consider an MoI/Fate scum buddy team if MoI were to be lynched and flip scum [especially after that "I retract my PR claim" business].

I don't know. I've been trying to stay caught up but this is the first real turn of events that I felt like I needed to spend some time on.
Coming soon: 50 Shades of Null
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